Tuesday, January 8, 2019

Midseason Top 50 for the 2019 NHL Entry Draft

The start of the 2019 calendar year is nearly upon us and that means it is time for me to re-evaluate my rankings for the 2019 Draft. The OHL season is at the half way mark which gives us a great indication of how certain players have developed in their draft season. Many players have stepped up to assume large roles on their club, while others have disappointed and find themselves on the outside looking in.

While this is unquestionably a down year for the OHL, I do think that several players are starting to emerge as better talents than people gave them credit for. In October, I suggested that only a couple OHL'ers were likely to be first round selections come June. And while that still may be the case, the guys ranked inside the top 10 (or hovering around it) have all performed well and are making a strong case to seriously push up draft rankings in the second half. Tomasino has caught fire. Robertson and Rees are healthy. McMichael and Jones have kept the pace from their strong starts. Like I said, things are shaping up to be better than originally thought.

For those unfamiliar with my lists, I only include first time eligible players. So a guy like Nando Eggenberger isn't listed despite the fact that I'd expect him to receive draft consideration. I do a list of "re-entries" or second/third year eligible players prior to the draft.

And for comparison's sake, here's my preliminary top 50 from October.  

Here's the list:


1. Ryan Suzuki - Forward - Barrie Colts
Even though Suzuki has struggled a bit in the last few months, he's still my top rated OHL player. I continue to be amazed by some of his reads and passes in the offensive end. He possesses upper echelon vision and playmaking ability. And he can create plays in a variety of different contexts. He's effective off the rush because of his skating ability and understanding of spacing. He's effective working the cycle and coming off the wall. And he's effective working the powerplay, where the extra time and space really allows his vision to be spotlighted. But he seems hesitant to shoot the puck lately and defenses are challenging him to beat them this way, taking away passing lanes. He has only four goals in his last 18 games, with Barrie mired in a standings slump during this time as well. He certainly has the ability, but his game won't hit that next level until he becomes more aggressive looking for his own scoring chances. Another area that needs improvement is his faceoff ability. He's only winning 44% of his draws currently. 

2. Arthur Kaliyev - Forward - Hamilton Bulldogs
Continues to light up opposing defenses and hasn't slowed down one iota. His blend of size, skill, and smarts are just too much on most nights. Especially on the powerplay where the trio of Saigeon, Strome, and Kaliyev has been absolutely dominant. The real challenge for Kaliyev will be after the OHL trade deadline, as Hamilton could be in a position to deal off some veteran players, leaving Kaliyev with less support. If it happens, how he responds to that will go a long way as to whether he's a lottery selection or a later first/early second round pick. I do think that his game gets over-evaluated at times though. His skating draws mixed reviews. IMO, his power game is complemented by a good enough top speed, but could benefit from better start ups. And his play away from the puck is definitely inconsistent, but few 17/18 year old offensive stars are consistently engaged in this regard. It is important to remember that Kaliyev is far from the polished product that he will eventually become. His innate offensive abilities (hands, shot, vision off the rush) are top notch. 

3. Philip Tomasino - Forward - Niagara IceDogs
Aggressive ranking jump for Tomasino following a strong last couple of months. I had him pretty high coming into the season, so it's no surprise to see how well he has performed following a promotion to Niagara's top line. Since the beginning of November, Tomasino has 34 points (17 goals, 17 assists) in 23 games. That's some of the best production of any draft eligible player in the CHL during that time period. And sure, it's great to play with two players as talented as Jason Robertson and Akil Thomas. But if you watch him play, Tomasino isn't just along for the ride, he's driving the play with those two. His speed and play with the puck is electric. His pace of attack consistently opens ups scoring lanes for Robertson and Thomas. But he's also not afraid to attack the middle of the ice or the crease. He's excelled by crashing the net as part of that trio, and just seems to have an infectious energy level. It's uncertain as to whether NHL scouts will view him as a winger or as a center (he has played both), but this is one talented young player. I can honestly say that I heavily debated putting Tomasino at #1 on this list. Playing for a Niagara team that could be loading up, he is going to get his time to shine and should sky rocket up draft lists in the second half if he keeps up this rate of production. 

4. Connor McMichael - Forward - London Knights 
Let's be real here. It's not too often that we have a draft eligible player leading London in scoring (discounting Hancock), and he's not considered a consensus first round pick. I feel like that might be about to change pretty soon. McMichael isn't slowing down after his hot start, he's actually getting better. 12 goals and 11 assists in his last 14 games. McMichael offers a pretty complete package; he checks a lot of boxes. Skating ability. Check. Ability to play in all three zones. Check. Hockey sense. Check. Goal scoring ability. Check. He's also a tenacious player in the offensive zone who does a very good job controlling the boards despite not being the biggest kid (6'0, 170lbs). Sure he may not be the flashiest or most dynamic player with the puck. But his efficiency is through the roof. Much like Hayton and Dellandrea last year (similar types of players), McMichael should climb draft rankings in the second half and be in consideration for the Top 20 by June.

5. Thomas Harley - Defense - Mississauga Steelheads
Harley really hasn't done too much to fall in these rankings, it's more about what Tomasino and McMichael have done to pass him. I continue to love what Harley brings to the table offensively. Really love his aggressiveness running the point of the powerplay. Not afraid to use his size and reach to step out into the slot, or pinch down deeper to keep plays alive. Doesn't yet possess the elite point shot that you like to see from a top notch QB, but that could come given his size. But 6'3 defenders with his type of mobility can impact the game on so many different levels. He's so difficult to separate from the puck as he glides through the neutral zone. Not only does he do a good job of leading the breakout, his rushes are impactful because he's able to extend them deep and establish o-zone time. Defensively, I do think he needs to be more aggressive though. The last few times I've seen Mississauga, I've noticed some passiveness defending off the rush. Needs to step up and be more aggressive in using his size, especially his reach. I'm not an analytics expert, but his controlled entry prevention stats are probably pretty poor. But it's important to remember how much progression this kid has already shown this year. Baby steps. Rome wasn't built in a day. 

6. Nick Robertson - Forward - Peterborough Petes
Finally seems to be fully healthy and recovered from that wrist injury. Has 12 goals and 11 assists in his last 16 games. Size is going to be an issue for some people (5'8, 156lbs), but he possesses that elite escape ability that you want from smaller offensive forwards. You can't hit what you can't catch. Robertson has a bit of an awkward skating stride too. Keeps a really wide base as he darts in and out of traffic. It's very distinctive on the ice and makes him instantly recognizable among Peterborough's players. But given his brother's size, I do think that there's a chance he could still mature more physically, especially when you consider that he'll be one of the youngest available this year (September 11 birth date). Robertson also has that ability to keep the puck on a string. His hands are lightning quick and his ability to maintain possession through traffic is impressive. He is the complete package as an offensive player. 

