Monday, October 12, 2009

Thoughts on Sault Ste. Marie and Kitchener from October 12

Happy Thanksgiving everyone (well at least my Canadian readers). Nothing makes a Canadian Thanksgiving complete (besides food), like some good ol' hockey and today saw the match up of two of the best teams in the Western Conference as the Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds took on the Kitchener Rangers at the Aud. The Hounds came into the game riding a 2 game losing streak, while the Rangers had yet to suffer a regulation loss.

When the dust settled, the Hounds ended up on the wrong side of a 4-2 score and extended their losing streak to 3 games after starting the year with 7 straight wins. I don't think Hounds fans should be discouraged. Tough games, and ones the Hounds stayed competitive in. I don't see this as the end of the Hounds Cinderella story or anything. They are a solid team and they'll get back to winning once the shock of their first losses wears off.

As for the Rangers, they look really strong. They aren't getting as much respect as they should right now, in my opinion. I think most of it stems from the fact that they haven't played as many games as some of the other teams in the league. They have by far the best winning percentage in the league thus far, but are only tied for third in points. If they don't make the CHL Top 10 rankings this week, it'll be a travesty. They look solid at both ends of the ice, rolling two really strong scoring lines and playing solid defense. They finally got some good goaltending from Brandon Maxwell today too, after he struggled in his opening three games.

Most importantly, this game represented the reality of the OHL. In 2008, these two teams met in the Western Conference finals. In 2009, they both missed the playoffs. In 2010, they are forces to be reckoned with again. Look no further than the Eastern Conference this year. In 2009, Belleville and Brampton met in the East finals. In 2010, they are tied for last in the East. It's a whirlwind league, whose natural design sees this up and down competitive nature. It also shows that in the OHL, rebuilds or "retools" should not take longer than a season to accomplish. Teams like the Kingston Frontenacs, and Peterborough Petes should not have been making excuses the past few years for on ice performance in the face of rebuilds, as teams continue to show that the rebuilding process can be successful in only a years time. That being said, it is worth mentioning that Kingston and Peterborough are finally back to the top of the East after three year absences (ironically the last time these BOTH teams finished with home ice advantage in round one was 2005-06).

Anyway back to the game at hand and my impressions on the Rangers and Hounds...

Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds





Brandon Archibald (2010)
Played a quietly effective game. Big defenseman with good mobility who plays a very quietly effective defensive game. Keeps players to the outside, makes smart decisions with the puck. He also works on the second powerplay unit and does a good job moving the puck around the ice. Guys like him always generate attention from NHL scouts. I look at him and see a guy like Brampton's Matt Clark, who ended up being a high 2nd round pick in 2009.

Jacob Muzzin (Overage Free Agent)
After failing to sign with Pittsburgh, Muzzin is back in the OHL for his overage season. I'm a big fan of his as a player and I think Pittsburgh made a mistake in not signing him (although admittedly they do have several similar prospects like Robert Bortuzzo and Ben Lovejoy). The Hounds have to be happy to have him back as he's serving as their captain and leading their defense in scoring. He's a big guy who loves to use his size. He laid out Jeff Skinner twice as he tried to bring the puck to the net. He also is smart with the puck and moves up it up very well. His skating isn't the greatest and it needs to be improved for the professional level, but he has all the other tools that you'd look for in a rugged NHL defenseman. I hope someone gives him a contract this offseason. He finished the game with 2 assists.

Daniel Catenacci (2011)
The first overall pick in the 2009 OHL Priority Draft, Catenacci showed some good things today. I like his composure with the puck in the offensive zone. With rookies, you find that they try to force things or try to make moves with the puck in traffic and end up turning it over. Catenacci played the simple possession game in the offensive end, he worked the cycle and he didn't turn the puck over. While he never really generated any offensive chances, I was impressed with the maturity of his game. As he gets stronger and gains more confidence, he's likely to start contributing more.

James Livingston (STL)
Livingston was one guy whom I felt really needed to step up his game this year and thus far he has. He's definitely a power forward who looks to drive to the net with the puck on his stick. But he's actually a fairly skilled puck handler who's able to get through defenders not only with his size, but his skill too. With great hands, it's always been a wonder to me as to how he's never put up better stats in this league. One thing I will say though is that his skating has never really improved in the league. Only an average skater, I thought that Livingston could make gains on his speed and acceleration in the same way a guy like James Neal did in his time in the league. But he still looks like he's skating in molasses at times. That explosive skating ability is about the only thing lacking in his game, and probably the thing that prevents him from really taking over shifts. He finished with a goal and an assist, both on somewhat goal mouth scrambles.

Kyle DeCoste (TBL)
After playing so well for the Hounds late last year, I expected him to make a much larger contribution this year. Thus far, he's been largely disappointing. With only 1 goal in 7 games, he's on pace to take a step backwards offensively. Truthfully, he was largely invisible today. If he's not contributing on offense, DeCoste usually at least contributes physically. But he didn't do a whole lot of that today either. Seems to be just going through the motions.

Brock Beukeboom (2010)
Beukeboom was alright today. I liked his willingness to play the body and he made sure the Rangers forwards knew he was there. I liked the way he controlled the point on the powerplay, using his big shot to create scoring chances. He does a good job of getting it through to the net too. Outside of that, not much else to say really. He wasn't terrible, and he wasn't great.

Nick Cousins (2011)
Invisible tonight. If I wasn't looking for him on a shift, I had a pretty hard time finding him. That being said, I saw a little bit of him earlier this season and in the preseason and he was at times then, one of the best players on the ice. Simply the trials and tribulations of being an OHL rookie.

Robin Lehner (OTT)
A lot of promising things here. A big goaltender who's definitely a pure butterfly goaltender. Does an outstanding job of taking away the bottom of the net. Completely robbed the Rangers twice by stretching out in the splits and getting his pad on the shot. I really liked the way he controlled his rebounds too. For a big netminder, this can often be a problem as they've got a lot more body to cover up. On the negative side, he's very timid in net for a big goaltender. Seems very content in playing back in his net and it was obvious the Rangers were trying to go upstairs on him. The first Rangers goal scored by Jeremy Morin was a weak one, where he failed to challenge the shooter and Morin had enough space to get it under his arm. He'd really be a lot more effective if he used his size to take away the top of the net too, by being aggressive and challenging shooters. He made 35 of 38 saves and took the loss.

Kitchener Rangers






John Moore (CBJ)
My first look at Moore and I was impressed...although admittedly not as "wowed" as I expected myself to be. Perhaps it was all the hype that got me thinking he was going to dominate. The skating ability was definitely as advertised. Very smooth skater who carries the puck up ice with ease. That being said, I'd like to see him use that ability to generate more scoring chances. Maybe it's a confidence thing or a feeling out process, but for the majority his rushes ended with him just dumping the puck into the zone. Defensively, he uses his skating ability to really stay with forwards and plays a solid positional game. He did make an error in coverage on the first Greyhounds goal though, failing to tie up his man (Livingston) as he put home the cross crease pass. Played a solid game, but I did expect a little more. But as I mentioned, it could have been due to unfair expectations.

Dan Kelly (Overage Free Agent)
I'm not sure if he has a future at the next level, but I really like Kelly. Without question one of the best defensive defenseman in the OHL, Kelly is a rock in his own end. The Hounds were unable to get by him all day. I really like the added aggression and toughness he showed too. Previously, I always found him to be more of a positional defender, but he was banging bodies tonight. If he wants a future at the next level, he's going to have to continue to do this. Offensively, he plays a safe game like many stay at home guys. Moves the puck up ice, doesn't force anything. He knows his limitations. Like Jacob Muzzin, I'm rooting for him to get an NHL deal, even if it would appear to be a bit of a long shot.

Tyler Randell (BOS)
Was alright today. Works the cycle well, goes to the net hard. He missed a couple good opportunities to score that he's got to do a better job getting his stick on the puck. Skating still is a bit of an issue, especially his acceleration. I'd also like to see him play more aggressive away from the puck. He has the size to bang bodies and I've seen him do it before, but it's an inconsistent quality. If he has a future at the NHL level, it's as a gritty scoring winger, and that means he's going to need to find a way to increase his energy and aggression levels on the ice.

Jason Akeson (2010, but 1990 born)
Akeson is another guy I really like as a player. I was kind of disappointed no one took a chance on him at the 2009 NHL Draft, but he's had an explosive start to the season. I think he's a really smart player and the majority of his success comes from his elite hockey sense. As a result of being smart with the puck, he is an excellent playmaker who does a good job at finding his teammates in strong scoring positions. He made be a tad undersized (5'10ish), but he competes and isn't afraid of the danger areas. Nice to see Akeson and his former teammate Eric O'Dell in the top 10 of OHL scoring. Both were hesitant to join the OHL over the NCAA route and leave their Cumberland CJHL team in 2008. But it's worked out well for both of them thus far I would say. Akeson finished with an assist.

Ryan Murphy (2011)
I came to the game expecting John Moore to be the dynamic playmaker, but instead it was Murphy who wowed me with his skating and puck carrying ability. Had two absolutely beautiful rushes with the puck where he exploded up ice and into the offensive zone. He took the puck right towards the net too and showed no fear or hesitation in doing so. Really seems to have elite puck skills. Defensively he wasn't noticeably poor either. He needs to add size in order to be able to consistently eliminate opposing forwards, but he plays a solid positional game and uses his skating ability to his advantage. I hope he can grow a little bit, but he has the makings of a dynamic offensive defenseman in this league. He finished the game with an assist.

