Tuesday, August 31, 2021

Preseason Top 30 for the 2022 NHL Draft

Man...I thought last year's preseason list was difficult to make! This year, it was damn near impossible because these young men haven't even played in the OHL yet due to last season's cancellation. But I do think that this exercise is an important one (for fun, here's the 2021 preseason list).

So how did I make this list? Thankfully I actually saw a lot of this group in their OHL draft year, so I have that to go off of. We also have a few performances from the last few months. The first being the few players who played at the PBHH. The second being the Hockey Canada U18 Summer Camp (with only a few of the scrimmages streamed). The third, for a select few, we have Hlinka/Gretzky Cup performances. That said there are so many variables to consider...that simply can not be considered. Which players worked the hardest to get themselves in the best shape possible the last 18 months to be ready for this season? Which players went through growth spurts? How will players fit into their OHL lineups with two years worth of Priority selections and Import selections vying for roster spots? In most years, my preseason list is actually somewhat similar to my final list (with obvious exceptions who move up and down). This year? I expect it to look completely different in May/June. So many of these young men are going to look like way different hockey players at the end of the year compared to the start because of last year's debacle.

I have already been asked a bunch about the strength of this OHL crop. It's not a question that we can answer right now. Coming out of U16, I felt like this group was only average, with the group's best player (Adam Fantilli, 2023 eligible due to a late birthday) opting to head south of the border. Obviously, that's not including Shane Wright who was granted exceptional status the year prior. How will a lost year of development, essentially, impact that? Again, too many variables to consider to give a truthful and reliable answer to that question. But one thing is for sure, it will be great to have the OHL back! Bring on the 2022 draft season!

Here's my early list: 

1. Shane Wright - Center - Kingston Frontenacs
Honestly, what more can you say about Wright that hasn't already been said? He is going to be the first overall pick in 2022 and you can take that to the bank. He is the most intelligent and polished prospect that I have seen come through the OHL. Yes, that includes Connor McDavid. And no, Wright is not at talented as McDavid from an offensive perspective. But Wright's two-way play and off the puck play is ahead of where McDavid's was at the same age. He is that smart. Wright is a prospect with no flaws. Everything in his toolbox is above average or elite. The one thing I do worry about is that Wright is a little different than your average first overall phenom. He's not flashy. He's not McDavid. He's not Sidney Crosby. He's not Austen Matthews or Alex Ovechkin. He does take a few viewings to truly appreciate. I've already seen some say (when I say seen, I'm talking about social media), "he was really disappointing at the Hockey Canada scrimmages." Shane Wright is the kind of player who can look pretty quiet to the naked eye, but ends up with 2-3 points in the boxscore. There are so many subtle nuances to his approach and it takes a few viewings (especially live) to truly appreciate how good he is. I feel like he could fall victim to "overscouting" (the notion of the scouting community dissecting and nitpicking components of his game) because he lacks that flash. It happened to John Tavares in his draft year. I hope it does not though! Look for Wright to be a top 5 scorer in the OHL this season.
2. Bryce McConnell-Barker - Center/Wing - Soo Greyhounds
To me, BMB is the kind of player that has a real chance to be the second OHL player taken behind Shane Wright this year. It is easy to see his game being very adaptable to the NHL, even at a young age. He's a reliable two-way center with high end skating ability and goal scoring ability. Those are the types of players that are always highly coveted at the NHL draft. McConnell-Barker is an aggressive forechecker and the type of player who always seems to keep his feet moving in all three zones. A lack of effort without the puck is not an issue. He also has a great shot. He can shoot from a standstill. He can let it rip flying down the wing. Ultimately, I want to see how he is utilized this year by the Greyhounds. Will they have him play center or will he play the wing to start to take advantage of his speed and forechecking ability? How good are the hands, especially when the pace increases? Can he be an offensive focal point with the puck on his stick? I have a lot of faith in the Soo's development program and I think he is a great fit for how they like to play. 
3. Gavin Hayes - Wing - Flint Firebirds
Come on...you had to see this coming. You know that Hayes is exactly the type of player that I love. This is a throwback power forward. He has size. He has skill. His skating can be an asset, especially in terms of his ability to take the puck East/West, an uncommon quality in players of his ilk. The key for him will be finding that balance between his physicality and his offensive responsibilities and production. Young power forwards can have a difficult time blending that when they come into the league. They run around trying to hit everyone and their offensive production suffers as they become more complementary/secondary pieces. The one thing that I am really hoping for is that Flint plays he and Othmann on the same line at times. Talk about chaos. Literally the "Bash Brothers." 

4. Paul Ludwinski - Center - Kingston Frontenacs
My reasoning for ranking Ludwinski here is similar to what I described with McConnell-Barker. I see Ludwinski as the type of strong skating, two-way center that NHL teams covet at the draft. As a U16 player with the Marlboros, I really loved his decision making with the puck in traffic, working give and go's, sliding in and out of coverage. Everything was done with speed and precision. I thought Ludwinski was one of the stronger OHL players in those U20 Hockey Canada scrimmages, again because of his ability to lead or join the attack. I guess my biggest concern is how he slots into the Kingston lineup this year. This team is deep down the middle if they play Arcuri at center behind Shane Wright. Is he the team's third line center? Do they consider sliding him to the wing? Playing second fiddle to Shane Wright is going to be difficult for him; standing out consistently could be tough.

5. Ty Nelson - Defense - North Bay Battalion
I know a lot of people seem to have Nelson ranked second heading into the year, but I'm just not sure its realistic or logical. Look...Ty Nelson is good. But how good...remains to be seen. And given his size (listed at 5'7 on the OHL website), it seems rather improbable that he is the second player taken from the OHL this season. How many defenseman his size get drafted in the first round? The NHL is changing for the better, but the road for smaller blueliners is still a bumpy one. All that said, again...Ty Nelson is going to be a great OHL defender. For one, he's a fiery competitor, which really plays to his advantage given his lack of size. There's a lot of Ryan Ellis in him in that regard. He will lay the body. He never backs down from a physical challenge. He is in incredible shape for a young man his age (the word stocky is most commonly used). If there is an undersized defender to bet on, it's Nelson and that's why he's #5 and not even further down. Offensively, he can be a really dangerous player with his quickness and confidence with the puck. He will go end to end. He will create inside the offensive zone. To hold this draft ranking and to put himself in consideration for the Top 40-50, he is probably going to need to be a near point per game defender this year for North Bay, in addition to being a strong player in the defensive end. Not impossible by any means given his talent level. 

6. Spencer Sova - Defense - Erie Otters
An aggressive ranking for Sova (more aggressive than I have seen), but I am a big fan. I do think that he looked overwhelmed at the Hockey Canada summer camp. But that doesn't really concern me. Few defenders are able to stick out in a situation like that playing against the best U20 forwards, some of whom had pro experience. What I love about Sova is his skating ability. For my money, this is the best skating player from this OHL crop (at any position). He has elite level mobility in all four directions. In a lot of ways, he is going to remind Otters' fans of Jamie Drysdale. How he learns to utilize that to his advantage remains to be seen. I'm not really worried about his offensive game. I think he will be a standout this season, especially on the powerplay. I am slightly concerned with his defensive play. The Otters will have a strong, veteran forward group, but defensively there won't be a lot of experience. He is going to need to play big minutes right away and that could be overwhelming. 

7. Pano Fimis - Center - Niagara IceDogs
You are starting to see a trend here...another well rounded, two-way center. The second overall pick by Niagara in 2020, Fimis competes hard at both ends of the ice. He is another guy who plays with a competitive edge and who really seems to thrive in traffic despite not having a significant size advantage (around that 6'0 mark). Fimis' hands may be the best in this crop outside of Shane Wright and it allows him to create that extra time and space he needs to finish or dish off. The big thing for him will be showing that he can be an elite skater. Personally, I'd rank BMB and Ludwinski ahead in that department coming out of U16 and I think it could make them more immediate impact players. I also want to see him maintain that competitive edge consistently against older players. Can he thrive near the net like he did in the GTHL? 

8. Danny Zhilkin - Center - Guelph Storm
A player that we have seen in the OHL! Oh glorious day. That said, what to expect from Zhilkin is equally a mystery. In his rookie OHL season he really struggled to make a consistent impact. At the U18's, he wasn't much of an offensive factor for Canada, even though he did impress with his work on the penalty kill and in the neutral zone. Zhilkin has a chance to play a key role for a Guelph team that could surprise (even though we left them in a state of rebuild). He is that prototypical power center who can drive the net with speed and potentially dominate through the middle of the ice. If he can carry over his play off the puck from the U18's, while also increasing his offensive production, he could put himself in consideration for the first round.

9. Hunter Haight - Center - Barrie Colts
Earlier I said that Pano Fimis' hands might be the best outside of Shane Wright in this class. The reason I said might is because of Hunter Haight (dope rhyme if his name was pronounced "Height" instead of "Hate"). Billed as one of the most skilled and creative players in this age group, Haight is going to be surrounded by a lot of talent in Barrie this season and that should only help him gain confidence in his ability to play with the puck at this level. He was one of the best (if not the best) Ontario players at the Hockey Canada summer camp and proved that he can make plays away from the puck and finish off chances created for him, just as well as he can create for others. Potentially, he is the complete package as an offensive player. If he performs well at the start of the OHL season, he will move quickly. So why is he 9th? I think we need to see that production first. The other centers I ranked ahead of him have more complete games and bring more to the table when they aren't scoring. 

10. David Goyette - Center - Sudbury Wolves
Simply put, Goyette was an offensive machine playing AAA in the U.S. with South Kent in his OHL Draft year. His speed is a real asset. He is just a really high level athlete who can make plays with pace. Lauded for his playmaking ability around the net, I actually think his shot and scoring ability is underrated. Much like Hunter Haight, Goyette has a chance to be the complete package as an offensive player. However, much like Haight, I want to see how his game translates before committing to having him higher. Can he bring other elements to the ice when he's not putting points on the board? Can he fight through contact and maintain possession to create when the game slows down? 

11. Liam Arnsby - Center - North Bay Battalion
I have a real soft spot for players like Arnsby, so you know that he is going to be ranked pretty aggressively on this list despite an underwhelming first OHL season. The late 2003 born center was a standout with the Don Mills Flyers and an OHL Cup champion, but he seemed to struggle with the puck at the OHL level. He brought energy. He brought physicality. He forechecked hard. He drove the net. But too many plays in the offensive end died on his stick. Given his lack of elite size as a defensive specialist (5'10), he is going to need to produce offensively to get drafted, let alone get drafted high. No doubt Arnsby is going to be a good OHL player. However, he needs to prove that he has improved his finishing ability and his ability to receive passes and maintain possession when playing with pace to maintain this position into the year. That said, I think he can do it and that's why I have him here.

12. Cedrick Guindon - Center/Wing - Owen Sound Attack
One of the top goal scoring options from the OHL this year, Guindon's ability to find soft spots in coverage, in combination with his release and power makes him a consistent weapon in the offensive zone. He also has the kind of quick feet and high end mobility that you want from an undersized offensive player. I guess the concern I have here is...he is undersized and we haven't seen him prove himself at this level yet. Consistency was already an issue at the PBHH tournament, one of the only recent showings we have from him and it was against a lot of the same players he will need to compete against this season. But he probably enters the year as that top "sniper" of this group and needs to be ranked accordingly.