7. Jamieson Rees - Forward - Sarnia Sting
After missing some time with a lacerated kidney, Rees is finally healthy. He's not only hitting the score sheet with regularity, but he's hitting the highlight reel too. An electric player with speed to burn; Rees is able to make moves at top speed. His hands are excellent. This summer we saw him embrace a pest like, energy role for Canada at the Hlinka and he's back playing that way in Sarnia too. Watched the Sting play recently and really liked the patience he showed in the offensive end, especially while working the wall. He's only 5'10, but he makes his presence felt all over the ice. Since the start of December, Rees has 6 goals and 8 assists in in 13 games. And he's more than capable of keeping that production rate up. 

8. Hunter Jones - Goaltender - Peterborough Petes
Always tough to rank goaltenders, but with his consistent play this year, Jones deserves to be up with the other players receiving top 60 consideration. He's beyond simply a hot start and remains in the top 5 in save percentage and wins in the OHL. He's also been an absolutely workhorse for the Petes, with only Jacob Ingham of Mississauga playing more so far. It will be interesting to watch Jones down the stretch to see if he tires. He's only a second year goaltender who played 15 games last year, and 16 the year before with Stouffville (OJHL). But Jones has the size at 6'4, 200lbs that NHL scouts want in goaltenders now. And he looks a lot quicker post to post this year, tracking the play well and showcasing his athleticism. Rebound control can still be a bit of an issue from what I've seen, but that's usually one of the last things to come around for a bigger goaltender. He should be right up there as one of the first goalies off the board from the CHL this year.

9. Blake Murray - Forward - Sudbury Wolves
Yup, I'm still on the Murray train. I get it, he can be a frustrating player to watch. Shift to shift, there are some consistency issues. And for a 6'3 kid, he needs to do a better job attacking those higher traffic areas, winning more physical battles in the corners and near the crease. But he's got the size and skill combination that NHL teams are going to desire from their centers. His skating is good. I think he has big time potential as a goal scorer, as his release is excellent and as he gets stronger and increases his intensity level, we'll see an ability to create more scoring chances for himself. Before a recent 6 game goalless drought, he was 3rd behind Kaliyev and McMichael in goal scoring by first time draft eligible players in the OHL and would have been top 10 in the entire CHL. Even if the stats haven't truly shown it, he's also been way better the last month and a half or so, since they paired him up with Quinton Byfield. Shot generation is up. He's playing with more fire. He's establishing position down low and dominating below the hash marks at times, the way that he's capable of. When I watch Murray, I actually am reminded slightly of Jeff Carter as a draft eligible player back in 2003. I remember how he frustrated scouts the same way at times. Not saying Murray is Carter or will be drafted top 11 in one of the best NHL drafts ever. Just that sometimes bigger kids take longer to figure out how to put everything together and that Murray should absolutely still be in consideration for the Top 60.

10. Billy Constantinou - Defense - Kingston Frontenacs
We knew that there would be an adjustment period for Constantinou after the deal from Niagara. It can be tough to go from one of the top teams in the OHL to one of the worst. Having to play more in his own end has both limited Constantinou's effectiveness as a puck mover, but also highlighted areas of growth required defensively. But this is a talented kid. Effortless skater who's edgework and overall agility are excellent, allowing him to slither through the neutral zone to lead the attack. Also uses that mobility to man the point on the powerplay where his vision and overall playmaking ability are improving. Defensively, he just needs to learn to make better reads, relying on his mobility to give him that advantage over attacking forwards. I will say that I do think Constantinou needs to add a little more explosiveness to his stride to take that next step as a puck mover. As mentioned, backwards and laterally, he's terrific. This could be a strength thing. The big event for Constantinou this year will likely be the U18's, where he'll (again) likely have a chance to be a key contributor for Canada, showcasing that offensive ability on the big stage.

11. Vladislav Kolyachonok - Defense - Flint Firebirds
Still not full on the Kolyachonok train. No question I see him as a top 3 round selection. But I'm just not sure I see the first round rating that some scouting organizations are giving him. There is a lot to like though. The size (6'2) and mobility combination is a major plus. His offensive game is very much raw, but there is potential there for him to develop into someone who can lead the rush with a powerful stride. His mobility really helps him in the defensive end. Shows excellent gap control. Kolyachonok is also physical and could be a terrific asset in his own end in the future, if he isn't already. But the last couple of times that I've seen Flint play, he's really struggled with his decision making with the puck in the defensive end. I see the high end potential, but I have some questions as to how high his offensive ceiling really is. If you're drafting Kolyachonok in hopes that he develops into a shut down defender, I may prefer a guy like Mitchell Brewer who is, IMO, a little more consistent with his decision making. As I said with Constantinou, tough for defenders on poor teams to truly stand out though.

12. Nicholas Porco - Forward - Saginaw Spirit
A tough player to rank right now because of some consistency issues. I think part of that has been because of the coaching change and fluctuating ice time in Saginaw too. Porco is at his best when he can use his speed to drive the net, and drive the attack. A very dangerous offensive player when the Spirit are playing up tempo. IMO Porco has some of the highest offensive potential of any forward on this list because his hands are also terrific. Has a quick release on his shot and is able to fire it while coming down the wing at full speed, or while making a sharp cut to the middle. The rest of his game is a work in progress. Being able to operate a little more efficiently when the game slows down. Finding that physical intensity to be a little better East/West, and to win more battles along the wall. I'm happy that Saginaw has been playing him on the PK at times as this will really help him learn how he can use his speed to be effective in all three zones. At the end of the day, his 15 goals are more than Blake Murray. A big finish to the year would probably solidify a spot in the top two rounds for Porco.