Jeff Skinner (2010)
Skinner had a bit of a tough game. Had some good opportunities to beat Lehner but was stopped by the big netminder. He also got drilled a few times by Muzzin, and generally had a tough time getting to the net through the Hounds big defenseman. But you can't fault him for not trying. Skinner's always got his motor running and is active on the forecheck and generated some turnovers. I think he'd make a lot better winger than he would a center, as he's playing right now. I find that sometimes he tries to be too cutesy with the puck, kind of the Nazem Kadri syndrome. Instead of making the simple play, he tries to dangle or make the more difficult one. If he could play the wing and use his speed and no quit attitude to go up and down the ice, I think he'd be a lot more consistent at the offensive end.

Jeremy Morin (ATL)
Two goals in his first five games. Seven goals in his last two games. Four of those came tonight. He's definitely got a nose for the net, which was advertised to be his forte. He's not the best skater, but he's very elusive on the ice and seems to be one of those guys who can get himself open. Like any good scorer, he loves to cut to the middle of the ice with the puck on his stick too, which is how he scored his first goal. Came from behind the net, cut to the middle and put it high on Lehner (although it was a weak goal). Other two goals were of the garbage variety, while the 4th was an empty net effort where he stripped Vern Cooper of the puck and had the easy put away. Was very impressed by Morin tonight.

Gabriel Landeskog (2011)
I liked what I saw from Landeskog today. He's got a lot of energy. He skates hard, asserts himself physically. Seems to have good hands in close to the net. Morin mopped up some of his garbage after he made a nice play to get the puck on net. I think as the year goes on, he'll start getting better and better. He finished with an assist.

Brandon Maxwell (COL)
Maxwell was pretty solid today. He's got kind of an unorthodox style and flops around a little bit. That early commitment to the ice could be what's gotten him in trouble early in the season. But he did a very good job of taking away the bottom of the net tonight and seems to have very good reaction time in the crease. Made a few really nice saves by sliding cross crease and showed good lateral mobility. Hopefully he can string some good performances together and show the Rangers they made a good decision by bringing him into the fold. He made 29 of 31 saves for the victory.

That's it for the game. Anyone else catch the game today or have general comments about the Hounds and/or Rangers?

Ryan Yessie's Early Season Top 30

Perhaps inspired by my own list, Ryan has sent me his early top 30 for the 2010 NHL Entry Draft. I think it's always interesting to see a different perspective on things. Below is Ryan's list...



1 Taylor Hall - Left Wing - Windsor Spitfires
YOB: 1991 - 6’1” - 185 lbs. - GP: 10 - PTS: 20
What can I say about this guy that you haven’t already heard a million times. Great skater, excellent playmaking abilities and can finish just as well. Responsible in his own zone. In many way’s this is Steven Stamkos on Left Wing, with a little more size.

2 Tyler Seguin - Center - Plymouth Whalers
YOB: 1992 - 6’1” - 186 lbs. - GP: 10 - PTS: 25
Much like Taylor Hall two years ago, when I saw Seguin in the 2009 OHL Playoffs, it was very clear this young rookie was going to be a superstar. Without question Seguin has put the exclamation mark on this statement. I can’t stop singing this young man’s praises, he has great speed, great playmaking abilities, and has shown many times he can create a play out of practically nothing at all. Is able to put the puck in the back of the net, and is a potential franchise player much like Duchene was able to establish himself behind Tavares, however honestly I think Seguin is better than Duchene, and will be in the NHL next year.

3 Cam Fowler - Defence - Windsor Spitfires
YOB: 1992 - 6’2” - 190 lbs. - GP: 10 PTS: 14
Has made an impact so far with his new team, and if any NHL team goes into the draft looking for a defenceman, Fowler may be the top option available. A solid puck mover, if he can add about 15-20 lbs of muscle he would be ideal size for a defenceman. If he can become more physical, while keeping his puck moving capabilities he could be a #1 blueliner in the NHL one day. Could still stand to develop a mean streak.

4 Erik Gudbranson - Defence - Kingston Frontenacs
YOB: 1992 - 6’3” - 199 lbs. - GP: 10 - PTS: 6
Gudbranson has got great, ideal size for a defenceman and although his point production is not quite where I expected it would be after 10 games, he more than makes up for it with his solid play in all 3 zones, great skating and movement both forwards and backwards, as well as lateral movement. Mix that speed in with size and a willingness to hit, and the endurance to play 30 mins a game, it’s hard to find anything in this player that doesn’t shout top 2 defenceman in the NHL sooner rather than later.

5 John McFarland - Center - Sudbury Wolves
YOB: 1992 - 6’1” - 195 lbs. - GP: 10 - PTS: 11
I hate to follow Brock exactly for the top 5, but McFarland hasn’t done anything yet to show me that he’s any better than the other 4 ahead of him, and to be totally honest Hall and Seguin are miles ahead of McFarland in terms of skill. McFarland does have some great hands and some great agility to beat defenders. He does play with more of an edge and has a little better size than the other, and combined with his natural talent does keep McFarland in the top 5.

6 Stephen Silas - Defence - Belleville Bulls
YOB: 1992 - 6’0” - 190 lbs. - GP: 9 - PTS: 10
Silas looked great for Belleville and really gives them a second option offensively on the blueline besides Lalonde. If they move Lalonde the Bulls should be just fine with Silas running the offensive show. He had great speed, always seems to keep his legs moving and his good positioning combined with his speed seems to save him from getting caught. Could be in some ways this year’s Ryan Ellis in terms of top undersized defencemen available. Looks smaller than he really is, is willing to get physical when the situation calls upon it.

7 Jeff Skinner - Center - Kitchener Rangers
YOB: 1992 - 5’11” - 197 lbs. - GP: 6 - PTS: 11
Skinner is a very skilled goal scorer. He showed great ability in putting the puck in the net as a 16 year old last year, and continues to do that this year. Skinner has decent speed, and is very solidly built so he should have minimal issues with his size. His knock is that he could move the puck more often to his linemates, but when you have a player with Skinner’s finishing abilities the question is how often should he do this?

8 Joey Hishon - Center - Owen Sound Attack
YOB: 1991 - 5’10” - 190 lbs. - GP: 10 - PTS: 9
Hishon is not exactly breaking out as many expected this year, and this has been part of Owen Sound’s undoing early in the season. Hishon has added some weight to his frame which should really help his draft stock for those who were very concerned about his size. Hishon has great speed, and plays solid in his own zone which should help take the weight off his shoulders when he’s not producing at his usual high level. Hishon has the opportunity to be a very similar version to Nazem Kadri, but like Kadri last year, he looks a little off from the player that established himself the year before he became draft eligible.

9 Alexander Burmistrov - Center - Barrie Colts
YOB: 1991 - 6’0” - 170 lbs. - GP: 9 - PTS: 17
Burmistrov could be higher or lower on this list come Thursday night when I get an up close and in person look at him, but from what I hear he has great skating abilities, and can not only finish like many forward imports in the OHL, but he can also move the puck very well. He’s good in all 3 zones, and has made quite the impact since making his appearance in the OHL. Should be interesting where the rest of this season takes him.

10 Steven Shipley - Center - Owen Sound Attack
YOB: 1992 - 6’2” - 204 lbs. - GP: 10 - PTS: 9
Shipley who is the second half of the duo that was expected to help Owen Sound contend for a top 4 position has had about the same kind of contribution as Hishon. Lacks the speed of Hishon, is still a very capable skater, and has much better size, already near NHL ready, not to mention his hands are very underrated as a goal scorer. I expect Shipley to go much earlier than some predict. Needs to add more of a mean streak.

11 Ryan Martindale - Center - Ottawa 67’s
YOB: 1992 - 6’3” - 190 lbs. - GP: 10 - PTS: 12
Martindale, unlike teammate Toffoli who he was actually behind in the ratings last time, has jumped ahead of his teammate as the prominent 67’s prospect going into this draft. Compared in a lot of ways to Steven Shipley. If Martindale develops a mean streak there’s no stopping him from climbing past similar prospects Shipley and Yogan in the ratings. Is already very solid in all 3 zones.

12 Andrew Yogan - Center - Erie Otters
YOB: 1991 - 6’3” - 200 lbs. - GP: 9 - PTS: 7
Yogan is someone I’ve always been high on as a prospect. I’m not a big fan of Greg Nemisz, but I think I see a lot in Yogan that Nemisz supporters see in him. Yogan is great with puck possession, plays hard in corners, and likes to be physical, yet at the same time has the hands of a goalscorer. If his combination size and skill are used properly Yogan could be a very good prospect.

13 Ryan O’Connor - Defence - Barrie Colts
YOB: 1992 - 5’9” - 175 lbs. - GP: 9 - PTS: 9
O’Connor is yet another undersized Colt prospect out there. O’Connor has great speed, and puck moving abilities. Already proved himself to be a legitimate prospect this year, should only wind up better off by the end of this season being a key offensive contributor for a contender.

14 Ryan Spooner - Center - Peterborough Petes
YOB: 1992 - 5’10” - 175 - GP: 10 - PTS: 10
Spooner has great skating ability and has proven already he’s got a quick accurate shot. He is able to use is small size and agility to work around defenders, but also is willing to make contact despite his size.