13. Ryan Abraham - Center - Windsor Spitfires
Yes he is on the small side at 5'8. But he possesses all of the attributes that you look for from an undersized forward who you project to be an NHL player. He is quick, utilizing the mohawk stride to build up dynamic speed quite frequently. He is feisty and competitive, rarely backing down from a challenge, especially below the hash marks. He is skilled, especially as a playmaker and passer. He and Gavin Hayes showed great chemistry at the U.S. Hlinka/Gretzky camp and at the Hlinka tournament itself. Like any smaller center, I want to see the production be at an above average level for the Spitfires next season. I do believe that he can be a go-to offensive player at this level, but there's also the chance that he is more of a high energy, change of pace guy. The line is thin for players like Abraham.

14. Matthew Poitras - Center - Guelph Storm
I know Poitras has some real fans in the scouting community and that has admittedly pushed him up my list a bit because I was always a little underwhelmed by him as a U16 player with Whitby. I wasn't certain the upside was incredibly high. However, he was one of the best Ontario players at the Hockey Canada summer camp and apparently really stood out because of his vision and playmaking ability in the strictly U18 portion. That carried over to the mixed U20 portion, which I was able to watch. There's some power to his game. Some finesse as well. The skating ability is good. But what is he at the next level? Tough to say on what we've seen so far. I need to see more. But I also trust the opinion of some others who really like him.

15. Jorian Donovan - Defense - Hamilton Bulldogs
Truthfully, I don't know what to make of Jorian Donovan at this point. However, given his high end skating ability he needs to be ranked this high, perhaps even higher. Watching him as a U16 player, at the PBHH, and at the Hockey Canada summer camp, his performance has been pretty consistently erratic. On one shift, he'll go end to end and look like a star. On the next, he'll make a costly error that results in a scoring chance or goal the other way. The physical tools are electric and as such, the potential is also very high. However, he needs to prove that he can make consistently better decisions at this level...at both ends of the ice. And even if Donovan struggles to start, it will be important to NOT hit the panic button. Let the Hamilton coaching staff work with him and let's see how he looks at season's end. 

16. Beau Jelsma - Wing - Barrie Colts
Truthfully...I wanted to put Jelsma higher. He was one of the best players at the PBHH, of any age. I honestly was shocked with how electric and dynamic he looked. He generates so many chances in transition with his speed coming down the wing, beating defenders wide before cutting back to the middle. He also showed a non stop motor at the event, working hard to retrieve pucks and use his speed to successfully break up plays on the backcheck. But...it was also only one event that had some fairly porous defense and goaltending. I am excited to see him play this year with the Colts and if he gets off to a hot start, I'll be sure to move him up quickly. However, we need to see this in the OHL first. 

17. Sam Alfano - Wing - Peterborough Petes
Honestly, I like almost everything about Alfano's game. Big guy with really soft hands and a penchant for finding soft spots in coverage. He has really good instincts in the offensive zone. He's not a power forward in the traditional sense, at least in the way that you would expect him to be given that he is 6'3 and 200lbs. However, he does use his size well to drive the net and win battles to prolong possession along the wall. His reach can be a real asset on the forecheck too. From what I understand (from talking to a few people), he really stood out positively in the U18 portion of the Hockey Canada camp. However, once it switched to the U20 portion, his skating put him behind the eight ball. Alfano moves alright in a linear fashion. He gets to where he needs to be. However, his dynamic skating qualities are lacking. His balance, pivots, edgework and startups all need work. That will be the key this season. I would be shocked if he is not, at least, a 20 goal scorer for Peterborough and given his size that will put him on the scouting radar. However, improving his overall mobility will be key.

18. Max Namestnikov - Center - Sarnia Sting
The former 3rd overall OHL priority selection, and younger brother of NHL'er Vladislav Namestnikov, Max's offensive potential is sky high. Judging by his listing at the U.S. Hlinka camp, he has also grown a bit, now up to 5'9, 180lbs. A dynamic puck carrier and skater, Namestnikov excels when the pace is high. However, he needs to be more visible when he is not carrying the puck. That means improving his ability to support linemates in the offensive zone. He needs to use that speed to be better at getting to loose pucks and he needs to win battles more consistently in traffic. It was really disappointing to see him not make the U.S. Hlinka/Gretzky Cup roster, however he did not have a strong camp (zero points in four games at the camp). I watched a few of those scrimmages and he definitely struggled to make an impact and offensive zone turnovers were an issue. He is going to get top six ice time on the Sting this season and he has the ability to be a high end point producer. However, he will definitely need to round out his game more to move up (and not down) a list like this.
19. Zak Lavoie - Wing - Mississauga Steelheads
I think most people were pretty surprised that Lavoie didn't get an invite to Hockey Canada's U18 summer camp. The 7th overall selection in 2020 is perhaps the best goal scorer in this age group and possesses an elite level shot and scoring instincts. Lavoie also proved to be a pretty reliable two-way forward in the GTHL, who can use his speed to force turnovers in all three zones. With a strong start, he could easily move up this list quickly. However, right now, I want to see how he finds those soft spots in coverage and excels in the slot at the OHL level, given his size (5'10). Can he be as successful near the crease and in the middle against older players? 

20. Evan Konyen - Wing - Sudbury Wolves
Heading into the 2020 OHL Priority Selection, I was very high on Konyen after a strong season with the Pittsburgh Junior Penguins. I felt like the Wolves stole him where they selected him in the fourth round. Konyen is a speedy goal scorer who presumably plays on the wing with Sudbury even though he played both center and wing in U16 action. He's not a huge kid (5'10), but I think his upside as a goal scorer is among the highest of any player listed here. He was excellent at the PBHH, using his speed to carve up ice and he made a few defenders look silly at the event. However, like Namestnikov, he struggled at the U.S. Hlinka camp recently, also going scoreless and looking overwhelmed physically at times. The Wolves do have some solid depth heading into the year, so Konyen will need to play well to earn ice time. I have hopes that he does though.
21. Andrew Leblanc - Center - Kitchener Rangers
Even though he is ranked 21st, Leblanc was actually one of my favourites from this OHL group heading into the 2020 priority selection. I think he is a very well rounded and intelligent pivot. One of those players who always keeps his feet moving in the offensive end and has enough puck skill and creativity to excel as a playmaker. He is the personification of the type of center that the Rangers have targeted over the course of the last few decades. So why is he 21st? I think his physical tools are a little behind some of the other centers on this list. As an OHL player, his skating probably grades as average. Same for his strength and finishing ability. Can he create in transition and drive pace like NHL scouts want from their centers? I think he can and I'm sure those physical tools have improved in the last 18 months...but it's a case of him needing to show it first IMO. 

22. Isaiah George - Defense - London Knights
Playing time is probably going to be difficult for him this year. He is going to be competing with some other very talented young defenders for consistent ice time. Don't let his draft position fool you (68th OV), as George was a clear first round talent for the draft but fell due to concerns that he was heading to the USHL and the NCAA. George is the epitome of physical tools. He is a potentially strong two-way defender who can use his mobility, size, and skill to be an impact player. He can lead the attack out of the defensive zone. He can QB a powerplay. He can provide a physical presence. However, the knock on him has been his decision making. Can he step right into the OHL and improve in this area, taking better care of the puck? If he struggles, the leash will be short due to London's depth. The potential is too high for him to be lower than this heading into the season, though.

23. Kocha Delic - Center - Sudbury Wolves
Delic was sort of the talk of the 2020 priority selection, since he was supposed to be a top 8 selection but fell to the mid second round. With the OHL on hiatus last season, Delic did try to go overseas to play in the Swedish U18 league, but that league was suspended too. He did play at the PBHH, though, and performed admirably. I actually really liked Delic's play without the puck at the event. He excelled as a forechecker, penalty killer, and brought a physical element (rare at the event). It was interesting to see that because I found this area of his game to be lacking at times in the GTHL. While I listed Delic as a center, I think he's more likely to play the wing this year in Sudbury (and perhaps beyond). He is a creative offensive catalyst, but similar to what I said about Andrew Leblanc, we need to see how those physical tools have improved.

24. Dalyn Wakely - Center - North Bay Battalion
Seems fair to group Delic and Wakely (and to an extent George) together in these rankings given that they were the biggest "fallers" of the 2020 OHL draft. Wakely is a potential power center with a big shot and a penchant for driving the net and getting under the skin of his opponents. No doubt he is skilled, but scouts will be looking for him to round out his game and improve his vision and awareness in the offensive end. Additionally, will he be able to overpower OHL defenders the way that he did U16 defenders? He's only listed at 5'11, so I know there is some concern that he was a bit of an early bloomer. 

25. Alex Leonard - Defense - Niagara IceDogs
All things considered, the IceDogs actually have a pretty experienced blueline heading into the season compared to some other OHL clubs. You wouldn't have said that a year ago. As such, Leonard probably starts the year in a third pairing role. But I really liked his game in U16 with the Mississauga Reps. He is an intelligent and competitive two-way defender who also happens to own a right shot. Not really a lot of flaws in his game coming out of U16. Ultimately, the question is...does he have significant upside? How well will his offensive skill set play at the OHL level? Conversely, as an average sized defender, will he still be able to have as much success physically to succeed in the defensive end? 

26. Jackson Edward - Defense - London Knights
Leonard and Edward are actually pretty similarly profiled players and that is why I have put them together. Jackson is a little bigger (6'2) and will probably have an easier transition to the defensive side of things because of his combination of size, mobility, and physicality. However, I do think Leonard has a bit more offensive upside, in addition to being that right shot. Edward's path to ice time is also going to be much greater. As mentioned with Isaiah George, the London depth is tremendous on the back-end (what else is new?), and Edward may find himself in a real battle to play consistently.

27. Lucas Ross - Wing - Erie Otters
Yes...Lucas Ross is small. Last listing has him at 5'6 (from the PBHH). He is going to have to produce at an insane clip to keep this position among these OHL draft rankings by season's end. The thing is...he is capable of doing so. Ross is ultra quick. He is ultra skilled. He is also competitive and fearless, with his quick feet making him elusive to check in the middle of the ice. Look, the Otters found success with another smaller player named Alex Debrincat. Can they find that same lightning in a bottle?

28. Teddy Sawyer - Defense - Ottawa 67's
Not a ton of late born 2003's on this list, but Sawyer does deserve a spot as of right now. He showed well as an OHL rookie in 2019/20 with Ottawa, cycling in and out of a deep lineup. He is already a solid player in the defensive end. He competes hard to take away space, can throw the big hit, and has good four way mobility. At times, Sawyer showed that he could make a clean exit pass or even lead the breakout, where as at other times he struggled with the puck. Finding that consistency as a two-way defender will be key for him given that he lacks the size (6'0) to profile as more of a stay at home defender at the next level. He'll be an everyday player for the 67's this season and will get his looks. 