13. Graeme Clarke - Forward - Ottawa 67's 
Tough break for Clarke after he dislocated his shoulder at the beginning of November, keeping him out of action until recently. Hopefully he's fully healed and back playing well before the Top prospect's game at the end of January. One thing is certain, Clarke will be a fantastic OHL player and someone who will challenge for a scoring championship before his OHL career is finished. The challenge is determining whether he's also a top notch NHL prospect. For some scouts, his average size and average skating ability will prevent him from being a guy that they look at in the opening rounds. Coming into the year, I didn't know how I would rank him. I was getting Spencer Watson vibes at times. But, I think this kid put in a ton of work this offseason to change his game. His skating and explosiveness will still need work, but it's definitely improved. And he's become way more engaged without the puck, attacking the net and getting after it on the forecheck. But Clarke's bread and butter is his shot. Right up there with Kaliyev as the best in this OHL class. Because of the lack of elite physical tools, he probably stays around this area, even if he produces at a high level in the second half. But he's impressed me this year more than I thought he would.

14. Matvey Guskov - Forward - London Knights
Another guy that I'm still not on board with being a first round pick, even though I'm still seeing him ranked that high on some boards. Guskov is a solid player. There are definitely some things to like. Good size. Good skater. Works the wall well. Shows little fear playing through traffic. Strong on the puck. Shows good defensive understanding and is active in all three zones. Overall, he's proven to be a very nice complimentary player on a scoring line. But I don't see him possessing any elite qualities and I do have some question as to what type of player he projects to be at the next level. Is he innately skilled enough to play that complimentary scoring line role at the NHL level? I just want to see him flash an ability to take over a game, or even a shift at the OHL level. Looks more like a 3rd-4th round pick to me, in hopes that as he gains more confidence (Guskov is a first year import, after all), his production will greatly increase.

15. Mitchell Brewer - Defense - Oshawa Generals
Definitely a fan of Brewer's game. Projects as a modern day NHL shutdown defender, perhaps more so than Vukojevic (who I've got ranked a little lower). At 6'1, 200lbs, I actually think Brewer possesses some of the best mobility of any defender on this list. And it's that mobility that consistently makes him first to dump ins, allows him to maintain terrific gap control, and helps him come away on the winning end of 50/50 battles along the wall. Brewer is also tenacious. He'll do what it takes to help Oshawa win, be it blocking shots or pushing bodies in front of Kyle Keyser. Just a very good and intelligent player in his own end. The question is, just how much can his offensive game grow? Is there potential there? Brewer will lead the rush and is starting to become more aggressive in pushing deeper into the offensive zone. His puck skill is not poor. Might just be a matter of gaining more confidence. Best case scenario, Brewer becomes a quality two-way defender like an Alec Martinez. Worst case scenario, Brewer settles into more a strictly stay at home type. He's a top three round prospect for me though.

16. Michael Vukojevic - Defense - Kitchener Rangers
Very rare to see a 17 year old playing as a #1 defender in the OHL, even if Kitchener is barely hanging on to the 8th spot in the West. Vukojevic is poised beyond his years in the defensive end. His -16 on the year indicative of the fact that he consistently gets matched up against the opposition's best and Kitchener's supporting cast just isn't incredibly strong this year. At 6'3, 200lbs, Vukojevic is definitely a big boy, and he excels when he is engaged physically. He's tough to win one on one battles against and is great on the penalty kill where he can use his smarts to break up passes, and his size to move bodies. His mobility is only average though. It's not an issue, but it's not an asset like say, Mitchell Brewer or Kolyachonok, two similar players. And I think Vukojevic has shown less offensively than those two, as well. His play with the puck really has not progressed this year, especially of late where turnovers have been a bit of an issue when trying to start the breakout. Vukojevic is someone who will need to have a great U18's (assuming he goes), as he could be a candidate for a leadership role for that Canadian entry. 

17. Joe Carroll - Forward - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
Truthfully, I did want to put Carroll higher. I think there is definitely the potential for him to develop into power forward who could be a big factor offensively. But, I think we also need to be realistic given his production thus far. He's on pace to be below the 40 point mark on the season But if you watch him play, he does catch your eye. Powerful skating stride for a big kid (6'3). Has a couple shifts per game where he dominates along the wall and keeps play in the offensive zone for a good 45 seconds. But consistency has been an issue. And you have to wonder what the disconnect is between his ice time, scoring chances that he creates, and his lack of production. Stats aren't everything. But I know the same issues plagued Carroll in his minor midget year (from talking to those who watched him), so is this a trend? One of the key players to watch in the second half. With his physical tools, if he starts producing consistently, he will rocket up draft lists.

18. Keean Washkurak - Forward - Mississauga Steelheads
Another tough player to rank because I love the way he plays the game. But is he a serious NHL prospect? Washkurak started out the year gangbusters and was one of the leading scorers of draft eligibles the first few months. But he's gone ice cold offensively since then; recently snapping a 17 game goalless drought. But even when he's not scoring, Washkurak makes his presence known. He's one of the more explosive skaters available from the OHL and is constantly on the attack without the puck, looking to put pressure on the opposition. Washkurak is also fearless on the ice and plays the game with a near reckless abandon. In the last few weeks he's fought DJ King and Jordan Sambrook, two defenders that he gives up about 5 inches and 30-40lbs on. Which brings me to my next point, his lack of size at 5'10. If he's not scoring at that size, even if he's engaged in every other area, will NHL teams look at him seriously? And just how much offensive potential does Washkurak have? Again, I love him as a player and I have him at 18 because I feel like he can recover his production. But if he doesn't, he'll be much lower than 18 in my final rankings. Let's see how he fares without McLeod and Tippett in the lineup now.

19. Cole Mackay - Forward - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
Mackay is kind of similar to Graeme Clarke in the sense that he lacks the elite physical tools that some scouts want to see. He's 5'11 and skating is most definitely not his best asset. He will definitely need to upgrade his first few steps, in particular, to give him that escapability that he'll need at the next level. But what he lacks in those areas, he makes up for everywhere else. Mackay's hockey sense is one of the highest of players available from the OHL IMO. One of those guys who just seems to find scoring lanes or passing lanes in the offensive end; who seems to be one step ahead of the opposition. He's also very solid in his own end and he forces turnovers with a quick stick and anticipation. Mackay has also embraced the role of crease crasher this year, showing no fear of larger defenders and doing what he needs to do to be a scoring line player. Right now, Mackay is a solid complimentary piece. Can he be the straw that stirs the drink though? Is there enough puck skill and will his skating ability get to where it needs to? These are good questions. As I've said a few times, Mackay reminds me a lot of former Otter and current Maple Leaf Connor Brown. 