15 J.P. Anderson - Goaltender - Mississauga St. Mike’s Majors
YOB: 1992 - 5’10” - 175 lbs. - 2W - GAA: 3.38 - SV%: .870
Going into this season Anderson was the favourite to be the top goaltender drafted. His size will likely be an issue, and needs to make the best out of his playing time as he will need to battle with Chris Carrozzi. Anderson makes the best of his situation by cutting down angles and using his great lateral movement to make the save. Reflexes are another asset.

16 Tyler Toffoli - Right Wing - Ottawa 67’s
YOB: 1992 - 6’0” - 187 lbs. - GP: 10 - PTS: 3
After a very impressive rookie campaign Toffoli looked as if he was going to be among the sure fire top 10 OHL prospects. However after a disappointing start, Toffoli; although still a prominent prospect, needs to get his game together. Toffoli isn’t someone I’m willing to give up on just yet. He moves the puck very well, and is an excellent passer. However there isn’t as many options for him to pass to as there was last year. Toffoli will be given plenty of time by scouts to turn his game around, the big question is.. Is Toffoli a top line player, or a complimentary set up man?

17 Brandon Archibald - Defence - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
YOB: 1992 - 6’3” - 200 lbs. - GP: 9 - PTS: 6
Archibald is the definition of the ideal two-way defenceman. He has a huge NHL ready frame, and is not shy about using it to punish his opponents. Yet he is able to move the puck effectively. He plays in all game situations and is a huge part of the Greyhounds’ early success. I expect big things from Archibald.

18 Brock Beukeboom - Defence - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
YOB: 1992 - 6’1” - 196 lbs. - GP: 10 - PTS: 8
After a decent rookie season, Beukeboom has looked outstanding so far in his sophomore campaign. Beukeboom along with Archibald are both legitimate two-way defencemen. Beukeboom is willing to use his solid frame to hit, but also has some solid skating assets as well which helps him when he does choose to play physical. At the same time Brock has a solid offensive package including the best shot the SOO has seen since Josh Godfrey, that has got him 2 goals, and close to a point per game 10 games into the season.

19 Josh Shalla - Left Wing - Saginaw Spirit
YOB: 1991 - 6’1” - 187 lbs - GP: 9 - PTS: 14
Shalla is a pure goal scorer who’s really taking advantage of his opportunities in Saginaw. Shalla is a solid skater, who is willing to make contact, but also knows how to get in position to use his quick release.

20 Justin Shugg - Right Wing - Windsor Spitfires
YOB: 1991 - 5’11” - 185 lbs. - GP: 10 - PTS: 14
Shugg is a fairly underrated player who always seems to give 100%. He’s willing to battle, and do the little things, and has a great nose for the net. Could put up 30 goals this year, and the amazing thing is, he may still be only considered a secondary contributor.

21 Austin Watson - Right Wing - Windsor Spitfires
YOB: 1992 - 6’3” - 177 lbs. - GP: 10 - PTS: 7
Watson has great size, but could really benefit from adding about 30 lbs. In muscle or something close to that, as well as a mean streak. Already has a strong agile lower half. Very disciplined and doesn’t seem to make a lot of mistakes in general.

22 Devante Smith-Pelly - Left Wing - Mississauga St. Mike’s Majors
YOB: 1992 - 5’11” - 180 lbs. GP: 8 - PTS: 7
Smith-Pelly is one of my personal favorites going into this year. He seems to play with a lot of energy, but it seems tamed at times, knowing when to crash and bang, and when to play positional. He has a quick release on his shot, and although he may not be an overwhelming goal scorer seems to be able to put it in the net. A little undersized for his style of play, he should be an interesting prospect.

23 Christian Thomas - Right Wing - Oshawa Generals
YOB: 1992 - 5’9” - 172 lbs - GP: 9 - PTS: 12
Thomas has been fairly effective so far this season for the Generals. Thomas is a very solid skater, which can be expected for his size, also moves the puck to his teammates efficiently. I don’t see Thomas becoming a key player at the next level, but his willingness to grind it out, and his last name, should all help him on draft day.

24 Geoffrey Schemitsch - Defence - Owen Sound Attack
YOB: 1992 - 6’1” - 180 lbs. - GP: 10 - PTS: 8
Schemitsch has very decent size, and has burst onto the scene much like Calvin De Haan did last year for Oshawa. If he is in fact even close to as good, Schemitsch should be a sure fire draft pick, but I can’t say I know a lot about him at this point.

25 Greg Sutch - Right Wing - Mississauga St. Mike’s Majors
YOB: 1992 - 6’2” - 190 lbs. - GP: 0 - PTS: 0
Sutch has yet to play this year, but I was able to get a very good idea on him playing his whole first year in Sarnia. Sutch has got very good speed, and is willing to drive to the net. His hockey sense is absolutely off the charts and anticipates plays very well. Has a decent release that may get better as his body gets used to his height, as he looks much bigger than 6’2 - 190. Willing to play a physical power forwards game. His biggest obstacle to overcome will be his hearing deficit in which he is considered legally deaf.

26 Bryce O’Hagan - Goaltender - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
YOB: 1991 - 6’2” - 190 lbs. - 4W - GAA: 2.45 - SV% .911
O’Hagan; unlike his former teammate Cody St. Jacques has embraced the idea of a two goaltender system. Because of his show of doing what’s best for the team as supposed to himself, as well as the way he’s played during the games he has been on the ice, O’Hagan has been rewarded with the conception that Bryce may in fact be the top goaltending prospect available in this year’s draft. Has much better size than Anderson, but reflexes aren’t quite matched up to J.P’s it should be interesting to see if the SOO and O’Hagan can continue their great play.

27 Greg McKegg - Center - Erie Otters
YOB: 1992 - 6’0” - 190 lbs. GP: 9 - PTS: 7
Despite the struggle Erie is having so far this year, McKegg has been one of the few bright spots on this team. He looks bigger than he is, but needs to become more physical. McKegg has good hands and good finishing ability when he gets around the goal area.

28 Nathan Chiarlitti - Defence - Sarnia Sting
YOB: 1992 - 6’0” - 185 lbs. - GP: 8 - PTS: 3
I’m personally very high on this kids abilities. Likely won’t be a big point producer, but plays a safe, smart and mature defensive game. Has untapped offensive potential, including a very accurate wrist shot from the point which has already accounted for 3 Sarnia goals this season. Not an exceptional skater or checker, but not notably bad in either departments. Lacks a stand out skill, but doesn’t really have any weaknesses to his game either.

29 Joe Rogalski - Defence - Sarnia Sting
YOB: 1991 - 6’3” - 185 lbs. - GP: 8 - PTS: 8
After a slow start riddled with puck moving mistakes, Rogalski has really looked impressive the last 3 games. He’s refined his decision making it seems, and is not trying to go for the home run, and instead is going for the smart play. Rogalski could really benefit from gaining a mean streak, because he plays soft for a 6’3” defenceman. However his skating abilities are among the best for draft eligible defencemen, and could become that much more of an asset if he gets better with his positioning. Can rush the puck like a premier offensive defenceman when; and only when he is on his game.

30 Philipp Grubauer - Goaltender - Belleville Bulls
YOB: 1991 - 6’0” - 190 lbs. - W: 3 - GAA: 3.22 - SV%: .915
Grubauer has certainly learned from Mike Murphy during last season. He has come into this season and done a great job. Grubauer seems to stop everything coming at him. His only weakness which seems to be a glaring one is his rebound control, however if he can refine this issue there’s nothing stopping Grubauer from being a legitimate NHL goaltending prospect. Something Belleville is quickly becoming known for. (watch out for Tyson Teichmann next)
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Honourable Mentions

31 Ivan Telegin - Center - Saginaw Spirit
YOB: 1992 - 6’3” - 185 lbs. - GP: 9 - PTS: 10
32 R.J. Mahalak - Left Wing - Plymouth Whalers
YOB: 1991 - 6’2” - 205 lbs. - GP: 4 - PTS: 4
33 Eddy Leitans-Rinke - Right Wing - Sudbury Wolves
YOB: 1991 - 6’5” - 192 lbs. - GP: 9 - PTS: 5
34 Phillip Lane - Center - Brampton Battalion
YOB: 1992 - 6’2” - 194 lbs. - GP: 7 - PTS: 5
35 Sam Carrick - Center - Brampton Battalion
YOB: 1992 - 6’0” - 188 lbs. - GP: 7 - PTS: 7
36 Michael Sgarbossa - Center - Barrie Colts
YOB: 1992 - 5’11” - 165 lbs. - GP: 9 - PTS: 12
37 Michael Houser - Goaltender - London Knights
YOB: 1992 - 6’2” - 180 lbs. - 3W - GAA: 2.00 - SV%: .943
38 Jared Knight - Center - London Knights
YOB: 1992 - 5’11” - 190 - GP: 9 - PTS: 4
39 Matthew Tipoff - Winger - Belleville Bulls
YOB: 1990 - 6‘0” - 190 lbs. - GP: 9 - PTS: 15
40 Marc-Anthony Zanetti - Defence - Ottawa 67’s
YOB: 1991 - 6’0” - 205 lbs. - GP: 10 - PTS: 4
41 Ben O’Quinn - Forward - Sarnia Sting
YOB: 1991 - 6’1” - 185 lbs. - GP: 8 - PTS: 8
42 Cameron Wind - Defence - Brampton Battalion
YOB: 1992 - 6’1” - 200 lbs. - GP: 8 - PTS: 4
43 Beau Schmitz - Defence - Plymouth Whalers
YOB: 1991 - 5’11” - 190 lbs. - GP: 10 - PTS: 6
44 Michael Fine - Center - Kingston Frontenacs
YOB: 1991 - 5’11” - 200 lbs. - GP: 7 - PTS: 7
45 Jason Akeson - Right Wing - Kitchener Rangers
YOB: 1990 - 5’10” - 186 lbs. - GP: 6 - PTS: 16
46 Chris DeSousa - Center - Niagara Ice Dogs
YOB: 1990 - 5’9” - 190 lbs. - GP: 9 - PTS: 14
47 Adam Sedlak - Defence - Peterborough Petes
YOB: 1991 - 6’2” - 210 lbs. - GP: 8 - PTS: 2
48 Andrew Agozzino - Left Wing - Niagara Ice Dogs
YOB: 1991 - 5’9” - 185 lbs. - GP: 9 - PTS: 11
49 Austin Levi - Defence - Plymouth Whalers
YOB: 1992 - 6’4” - 195 lbs. - GP: 10 PTS: 1
50 Miroslav Preisinger - Center/Left Wing - Sarnia Sting
YOB: 1991 - 6’0” - 175 lbs. - GP: 8 - PTS: 3