29. Kyle Downey - Goaltender - Windsor Spitfires
The top rated and drafted goaltender from his age group, Downey has a chance to be an OHL starter. Has average size for the position (6'1 at last measurement), but possesses all the other tools. He's athletic. He tracks the play well. He has proven to be a workhorse already in his young career (based on his time in the GTHL). Downey probably enters the season in a platoon role with Xavier Medina, but given where Windsor drafted him, it's clear that they see Downey as the team's future (and perhaps present) in net.

30. Nolan Lalonde - Goaltender - Erie Otters
A bit of a sharp contrast from Downey. Downey is the more technically advanced player, but Lalonde has the size and raw athletic gifts that NHL teams and scouts love. He was measured at 6'3 at the PBHH and has probably already grown another inch since then. Lalonde probably enters the season as the Erie backup behind Aidan Campbell, but I don't think many roles are defined this season given the year off. Lalonde's potential is very high.

Honorable Mentions
Brady Stonehouse - Wing - Ottawa 67's
Competitive, but undersized wrecking ball can be a real force in transition. He is always looking to attack.
Justin DeZoete - Wing - Peterborough Petes
Potential high end goal scorer who loves to the push the pace with his speed and owns one of the harder shots in the age group.
Gavin Bryant - Center - Owen Sound Attack
The typical Owen Sound Attack center. Good playmaker and already a polished two-way player.
Connor Toms - Defense - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
Highly intelligent two-way defender who was excellent in the NOJHL last year (who did play). Hopefully he has upgraded his skating.
Nathan Poole - Center - Kingston Frontenacs
My kind of player. Big, physical center who is one of the most physically aggressive players in the age group. How much offensive upside is there at this level?
Brody Crane - Wing - London Knights
Top notch goal scorer and skater, but he's undersized so he will need to produce to prove that he should be firmly on the draft radar.
Domenic DiVincentiis - Goaltender - North Bay Battalion
Likely Joe Vrbetic's backup this year, but the average sized netminder is highly regarded for his athleticism and quickness. Was the only Ontario goalie at Hockey Canada's U18 summer camp.

Appearing Soon

Pavel Mintyukov - Defense - Saginaw Spirit

Kirill Kudryavtsev - Defense - Soo Greyhounds

Ruslan Gazizov - Center/Wing - London Knights

Matyas Sapovaliv - Center - Saginaw Spirit

Andrei Malyavin - Defense - Sarnia Sting

Servac Petrovsky - Center - Owen Sound Attack

Sunday, August 29, 2021

Top 25 OHL Prospects - Summer of 2021

As has become regular practice now, following the conclusion of my NHL team write ups ('31 Teams in 31 Days'), I give you a list of the top prospects who played in the OHL during the previous season. This year, with no OHL season to speak of, I did not do my annual 31 teams in 31 days write ups. However, I did feel it necessary to continue the tradition of ranking the OHL's top prospects. 
The hardest thing was determining eligibility, since the league did not play and so many players were forced to other leagues (the AHL, Europe, etc). Basically, so long as a player performed in the OHL the previous season and did not lose their prospect status (due to NHL games played), I made them eligible for this list. I also capped the age at U20 to include 2001, 2002, and 2003 born players with NHL affiliation. 2000 born potential OA's were not included, because it would have been unclear if they would have played in the league or not (most would not have).
As always, the list is capped at 25, with some honorable mentions. 

1. Quinton Byfield - Los Angeles Kings
It is kind of crazy that Byfield continues to have his detractors. The Kings knew that when they selected Byfield that he would take a little longer to develop than the average second overall selection. I have said this a million times and I'll say it again. You don't draft Byfield for the player he is currently, you take him for the player he will be in five years time. A natural athlete, he is still learning how to best utilize his gifts so that he can be a dominant player at the NHL level. His first pro season in the AHL went pretty much how I expected it would have. Byfield struggled a bit at the start. But, I think by the short season's end, he had really learned to use his size more consistently to dominate the higher traffic areas on the ice (net front, behind the net, along the wall). I would still like to see him become more confident in his shooting ability. And I think he still needs to take steps forward to be a more consistent two-way player, especially as a center at the NHL level. However, he is well on his way to becoming an excellent NHL player. Another offseason focused on improvement should have him ready to be a full time NHL player this season. Again, I would expect the performance to be modest. But he should get better a little bit, year after year.

2. Jamie Drysdale - Anaheim Ducks
Truthfully, I thought about ranking Drysdale ahead of Byfield. And it's not the first time I've said that (if you recall my final 2020 draft rankings). But at this point, I think he's still a fraction behind on a list like this. All that said, Drysdale had a fantastic season in 2020/21, making the best of a tough situation. Truthfully, I expected him to be in a little over his head as a defensive player at the AHL level. Boy was I wrong. It is clear that he put in the work in the offseason, because his ability to defend the small areas of the ice improved considerably thanks to improved strength and an increased desire to battle physically. Of course, his high end IQ helped him out there too. Simply put, he was already one of the best defenders in the AHL at the time of his recall to Anaheim. And in Anaheim, it was much the same. His skating ability and on ice awareness are just so good. Those who questioned his upside as a possible top pairing defender should probably re-evaluate their stance. I believe that Drysdale will already be a consistent 20 minute a night defender for the Ducks this coming season and should be firmly in the Calder discussion.

3. Brandt Clarke - Los Angeles Kings
Have to stay true to my draft rankings at this point. I had Clarke at number one from the OHL for 2021 and I stand by that despite McTavish going ahead of him. Everyone knows by now that Clarke has to improve his overall four way mobility and first step quickness (even Clarke). His work in his own end needs to become more consistent too. However, I do think it will get there. He is smart enough and I think that we'll see him develop a greater physical edge too. What he does with the puck and his instincts as an offensive player are innate. If you're willing to work at it, physical tools can be improved. I don't think there's any chance that Clarke makes the Kings this season. He will be back in Barrie and he should be one of the best defenseman in the OHL. We'll be looking for him to become that dominant two-way force he has the potential to be.

4. Mason McTavish - Anaheim Ducks
Again, the positioning of Clarke and McTavish was a close one (just as I said in my 2021 draft rankings). It's a toss up. I could not have been more impressed with the development that McTavish showed last season. Nearly every part of his game took a massive step forward. He is that physical, dominating two-way center that every NHL team is looking for and that is why Anaheim took him 3rd overall. If there is a player from this draft class that I could see making an immediate jump to the NHL, it is McTavish (now that we know Beniers and Power are heading back to Michigan). Do I think he should play another year in Peterborough? Yes. But could I see him coming to the Ducks' camp and really impressing? Also yes. His game is so pro ready and if he has put in the work this offseason to continue to improve his skating, he could play right away. 

5. Marco Rossi - Minnesota Wild
Great to see the young Austrian center back on the ice recently at the Olympic qualifiers, after such a scary bout with COVID. He barely played last season and you know what, that's OK. Marco was already one of the most advanced players in the draft class so it doesn't worry me one bit, so long as he is fully fit and healthy. Minnesota would obviously be smart not to rush him given what happened, but after a half a season in the AHL, I think he'll be ready to make an impact for the Wild. Rossi is just such an intelligent playmaker. His creativity and ability to manipulate traffic and coverage with his feet is so underrated. Even if Marco's high end potential remains that of a quality second line center, he does so many things well that his presence will hold more value than his production. Given this young man's work ethic, it is important not to underestimate him.

6. Cole Perfetti - Winnipeg Jets
Cole got off to an even slower start in the AHL than Quinton Byfield, struggling initially with Manitoba upon returning from the World Juniors. This was certainly not unexpected, given that his lack of strength and quickness would hurt him at even strength playing against men for the first time. On the powerplay he looked great. At five on five, he struggled to find that space he needed. However, as the season went on, you could see him gaining confidence. He is such an intelligent player. Eventually, he was able to adjust to make those quicker decisions with the puck and to find those soft spots in coverage, despite still lacking the strength to consistently fight through contact. He will be granted a special exemption (with others) to play in the AHL again next year and I would expect that to be the case, unfortunately for Saginaw Spirit fans. He still projects as a high end top six forward, but he is probably still another year away from helping the Jets.

7. Nick Robertson - Toronto Maple Leafs
It was a bit of a disappointing year for Robertson, at least if I am being honest based on my own expectations for him. The injury had a lot to do with that. Upon returning, even at the AHL level, I felt like he wasn't playing as aggressive or tenacious as he usually does. And he needs to play that way to be at the top of his game. The talented goal scorer gets a re-set next season and hopefully he can avoid the injury bug. He isn't the biggest guy and he needs to play a certain way. Can he do that at the pro level without getting injured? I truly believe that his development is one of the most critical factors heading into the coming season for the Leafs. Sure Toronto signed a million guys, but none have the potential impact of Robertson as a top nine goal scorer. On his cheap ELC deal, he can be a difference maker on a cap strapped team. I repeat...he just needs to stay healthy.

8. Thomas Harley - Dallas Stars
Really strong first professional season for Harley in the AHL, considering he was playing as an underager. His offensive production from the back-end as a U20 player (over a full season...or part of one) was among the best in this millennium, along with John Carlson, Erik Brannstrom, and others with smaller sample sizes. Needless to say, his ability to generate offense by leading the attack transitioned near seamlessly. His work in the offensive zone improved, in fact, as I felt that he looked more confident using his feet and size to step around attackers to help breakdown coverage. Defensively, the transition was less successful. His decision making still needs work. A common phrased used for defenders making the jump is "they need to have junior coached out of them," and that saying is apt here. I'm not sure I see Harley as a future top pairing guy, but I do think that he becomes a real high end point producer and someone who can be a valuable second pairing guy. With Dallas signing Ryan Suter and Jani Hakanpaa, Harley probably spends at least another half a year in the AHL. He could be the team's first injury call up.

9. Philip Tomasino - Nashville Predators
2020/21 was a tremendous year for Phil Tomasino. He had a great World Juniors. He performed extremely well in the AHL. You really couldn't have asked for more. Given the pace that he likes to play at, Tomasino was right at home at the pro level, where his confidence in transition and with the puck never seemed to waver. The biggest improvement from him that I saw came at the defensive end. He looked really good at both ends, consistently one of the first back for Chicago, hungry for the puck at all times. With Nashville moving on from Arvidsson and losing Jarnkrok in expansion, I fully expect Tomasino to make the Predators out of camp. I think he is ready for the next step and should be an immediate impact player in the middle six.

10. Connor McMichael - Washington Capitals
Like Tomasino, the OHL cancellation may have been a blessing in disguise for McMichael as he was afforded the opportunity to play in the AHL with Hershey. This new challenge seemed to invigorate him. He led the Bears in scoring and looked incredibly impressive in doing so. Still more of an opportunist, McMichael proved that his skill set can play at the pro level because of his anticipation and awareness in the offensive end. I'm still a bit skeptical that he can be a first line player in the NHL. However, I am even more convinced that he can be a great complementary piece on the second line and on the powerplay, where his great release and ability to find soft spots should net him his share of goals. I think he forces his way onto the Capitals roster (for good) at some point this season.