20. Petr Cajka - Forward - Erie Otters
The scoring has come in bunches this year, but that's what happens when you don't see much powerplay time. Cajka is a kid that's really starting to grow on me. He's fourth among draft eligible OHL'ers in even strength goals behind Kaliyev, Tomasino, and McMichael. He's sixth in primary points at even strength. That's pretty solid production. Cajka isn't huge at 5'11, 170lbs, but he controls the boards really well. He has terrific edgework and always keeps his feet moving, making him difficult to pin down. As such, Cajka is also dangerous in transition and he's gaining confidence in his ability carry the puck. But most of all, I like Cajka's two-way game. Active on the penalty kill and makes a concerted effort in his own zone to win one on one battles. He's engaged in every aspect. I don't think that he's a future top 6 player at the next level. But he could definitely develop into a quality third line option who could be a consistent 15 goal scorer and PK option. There's a lot of value in that. Will be interesting to see if Cajka gets more powerplay time in the second half if Erie moves some pieces at the deadline.

21. Cole Schwindt - Forward - Mississauga Steelheads
Like his teammate Washkurak, Schwindt has seen his offensive production slow down after a blazing hot start. But like Washkurak, Schwindt is noticeable even if he's not hitting the score sheets. I think that this kid is going to develop into one of the OHL's best shutdown defensive forwards by the time he graduates from the league. He has the length at 6'3, he engages physically, and his anticipation and reads are excellent. As he gets stronger, he will be an absolute force on the penalty kill. Offensively, Schwindt keeps things simple and from center, I think he does a good job controlling play in the offensive end and projects as a playmaker who can drive possession time. Again that size is going to be an asset below the hash marks. His skating is the one area that I'm not sure I've got a good read on. He has this wide base that makes him look a little awkward. But he gets to where he needs to and definitely flashes the occasional burst that makes you say "hmm." But I do think that he could stand to get more power in his start ups, which would make him better at carrying the puck through the neutral zone to gain the offensive zone. Like Washkurak, all eyes will be on Schwindt to see how he finishes the season offensively with Tippett and McLeod out of the picture.

22. Ethan Keppen - Forward - Flint Firebirds
If I were to tell you that Keppen leads all OHL draft eligible players in primary assists 5 on 5, would you be surprised? I certainly was surprised to find that out because I think of Keppen as more of a goal scorer first and foremost. Admittedly, I've had a tough time getting a read on Keppen this year because of Flint's struggles. And I'm sure I'm not alone there; part of the problem with playing on a poor team. But the thing I always have admired about him is that no matter the score, his compete level and motor never seem to waver. He creates offense through physicality, by driving through people and not around them, using his 6'2, 220lbs frame to wreck havoc below the hash marks. Tough player to separate from the puck already. Imagine how difficult that could be in two years when he's bigger, stronger, quicker, and more confident? Could be the perfect future linemate for the cerebral Shane Wright, if he gets exceptional status and becomes a Firebird. I think a guy like Keppen will have a ton to prove at an event like the U18's, where he could be a key player for Canada. A strong performance there could solidify him as a top 3 round prospect.

23. Jacob LeGuerrier - Defense - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
In October I told you that it was only a matter of time before this guy started putting up points. Now 4 goals and 5 assists in his last 17. Not ground breaking, but a 30+ point pace that is impressive for a kid who projects more as a quality stay at home type. LeGuerrier is the kind of kid you really have to see play to appreciate him. 6'3, 200lbs, but his mobility is a big asset. And as I mentioned in October, we're really seeing him start to use that mobility for offense. There is potential there. But defensively, he's a stud. +17 is second best among Greyhound blueliners. But he uses that size so effectively in the defensive end. With his reach and mobility, he's so difficult to get around. He defends the rush as well as any player on this list. But LeGuerrier is also physical and makes his presence felt in the corners and in front of the net. Every time I see the Hounds, it seems like he gets better; as his confidence grows. Wouldn't be surprised if I had him ranked inside my Top 18 or so by the end of the year.

24. Daniil Antropov - Forward - Oshawa Generals
I remain lower on Antropov than some, despite him being a bit of an analytical darling currently. He's tied with Cajka for sixth in 5 on 5 primary points for draft eligible players. And he's fifth in primary assists (right there with the likes of Kaliyev, McMichael, Tomasino, etc). He also has the bloodlines (son of Nik) and the size (6'2). But for whatever reason, he just doesn't seem to pass the eye test for me as much as the others that I have ranked ahead of him. I'm just not as confident that his skill set translates well to the next level because I think his skating lacks power, and I'm not crazy about his engagement level without the puck. He's just kind of present in the offensive end. But the hockey sense is definitely good, especially his vision. That's evident on the powerplay where he operates very efficiently as a playmaker. Maybe I'm just not seeing his best games. But right now, Antropov is more of a mid round pick for me.

25. Kari Piiroinen - Goaltender - Windsor Spitfires
Consistency has been a major issue for Piiroinen, especially since he took over the reigns from Dipietro for good. But there are a lot of things to like and I do think that he will eventually develop into very good netminder. He oozes athleticism. Moves very well in the crease and makes a lot of acrobatic saves moving post to post. Also have been impressed with his glove hand. Has very quick reflexes and does a good job taking away the upper part of the net with a quick glove, rarely giving up rebounds on higher shots. I think a lot of Piiroinen's issues this year have come from a lack of strength. Seems to have trouble holding his post and I've seen a lot of wrap around goals scored on him, or pucks going in at awkward angles fired from near the dot. Pucks also seem to squeeze through his body on longer shots or when teams get him moving side to side. But Windsor is committed to Piiroinen as their goalie of the future (and now) and he's a quality draft prospect even if there are some holes.

26. Daniel D'Amico - Forward - Windsor Spitfires
Started the year extremely slowly; although was probably more snake bitten than playing poorly. But since the start of November, he's been one of the better offensive players in the age group. 14 goals and 11 assists in his last 25 games. He's driving the play with his energy. Never seems to stop moving his feet in the offensive end. He's always in attack mode. D'Amico also possesses one of the better releases in the age group. Quick strike player who gets himself in scoring position, which is thanks to his great hockey sense. Just a very good offensive player. I think NHL scouts will ding him for his lack of size (5'9) and his lack of truly dynamic skating ability. D'Amico is certainly not a poor skater, but I don't think he possesses elite acceleration. His energy level and non stop motor make him appear to be a better skater than he is IMO. But if he keeps producing like he has been, and if he continues to be Windsor's best player down the stretch, he'll endear himself to disbelievers.  