(Stats as of Monday October 12th)

RY

Saturday, October 10, 2009

Early Season Top 30 for the 2010 NHL Entry Draft

With nearly a full month of OHL action under our belts, I think it's fair to take an early look ahead to the 2010 NHL Entry Draft. Many publications are starting to release their early season rankings, and the Preliminary Central Scouting rankings come out in November, so I figured what better time to throw down my list.

This list is of my own personal opinion, from seeing these guys in action and hearing things about them. It's not intended to be a prognostication of the unfolding of the NHL entry draft (from the OHL's vantage point), but a personal ranking of what order I'd select or rank the available players.

Keep in mind though, that it is very early. At this time last year, guys like Matt Clark, Jesse Blacker, Scott Stajcer and Kyle Clifford weren't really on the radar (or at least on my radar). I didn't have any of them in my early 2009 top 30, but all managed to be ranked in my final Top 22. (My early season 2009 rankings can be found here, btw). Point is, there will be a lot of moving and shaking as the season progresses. Some guys will prove to be having more than just a hot start, or a cold start.

As for the crop of 2010 OHL players, I think that it's phenomenal. This group of 1992 borns (and late 1991's) easily rivals the group of 1985's that got drafted in 2003. And, of course, the 2003 NHL Entry Draft is largely considered to be one of the best in NHL history. Now I'm not comparing the entire (all available players across the world) crop of players from 2003 and 2010. I'm merely stating that for the Ontario Hockey League, this group is as talented and deep as they come. It's only October, and I considered nearly 50 players for my top 30.

One last thing to mention is that I have not included any "draft re-entry" players. No second or third time eligible players on this list. Just going with first year eligible players at this point.

Anyway, here they are...My Early Season OHL Top 30 for the 2010 NHL Entry Draft!

1. Taylor Hall - F - Windsor Spitfires
Pretty much where you expected him to be. Completely dynamic offensive player. Speed to burn, aggressive with the puck on his stick. Creates just as many scoring opportunities for his teammates as he does himself. I'm really encouraged by the gains his "overall" game have taken this year, playing on the PK, back checking more, and doing a better job of taking care of the puck.

http://www.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/player.php?id=4895

2. Tyler Seguin - F - Plymouth Whalers
I've been blown away with the way he's started this season. But in reality, I think we were unfair to expect anything less, after his rookie season last year (where he should have won the OHL's Rookie of the Year). Like Hall, he's a dynamic offensive player. Really smart with the puck, makes creative decisions. He's one of those guys who's almost always visible because of the way he's drawn to the puck. Don't look now, but he's rocketing up the draft rankings. I truly believe that if he continues to perform as well as he has, he could challenge Taylor Hall for first overall.

http://www.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/player.php?id=5110

3. Cam Fowler - D - Windsor Spitfires
After watching him play at the Under 18's in April, I was convinced as to his talent level. He was named the tournament's top defenseman and led team USA to a gold medal. He was dominant at both ends of the ice. His transition to Windsor has been pretty smooth, to say the least. Tied for the lead among defenseman scoring and showcasing his ability to dominate at both ends of the ice. On the negative side, he does need to improve his decisions with the puck and do a better job on getting his shot to the net. But 6'2 offensive defenseman don't grow on trees.

http://www.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/player.php?id=5419

4. Erik Gudbranson - D - Kingston Frontenacs
Pretty much the total package on defense. Great size, great mobility, ability to move the puck, and an increasing appetite for physical destruction. He's really stepped up his aggression this year, which is awesome to see. Gudbranson is starting to use his size more in the defensive end and he's slowly becoming a defensive force. Combine this with his ability to skate the puck up ice and you've got a defenseman NHL scouts are drooling over.

http://www.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/player.php?id=5082


5. John McFarland - F - Sudbury Wolves
The move to the wing this season really seems to have helped his game. McFarland's bread and butter is his combination of speed and skill. At times he can be a real treat to watch with the puck. His performance Internationally thus far certainly doesn't hurt his cause either. The one thing seem people over look about McFarland is the grit element to his game. He can be a bit of a pest out there and is starting to play a more in your face brand of hockey. He still needs to continue to be more consistent from shift to shift, but he's progressing well this year.

http://www.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/player.php?id=5193


6. Jeff Skinner - F - Kitchener Rangers
I don't really get why he's not garnering more attention at this point. It's kind of a mystery and at times it makes me think I'm crazy for liking this kid's play so much. Outside of being undersized, Skinner is the complete package for me. Great skater, great with the puck, has a real nose for the net. He's one of those guy's who constantly keeps his motor running and who's determination on the ice leads to scoring chances. Plus, he can really bury the puck. Third in goals so far this season (while playing in 2-3 less games than the leaders). Yeah, he's not 6'0, but he's not 5'8 either. I really don't think size is an issue for him at the professional level.

http://www.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/player.php?id=5176

7. Alexander Burmistrov - F - Barrie Colts
Really diggin' what I've seen of this Russian import so far. I don't want to throw the term total package around too much, but he's another guy who seems to do most things really well. Above average skater with above average puck skills. Not afraid to go to the net or into danger areas, in fact he seems to excel in them with a bit of unmasked grit to his game. Very talented playmaker who seems to really think the game at a high level. On top of that, he's killing penalties and showing a concern for defensive play. It's not often you see an import come into the league and immediately be an impact player. Impressive start for Burmistrov.

http://www.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/player.php?id=5330

8. Stephen Silas - D - Belleville Bulls
Another guy who's not getting the attention he deserves. Everyone is talking about Fowler, Gudbranson, and even Brock Beukeboom's great start, but not about Silas. He's only moderately sized at 6'0, but he plays a lot bigger than he is. Silas is a very strong two way defenseman who is also developing a physical/aggressive side to his game. An excellent skater (what's with Belleville and developing these gifted skating defenseman), Silas can lead the rush. But he's smart with the puck and makes good decisions with it. In the defensive zone, he uses that strong skating ability to stay with rushing forwards and that developing aggressive nature to push them off the puck. Maybe because he's playing on a rebuilding Belleville squad he's not getting enough attention, but when the dust is settled, he'll get his due.

http://www.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/player.php?id=5159

9. Austin Watson - F - Windsor Spitfires
Tall and lanky, when Watson puts on strength and size, he's going to be a force. It's all about projectability with Watson. He may not be dominating right now, but when he fills out and matures, he could be one heck of a player. The biggest attraction is his skating ability, which is outstanding for a 6'3 forward. But he brings a lot of quality intangibles to the ice. He's already a solid asset on the forecheck, defensively, and in terms of throwing his weight around. He's got good puck skills and hands too. The bottom line is that it's a rarity to find 6'3 forwards who skate like he does and whom actually use their size to intimidate. The offensive production will come eventually.

http://www.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/player.php?id=5167

10. Joey Hishon - F - Owen Sound Attack
Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde for me. Loved him when I saw him last year and internationally. A little sparkplug on the ice who uses his speed and puck skill to drive the defense crazy. He's really struggled this year though (with the majority of Owen Sound). He's not keeping things simple and he's been criticized a lot by myself (and Owen Sound fans) for failing to utilize his teammates. I hope he can start turning things around, because he's an exciting player to watch when he plays well. But the way he's started this year, is frustrating to watch. At this point, I don't see a lot separating him from a guy like Barrie's Alex Hutchings, and Hutchings wasn't a high NHL draft selection (much to the surprise of many). Either way, as a late 1991 spending his third season in the OHL, he's going to have to step it up.

http://www.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/player.php?id=4783

11. J.P. Anderson - G - Mississauga St. Michael's Majors
Anderson is another guy who hasn't had a great start to the OHL season. After two very mediocre performances, he's actually been on the bench for the past 3 Majors games. After such a dominating playoff performance last year, I really expected Anderson to break out this year. I still have faith he will. He is an undersized goaltender, but he plays big in the net. He challenges shooters, he's got good mobility and instincts, and he controls his rebounds well. He just needs to find his game a little bit right now.