11. Jack Quinn - Buffalo Sabres
I don't think Quinn's first pro season was as bad as some felt it was. But maybe I'm biased because I like him as a player and prospect (and so many don't). It is important to note that Quinn had sports hernia surgery later in the season and there is no doubt that this was something that he was likely dealing with for a long time. I really want to see how Quinn responds to his second pro season this year, now fully healthy. I still believe in his ability to be a strong two-way goal scorer at the NHL level, but his path to the league probably includes another year in the AHL. Remember, Quinn was a late bloomer. He is going to take longer to adjust than others because he just recently became an impact player at the junior level.

12. Arthur Kaliyev - Los Angeles Kings
Probably lower on this list than he would be for others, I want to make it known that I don't dislike Kaliyev. I have defended his playmaking ability and his skating ability for years. It's just that I like the players I ranked ahead of him more because I feel like they have a chance to impact the game in more ways. Kaliyev's second half in the AHL was a hell of a lot better than his first and a lot of that had to do with him finding his confidence. Kaliyev is what he is. He can fire the puck. His offensive instincts are terrific. However, much like Thomas Vanek (his most common comparison), Kaliyev will always be the type who is only as valuable as the offensive production he brings to the table. When he goes through droughts, his game and the team's success could suffer. Where as others above him on this list are likely to be more consistent all around contributors.

13. Brennan Othmann - New York Rangers
I think the Rangers made a great selection this year in Othmann, someone that I ranked pretty highly all season long. He is just my type of player. He competes hard. He hits hard. He can shoot the puck. His hands and puck skill are underrated. His skating is improving. His defensive contributions have the potential to be very good. I see him developing into a very well rounded player. It will be interesting to see him back in the OHL this season with Flint. Anything short of a 35 goal season would be a disappointment IMO. He needs to take that step as a consistently dangerous go-to offensive player, hopefully finding that balance between being a physical pest and being a scoring chance catalyst.

14. Tyson Foerster - Philadelphia Flyers 
If you read my work for McKeen's Hockey (which you should), you'd know that I didn't like how the Phantoms were using Foerster early on in his first pro season. Playing as a U19 player like many others granted that exemption, the Phantoms were trying to make Foerster a net front presence, rather than utilizing his gifts as a stand still shooter on the wing. About half way through the year, that seemed to change and his production took off. He will still need to improve his explosiveness. He will still need to find a way to be more successful driving the middle and playing through traffic. However, I did feel like his game developed more layers as a pro, especially as a two-way player. Philadelphia can send Foerster to the AHL again, as players who played over 20 games last year will continue to be exempt from the AHL/CHL agreement. Would have to assume that the Flyers take advantage of that given the steps forward he has already taken.

15. Francesco Pinelli - Los Angeles Kings
I wasn't really shocked to see Pinelli fall to the second round this year. I don't agree with it, but I wasn't shocked. I had heard that some NHL scouts felt like his skating and lack of consistency away from the puck could hold him back. I feel like both of those areas can and will improve, as early as this coming season with the Rangers. I see a player with a lot of things going for him. Forwards as intelligent as Pinelli almost always grow into strong two-way players as they grow stronger and become better conditioned. His offensive skill set is very well rounded and I think he has the makings of a high end middle six forward at the end of his development arch. The rich get richer in LA.

16. Ryan O'Rourke - Minnesota Wild
Another player eligible to return to the AHL as a U20 player because of fact he played 33 games with the Iowa Wild last year. O'Rourke's play with the puck was inconsistent in his first AHL season, but it did get better as the season went on. That sort of progression is encouraging. O'Rourke is the kind of player who will make his money on his ability in the defensive end, given his physical approach, strong positioning, and defensive instincts. That was already evident with Iowa last year, even though he will still need to improve his mobility further and get stronger. The question is, will Minnesota return O'Rourke to the OHL for a final season or keep him in the AHL? Personally, I'd like to see him back in the OHL where he can get consistent powerplay time and offensive responsibility to improve his confidence with the puck at a slightly slower pace. If Iowa gives him that type of role, then keep him there, otherwise, I feel like his growth as an offensive defender could get stunted.
17. Ryan Suzuki - Carolina Hurricanes
Perhaps no player in this grouping won me over more this past year than Ryan Suzuki. I have always been skeptical of his ability to find a role at the NHL level. His playmaking talents have never been questioned. However, his ability to play off the puck and play through traffic has been a weakness. Additionally, he has lacked confidence in his shooting abilities, to a fault. I saw growth in pretty much every area playing as a role player in the AHL. Suzuki was suddenly engaging physically on the backcheck, winning battles in puck pursuit, and even finding his way to the net to try to score. This whole new approach gives me a lot more faith in his ability to develop into a quality NHL player. Next year in the AHL, he should be given a greater offensive role and it will be interesting to see if his production can increase, while maintaining the growth he has shown away from the puck.
18. Jacob Perreault - Anaheim Ducks
A late first rounder in 2020, Perreault's strengths lie in his ability to create in transition, in addition to his high end shot and shooting ability, especially when working the half wall area. Playing at the AHL level this year as a 19 year old, Perreault had mixed results. His conditioning looked better as he was able to be more consistent with his speed and pace. He also was making a more concerted effort to be more of a factor off the puck, especially as a forechecker. His speed and ability to generate chances quickly allowed him to draw some penalties for San Diego. However, perhaps surprisingly, he struggled with his finishing ability. Drawing in and out of the lineup, Perreault did seem to lose a bit of confidence in his release. At the pro level, you can't hesitate and he was. Having reached that 20 game mark, Perreault can play in the AHL again this season and that appears to be the likely outcome. I'm still a little skeptical that he can be a consistent NHL player (in the same way I was concerned with Brendan Perlini), but he deserves to be in the Top 20 here.
19. Jamieson Rees - Carolina Hurricanes
A bit of a human cannonball, Rees actually really reigned in his physicality this past season as a first year pro. Later in the year, he certainly seemed to gain more confidence in this regard, but in the first half, he was very disciplined. Rees' ability to create in transition and push the pace of play translated extremely well though. He had no trouble fighting through checks playing against men, even as a 19 year old. Playing in all situations, his path to the NHL probably starts in a checking line role before working his way up. I wouldn't be shocked if he got a couple cups of coffee this season as an injury replacement, even with Carolina's depth. Armed with a quality shot and a non stop motor, I think Rees' potential at the NHL level is underrated. 
20. Egor Afanasyev - Nashville Predators
The big power winger used the pandemic to return home to Russia for the first time in five years, playing mostly in the KHL. Afanasyev is a top notch goal scoring prospect because of his ability to use his size to drive the net, keep plays alive along the wall, and of course rifle pucks on net. He has a great wrist shot and a one timer from the dot and should be a weapon on the powerplay at the pro level. Would have loved to have seen him play in the OHL again this past season to improve his playmaking touch and two-way play, but it obviously wasn't in the cards. I'll be curious to see how he performs as a first year pro in the AHL this coming season.
21. Zayde Wisdom - Philadelphia Flyers
I'm not sure another 2020 draft selection improved their perception and hype more than Wisdom did last season playing in the AHL as a double underager with Lehigh Valley. He was a consistent impact player, transitioning seamlessly to a scoring line role. Everything he did at the OHL level, he did at the AHL level against men. He drove the net. He forced turnovers. And he showed way more skill with the puck than people gave him credit for. I have said all along that it was important not to lock in Wisdom as a future checking line player and no more, because he had improved so much and continues to be a hard worker. He should have never fallen to the fourth round. Unfortunately, a shoulder injury is going to keep him out for the better part of this season. Really sucks considering the momentum that he had built. The only group that this injury could be good news for is the Kingston Frontenacs. Previously they had no chance of getting him back. Now, it seems likely that the Flyers will be cautious with his rehab and that could include having him finish the year in the OHL if he is able to return before season's end.
22. Ben Gaudreau - San Jose Sharks
I was pretty shocked to see Gaudreau fall as far as he did in the 2021 draft. Sure, he was the fourth goaltender selected (which is near what I would have expected), but I had him pegged as a second rounder. This is a goaltender who has everything you would look for and he proved that at this year's Under 18's. He is a competitor. He is a work horse. He is already incredibly technically advanced with body control well above what you typically see from a draft eligible netminder. He needs to work on controlling his rebounds and he needs to play games over a full season. However, he's already turning heads in San Jose's development camp. Really excited to see what he does in Sarnia this year.
23. Martin Chromiak - Los Angeles Kings
I'll stay high on Chromiak, as I was before heading into the 2020 draft. I still see a highly intelligent offensive player who does so many things well. He truly is the perfect complementary offensive player. Shane Wright and the Fronts must have been ecstatic when he announced he was returning this season. This year I want to see him use his speed to attack more with the puck; to be more assertive with his decision making. He has the potential to be an offensive catalyst for himself and his linemates, rather than just a passenger.
24. Jan Mysak - Montreal Canadiens
Not a lot of playing time for Mysak in the AHL this past season with Laval. The stats weren't great. The play wasn't amazing either. Having watched a lot of his action for that aforementioned article for McKeen's, I found him to be too passive. He seemed hesitant to involve himself and really rarely touched the puck on shifts, opting to spend most of his time trying to be a net a front presence or passing option in the slot. His energy as a three zone player was good, and I would have expected it to be. But offensively, outside of a few impressive transitional attacks, Mysak was pretty invisible. But, way too early to write him off and he still needs to be ranked high. I want to see him pick a position in Hamilton this year. Stick him on the wing or at center and be done with it. Also want to see him become more of a focal point in an offensive scheme when he isn't playing with pace. He needs to do a better job of consistently working off his teammates to get puck touches in the cycle and to shed checks to get better looks as a shooter. 
25. Jean Luc Foudy - Colorado Avalanche
I could have went in a million different ways with #25 here. I debated almost every player that I have listed as an HM. However, I really liked what I saw from Foudy at the AHL level last season. The production wasn't amazing, but he played way better than stats would indicate. I saw a player with more intention and persistence. He drove the net instead of circling the perimeter. He made quicker decisions with the puck. He used his speed to be a factor in all three zones and without the puck. Really, we saw a lot of the improvements his brother made as a prospect in his draft +1 season. Jean Luc is eligible to return to AHL again this coming season, but I could see Colorado assigning him to Windsor again. I think they really want to see him dominate offensively. Could go either way, but I really did like his progression last year.
Honorable Mentions (Alphabetically) 
Daniil Chayka - Vegas Golden Knights 
Had to return to Russia with the OHL on hold and it really messed up Chayka's year IMO. He is at his best when he can play aggressively with the puck and play deep in the offensive zone and he seemed very hesitant to do that in the KHL and MHL. He returns to Guelph this season and he really should have a monster OHL season. One thing I'm focusing on this year is whether he can improve his footwork with the puck inside the offensive zone.
Graeme Clarke - New Jersey Devils 
Early on in his AHL season, Clarke struggled. He seemed behind the pace. He was getting outmuscled in the offensive zone. However, he really improved as the year went on. In a perfect world, he would have had a chance to fully rehab that shoulder by playing in the OHL before making the jump to the pro level. But COVID had other plans. And you know what, he made the best of it and I think it really did help his development. We know Clarke is about as skilled with the puck as you can find. And his shooting ability, both from a stand still and dynamically, is excellent. But playing in the AHL forced him to be a more effective player away from the puck. I'm still not completely confident that his skill set translates effectively, but as he continues to upgrade his explosiveness and strength, he is slowly winning me over.