27. Nikita Okhotyuk - Defense - Ottawa 67's
Tough to rank Okhotyuk any higher than this given that his offensive game has regressed this year. Last year, we saw him take some chances, leading the rush or jumping up into the play. This year, we just haven't seen that quite as much. That isn't to say that he struggles with the puck. I don't see him committing a ton of turnovers or fumbling the puck. It's just that he keeps things simple. Chip outs, deferrals, etc. I really expected that part of his game to grow more this year, but it just hasn't. Defensively, he's still a rock. Good mobility. Plays physical. Has a really good stick that breaks up a lot of entry attempts and/or scoring chances deep in the defensive zone. I just don't know if he ends up being more than a mid-late round pick because of a lack of offensive upside. I know he still has his fans though.

28. Tag Bertuzzi - Forward - Hamilton Bulldogs
Unfortunately we won't be able to see how the move to Hamilton helps Bertuzzi, as he's now out for the year with a shoulder injury. The former #2 priority selection just has not lived up to expectations thus far. Bertuzzi is at his best when he's driving the play physically and creating through hard work and determination. Is effective along the wall and does show a nice playmakers touch, especially when working behind the net. But I have found him to struggle when trying to create with the puck off the rush, where he can force plays and commit turnovers. His hands just haven't caught up yet and he struggles as the pace increases. I still think he ends up getting drafted, but probably not until later now. Where he ends up in my final rankings probably depends on how the players currently rated below him perform in the second half.

29. Lucas Peric - Defense - Ottawa 67's
Peric has been fantastic for the 67's this year. I would argue that he's one of the best third pairing defenders in the OHL. His skating is extremely noticeable. Glides around the ice effortlessly. Have noticed him being consistently first to dump ins. Don't have access to the analytics data, but I would guess that his dump in recovery rate would be extremely high. With his mobility, he's also quick to start the breakout and escapes forecheckers well. He's the perfect fit for the way coaches want to play the game now. Like any player on a good team, playing a relatively limited role, it's tough to get a read on what his high end potential is. How good can he be offensively? Can he quarterback a powerplay? What is his ceiling as a defensive player? Can he match up against bigger forwards and win one on one battles when he's not able to use his skating to his advantage? Lots of questions. 

30. Mason Primeau - Forward - North Bay Battalion
Primeau has played well in North Bay since leaving Guelph. Operating at near a point per game with the Battalion, Primeau has excelled with 2nd line minutes and more special teams responsibility. At 6'5, his size is a big time asset in the offensive end and if there is someone who is good at harnessing offensive skill in bigger players, it's Stan Butler. Primeau looks a lot more confident with the puck in North Bay. Seeing him now try to use his size to drive the middle with the puck, attempting to open up scoring lanes for either himself or teammates. And he's a force below the hash marks, controlling the wall. There's still work to be done with his ability to work in transition, especially being able to receive and control passes at full speed. And his skating will need to improve. But Primeau has some nice NHL bloodlines and is trending in the right direction.

31. Keegan Stevenson - Forward - Guelph Storm
I've mentioned previously that I'm a fan of Stevenson's game, so naturally I'm happy to see him having a nice little breakout season. Problem is, no one is talking about it. His 12 goals are currently top 10 among draft eligible OHL players. The fact that he's flying under the radar a bit is likely due to his late birth date, in combination with his relatively unexciting style of play. Stevenson is the kind of guy who knows his role on the ice. It's that classic North/South power game. Drive the net with the puck. Drive the net without the puck. Bang bodies. Dig out loose pucks. Create space for his linemates. Kill penalties. He's a work horse for George Burnett in those regards. But Stevenson actually has good hands for a big guy who plays that role. As he gains more confidence and continues to upgrade his skating, I think he could develop into an even more dangerous player off the rush and a more consistent goal scorer. We're not talking about a future top 6 player here at the next level. But, I do feel that Stevenson could develop nicely as a checking line player and be an NHL'er in the future.

32. Liam Ross - Defense - Sudbury Wolves
I love Liam Ross the same way that I did Tyler Tucker last year. He's not the most economical of defenseman in terms of his skating ability. And it's likely to hurt him on NHL draft boards (the same way it did with Tucker last year). But, Ross is already a solid OHL defender and is a kid who seems to improve nearly every time I see the Wolves play. Just a really smart player at both ends who is an extremely important player for Sudbury and has to be considered one of the reasons why they've had a resurgence this year. Even without a terrific top gear, Ross is able to start the breakout effectively because he identifies lanes well and has great vision up ice. He uses this same hockey sense to defend in his own end. Has good size at 6'2 and will use that size to his advantage. Although that physical component does need to be a little more consistent. I think by the time his OHL career is over, Ross could be one of the league's top two-way defenders. At the same time, I see him as a great candidate for the mid-late rounds of the draft because his skating will still need to improve to be a pro, and he still will need to carve out a niche at one end or the other. 

33. Eric Uba - Forward - Flint Firebirds
Every time I see Flint play, I come away impressed by Uba. Plays the game at such a high tempo. Always driving. Always pushing. Very much a straight up and down player, but he's effective driving the middle of the ice. Has been extremely effective 5 on 5 this year. Among U19 players (so 2000 born and younger), Uba is top 10 in primary points and shots. Factor in the fact that this is Uba's first season in the OHL, I think that's pretty impressive, regardless of the fact that he's a late born 2000. And Uba isn't a small kid either. At 6'0, his game is projectable to the next level. When all is said and done, I could see this kid being among the leading scorers in the OHL, pending that Flint can eventually pull it together as a team.

34. Kyen Sopa - Forward - Niagara IceDogs
Feel a little bit bad for Sopa. Started the year in Niagara's top 6, but has been pushed down the lineup in recent weeks. As a result, his offensive production has suffered, as has his exposure. I do actually really enjoy watching Sopa play. He's like the little engine that could out there. Not the biggest at 5'9, but he is in there on every play. Has a lot of pest like qualities. He's also strong on the puck for a smaller guy and it has made him a very effective player in traffic, especially within 5 feet of the net. Sopa is also a strong skater, and it allows him to be a real puck hound out there. Seems like he's constantly buzzing. I'm still not quite sure what his high end potential is though. And for an undersized, late 2000 born player, I see that as a reason to have him lower in my rankings. He's great without the puck and I like his release. But how good is he with the puck? Can he drive the play consistently while playing with more skilled players? Or is he purely a high energy, change of pace complimentary piece? As Niagara adds more pieces down the stretch, it will be difficult to ascertain that.