http://www.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/player.php?id=5185

12. Bryce O'Hagan - G - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
At one point, I really thought Anderson was the class of the OHL goaltending crop, but O'Hagan has done nothing but perform this season. He's playing tremendously well for the surprising Greyhounds and is at the top of nearly every major goaltending statistical category to start the season. O'Hagan has good size and composure in the net. He tends to make things look easy by the way he reads angles and controls rebounds. If he continues to play as well as he has, he could continue to rise on this list and pass Anderson as the top goaltender available.

http://www.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/player.php?id=4838

13. Tyler Toffoli - Ottawa 67's
If Joey Hishon and Anderson have been cold to start the year, Toffoli has hypothermia in comparison. A player expected to lead the Logan Couture-less 67's, Toffoli has instead faded to a background role. He has skill, especially as a playmaker, but I question whether he has the ability to truly take over a game. After all, this is a quality you like to look for in your first round NHL draft picks. At this point, Toffoli is a complimentary offensive player who's not showing the determination nor confidence to really grab the bull by the horns. There's a lot to like still, which is why he's still ranked 13th, but at this point it almost feels like I'm putting here on reputation too. I'm beginning to question whether his NHL potential is as high as some of the other players available from the OHL

http://www.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/player.php?id=5139

14. Brock Beukeboom - D - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
The son of Jeff, Brock has exploded this season for the upstart Hounds. Not nearly as big or as physical as his father, Brock has a lot of redeeming qualities. He's a quality two way defender with good mobility, and while he's not his father, he's still a maturing in your face player. In other words, he's no stiff when it comes to the going getting tough. For me, he's showing a lot more offensively than I thought he had. Controlling the point very well on the powerplay and generating a lot of chances from his shot. A pleasant surprise to start the year.

http://www.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/player.php?id=5217

15. Ryan Spooner - F - Peterborough Petes
Kind of a similar player as Jeff Skinner in Kitchener. Undersized, but he's got a good motor and has a real nose for the net. I don't think he's as naturally skilled as Skinner, but I also think he's grittier. For an undersized forward, he sure loves to put himself in the danger areas and seems to feed off aggressive play. This is a promising thing for an undersized forward to show. Peterborough is playing really well to start the season too, and Spooner has been a large part of that.

http://www.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/player.php?id=5091

16. Brandon Archibald - D - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
I really like the way Archibald plays the game. At 6'3, 200lbs, he's a solid and aggressive two way defender. What makes him a potential shut down defender is his mobility, in combination with his size. I've also been impressed by the way he handles himself offensively. Makes the smart play with the puck out of the zone, can handle duty on the powerplay. I think there is some offensive potential there to go with his strong defensive upside.

http://www.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/player.php?id=5210

17. Justin Shugg - F - Windsor Spitfires
Shugg is finally putting it all together in his third season in the league, and that's the benefit that these late birthdays have in the draft. At this point, he's a complimentary offensive player, but I mean that as a compliment to him in a way. He's doing all the dirty work for his line, winning battles in the corners, forechecking hard, creating turnovers. But he has the skill to make things happen after completing the dirty work and coming up with the puck. He can make a good pass, and he's got good hands in close to the net to finish off a nice pass. I'm not sure he's ever the type that's going to carry an offensive line, by way of taking the puck to the net or dazzling with creativity. But he has enough skill to play on a skill line.

http://www.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/player.php?id=4815

18. Gregg Sutch - F - Mississauga St. Michael's Majors
Pretty generous ranking for a guy who hasn't played yet this season and who only scored 7 goals last season. But I have a lot of faith in his ability to progress and perform well this season. He suffered an ankle sprain in the Majors final preseason game and should return to action near the end of the month, beginning of November. He's got good size, he uses it, and he's a great skater; three things that make NHL scouts drool. I think it remains to be seen how skilled he is, but I saw enough out of him last year to show that he's got the hands and hockey sense to put points on the board. Similar to a guy like Austin Watson, once he puts size on to his frame, he'll be a force because of his skating ability and his aggressive nature.

http://www.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/player.php?id=5201

19. Steven Shipley - F - Owen Sound Attack
The problem with guys like Shipley, is that people see a 6'2, 200lbs forward and want him to use that size and be a physical aggressor. In a sense, he's always going to disappoint people who watch him, because that could be what they're looking for. But if you look past the fact that he doesn't use his size as much as he should, you'll see a 6'2, 200lbs skill player. He's recently moved to the wing in Owen Sound and he's found success at the position. Similar to a guy like John McFarland, it simplifies the game for him and allows him to use his speed coming off the wing to create scoring opportunities. Shipley has the ability to make moves at his top speed too. And conversely to what I was saying before, as much as he could disappoint some scouts, he'll still attract their attention in hopes that one day he does develop a more aggressive style of play.

http://www.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/player.php?id=5079

20. Ryan Martindale - F - Ottawa 67's
Unlike his teammate Tyler Toffoli, Martindale has had a good start to the season. He lost some development time last season due to illness and injury. It seemed like whenever he started to get going, he'd get ill or injured. This year, he's healthy and playing well. When he's at this best, he uses his size really well to create offense and he's very aggressive at driving to the net with the puck on his stick. He's also a very solid two way player who is often the first forward back in the defensive end. Now I say when he's at his best because I find him inconsistent in using his size. At times he looks timid and tries to play the skill game, and it comes down to just being consistent and comfortable in an aggressive style of play. One thing that separates him a little bit from some of the other big skilled guys (the ones ranked ahead of him), is that he's not as naturally fluid of a skater as them. He's not a terrible skater, but he's just around average.

http://www.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/player.php?id=4805

21. Andrew Yogan - F - Erie Otters
I think Yogan has a lot of potential as a power forward type prospect. He's big (6'3, 200lbs), but he's got really soft hands. He's also got very good puck control and seems to enjoy a lot of success from taking the puck to the net. Like any power forward, he gets his nose dirty and is a physical player. I'd like to see him improve his play away from the puck though. Defensively he's ok, but with his size he could make a bigger impact on the forecheck, in the corners, and in front of the net. Like Martindale, he's not as blessed of a skater as some of the other big forwards available either. Admittedly, I haven't seen him play yet this season though.

http://www.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/player.php?id=4908

22. Ivan Telegin - F - Saginaw Spirit
Another guy that I haven't seen play yet this year, but I desperately want to. From what I've heard, he's been very impressive. He seems to be making an impact in every game he plays. Read a recent scouting report on him that said he's really using his size in Saginaw and is actually a very aggressive physical player. With 5 goals in 8 games, he's obviously got a good set of hands on him too. He's the type of guy that could probably be higher on the list, but with me not seeing him, I just can't put him any higher off hear say.

http://www.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/player.php?id=5445

23. Christian Thomas - F - Oshawa Generals
Stumpy Jr., the son of Steve, does seem to have learned a few things from his father. An aggressive skater who seems to have a solid top speed, he's active on the forecheck and in the corners and loves to get his nose dirty. He creates a lot of scoring chances by keeping his motor running and out working the defense. I don't think he has the natural goal scoring ability or instincts that his father had, but he's still a really solid player and prospect. He's had an impressive start to the season offensively.

http://www.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/player.php?id=5134


24. Michael Houser - G - London Knights
Perhaps it's a bit early to have Houser in the top 30, considering he's played 3 games in the league (and you'd think I'd have learned by having Brandon Foote in my top 20 at this time last year). But I'm a believer. I talked to someone who saw him play in the USHL last year and they said he's a quality goaltender and despite playing on the league's worst team (Des Moines), he held it together. He's also one of the youngest players available for the draft (Sept. 13 birthday), which suggests there could a lot more room to grow for him as a player. This guy hasn't been putting up great stats against weak teams either, with quality victories coming against the Spitfires and Whalers. The OHL really seems to have quality goaltending available this year and Houser is a guy that could rise much higher on this list if he can prove it's not just a hot start.

http://www.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/player.php?id=5449

25. Philip Lane - F - Brampton Battalion
Not a guy that's heavily on the media radar right now, but he will be by the end of the season. A quality American born prospect who played for Buffalo last year (OPJHL). He's getting better and better every game and is a budding power forward prospect. Good size at 6'2, and an aggressive style of play. Makes the hit, will drop the gloves, forechecks hard, skates hard to the net. Due to the fact that he's starting to play better and better, he's now on the first line in Brampton and has 5 points in his last 4 games. I'm interested to see how high his offensive ceiling is. I saw him play a bit this weekend and saw him pull a great back and around move on a defender, which leads me to believe there's a lot more to be discovered with him when he gains more confidence with the puck. Definitely a guy to watch who could climb this list in a hurry.

http://www.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/player.php?id=5428

26. Jared Knight - F - London Knights
I know that a lot of people may be surprised by this low a ranking for Knight. He's generally a well thought of prospect. So let me re-iterate that I actually really like Knight as a player and a prospect. The reason he's this low is because I'm just not sure he has the offensive potential of some of the guys ahead of him currently (in my mind). When he's not playing an aggressive, reckless, physical game, he's virtually invisible at this stage. And when he's not driving to the net and getting in the face of the defense, he's not making things happen offensively either. From shift to shift, he needs to figure out a way to bring energy all the time and not just occasionally.

http://www.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/player.php?id=5132