Ethan Del Mastro - Chicago Blackhawks
I really don't think Del Mastro should have fallen as far as he did at the draft this year. It was shocking to me, if I am being honest. He is a player who has shown a habit of improving over the course of a season. He did it in U16 with the Marlboros. He did it in his rookie season with the Steelheads. And he did it with Canada at the U18's this year. I think he is a very coachable young man with some skills that already can play at the NHL level. I want to see him take that next step as an offensive player this season with Mississauga. That includes improving his four way mobility with the puck to allow him to escape forecheckers better. His straight away speed is impressive for a big man. He carves up open space North/South. But he needs to become more confident on his edges to truly take that next step as an offensive player.
Luke Evangelista - Nashville Predators
With Chicago's crazy depth last season at the AHL level, Evangelista's playing time was extremely restricted. It was like he was an OHL rookie again! But you have to hope that Luke took away some positive things from the experience, like improving his strength on the puck and his ability to make quicker decisions in the offensive zone. This year will be about regaining his confidence offensively. He will be a focal point of the London Knights' offense and he should have a big year from a production standpoint. 
Wyatt Johnston - Dallas Stars 
I wasn't surprised in the least to see a team step up to take Johnston in the first round, despite having him a little lower in my own rankings. A late bloomer physically, Johnston's growth as a player needs to catch up a bit. I think he's a highly intelligent playmaker, but I'm not sure I see high end offensive upside. Would really like to see his explosiveness and quickness take a step forward this year, in addition to more consistency in his game physically. He has the potential to become one of the best two-way centers in the OHL.
Vladislav Kolyachonok - Arizona Coyotes
Recently dealt to Arizona as a sweetener in a cap dump deal, Kolyachonok is still a player that I have a lot of time for. He is the modern day stay at home defender. He has among the best first step quickness in all four directions that I have seen come through the OHL in the last decade and it makes him so difficult to beat in transition and pin in his own zone. Once he gains confidence in his ability to move the puck at the pro level, I think he's a surefire NHL player. Whether that's as a third pairing, PK guy, or higher will depend on how his offensive decision making and confidence grows in the coming years.
Mason Millman - Philadelphia Flyers
Millman took a massive step forward in the second half of the 2019/20 season and I was really looking forward to seeing him develop further in 2020/21. I really do think that he could have been a contender for the Max Kaminsky. Instead he was in and out of the lineup for Lehigh Valley. It is going to take some time for his confidence as a puck mover to develop at the pro level as he adjusts to the speed and pace. He looked like he was playing to not make a mistake last season. Additionally, he was not as confident physically. I still believe in his ability to develop into a good two-way blueliner in the NHL, but I think he was really hurt by the lack of an OHL season. 
Isaak Phillips - Chicago Blackhawks 
A player who was NOT hurt by the lack of an OHL season was Isaak Phillips. If you had told me that Phillips would look better than Alec Regula (or at the very least on par with) in a 19 year old AHL season, I would have called you crazy. It would not have been shocking to see him play well defensively. His mobility and reach are real assets at any level. However, he looked poised and confident with the puck, leading the charge out of the defensive end and pushing deep through the neutral zone. If Phillips had played this way in the OHL in his draft year, he would have been a much higher draft selection. It has certainly made me (and I know others) re-think his high end potential. Really curious to see how he performs next year; if he can take yet another step forward.
Cole Schwindt - Florida Panthers 
Much like Millman, Schwindt was another player that was really hurt by the lack of OHL season IMO. Defensively, his game is and was ready for the pros. He is a polished two-way player. However, I think he needed last season to be the focal point of the Steelheads' offense, to really build confidence in his ability to play with the puck and create in transition. Florida will never do it, but I'd love to see them send Schwindt back for his OA year like San Jose is planning to do with Brandon Coe. If he's not able to become a more effective and confident player in possession of the puck, I worry he could become a Tyler Gaudet clone and a tweener.
Donovan Sebrango - Detroit Red Wings  
Truthfully, I didn't think Sebrango was ready for the challenge of the pro game, especially as a 19 year old. But he handled it extremely well. Yes, he kept things simple. Offensively, he was a near non factor. But defensively, he was a real standout at such a young age. His competitiveness transferred well and he made grown men work to beat him to the net or along the wall. Sebrango is eligible to return to the AHL again because of how many games he played, but I'd really like to see Detroit send him back to the OHL for another year. He has offensive talent, but he needs to learn to pick those spots and build confidence working the point. He would get all the ice time he could desire in Kitchener and I think it would be great for his development.
Chase Stillman - New Jersey Devils
If you follow my work you would know that I love Stillman (and was also a huge advocate of his brother Riley). But even I was surprised to see him go in the first round. I do see the logic though. His skating has improved a lot and at worst, he's probably a high end third liner who can wreck havoc physically and on the forecheck. At best, he could play higher in the lineup. The big thing for him is to improve his puck skill and finishing ability, especially when playing with pace. Faster without the puck than with it, Stillman should have a good year with Sudbury.
Mike Vukojevic - New Jersey Devils 
The production may have been a little deceiving (based on the action I saw), as I think he was a bit lucky to put up the points that he did. However, he did play really well in the third pairing role in the AHL. There were certainly some mistakes made with the puck, but defensively he played well. I'm not entirely sure how much growth he has remaining in his offensive game, but I do think that he can develop into a reliable NHL defender in the future.

Ryan Winterton - Seattle Kraken
Very interested to see how Winterton responds to more ice time in Hamilton this coming season after only playing at the U18's last season. I think he has a lot more to his game than he showed last season. He has the skill set to be a very dangerous goal scorer, but also a strong two-way forward. The key for him is to continue to improve his quickness and the consistency of his physicality.

Sunday, July 25, 2021

2021 NHL Entry Draft Results

The 2021 NHL Entry Draft commenced today and 32 OHL players had their names called by NHL clubs. All things considered, this total is actually higher than I anticipated. Not because of the quality available from Ontario, but because the league did not play. It has been right in line with the 30 or so taken the last few years.

Below you can find the results for OHL players, as well as my draft ranking before the draft (for comparison's sake).

Some general thoughts on how the draft played out: 

- Highest players to go unselected from my rankings included Simon Motew, Ranvir Gill Shane, Braeden Kressler, Stuart Rolofs, Avery Hayes, Nick DeGrazia, and JR Avon. If I am being perfectly honest, none are completely shocking...again given the circumstances.

- Certainly was not surprising to see Mason McTavish go ahead of Brandt Clarke. As I mentioned, I even contemplated placing him ahead of Clarke. Big fan of both of these young men.

- While it did not shock me at all to see Wyatt Johnston go ahead of Francesco Pinelli, it did to see Stillman and, especially Mailloux, also be selected ahead of him.

- Honestly not surprised to see guys like Ty Voit, Connor Lockhart, Francesco Arcuri, and Ryan Mast fall so far. But I do think that they will prove to be excellent selections and prove that if the OHL had played, they would have been selected much earlier.

- Full draft results can be found here.

My RankPlayer NamePOOHL TeamNHL TeamRDPick
1Brandt Clarke
2Mason McTavish
3Brennan Othmann
4Francesco Pinelli
5Ben Gaudreau
6Chase Stillman
7Ethan Del Mastro
8Ryan Winterton
9Wyatt Johnston
10Daniil Chayka
11Logan Mailloux
12Ryan Mast
13Tristan Lennox
14Artyom Grushnikov
15Ty Voit
16Brett Harrison
17Jack Matier
18Ben Roger
19Connor Lockhart
20Francesco Arcuri
21Joe Vrbetic
North Bay
22Josh Bloom
23Bryce Montgomery
24Simon Motew

25Ranvir Gill Shane

26Daniil Sobolev
27Braeden Kressler

28Stuart Rolofs

29Jack Beck
30Jacob Holmes
31Avery Hayes

32Nick DeGrazia

33JR Avon

34Connor Punnett

35Isaac Enright

36Braden Hache
37Max McCue
38Artem Guryev
39Maddox Callens

40Matthew Maggio

41Paul Christopoulos
North Bay

42Lawson Sherk

43Pavel Cajan

44Deni Goure
Owen Sound

45Ethan Burroughs
Owen Sound

46Tucker Robertson

47Giancarlo Chanton

48Colby Saganiuk

49Alex Geci

50Kaleb Lawrence
Owen Sound

1Ethan Cardwell
2Pasquale Zito
3Chandler Romeo

Tuesday, July 20, 2021

2021 NHL Draft Primer

With the 2021 NHL Entry Draft slated for this weekend, here is everything you need to know about the players available from the Ontario Hockey League.

My Rankings:
Honorable Mentions

Media/Scout Poll

2021 Mock Draft 

Of course, I also have to plug the hard work that the McKeen's Hockey team has put into the 2021 Draft. If draft guides are your thing and you are looking for more information on players outside of the OHL, look no further than our 2021 Draft Guide (which can be purchased here).

Best of luck to all the OHL players eligible this year!

Monday, July 19, 2021

2021 NHL Mock Draft

This is now an annual tradition. As I always mention, while I cover the OHL extensively, my role at McKeen’s Hockey gives me a fair amount of knowledge of the other players available.

There are so many reasons that this draft has the likelihood of being extremely unpredictable. Firstly, due to the pandemic, we have such unevenness in terms of exposure and playing time across the various junior leagues in the world. The USHL played a full season. European men’s leagues played a full year. The QMJHL had a fairly full year. However, the WHL, European junior leagues (especially Sweden), and of course the OHL were disrupted, shortened, or canceled. We can only hypothesize how that affects things. Secondly, this draft does leave some to be desired due to its lack of superstar potential. That means a lot of players will be ranked closely together and teams will, no doubt, have very different draft boards in comparison. 

So what does that mean? It means I am making an excuse for this mock draft to be very inaccurate! In all seriousness, all mock drafts are hard to peg down, but it is still a fun endeavour that provides an easy and fun read.

Just as was the case last year, I am mocking the first two rounds.

1. Buffalo Sabres - Owen Power, D, Michigan (NCAA)
Much has been made about the validity of Power as a first overall selection in recent months. However, I do believe that the NHL scouting community does see a gap between Power and the other contenders; that appears to be clear in reading anonymous quotes from polls (like Bob McKenzie’s or Corey Pronman’s, for example). His phenomenal play at the World Championships for Canada had to solidify that even further. While Power may not end up as the best NHL player in this draft class, he should end up as ONE of the best and that sort of stability is greatly needed in Buffalo. By adding someone like Power, perhaps the Sabres can finally unleash the likes of Dahlin and Ristolainen. I do believe that he has a chance to help turn this organization around finally.