35. Mason Millman - Defense - Saginaw Spirit
Millman has to be the player who has benefited the most from Caleb Everett's injury. Has rocketed up Saginaw's depth chart as an OHL rookie. The Spirit have used Millman a lot on the powerplay and I've liked his play there. Makes quick decisions with the puck on the point and does a great job keeping pucks in at the line. His skating ability is an asset there too, as he showcases strong lateral movement to try to open up lanes. His shot and his confidence in using it will definitely need to improve though. It's not much of a threat at this point. Defensively, Millman has potential because of his size (6'1) and that aforementioned mobility. He always seems to keep his feet moving and does a great job staying ahead of the attack. His defensive game is still raw, but you have to be impressed with what he's done in his first year. Probably profiles most as a puck mover at the next level.

36. Jack York - Defense - Barrie Colts
Moved from Kitchener to Barrie recently in the Justin Murray deal. Son of former NHL defender Jason. I think that eventually, Jack is going to develop into a very good powerplay QB in this league. His 2 goals don't necessarily say or show it, but his shot can be a real asset. He gets a lot behind it. It's just about getting himself in consistent positioning and situations to use it. And it looks like Barrie recognizes this as they are using him on the point early on. York also shows well at times as a puck mover. But turnovers can be a problem at times, especially in the defensive end. I think some of that could be improved by adding more explosiveness to his stride, as he currently lacks the ability to escape the forecheck with his skating alone. Defensively, he plays with vigor. Doesn't back down from battles and will surprise with physicality. But he can get caught flat footed at times, so gap control will be a focus area. But given his bloodlines, and some nice potential, I like York's chances of being a draft pick come June. Very curious to see how he does in Barrie down the stretch.

37. Mack Guzda - Goaltender - Owen Sound Attack
Guzda continues to tumble down the draft board. Started the year as one of the top goalies available in the CHL, but consistency issues continue to plague him. So much so that he's currently lost his starting gig to fellow draft eligible Andrew MacLean. The potential is still sky high because of his size (6'5, 218lbs) and athleticism combination. He flashes that for periods, or even games at a time. But Guzda seems to be struggling with the psychological components right now. Kind of reminds me of Dylan Wells in his draft year. Is having a great game, gives up a goal he probably wants back, and then it's all down hill from there. He's the type of kid who could really benefit from having a veteran goaltender to be paired with, to help him. I still think that he'll end up being drafted, but it may not be until the later rounds, (much like Wells in his draft year).

38. Andrew Perrott - Defense - Owen Sound Attack
Recently acquired by the Attack in the Hancock deal. Due to London's depth, consistent playing time has been an issue for Perrott this year. He saw sheltered minutes on the third pairing or he found himself scratched. As such, he hasn't developed a ton this year. Still possesses a lot potential as a physical two-way defender. Plays a real throwback style. Is one tough customer to match up against near the crease or in the corners. From what I've seen, his skating hasn't improved a ton this year though, and that holds him back from being a more impactful player. And his confidence with the puck seems to be lower than it was last year. When he does play, he keeps things very simple, as if he's afraid to make a mistake and find himself back in the press box. I was so impressed by him last year so the lack of improvement is frustrating. Hoping the move kick starts his play.

39. Nathan Allensen - Defense - Barrie Colts
Bound to get more ice time with Joey Keane on the move; especially on the powerplay where he can show what he is capable of offensively. Has impressed me with his physical intensity this year, which is needed given that he is a little undersized (5'11). Flashes good mobility leading the rush too. At this point, I think scouts are still trying to figure out what type of defender Allensen projects to be. As someone who doesn't possess elite size, he'll need to wow in the second half with skills that are a little more projectable. This is especially true offensively.

40. Brayden Guy - Forward - Sarnia Sting
Has been excellent this year as a complimentary piece on Sarnia's scoring lines. Very effective player without the puck. Crashes the net. Works the wall. Finds scoring lanes. Has been fairly productive offensively too without significant powerplay time. Potential for the next level may be limited as his game offensively is pretty simple. Doesn't flash much in terms of one on one puck skill. Very much a dump and chase, North/South kind of player. But there is a place for guys like Guy at the next level. And there's always the chance that his confidence grows offensively eventually. 

41. Grayson Ladd - Defense - Windsor Spitfires
Extremely intelligent stay at home defender. Has among the best defensive hockey sense and positioning of any defender listed here. His mobility is good for the type of game he plays too. Very much a modern day shutdown defender though; stick on puck and quick transitions. Not a ton of physicality. Offensive production has been pretty decent, but I don't see a ton of offensive potential for the next level. His pro potential lies in continuing to improve his strength in the defensive end, adding a little more sandpaper to his game to help him be more than just strong positionally. 

42. Nathan Staios - Defense - Windsor Spitfires
Not much has changed here. I still love Staios' game. But I still think that he's going to need to produce more offensively to truly be on NHL draft lists come June. It's not impossible for defenders at 5'8 to be successful in today's NHL. Especially when they possess Staois' skating ability. His cuts and fluidity are fun to watch. Allows him to be difficult to hem into the defensive zone and makes him good at keeping pucks in at the line. And Staios is solid defensively and plays the game hard like his father Steve did. Plays way bigger than his size. But guys like Jared Spurgeon and Matt Grzelcyk are terrific offensive players too and I don't think Staios is that yet. I've still got him ranked, but he's probably a long shot for the draft. Cheering for him though. 

43. Jordan Frasca - Forward - Windsor Spitfires
Still don't know what to make of Frasca in all honesty. I know of some that are big fans of his and believe in his potential to develop into a quality goal scorer. Has good size and has been versatile positionally (playing the wing and center this year). But every time I see Windsor play, Frasca isn't very noticeable. Consistency has been a big issue (in 8 of his 32 games this year, he hasn't registered a shot). But it's important to remember that Frasca is an OHL rookie and as he adds strength this could improve his ability to make plays with the puck (keeping possession). I'll continue to keep tabs on him in the second half.

44. Luke Cavallin - Goaltender - Flint Firebirds
Still struggling to find his footing in the OHL with only a couple good performances since the beginning of November. It has to be hard for him to gain any sort of confidence playing for a Flint team that has struggled, especially defensively. Faces a lot of premium scoring chances. And he makes some very athletic saves that show just how much potential he possesses. But he is still prone to some poor goals due to some poor positioning. Pucks that squeak through the five hole, through the body, and from over committing. Still have him ranked because I've seen enough to suggest that he could be an NHL prospect. But if he doesn't turn it around a little bit in the second half, he probably falls out of my top 50.