27. Ryan O'Connor - D - Barrie Colts
Another guy whose ranking may surprise some people. But let's be honest here, there's Ryan Ellis and there's Ryan O'Connor. Scouts were worried about Ellis' potential to contribute five on five in the NHL and he's got a couple inches on O'Connor. Ellis also has more of a mean streak, which benefits him in trying to go up against bigger forwards. That doesn't mean that I dislike O'Connor though, it's just that I think he has some things stacked against him. He's a quality offensive defender and runs the point on the powerplay very well. He's got one heck of a shot from the point and actually picks his spot to pinch very well. But he has some deficiencies at the defensive end and they do revolve around his size. He can get worked off the puck and he has a hard time staying on bigger forwards in coverage. If a guy like Ryan Ellis has his NHL potential questioned, what does that hold for Ryan O'Connor? What separates a guy like O'Connor from a guy like the Soo's Michael Quesnele, who's never been drafted (at about the same size and skill level). In a sense, I feel like I'm ranking O'Connor here because I like him as a player, but in reality is his NHL selection realistic?

http://www.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/player.php?id=5187

28. Josh Shalla - F - Saginaw Spirit
Already on his third team in three years, Shalla has done well to establish himself as an important offensive player for Saginaw this year. He's another guy I haven't seen yet this year, and who's ranking probably takes that into account. From what I've seen in the past, he's a similar player to a guy like Justin Shugg. A hard working forward who does a lot of the dirty work and who has good enough offensive skill to capitalize off of it.

http://www.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/player.php?id=4792

29. Sam Carrick - F - Brampton Battalion
A good heart and soul type of forward. Kind of the prototypical Stan Butler player and in the mold of former Battalion like Jay McClement and Ryan Oulahen. He's an above average skater who plays both ends of the ice well and does the little things on the ice. I'm not entirely sure how much offensive skill he has, but as a hard worker and a grind it out centerman, he'll get his share of opportunities. He does seem to be heating up offensively and capitalizing on scoring chances lately though.

http://www.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/player.php?id=5098

30. Dalton Smith - F - Ottawa 67's
Yeah, I admit his skating needs work. At this point, it prevents him from being an active offensive player on the rush. But once the offense sets up in the zone, he goes to work in the corners and in front of the net. He's really about as close as you can get to the throw back power forwards of yesteryear. He's a physical force on the ice, throwing checks and hard to contain near the crease. He's also a very capable two way player who looks very comfortable on the penalty kill. His best asset are his hands. He has a great shot and doesn't need a lot of room to get it off. Really great offensive instincts too and seems to be able to find the puck in a crowd near the net. I really like him as a player and I hope (since it's only his first full season in the league), that his skating can improve with training.

http://www.ontariohockeyleague.com/stats/player.php?id=5280

Honorable Mentions (Other players who received consideration):

Devante Smith-Pelly - F - Mississauga St. Michael's Majors
Mark Visentin - G - Niagara IceDogs
Cameron Wind - D - Brampton Battalion
Geoffrey Schemitsch - D - Owen Sound Attack
Austin Levi - D - Plymouth Whalers
Philip Grubauer - G - Belleville Bulls
Greg McKegg - F - Erie Otters
Michael Sgarbossa - F - Barrie Colts
Nathan Chiarlitti - D - Sarnia Sting
Petr Mrazek - G - Ottawa 67's
Joe Rogalski - D - Sarnia Sting
Dalton McGrath - G - Barrie Colts
Jeff Braithwaite - D - Peterborough Petes
David Quesnele - F - Peterborough Petes
R.J. Mahalak - F - Plymouth Whalers

Thursday, October 8, 2009

Thoughts on Windsor and London from October 8

Tonight saw match up number 2 from my 10 Match-up's you've got to see this year, as the London Knights traveled to Windsor to take on the Spitfires. Two teams with a lot of fire power, I expected a bit of a "shoot-out." What I got was a hard fought, back and forth game that ended in a 2-0 victory for the Spitfires. The goaltending at both ends of the ice was tremendous, especially Michael Hutchinson who really kept London in the game.

London was largely snake bitten on the night. They created a lot of scoring chances, but failed to finish any of them off. Part of it was solid goaltending from Troy Passingham and part of it was just a failure of the Knights main offensive weapons to put the puck in the net. London had 33 shots on net, but they could have easily had 10 more. So many good scoring opportunities were wasted by players who couldn't get the puck off their stick, or corral a rolling puck.

The biggest surprise of the night was the fact that these two teams combined to go 0 for 14 on the powerplay. Some really good penalty killing by both sides and, as mentioned, solid goaltending.

With so many guys to write about, I'm going to keep some of the reports brief. This will be especially true for those players who really didn't do a whole heck of a lot. My thoughts on both sides...

London Knights






Phil Varone (SJ)
I really expected Varone to come roaring out of the gates this year offensively. It's his third full year in the league as a veteran 1990 born player, and he's coming off an excellent 2009 playoff performance. But thus far, it just hasn't happened and at this point, you might have to consider the fact that it might never happen. It's not a direct criticism of him, but maybe he's just not as offensively talented as we once thought. He's still a dynamite penalty killer, and he skates hard on the forecheck. He had a breakaway with less than 2 minutes left, but couldn't beat Passingham. That would have been a huge goal for London. He looks like he could be a potential 4th line energy player and penalty killer at the NHL level, but I'm really not sure he's got the offensive potential to be more than that.

Zac Rinaldo (PHI)
Dare I say Rinaldo was London's best forward tonight? I remember having a debate with someone last season about Rinaldo's offensive potential in this league. I really didn't think he had the skill to develop into a scoring option the way other "scrappers" have in their veteran seasons. I must admit, I was wrong. He was dynamite tonight. On the penalty kill, he was a force. His forechecking really disrupted the ability of Windsor's defenseman to move the puck up ice. Offensively, he looked like a man possessed, taking the puck to the net and showing some really good puck control. On one occasion he got Ryan Ellis to bite on the fake and walked right around him to the net. Only an Ellis hook prevented Rinaldo from putting a good shot on net. Most importantly, he was disciplined and didn't take any bad penalties, while still playing his in your face style. He's really developing into a quality professional hockey league prospect.

Phil McRae (STL)
Still goalless on the season, it's easy to see why after this game. He's really pressing out there. Was not sharp tonight. Had two glorious opportunities at the side of the net after good cross ice passes, and both times he failed to even get a shot off, as he fanned on them. Outside of that, he just wasn't creating much offensively on his own accord either. The Knights really need him to step up his game.

Nazem Kadri (TOR)
Kadri didn't really have a good game. He was largely neutralized by Mark Cundari, who did a great job of getting in his face. Through the first half of the game, even though he was invisible, he did a good job of keeping his composure and sticking to the game plan. But, in the second half, it was obvious he was getting frustrated. Turned the puck over in the second period along the wall, as he tried to carry it out himself. This indirectly led to the Justin Shugg goal. In the third period, he really started to force things and turned the puck over terribly twice in a matter of minutes. As much as he's capable of doing great things, he needs to be less predictable with the puck. Windsor's forecheck and defenders really started pressuring him and he did not respond well. In a big game like this one, London needs Kadri to play better.

Jared Knight (2010)
At this point, I'd say the only thing preventing Jared Knight from making a bigger impact in the league is consistency from shift to shift. He needs to figure out a way to bring energy to the ice every time he steps on it, rather than just on a few shifts. On the couple shifts he was visible, he was hitting hard, causing turnovers and creating offensive chances from the cycle. But on his other shifts, he was invisible.

Michael Hutchinson (BOS)
The best goaltending performance I've seen so far this season. I'd be surprised if one of his two brilliant saves didn't make next week's Top 5 plays of the week. In the first period, the left handed goalie slid across the crease robbing Adam Henrique point blank with his blocker after a juicy rebound (Clip, 20 second mark). In the third, he threw on his glove going the opposite direction, taking an easy goal away from a Spitfire player. All night, he fought through screens and did a great job of making the save and controlling the rebounds. His composure was tremendous. He's also tremendously athletic and reads the play very well. Unfortunately for him, the black mark on his performance was Richard Panik's game winning goal. On the wrap around, he failed to get his paddle down and Panik slid it under him. Definitely one he'd love to have back, but it doesn't take away from his brilliance tonight. He made 41 of 43 saves, taking the loss.

Windsor Spitfires





Taylor Hall (2010)
Truthfully, he had a bit of a quiet game. His line with Richard Panik and Adam Henrique was not as dangerous as the Greg Nemisz, Scott Timmins, and Justin Shugg line. While he didn't really stand out offensively, on the plus side he did do a solid job on the penalty kill and I'd say his two-way game is starting to greatly improve. Just an interesting observation, but Taylor Hall has 17 points in 9 games. All of those points have come in 5 games, with him being held pointless in the other four. Windsor fans who've seen him more often this season, would it be correct to say he needs to find a way to make an impact offensive every game?

Ryan Ellis (NSH)
I thought Ryan Ellis played a very solid game tonight. I think he's really starting to prove those doubters wrong about his ability to play five on five at the next level. He is still learning though, but in a positive way. As an example. Tonight he bit on a fake by Zac Rinaldo, went for the puck and Rinaldo went right around him to the net. He was forced to take a penalty to prevent the goal. Not a good play and a situation where he's got to play the man regardless of whether Rinaldo has the size advantage on him. Fast forward to the third period, Rinaldo goes in on a drive towards the net, tries to use his size to go right around Ellis. Ellis has absolutely none of it, stays with him, pushes him off the puck and puts him to the ice. It's impressive for him to show, "Hey I messed up the first time, that won't happen again." Of course, offensively he was Ellis. Controls play and makes decisions with the puck that few do.