2. Seattle Kraken - Matthew Beniers, C, Michigan (NCAA)
How do you determine potential preferences of an organization that has yet to make a draft selection? I think the easy answer there is to look at who they hired as their head scout; Robert Kron (previously head of European scouting for Carolina). With Carolina, their European picks did largely follow a trend. They valued skating ability and well rounded skill sets, which should not come as a surprise given that they described Kron’s NHL skill set to an extent. So who fits that bill the most at the top of the draft? Probably Beniers. Not to mention that Beniers is also one of the draft’s only true premier centers, something Seattle likely wants to build around. I am sure we will get more intel on the type of team they want to build after the expansion draft, but this pick makes sense to me at the moment.

3. Anaheim Ducks - Dylan Guenther, RW, Edmonton (WHL)
This pick is so hard to nail down with so many of the top options available for Anaheim. The team just does not seem to have scouting preferences like other organizations. Could they go with a two-way defender with size in Edvinsson, someone they can pair with Drysdale in the future? Could they go with William Eklund? What about a surprise pick of someone like Mason McTavish who could give the team such incredible depth down the middle? At the end of the day, I see them leaning towards Guenther. Not only would his offensive skill set fit extremely well alongside someone like Zegras (or the other young players they have in the organization), but he is someone who seems to be really appreciated by scouts. 

4. New Jersey Devils - William Eklund, LW, Djurgardens (SHL)
Look, I know there is a lot of speculation that the Devils will select either Brandt Clarke or Luke Hughes based on the family ties in the organization. And they very well could and either player would be a great selection for the franchise. But I do think that us, as fans, care more about this stuff than NHL scouts. In William Eklund, we have a real connection as the Devils would be very familiar with him given that he has been playing with Alexander Holtz. However, he also gives the organization a winger with elite skating ability and hockey sense, someone who can really help drive play alongside Hughes and Hischier. This is also someone who should be able to help in a year’s time (after another year in Sweden). His accelerated timeline over someone like Hughes or Clarke (who I think will take a few years to develop) would also be attractive to a team like Jersey who has to feel close to turning their rebuild around.

5. Columbus Blue Jackets - Simon Edvinsson, D, Frolunda (SHL)
I think this pick does make sense for a few reasons. The first is the obvious European bias that Columbus has shown at the draft in recent years. Hard to ignore that trend. The second is that Columbus has shown a real affinity for those who skate at an elite level. Insert Simon Edvinsson. While he seems to be a pretty polarizing player, those who love him, love him a lot and believe that he has the ceiling to be one of the better two-way defenders in the NHL. If his floor is someone like Seth Jones, even that would be fine for the Jackets, given that they are likely waving goodbye to said player this offseason. 

6. Detroit Red Wings - Mason McTavish, C, Peterborough (OHL)
There is a lot of talk about the Wings taking a goaltender here (either Wallstedt or Cossa). Quite frankly, I could see it, especially given that they will not be able to sign Keith Petruzzelli. However, the Wings also have a bunch of second round picks that they could use to take one of the guys in the next tier. The reality is, the team’s center depth is not great. Michael Rasmussen has not developed the way they thought he would. Joe Veleno’s development could be classified the same way. So here the Wings see a potentially dominant two-way center who can really fit in well with the kinds of skilled wingers that they have accumulated. Detroit is going to focus on the BPA and I think they see that as McTavish. Of course, they could opt for the hometown kid in Luke Hughes, but they passed on Quinn once upon a time ago too.

7. San Jose Sharks - Sebastian Cossa, G, Edmonton (WHL)
The first shocker (of which there are bound to be many this year) sees the Sharks take Cossa at #7. This might be more shocking because Cossa goes before Wallstedt, not because the Sharks take a netminder. The reality is that everything I’m reading and hearing lately is suggesting that NHL scouts may like Cossa more because of his size and athleticism combination; he is far from a finished product. Whereas Wallstedt is not in the same category as an athlete and scouts may be concerned that he has less room for growth. Both are phenomenal goaltending prospects but I do believe Cossa goes first. Sharks fans may not feel great about this given that this is the team’s only pick in the first two rounds. However, we know that San Jose loves drafting out of the WHL. There is a bias there. The team has also drafted only one goalie in the last five years...and it shows. At some point, the Sharks need to bite the bullet and try to bring in a blue chipper at the position. Cossa has the chance to be a Vezina winner.

8. Los Angeles Kings - Brandt Clarke, D, Barrie (OHL)
If Clarke and Hughes are still available here for the Kings, I would be shocked if one of those two are not LA’s selection. So which one would they favor? On one hand, with such a deep farm system, maybe the Kings take Hughes knowing that he is more of a longer term project. On the other hand, LA has always valued vision and hockey sense at the draft, more so than skating. They believe that their development team can fix skating deficiencies (much like Toronto), and that’s why I see them leaning towards Clarke, who can be an anchor of a likely very dangerous powerplay in a few years. 

9. Vancouver Canucks - Luke Hughes, D, USDP (USHL)
This is a tough one. I could see the Canucks passing on Hughes here because he profiles similar to some of the young defenders that they already have in the system like his brother Quinn and Jack Rathbone. But the same could be said for a lot of players in this range. You draft the best player available and that is Hughes. Sure there is the family connection. But that won't matter as much as you think. Instead, the Canucks see the Avalanche and what they have built...and then think of having to play them again next year. With Quinn, Rathbone, Luke, and Jett Woo, Vancouver focuses on skating on the back-end. Imagine the possibilities available to them with those four in the fold? That’s modern day hockey.

10. Ottawa Senators - Chaz Lucius, F, USDP (USHL)
This pick could go in so many different ways. But I do feel like Ottawa might show preference to one of the top goal scoring options available in Lucius or Sillinger...or even Matt Coronato. Lucius was robbed of the opportunity of showing his skills at the U18’s due to injury, and the injury concerns are real, but his anticipation and awareness in the offensive end are terrific. It is easy to see his goal scoring ability translating well given how he scores. And where he scores would fit in very well with the system Ottawa is trying to employ and the players that they would surround him with.

11. Chicago Blackhawks - Jesper Wallstedt, G, Lulea (SHL)
The Hawks certainly got some promising output out of Kevin Lankinen this season, and Drew Commesso had a great freshman year at Boston University, but you can never put all your eggs in one basket. And that is precisely why the Hawks have been connected to either Cossa or Wallstedt for this draft spot. The only thing that has me hesitating here is that the Hawks have not gone to Sweden very much in the opening rounds of the draft, save Adam Boqvist. However, I think many people would tell you that if you can get Wallstedt at number eleven, you’re doing well. I have read some scouting comments on him recently that call him one of the most intelligent young goalies these scouts have ever seen. If Chicago can bring him into the fold with Commesso, they should be able to develop at least one of them into a top flight starter.

12. Calgary Flames - Kent Johnson, F, Michigan (NCAA)
The Calgary Flames could take a few different directions with this selection. I could see them having a lot of interest in either Cole Sillinger or Matthew Coronato. Adding another high end goal scorer would be very alluring. I could see them taking one of the top two Russian players in Svechkov or Chibrikov. But, I think Johnson could be someone Flames’ brass really has interest in as the BPA. There are some pace of play and perimeter concerns, but his offensive potential is sky high. We know Tod Button scouts the US very heavily and the Flames just make sense as a possible destination for Johnson.
13. Philadelphia Flyers - Fyodor Svechkov, C, Togliatti (MHL)
Svechkov just seems like someone NHL scouts are going to take higher than the amateur scouting community is projecting (and even then, it isn’t that much of a stretch). He’s one of the few top notch forwards available who is likely to stay down the middle given his strong two-way play. The Flyers have not avoided Russia in recent years and his skill set would really fit in well with some of the other players in their system currently. I could also see the Flyers targeting a defender with some size here like Ceulemans or Chayka, but they have rarely drafted out of any tier two ranks (in the case of Ceulemans). 

14. Dallas Stars - Brennan Othmann, LW, Flint (OHL)
There are two areas that Dallas has targeted heavily in recent years; the OHL and Sweden. I could see them looking at Lysell, Rosen, or Olausson here. I could see them looking at Chayka. But at the end of the day, it is clear that Dallas has a vision of the way that they want to play in the future. They want to be a hard team to match up against and that is Brennan Othmann. The physical winger has drawn some comparisons to former Dallas standout Brendan Morrow and is the perfect complement to more skilled players because he can score and because he does not require consistent puck touches to be effective. There is a simplicity to his game that is going to translate well to the NHL level.

15. New York Rangers - Cole Sillinger, F, Sioux Falls (USHL)
This just feels like a good fit. Sillinger provides a lot of versatility given his strong physical play, elite goal scoring ability, and potential to develop into a strong two-way forward. He could really play well alongside some of the high skill forwards that the Rangers have accumulated recently. And although they could be tempted by a player with a little more skill like Lysell or Coronato, I feel like adding someone like Sillinger could make a lot of sense for them. Perhaps Zachary L’Heureux...or even Tyler Boucher could be possibilities too?

16. St. Louis Blues - Corson Ceulemans, D, Brooks (AJHL)
Now under Tony Feltrin as the director of amateur scouting, it will be interesting to see which way the Blues lean with their first rounder this year. This is the highest they have selected since 2010, so hitting on a good player is imperative. If they want to focus on high end skill, I think the Swedes are in play. Same for Matt Coronato. But something tells me that Ceulemans could really draw their interest. If there is a team who has faith in the AJHL, it’s the Blues (having selected Colton Parayko out of the league a few years ago). Ceulemans’ size, mobility, and skill set make him a likely NHL player, and he may just have more offensive potential than we give him credit for. 

17. Winnipeg Jets - Isak Rosen, RW, Leksands (SHL)
One thing that Winnipeg has done consistently since Peter Ratchuk took over as the director of scouting is target Sweden. So it is easy to see them going with one of the top Swedish forwards available in this scenario. I really wanted to suggest Matthew Coronato here. I really am not confident that he slips this far. That said, the Jets have avoided the USHL since Ratchuk took over. These types of trends do tend to hold true a lot of the time. Rosen has a similar kind of projection as a high end scorer with speed and adds some dynamic transitional ability to the Winnipeg system.

18. Nashville Predators - Matthew Coronato, LW, Chicago (USHL)
Nashville took two Steel players at the draft last year, so they would be incredibly familiar with Coronato. Again, part of me wants to think that he goes earlier than this. That program and how they have developed players is highly regarded. Part of me wonders if Nashville has too many similar players in the fold already. But the other part says that Nashville could not ignore it if Coronato is still there given the connections and his high end offensive abilities. I could definitely see Fabian Lysell as an option here. Ditto Olausson. Perhaps this is a possible landing spot for Aatu Raty too, but the Preds and Jeff Kealty have largely ignored Finland in recent years after drafting so heavily out of the league for years.

19. Edmonton Oilers - Fabian Lysell, RW, Lulea (SHL)
If Lysell is still there when the Oilers pick, I would be shocked if they looked the other way. This is exactly the type of player that they should be targeting. Are there some warts? Absolutely. But he has among the highest upside of any winger available this year and his skating ability and transitional talents would have to be very intriguing to a team that is still looking for someone to play with the likes of McDavid and Draisaitl. I could also see them being interested in one of the Q forwards like Bourgault or L’Heureux too. But Lysell would be a slam dunk pick here.