45. Andrew MacLean - Goaltender - Owen Sound Attack
Tough stretch of recent games, but a pretty conservative ranking for one of the OHL's hottest netminders through December. That stretch was certainly impressive. MacLean is definitely a bit of an unconventional netminder. Hybrid goalie who plays a mix of butterfly and stand-up. Very active in his crease and makes a lot of desperation style saves. Really like how he fights through traffic to make a save; one of the things that I've got highlighted in my rather limited notes for him. He has the size at 6'2 too. I guess I just want to see him replicate that December play, or at least some semblance of it. Could he be this year's Matthew Villalta? 

46. Tim Fleischer - Forward - Hamilton Bulldogs
Getting better every time I see Hamilton play. Last time I saw the Bulldogs, they had him with Strome and Kaliyev and he didn't look out of place at all. I definitely wish the production was better, but I think he's been way better than the stat line indicates. Love how he can carry the puck through the neutral zone and push the pace. Perfect compliment to Kaliyev and Strome for that reason as he helps them gain entry to the zone. Strength on the puck is an issue. But Fleischer is far from a polished product, even if he's a late 2000 born player.

47. Navrin Mutter - Forward - Hamilton Bulldogs
Probably going to take some heat for this one because Mutter may just be the most hated player in the OHL among fans outside of Hamilton. No question he plays the game reckless and the way he hits is being removed from the game. But, if you look at him with an unbias eye, he's actually turned himself into a very effective player the last few months. His offensive game has really come around. This kid can shoot a puck. And with his long frame at 6'3, he actually is hard to separate from the puck once he gets in stride in the offensive zone. If his energy can be harnessed more for good, and his puck skill continues to evolve, Mutter is a pro prospect, whether you agree with his antics or not.

48. Cullen McLean - Forward - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
The ice time fluctuates, but I think he makes the most of it. Obviously the offensive production is not going to be consistent. But it's important to remember that McLean is playing in his first season above midget and strength/conditioning is something that will need to improve. But at 6'2, this kid already flashes an ability to make plays in the open ice and I think he possesses a lot of potential as a playmaker. Good in the open ice, just needs to be stronger on the puck in other areas. I trust the Greyhounds' developmental model and I think this is a kid to watch in the future, even if he doesn't truly crack the NHL scouting radar this year.

49. Mitchell Russell - Forward - North Bay Battalion
The early results following a move to North Bay have been very promising. Have yet to see him play in a North Bay uniform, so tough to comment on his play there. But the point per game average is great. Coming out of minor midget, Russell was said to possess some of the highest goal scoring potential and one of the better shots in the age group. But we haven't seen that consistently yet. Skating was an area that I felt had held him back in Owen Sound. But he does have size at 6'0. Will need to see him play with the Battalion and hope he keeps up the solid production. 

50. Ashton Reesor - Defense - Sarnia Sting
Debated a whole bunch of guys at #50 and I think an argument could be made for any of my HM's taking this spot. But here's why I went with Reesor. This is a 6'3 kid who projects as a shutdown defender and probably will end up being one of the OHL's best in the defensive end before he graduates from the league. Plays a lot of key minutes for Sarnia, especially in defensive situations. His skating will need to continue to improve. The physicality will need to be more consistent. The puck skill and his confidence in playing with the puck will need to develop. But there's just something about his quiet effectiveness that is intriguing. +/- isn't a stat that I put a lot of weight on, but it's worth noting that Reesor's +13 is the best among Sarnia's defenders by 10 points. 

Honorable Mentions
Jacob Winterton - Forward - Flint Firebirds
Tyler Angle - Forward - Windsor Spitfires
Erik Cermak - Forward - Peterborough Petes
Anthony Aguanno - Defense - Kingston Frontenacs
Mathew Hill - Defense - Barrie Colts
Luke Bignell - Forward - Barrie Colts
Dalton Duhart - Forward - Barrie Colts
Duncan Penman - Defense - Mississauga Steelheads



Saturday, December 15, 2018

2019 OHL Trade Deadline Preview

The 2019 OHL Trade Deadline is set for January 9th (for overage players), and January 10th (for all other players).

As is the annual tradition, I will look at previewing the action we may see at the deadline and what some teams may, or may not do.

We've already seen three big trade chips move in Jason Robertson, Michael Dipietro, and recently Ryan Merkley. At this point, I think we know which teams are all in. The question remains, which teams are fully set on the rebuild?

In the East, the recent Justin Murray deal would suggest that Barrie is exploring the option of dealing all veterans (considering Murray was their captain). Given that Hamilton is coming off an OHL Championship, I would think that they move veterans too. Kingston and North Bay have to given their place in the standings. That leaves Mississauga. Last year, they let Nic Hague go without getting anything for him. But I understood that decision given the team's propensity for strong second half performances. This year, the team just isn't as strong and the East is extremely competitive. Can you let Tippett and McLeod go without bringing in assets to help the team moving forward beyond this year? I don't think you can.

In the West, Erie, Flint, Sarnia, Kitchener, and Windsor seem likely to move players. Like Mississauga in the East, I wonder what Owen Sound does. They are fighting for 3rd in the Conference. Their offense is terrific when it is firing on all cylinders. But goaltending remains an issue and I think it's far fetched to assume that they could beat London, the Soo, or Guelph and Saginaw after they load up at the deadline (an inevitability IMO). So do they move guys like Suzuki, Durzi, Phillips, Hancock? I think they have to explore the option. Either that, or they have to make deals to strengthen their weaknesses and make one final run. But is there a goaltender available that can be an upgrade over Guzda/MacLean? Standing pat is just not an option for the franchise considering how weak they look heading into next year.