Adam Henrique (NJD)
Didn't really do much tonight. Simply a quiet game from him. But I do like him as a player.

Cam Fowler (2010)
I couldn't wait to get a peak at Fowler. First time I've seen him play in the OHL (although had seen him play in international tournaments). I thought he played O.K. Some really positive things, and some negative things. First the positive. I thought he did a very good job defensively tonight. He stays with his man and does a good job with coverage. He's also obviously an elite puck mover and seems to have very good offensive instincts. When to join the rush or make a pinch. He actually had a breakaway after pinching and stealing the puck from Steve Tarasuk, but fanned on the attempt on net, failing to get a shot off. On the negative side, for an offensive defenseman, he needs to do a way better job of getting the puck on net from the point. If you look at a guy like Ryan Ellis, he seems to find a way to get his shot on net every time. However, I'm not sure Fowler got his on net once. They were either blocked (for the majority) or shot way wide. He doesn't have to wind up for that big slapper every time. Also on the negative, he needs to take care of the puck better in his own end. I'd read that Windsor fans we're seeing this too. He had two bad giveaways in his own end that resulted in scoring chances for London. The potential is obviously there though, especially in terms of developing into an elite two-way defender.

Saverio Posa (2010)
I've had a fair amount of people ask me about him, and now I can at least tell them I've seen him once. I liked what I saw. He seems very composed on the back end. Did a good job of keeping the puck in the offensive end. Got an assist on the Richard Panik goal by doing just that. Didn't make any glaring defensive mistakes. For the amount of ice time he got, I thought he made a good impression.

Richard Panik (TBL)
Seems to be a bit of an enigma. He had two very good shifts, but outside of that he was relatively invisible. On one of those shifts, he managed to score the game winning goal on a wrap around. He fought off the London defenseman and took it right to the net. On another shift, he showcased some elite puck skills, getting around a couple London defenders before being stopped and stripped of the puck. On those same shifts, he was all over the ice too. He made a nice play on the backcheck to break up a London rush, before going in on the aforementioned rush of his own (where he went around two London defenders). At this point, it seems all about being able to put it together for the full 60 minutes.

Justin Shugg (2010)
Quite possibly the best Windsor forward tonight. Really liked what I saw, and I think it's great seeing him take that step forward this year after coming into the league with a fair amount of hype. He was very dangerous on the forecheck and was forcing turnovers. The turnovers came as a result of winning battles in the corner and showed a bit of a grit side to his game. He also showed a lot of skill. Made an outstanding pass to Taylor Hall on the powerplay in the first period; tape to tape cross ice. But Hall was robbed by Hutchinson as he slid from post to post. On his goal, he made a very nice deke on Hutchinson and slid it by him on the forehand. I hope he keeps up the solid play.

Mark Cundari (STL)
Honestly, one of the most underrated players in the league. If this guy were on any other team, he'd be on their top defensive unit. He did an outstanding job shutting down Nazem Kadri all night, getting in his face and taking away his space. He was throwing hits all night. Offensively, his pass to Justin Shugg for the second Windsor goal was excellent. He recognized the wide open Shugg in front of the net and hit him perfectly with the puck between the London defense. He earned another assist on the Panik goal. I obviously really like him as a player. On the slightly negative side, he does have to watch the undisciplined penalties though.

Harry Young (NJ)
Truthfully, if he hadn't of mixed things up with Zac Rinaldo at the end of the second period, I'm not sure I would have noticed him on the ice at all. Perhaps that's a good thing for Young though. Playing that quietly solid defensive game.

Austin Watson (2010)
Offensively, he didn't do a lot for me. In all other areas, he was an absolute stand out. Was absolutely tremendous on the penalty kill. He anticipates the play really well and did a great job of disrupting the London rush into the zone. He was also very physical, eager to throw his weight around. I love to see that in players his size. Had a few nice attempts to take the puck hard to the net and made a really nice play to keep the puck in the zone on the Panik goal (earning a secondary assist). But I like the intangibles.

Greg Nemisz (CGY)
I like Nemisz as a player. He was good tonight. Controls play in the offensive zone by using the cycle, obviously has soft hands (especially for a big man). He's not afraid to take the puck to the net, often using his size to shield the puck. Just a solid all around offensive game. I also liked what I saw in terms of using his size more. I've never really seen him be a physical presence before, but he laid a few nice hits tonight. Perhaps it's the start of a good new habit. My only concern is to what role he plays at the NHL level, since I don't see him taking the physicality to the next level. Could he be the next Eric Daze, and will Calgary fans forgive him for having size, but being more of a finesse player?

Eric Wellwood (PHI)
Liked what I saw from Wellwood tonight. He really is the opposite of his brother Kyle. He skates well, he's an excellent two way player and he has a level of grit to his game. Seems to be one of those guys who's always got his motor running and who skates hard. This allows him to excel on the forecheck and on the penalty kill. I'm not sure he has a whole lot of offensive potential at the NHL level, but he could definitely develop into a quality role player.

Jesse Blacker (TOR)
Outside of a few nice rushes with the puck, he wasn't noticeable tonight. He's gotten off to a bit of a slow start offensively this year. I definitely expected him to explode a little bit, since I really liked what I saw last year. Perhaps he's still feeling a little trapped by the fact he's surrounded by so many talented offensive defenseman. The fact that he was quiet though, tells you he didn't make any glaring mistakes defensively.

Scott Timmins (FLA)
Timmins plays a quietly effective game. Smart with the puck, solid at both ends of the ice, wins battles in the corners. He's definitely not flashy, but he has a certain calmness to his game. I'm still not sure what the future holds for him at the next level though.

Troy Passingham (2010, but 1990 born)
Boy, if this kid keeps playing like this, Windsor won't need to go out and get another goalie. He was outstanding tonight. It's funny, but because of his size, he looks kind of unorthodox in his movements. His saves weren't necessarily pretty, but he got the job done. His breakaway save on Phil Varone with 2 minutes left in the game was huge. Stuck the pad out after flashing the low corner to him. He did a very good job of controlling his rebounds too. Colour me impressed! Passingham made 33 saves for the shutout victory.

Well that's it. Some of the reports were a little short winded, so if you have any other questions, feel free to post them. And as always, if you've got any additional comments, I welcome them.

Interview at Russian Prospects

Recently I completed an interview at Russian Prospects, with the familiar Alessandro Seren Rosso. We chat about past and current Russian OHL'ers, the concept of the Russian Import, and the World Juniors.

Check it out...

HERE

Wednesday, October 7, 2009

Thoughts on Plymouth and Owen Sound from October 7

Baseball playoffs have started. TSN's opening NHL broadcast is on. Yet...I'm watching the Plymouth Whalers take on the Owen Sound Attack on a Wednesday night. Am I crazy? Perhaps I'm a fanatical fan of the OHL. But more importantly, I got a chance to watch Tyler Seguin for the first time this season. With the way he's exploded this season, I felt the need to see him play and see the progression.

It was a pretty entertaining game, all things considered. Fairly wide open play. A few breakaways, some big hits, and some nice goals. The Whalers got out to a pretty convincing 3-0 lead after the first two periods. But the Attack came to life in the 3rd and closed the gap to 4-2. But that was as close as they got, losing the game by a score of 5-2. A.J. Jenks was named the first star by recording 2 goals and an assist, while Tyler Seguin continued his scoring streak by adding two assists of his own.

Here are some thoughts on individual performances...

Plymouth Whalers







Austin Levi (2010)
Really impressed with what I saw. Great size at 6'4, 200lbs and he uses it too. Eliminated players off the rush, was great positionally, won battles in the corners. Overall, very solid at the defensive end. Offensively, he didn't do a whole lot. But in a way, that was impressive. He kept things simple and never tried to force a play and he was composed with the puck in his own end. Stay at home defenseman with size, who can take care of the puck do not grow on trees. He will be an NHL draft pick in June.

Tyler Seguin (2010)
Every bit as advertised. Dominated the majority of his shifts and is just one of those players who's constantly around the puck. Explosive offensive player who nearly broke in alone on a few occasions. Has a lot of confidence with the puck on his stick and is not afraid to try and make things happen. But most importantly, he rarely tried to force the play. As aggressive as he was with the puck, he was also smart with it. If the opportunity to take the puck to the net wasn't there, he made the pass or the dump. The pass to Myles McCauley on his second period goal was a work of art. Eluded nearly the entire Attack defense, and made the pass to the wide open McCauley at the side of the net. McCauley was so wide open because the defense was disorganized from trying to keep up with Seguin. At this point, I'm not sure there is anything he doesn't do. He's killing penalties effectively, he's providing leadership as Plymouth's captain, and he was winning battles in the corners. At one point it looked like he and Joey Hishon might drop the gloves, to which I was incredibly excited and was hoping, but alas it failed to happen. If this guy was playing in Windsor and Taylor Hall was playing in Plymouth, would we be talking about Seguin as the first overall pick? There, I said it! He finished the game with 2 assists.