20. Boston Bruins - Tyler Boucher, RW, USDP (USHL)
Speed, size, and tenacity has been long valued by this organization. They also have a deep rooted connection to taking players from the U.S. National Development team program. Insert Tyler Boucher. He missed the entire second half of the season due to injury, but he seems to be a player really gaining traction as a potential first round pick given his rare skill set. And if there is a team who truly values what he brings to the table it is Boston. There is the potential for him to develop into a Tom Wilson kind of player for them, which would be fantastic.

21. Minnesota Wild - Carson Lambos, D, Winnipeg (WHL)
Lambos does not come without risk. The health issue that kept him out of action late this year is a concern and Wild team doctors will need to give him clearance. But the Wild did draft Daemon Hunt last year in a similar position, and that has worked out pretty well for them. In Lambos they add a potential two-way defender who likely has more offensive potential than other D in the system outside of Calen Addison. From a purely sentimental point of view, it would be great to see the Wild go after a guy like Jack Peart here, but they haven’t had a ton of success from the high school ranks in Minnesota. I could also see them targeting Nikita Chibrikov here.

22. Detroit Red Wings (via Washington Capitals) - Olen Zellweger, D, Everett (WHL)
While I am not completely confident that Zellweger goes this early, I think he probably deserves to after a strong U18’s performance. There is a lot of room for growth still, but his skating ability is impressive, as is his offensive potential. If the Wings don’t select one of the high end offensive defenders at six (like I have in this draft), I could see them really going for a home run pick on defense here. Aleksi Heimosalmi, Jack Peart, or Scott Morrow could be options too. But something tells me Zellweger could be the preference. Of course, the Wings could really take anyone here too. They really don’t seem to have a bias.

23. Florida Panthers - Daniil Chayka, D, Guelph (OHL)
Would I draft Chayka this high? No. Do I think he gets drafted in the first round this year? Absolutely. His combination of size, mobility, and two-way capabilities are going to be alluring to at least one franchise who thinks that they can bring out the best in his skill set. Insert the Florida Panthers, who have drafted out of the OHL and Russia in recent years. Chayka would give them another high end defensive prospect, increasing their odds that they can find eventual replacements for the likes of Yandle and Stralman, who are certainly in the twilight of their NHL careers.

24. Columbus Blue Jackets (via Toronto Maple Leafs) - Aatu Raty, Center, Karpat (Liiga)
You know that someone is going to take a chance on Raty in the first round. He came into the year as a potential first overall candidate but really disappointed in Liiga this year. That said, he still has a relatively high floor in addition to a high ceiling. Columbus and Jarmo take a chance on the Finnish center in hopes that he can develop into a quality top six forward in the NHL.

25. Minnesota Wild (via Pittsburgh Penguins) - Alexander Kisakov, LW, MHK Dynamo Moskva (MHL)
Yeah, yeah. I know what I said earlier. Nikita Chibrikov could certainly be an option. But...hear me out. I know of a few people who think that Kisakov deserves to be a first rounder based on talent. And guess who else came out of the CSKA program...Dollar Bill Kirill. Kisakov has a terrific offensive skill set and a ton of offensive potential. Given his late birthday, he may be flying under the radar due to a lack of international exposure. However his ability to push the pace could give Kaprizov a terrific running mate (and country mate).

26. Carolina Hurricanes - Evan Nause, D, Quebec (QMJHL)
Would it be surprising if Nause was the first QMJHL player off the board this year? Absolutely. But defenders like Nause go in the first round every year. There is a safeness to his game because of his combination of mobility and two-way abilities. He could easily be a long-time second pairing guy in the league and in the second half, he started to show that he may have more offensive upside. The other name that really spoke to me here was Zachary L’Heureux, given how Carolina was drawn to a similar player in Jamieson Rees two years ago.

27. Colorado Avalanche - Zachary L’Heureux, F, Halifax (QMJHL)
There is going to be a real familiarity with L’Heureux’s game having scouted Justin Barron this year. He is a real polarizing player because of his on ice antics (he was suspended four separate times this year). However, the Avs appreciate physically intense offensive forwards like L’Heureux (see Landeskog and Kadri), and likely believe that they can reign him in a bit. The talent level is there and I think NHL teams will view him as a possible standout playoff performer. I could see Colorado targeting Olausson, Robertsson, or Bourgault here too. Olausson, in particular, could be intriguing because of his skating ability, which Colorado places a lot of emphasis on.

28. New Jersey Devils (via New York Islanders) - Nikita Chibrikov, RW, SKA (MHL)
Chibrikov is a highly skilled offensive winger who had a really strong U18’s for Russia and who would be a great add to the Devils organization, who has not shied away from taking Russian players in recent years. With Eklund at #4 and Chibrikov here, New Jersey is trying to improve the skill of their wingers to help support some of the high end centers the organization already has in the fold. Xavier Bourgault is an option here too. As would be Mackie Samoskevich and Sasha Pastujov.

29. Vegas Golden Knights - Francesco Pinelli, C, Kitchener (OHL)
I like this fit for Pinelli. In 2017 the Golden Knights took Nick Suzuki, a similar type of player in his draft year to Pinelli, only to trade him and see him flourish in Montreal. They try to rectify that by taking Pinelli, who is extremely intelligent and can develop into a high end two-way player if he can learn to be a little more consistent. The Golden Knights have been known to overlook some skating concerns too, which Pinelli has. Bourgault and Olausson shouldn’t be dropping this far, but stranger things have happened.

30. Montreal Canadiens - Matthew Knies, LW, Tri-City (USHL)
Knies is someone who had a really strong finish to the season, possibly saving his first round status in this draft. He came into the year as a likely first round pick but a slow start saw him fall down rankings. A strong finish may be enough to entice a team like Montreal who could really value his skill set as a net driving presence and support winger. There are a lot of ways Montreal could go with this selection, but I do see them taking a strong winger with some size and scoring potential. Maybe William Stromgren is a possibility here too, or of course, Olausson.

31. Columbus Blue Jackets (via Tampa Bay Lightning) - Oskar Olausson, RW, HV71 (SWE J20)
Again, in recent years the Jackets have really shown a bias towards both Europe and strong skating players. In Olausson, the Jackets are taking a true wild card. He skates well. He has good size. He has flashed some real high end potential, but consistency has definitely been an issue. If he is still there at this pick (which is definitely a bit of a fall for him), I can’t see Columbus passing on him given he has the exact attributes that they really value as an organization from a scouting perspective.


32. Buffalo Sabres - Wyatt Johnston, C, Windsor (OHL)
Again, I am not sure that I would draft Johnston this high, but I do think that an NHL team is going to bite on him very early. Lots of room for physical growth because he has sprouted up this year and Buffalo is a team that has traditionally looked hard at these types who are not yet physically mature. Johnston projects as a high end middle six forward because of his high IQ, tenacity, and vision. Obviously Buffalo could go a variety of different ways here, but Johnston certainly is “their type.”

33. Anaheim Ducks - Mackie Samoskevich, F, Chicago (USHL)
Anaheim is another team with a connection with the Chicago Steel, having several players from the organization recently. I think that the Ducks really want to continue to build up skill at the forward position and Samoskevich is certainly skilled. He isn’t big. He may take some time to develop. But the offensive potential is going to be very alluring to them here. 

34. Seattle Kraken - Xavier Bourgault, F, Shawinigan (QMJHL)
I’m not sure I see Bourgault falling this far...but there will be some guys who do. In this scenario, I do think it is feasible. Later birthday. How much did his game progress this year? Will his game translate well? Is he a wing or a center? Lots of questions. But he is an intelligent and skilled offensive player and the Kraken need to focus on loading up their farm system by taking big swings. 

35. Vegas Golden Knights (via New Jersey Devils) - Shai Buium, D, Sioux City (USHL)
Buium strikes me as the type that NHL scouts will jump on early. There is a real projectable upside because of his physical tools. He’s 6’3, 214lbs and shows potential as a two-way defender because of his transitional abilities. Patience will definitely be required, but Vegas has definitely drafted some similar players with raw, physical abilities. 

36. Arizona Coyotes (via Columbus Blue Jackets) - Logan Stankoven, F, Kamloops (WHL)
Without a first round pick (forfeited) and with a brand new scouting staff, who knows how the Coyotes select with these two early second round picks. You would have to think that they look at bringing in a real high upside player with at least one of those picks. Both Darryl Plandowski and Ryan Jankowski have shown some bias towards and have some connections with Western Canada. So why not take a chance on Stankoven? His skating is a polarizing topic, but his skills are not. This is not an undersized perimeter player either. This is a young man who has a chance to be mentioned in the same vein as Alex Debrincat in that we say “why didn’t he go earlier?”

37. Detroit Red Wings - William Stromgren, W, Modo (Allsvenskan)
There are certainly a couple Q players left that could be alluring to the Wings, but since Stevie Y took over, they haven’t targeted a single Q player. I see either Stromgren, Tuomaala, Pastujov, or Robertsson being prime targets here as goal scoring wingers. I think Stromgren is a guy who could really interest Detroit in that his size and speed combination makes him very intriguing, especially when combined with his big shot. Consistency is an issue and patience will be required, but Detroit has to like the physical tools.

38. Ottawa Senators (via San Jose Sharks) - Aleksi Heimosalmi, D, Assat U20 (SM-sarja)
I do really believe that there is a chance Heimosalmi goes in the first round after his breakout performance at the U18’s. But if he doesn’t, I think he’s a target of most teams in this range. The Senators land an elite skating puck mover whose defensive game is very raw, but who does have the potential to be an impact offensive defender. The Senators certainly have the kind of depth to take these chances.

39. Nashville Predators (via Los Angeles Kings) - Jack Peart, D, Fargo (USHL)
Personally, I think Peart deserves to be a first round selection. This is a highly intelligent two-way defender who has significant offensive upside. However, his lack of elite physical tools likely keeps him out of the first, especially his average skating ability when combined with his average size. But I think NHL teams are going to see a lot of Adam Fox in Peart, and the Preds grab another out of the USHL (well and Minnesota High School Hockey). This was the pick recently acquired for Arvidsson.

40. Vancouver Canucks - Simon Robertsson, W, Skelleftea (SHL)
While Robertsson did underwhelm a bit at the U18’s, I don’t think it hurt his draft stock too much. There are still a lot of things to like. There is goal scoring potential. He is a hard worker away from the puck who plays a pretty complete game. It is easy to see Robertsson as a support player to some of the highly skilled and creative offensive players that the team has brought into the fold. And to be honest, he is probably the BPA at this point on a lot of draft boards.

41. Ottawa Senators - Zach Dean, F, Gatineau (QMJHL)
There is going to be a ton of familiarity here with Dean playing so close. The last player that the Senators took out of Gatineau was JG Pageau and he turned out alright. Dean probably projects as a similar kind of player too. While consistency was tough on an up and down Olympiques team, there is a lot to like about Dean who navigates space extremely well. 

42. Arizona Coyotes - Zachary Bolduc, F, Rimouski (QMJHL)
Again, there will be players who fall in the draft. There always are. Maybe it’s my own bias showing, since I’m not as high on Bolduc as others. However, Bolduc’s profile is similar to others who have fallen at the draft. Is there a hunger to his game that makes him an attractive first round pick? Or is he one of those guys that teams like...but there is always someone that they like a little bit more. The Coyotes grab another potential high upside forward here. I wouldn’t be shocked if this pick was a goaltender too. I also wouldn’t be shocked if this pick was Josh Doan.

43. Chicago Blackhawks - Scott Morrow, D, Shattuck St. Mary’s (USHS)
Morrow has to be considered one of the most polarizing players available this year. The skill set is dynamic. The offensive potential is sky high. But how well does he think the game and how good can he become defensively? The Blackhawks have never shied away from taking these types of defenders and even dipped into the Minnesota High School scene early last year. Wouldn’t be shocked if Sasha Pastujov is the pick here too...if he is available.

44. Calgary Flames - Prokhor Poltapov, F, Moskva (MHL)
Polatpov is a really interesting forward this year. He is strong in puck protection and shows an ability to drive the net. He, like some other Russian forwards available, had a strong performance at the U18’s and I think that solidified his spot in the first two rounds. Calgary has been drafting a lot of Russian players lately and won’t be afraid of taking a chance on Poltapov.

45. Philadelphia Flyers - Ayrton Martino, F, Omaha (USHL)
I think the Flyers are a team who could really appreciate what Martino brings to the table as an offensive forward. While his energy could be channeled better in the defensive end, there is no denying his energy in the offensive end. Terrific on his edges, Martino is slippery in the offensive zone and always seems to keep his feet moving. Heading to Clarkson, the Flyers can be patient with him, but they have to hope he develops similar to someone like Joel Farabee.

46. Dallas Stars - Samu Tuomaala, W, Karpat U20 (SM-sarja)
Even though the Stars went with Othmann in the first round, they still take Tuomaala in the second. Both project as high end goal scorers, but their games are very different. Tuomaala is a high end skater and shooter who is dangerous in transition, where as Othmann is more calculated in his approach. Wouldn’t shock me at all to see Dallas jump on Ben Gaudreau here though, or even Belarussian goaltender Alexei Kolosov.

47. Detroit Red Wings (via New York Rangers) - Ben Gaudreau, G, Sarnia (OHL)
If the Wings don’t take a goaltender at 6th, you have to think that they use one of these second rounders on one to help fill organizational depth. Gaudreau oozes potential because of his high end processing ability and strong technical abilities. He was the top goaltender at the U18’s and would be a terrific addition to the Wings system. The only hesitation is that the Wings haven’t drafted a goaltender under 6’4 in a while. It’s clear that they value size in the position from a scouting perspective. Gaudreau isn’t small (6’2), but he isn’t huge either...by Detroit’s standards.

48. Los Angeles Kings (via St. Louis Blues) - Samu Salminen, C, Jokerit U20 (SM-sarja)
Salminen had a really strong U18’s for Finland and stands out because he is a natural center in a draft with not a ton of them. A highly intelligent two-way center, Salminen has a lot of the qualities that the Kings consistently value in their draft selections. Wouldn’t shock me at all to see them select Chase Stillman here either. I could see them valuing his physicality as a potential replacement for Dustin Brown.

49. Winnipeg Jets - Josh Doan, F, Chicago Steel (USHL)
Sure it’s a great story. Josh gets drafted by the city that drafted his father...even though the team moved to Arizona and that’s where Shane made his mark. However, I would be shocked at this point if Josh is not a top 50 selection, given his progression, bloodlines, and how the scouting community has been talking about him lately. This would be a great pick by Winnipeg, as Doan projects as a strong middle six complementary piece with some size and snarl.

50. Nashville Predators - Oliver Kapanen, F, KalPa U20 (SM-sarja)
The cousin of Kasperi Kapanen, Oliver projects as a similar kind of middle six forward, given his speed and awareness on the ice. There is also some positional versatility, as he looks like a future swiss army knife. We know Nashville has drafted a lot out of Finland and a potential two-way center like Kapanen is going to be intriguing for the Preds after taking Coronato and Peart earlier.

51. New York Islanders (via DET & EDM) -  Kirill Kirsanov, D, St. Petersburg (KHL)
Always tough to gauge the offensive potential of young Russian defenders when they play in the KHL like Kirsanov. However, at minimum, he looks like a potential second pairing guy who could provide stability and flexibility with his skill set. Of course, the Isles haven’t had a ton of luck with their Russian draft picks in recent years, but I don’t think it stops them here.

52. Buffalo Sabres (via Boston Bruins) - Sasha Pastujov, F, USDP (USHL)
Definitely a bit of a fall for Pastujov, who is certainly a first round contender. But a disappointing U18’s, in combination with some skating concerns, makes me wonder if he falls. Additionally, his older brothers seemed to plateau early in their development, so is he a finished product? Regardless, his ability to dominate touches and chances between the hash marks could translate well if he can elevate other areas of his game. This is a player I could see Buffalo being on board for.

53. Minnesota Wild - Alexei Kolosov, G, Dinamo Minsk (KHL)
Another “re-entry” selection, Kolosov may not be extremely large, but he is crazy athletic. He already played well in the KHL and even at the World Championships for Belarus. I could see Minnesota looking to add depth to their goaltending pool and Kolosov could be a good one. I do believe that he is someone who could be the third goaltender selected this year (or the fourth in the case of this mock draft).

54. Washington Capitals - Stanislav Svozil, D, Brno (Czech)
Without a first round pick, it seems likely that Washington ends up with a perceived faller here. That would be a guy that they had higher on their list, but perhaps others didn’t. The Capitals have drafted out of the Czech Republic a few times in recent years and Svozil is the kind of safe, top four defender that they have targeted. His disappointing U18’s has made some second guess the potential, but there is no question that he would be a great pick here.

55. Florida Panthers - Josh Lopina, C, UMass (NCAA)
Yup...another “re-entry.” If there is a team that has jumped on second and third year eligible players in recent years, it is the Florida Panthers. They also have loved targeting Hockey East. Well how about the Hockey East’s rookie of the year and a league champion? Lopina plays a real pro style game. With some continued improvement to his skating, he could develop into the type of elite third line player that the Lightning just won back to back Cups with. 

56. Toronto Maple Leafs - Jack Bar, D, Chicago (USHL)
Seems like anyone and everyone is projecting the Leafs to take a Steel player at this draft. Why not? They have several times before. And they just brought Ryan Hardy into the fold. I think any Leafs fan would agree that the team needs to look at adding a little more size, skating ability, and snarl to the back-end. Insert Jack Bar. Blessed with some nice physical tools, Bar improved a ton over his first USHL season and is heading to Harvard next year. Did I mention that the Leafs also like Harvard players?

57. Pittsburgh Penguins - Colton Dach, C, Saskatoon (WHL)
When the Pens have targeted centers at the draft in the last decade, they all seem to fit a similar profile. Good size. Good physical tools. Colton Dach fits that bill. While I’m not sure I would personally, I definitely see an NHL team taking Dach inside the first two rounds. Teams will look at Kirby’s trajectory and wonder if Colton can achieve similar things with more development time. The Pens are going to try to swing for the fences here to see if they can hit the jackpot and Dach could be that.

58. Carolina Hurricanes - Tristan Broz, F, Fargo (USHL)
Broz just loves to attack. This is an aggressive offensive player who excels playing through traffic with his puck protection ability. I think Carolina could see him as being an excellent fit in their system. Headed to U of Minnesota, Broz will have a few years to develop, but after a strong USHL playoffs, he could be selected even higher than this.

59. Arizona Coyotes (via NYI & COL) - Zakhar Bardakov, W, Vityaz (KHL)
Given the nature of scouting in the pandemic, I think most scouts seem to agree that we may see more second and third year eligible players selected. In a normal year, we always have a few go in the first couple of rounds. In this mock, this would be the fourth to go already. Bardakov stood out at the WJC’s with his penalty killing ability and strength down low. But in the KHL he showed some goal scoring prowess. I could see a team jumping on him early in hopes that he develops into an elite third line player like a Barclay Goodrow. After taking two big swings with their earlier selections, Arizona opts for a safer player like Bardakov who could possibly help them very soon. Of course, Arizona could opt for a defender here, such as Brent Johnson.

60. Colorado Avalanche (via NJ & NYI) - Ethan Del Mastro, D, Mississauga (OHL)
The pick was recently acquired from New Jersey in exchange for Ryan Graves. With it, they could very well opt for one of the higher end potential defensive stalwarts to replace Graves in the system. Insert Ethan Del Mastro. While his offensive potential remains a bit of a mystery due to him not playing much this year, his U18 performance had to have impressed some NHL scouts enough to take him inside the first two rounds. Nolan Allan, Cam Whynot, Cole Jordan or Anton Olsson could be options here too. Allan, Whynot, and Jordan could possibly be better options due to their high end skating ability, again something Colorado values highly.

61. Chicago Blackhawks (via Vegas Golden Knights) - Chase Stillman, F, Sudbury (OHL)
Yeah yeah, I know. The Hawks recently traded for and signed his brother Riley. It makes a cute story that NHL scouts don’t often care about that much. However, I do think that Stillman goes in this range and I think that he is the type of player that they do covet at the draft. His physicality and energy will be attractive to NHL teams as he has the chance to develop into a really elite third line player at the NHL level. I could see the Hawks taking a chance on Justin Robidas here too. They will take chances on players with size issues.

62. Montreal Canadiens - Brent Johnson, D, Sioux Falls (USHL)
Johnson is a high end thinker from the back-end who is an analytics darling. He’s not the biggest. He’s not the quickest. But he is just so efficient at both ends. A high end thinker inside the offensive zone, it is easy to see his offensive game developing even more. Montreal does seem to value these types of defenders higher than their competitors. It Would not shock me to see them go for a strong two-way center here too, like Brett Harrison, Ryan Winterton, Samuel Helenius, Red Savage, etc.

63. Montreal Canadiens (via Tampa Bay Lightning) - Sean Tschigerl, W, Calgary (WHL)
Had the WHL season been longer, I do believe that we would have seen Tschigerl move up draft boards pretty significantly. He finished the season so strongly. Montreal was just beaten by Tampa, who utilized an incredible third line made up of players just like Tschigerl. Imitation is the sincerest form of flattery. With goal scoring potential, physicality, and quickness, Tschigerl is the exact kind of player I see Montreal adding with one of these two second rounders. Zack Ostapchuk, James Malatesta, Justin Janicke are some other options. 

The Next 15?
The players that I heavily considered in the second round who I think have a legitimate shot of going in the top two rounds

Nolan Allan, D, Prince Albert
Brett Harrison, F, Oshawa 
Ville Koivunen, W, Karpat U20
Dylan Duke, C, USDP
Artyom Grushnikov, D, Hamilton
Ryan Winterton, F, Hamilton
Jakub Brabanec, C, Brno 
Ilya Fedotov, F, Novgorod
Cameron Whynot, D, Halifax
Samuel Helenius, C, JYP
Zack Ostapchuk, F, Vancouver
Anton Olsson, D, Malmo
Janis Moser, D, EHC Biel
Danila Klimovich, F, Belarus
Victor Stjernborg, F, Vaxjo