Garrett Meurs (2011)
Was quite impressive, definitely one of the better 1993's I've seen this year. There is a lot of skill there and he did a good job of creating offense by moving the puck quickly and working inside the offensive zone. Like any rookie, he made some mistakes. Tried to do a little too much with the puck at times and turned the puck over. A couple turnovers in the third period could have really cost Plymouth. But the decision making will come with experience and tutelage. He scored a garbage goal at the end of regulation to give himself a two point night.

Beau Schmitz (2010, but 1991 born)
Schmitz went undrafted in 2009, which was somewhat surprising to me. Then he failed to earn a contract from Carolina after attending their training camp, which also surprised me. He's a solid defenseman though; a guy who has vastly improved from the beginning of last year (his first in the league). He's much more composed with the puck now, and is doing a better job with his decision making. He wasn't really noticeable tonight, save for one really nice defensive play on Joey Hishon. Hishon tried to get around him to the net and he knocked the puck off his stick then delivered an awesome hip check. Unfortunately he received a ridiculous interference penalty on the play, but it was an impressive display of one on one defense.

A.J. Jenks (FLA)
Really liked what I saw from Jenks tonight. He was a beast on the forecheck. The game's opening goal was a direct result of Jenks' forechecking ability. He exploded into the offensive zone, hit the Owen Sound attack defenseman behind the net and knocked the puck free. It ended up finding its way to the front of the net and Jenks came back from the corner to bury it to the back of the net. His second goal of the night came shorthanded, as he got sprung on a breakaway by Tyler J. Brown. Made a nice deke on Stajcer and put it to the back of the net. He also played the point on the Whalers first powerplay unit and did a very good job of bringing the puck into the offensive zone. His skating looks much improved from what I remember. Jenks finished the night with 2 goals and 1 assist.

Michal Jordan (CAR)
Jordan had a pretty solid night. He did a good job of carrying the puck up ice and was smart with his pinches. He seems to have solid offensive awareness. Defensively, he was hit and miss. He looked really good on a couple occasions as he prevented Owen Sound players from driving to the net (Hishon on one occasion). But then Steve Shipley made him look really bad in the third period, as he split the defense and went in alone for the goal. On that occasion, he and his defensive partner got caught standing still, so he just needs to keep his feet moving in the defensive zone.

Matt Hackett (MIN)
Hackett has not had a very strong start to the season, so it was good to see him have a solid game. He reads and reacts to the play very well. He covers his angles and is technically sound. The two shots that beat him were breakaway goals by Steven Shipley, where he committed too early to the ice and Shipley beat him high. But he's a solid goaltender, positionally sound, controls his rebounds pretty well. Needs to continue to string together solid games in order to get consideration for Team Canada at the WJC's. He made 31 of 33 saves for the win.

Owen Sound Attack






Keevin Cutting (2010)
Cutting impressed me tonight more than he has in the past. He was composed with the puck and he made really smart decisions on the ice. He was by far the best Owen Sound defenseman at playing through Plymouth's tough forecheck. He's fairly solid with his one on one defense too, despite his slender frame. He laid an absolutely beautiful body check on a Plymouth forward (I believe Gaynor) as he tried to cross the blueline with the puck. I've never seen that physical side of him before. Defensively, he does need to work on his coverage though, as he got caught running around a bit on that Myles McCauley goal. Ditto for the 3rd period Joe Gaynor goal that put the game out of reach. I was still impressed though.

Garrett Wilson (FLA)
Wilson was good tonight until he got injured. He took a Milan Doczy shot to the upper leg/knee area and missed a few shifts. When he came back, he was in obvious pain still and wasn't nearly as effective. But kudos to him for coming back and playing through it. Through the first half of the game, he was his normal self and one of the only Attack players generating offensive chances. I really like the progression he's shown this year so far.

Joey Hishon (2010)
What is wrong with Joey Hishon? That is the question I want answered. He's really struggling out there and it's frustrating knowing how much talent he has. It's pretty obvious he's pressing out there. He has the speed, agility, and puck skills to carry play in the offensive end, yet he isn't. He's trying to break through openings that aren't there. He's not using his teammates as well as he can, and when he does, his passes are not on the mark. On a few occasions, he created a scoring chance using his speed, but then simply threw the puck on the net, rather than making a pass or continuing with the puck. He took a really bad penalty in the 2nd period too. Obviously frustrated, he took a run at Beau Schmitz a few seconds after he had gotten rid of the puck. It was obviously a late hit and had to be called. Someone needs to have a talk with him, just to re-focus his play. Everyone knows he's capable of better and that he'll eventually break out of it.

Steven Shipley (2010)
I seem to remember a certain OHL blogger claiming that Shipley would be a much more effective winger the last time I saw him (Ahem). Tonight, he played the wing on a line with Hishon and Mignardi and looked the best I've ever seen him. On the wing, he's able to keep the game simple. He's able to use his good straight ahead speed to develop plays off the rush. Scored two beautiful goals. First one was off a pure breakaway, where his speed really showed. Second goal was all him, as he exploded between the two Plymouth defenders, went in on net, fought off a vicious slash and roofed it on Hackett. Sure he's a big body who doesn't really use his size to play physical. If he can continue to use his speed and take the puck to the net, he's going to have a lot of success in this league from the wing. He finished with 2 goals.

Geoffrey Schemitsch (2010)
Continue to be impressed with his offensive abilities. He moves the puck very well and has great on ice vision. He runs the powerplay well, although does need to do a better job of getting his shot on net. He is raw though, which is to be expected since he's playing his first season in the league. He makes bad pinches that lead to odd man rushes, two on occasion tonight. And he seems to have a hard time with play in the corners, not strong enough yet to win loose puck battles against guys like A.J. Jenks. That said, when he has the puck on his stick, he knows what to do with it. Hopefully he can continue to work on his defensive game and earn a place on the NHL draft radar. Finished with 2 assists tonight.

Scott Stajcer (NYR)
Like Hackett, he's struggled to start the year. My prediction for the OHL 2nd all star team seems far fetched now. He's still a solid prospect though. Even though he gave up 5 goals tonight, I don't think he played terribly. He got hung out to dry by his defense on the majority of the goals and really didn't have a chance. He does give up way too many rebounds though, although he does direct them to non danger areas the majority of the time. He made 21 out of 26 saves and took the loss.

That's it on the game. Thoughts? Does Tyler Seguin rival Taylor Hall for first overall?

Dave's Weekly Jumpers and Slumpers

Dave Astles returns with the second issue of his weekly "Jumpers and Slumpers"


Like the players in my weekly review, my format for each week is going to be a little different. I like to give the readers something different to look at week after week. I will be lumping my jumpers and slumpers together into one big conglomeration of players, instead of the previous one which was by Conference. Call it lazy, but I call it essential space management engineering.

Jumpers

G – Mark Visentin – Niagara Ice Dogs - 1 win, .960 SV%, 2.01 GAA

In somewhat of a precarious position for a jumper this week, we see Mark Visentin who is quietly putting up some good numbers while his teammates fight over who can give up the most shots on any given shift. Mark faced 101 shots in 2 games. No, you are not blind. Unfortunately he could only muster up 1 victory. I feel like Mark would be a fantastic Hungry Hungry Hippos player with the amount of shots he had to gobble up this past weekend.

D – Cam Fowler – Windsor Spitfires – 1 buries, 4 apples

If you ever want to see Fowler outside of the rink just go to your locate fairgrounds and he’ll be the one selling the candy apples for 2 dollars. This kid seems like all he does is hand out apples all night long. 12 apples in 8 games… someone in Windsor is going to need a dentist visit pretty soon.

F – Tyler Seguin – Plymouth Whalers – 5 buries, 2 apples

Another very productive weekend for this Plymouth Whaler star. Not much to say about him other than the rest of his team better start helping him out or he’ll be burned out by the all-star break! No funny anecdotes on this one, sorry.

F – Alex Friesen – Niagara Ice Dogs – 3 buries, 4 apples

Alex called me after my first edition and asked me how he could become a jumper for the following week. I basically told him that to be a jumper you had to do the exact opposite of what you have been doing offensively for the last 2 years. He listened. Instead of thinking he was playing for the Jack Gatecliff in-house band from all the posts he’s hit, he decided to put some pucks in the net… and yes, there was a goalie in the net and only 5 players on the ice...Just kidding Alex, good to see you break out!

F – Chris MacKinnon – Kitchener Rangers – 3 buries, 3 apples

For someone of Chris’ stature, it’s always good to see positives in their game. A very productive weekend for this Kitchener Rangers forward ended with 3 goals and 3 assists in 2 games. It seems as though, if you are small and want to play some hockey, Kitchener is a good place to get it done!

Slumpers

F – John McFarland – Sudbury Wolves – 3 apples, -3 rating

In what started off as a promising weekend, John had 3 apples in his first game. Shortly there after in his second game, he shot blanks and dove below the 100th meridian with a -3 rating and no points in his second game. Gotta step it up if you want to be considered a top pick in 2010.

F – Zack Kassian – Peterborough Petes – 1 bury

This behemoth of a hockey player really needs to get it going, he was only able to register 1 lousy goal over this weeks games. There isn’t much else to do in the greater Peterborough area, might as well start scoring some goals, Zack! I’m sure the team that drafted you into the NHL wouldn’t mind either, although Buffalo isn’t that much more exciting so you might want to pull a Lindros and ask for a trade.

DA