So let's make some predictions:

Matthew Strome - Hamilton Bulldogs
One of the biggest names available at this year's deadline. Strome is someone with Championship experience, size, and who can play in all situations. He can improve your powerplay, your penalty kill, and with his hockey sense and vision, chemistry shouldn't be an issue for wherever he ends up. Take your pick; Ottawa, Peterborough, London, Guelph, Saginaw, The Soo. They could all use a guy like Strome. Ottawa seems like a really good fit for him, given their weakness on the left side and their need for another big body who can play down low. If Sault Ste. Marie decides to go for a big home run, he would look great with either Hayton or Frost too. And obviously London is going to make a deal for a bigger forward who can dominate down low and improve their powerplay unit.
Prediction: Strome goes to London (with Brandon Saigeon) in exchange for Luke Evangelista, Andrew Perrott, Matt Timms, KIT 2 2019, HAM 3 2020, NIA 3 2022, LDN 2 2024

Brandon Saigeon - Hamilton Bulldogs
Always difficult to move a high quality overager like Saigeon, given the lack of trade options (because of limited slots). But Saigeon will be a hot commodity given his dominance in last year's playoffs and how good he is on the powerplay. I look at the London Knights as a potential spot for him even with them at the limit for OA's. They'll want to improve their powerplay and few players in the OHL are as good on the man advantage as Saigeon. Ottawa and Niagara have space for overagers too. Ottawa, in particular, could use Saigeon on the left side and have him be a triggerman. But I think they may end up preferring more of a playmaker there.
Prediction: Saigeon goes to London (with Matt Strome) in exchange for Luke Evangelista, Andrew Perrott, Matt Timms, KIT 2 2019, HAM 3 2020, NIA 3 2022, LDN 2 2024

Isaac Nurse - Hamilton Bulldogs
Has taken a step backward this year as an offensive player, but teams wont forget his performance in last year's playoffs. Nurse is the type who can slide onto a 3rd or 4th line, bring energy and physicality, and who can improve your penalty killing unit. Plus, he'll be a solid overager next year. I would imagine that Hamilton will receive a ton of interest in him because of this. However, will the price be right? If I am Hamilton, I don't deal Nurse unless I am getting a couple high quality picks back for him and at this point, I'm not sure a team will be doing that. Could definitely see a team like Ottawa making a push for him. But I think the hometown kid ends up finishing the year as a Bulldog.
Prediction: Nurse stays with Hamilton

Mackenzie Entwistle - Hamilton Bulldogs
Another player who is going to draw a ton of attention leading up to the deadline. Entwistle can play any role and his versatility is going to be coveted. Size, speed, tenacity, playoff experience. You can play him down the middle. You can play him on the wing. You can ask him to be a front of the net presence on the powerplay, or have him anchor your top PK unit. There are a couple of really good fits IMO. Niagara comes to mind first. He would be a perfect 3rd line center for them and would help improve their penalty kill. Then Guelph, SSM, and Saginaw could all be good fits too. Saginaw is another team that could stand to improve their PK and they would use Entwistle as a 2nd/3rd line winger, improving their scoring depth. Fits well into the personality of their forward group too. Then again, any of the teams competing for an OHL Championship could fit a guy like Entwistle into their lineup.
Prediction: Entwistle goes to Saginaw in exchange for Aidan Prueter, LDN 3 2019, BAR 2 2020

Kade Landry - Hamilton Bulldogs
Solid two-way defender who was picked up from Barrie last year. Could be a solid depth option for a Championship caliber team who feels that their third pairing needs more puck skill. Will likely be a solid top 4 guy as an OA next year too. Could see a few teams in the East really looking at him, like Oshawa, Peterborough, and Sudbury. A possible fit in the Soo or London too. Like Nurse, I think Hamilton keeps him to be one of their OA's next year though, unless they're blown away by an offer.
Prediction: Landry stays in Hamilton

Nicolas Mattinen - Hamilton Bulldogs
Given how much the Bulldogs gave up to get Mattinen last year, I am sure that they are going to try to recoup those assets by moving him. The behemoth defender would be a great add for a playoff team. Can play in any situation and his bomb from the point is a real asset. Has that Championship experience from last year too. Problem is, how many teams have the overage room for him? And of those teams, how many will be using that OA spot on a defender? Ottawa has OA room but I think they'll add at forward in the OA department, not on defense. That leaves Niagara as a possibility, and they could use his size on the back-end. However, as you'll see further along in my predictions, I have them going a different route. Guelph is also a possibility, but things get complicated considering they would have to move out an OA or two first. With Merkley gone, the team could look to address their need for a PP QB and Mattinen's 4 goals are tied for the most among OHL defenders. His size and experience would greatly help right now.
Prediction: Mattinen goes to Guelph in exchange for Domenico Commisso, PBO 2 2019, KIT 2 2020, WSR 3 2021

Brett Neumann - Kingston Frontenacs
One of the hottest players going into the holiday break. Neumann has had a sensational year. Kingston is obviously rebuilding and he's going to draw interest. His faceoff prowess and tenacity will be coveted by playoff bound teams. I could see teams like Oshawa, Niagara, Guelph, London, and Saginaw all looking at him pretty hard. But there's no chance I deal him unless I get a bounty for him considering he profiles as one of the top OA's in the OHL next year. And quite frankly, I could see Kingston improving a bit next year, especially if they finish with the 1st or 2nd overall pick. Neumann could then be dealt next year for an equally solid haul (just as Erie is doing with Maksimovich this year).
Prediction: Neumann stays in Kingston

Ryan Cranford - Kingston Frontenacs
Not going to be a huge market for an OA like Cranford, but he would be the perfect low key add for a competitive team with OA room. Could slide on to a 3rd/4th line and play a role on the PK. That's why I could see Ottawa or Niagara being interested in his services. Ottawa has had some trouble with injuries this year and Cranford would be a great veteran to add to their mix for the stretch drive.
Prediction: Cranford goes to Ottawa in exchange for SSM 3 2021, and OTT 4 2019

Matt Hotchkiss - Kingston Frontenacs
Big, power forward OA who can slide onto a 3rd or 4th line heading into the playoffs. Plays well below the hashmarks and is hard to separate from the puck. Lack of OA spots is the problem though, especially with bigger fish on the market. As mentioned above, I think Cranford is the more likely guy to move. But Ottawa or Niagara could look at Hotchkiss too.
Prediction: Hotchkiss stays in Kingston

Tyler Burnie - Kingston Frontenacs
Only one goal this year, but I think that Burnie is a better player than stats have shown. I think he could be a really valuable OA next year. Guys with his size and raw skill profile usually are the ones who explode in their final year in the league. So if I am an OHL GM, I try to buy low on Burnie for my 3rd or 4th line this year, and then use him in a larger role as an OA. Take your pick, as any playoff bound team could come calling. However, I do think Kingston hangs on to him, just as they end up doing with Neumann.
Prediction: Burnie stays in Kingston.

Jakob Brahaney - Kingston Frontenacs
After a breakout season last year, Brahaney hasn't been quite as effective this year as part of the rebuild. He won't be given away, but he would be a solid add for a playoff team looking for a quality 2nd/3rd pairing defender who would play an even larger role next year as an OA. One team that I see as a fit is the Oshawa Generals. I think they'll look to add another 2nd/3rd pairing guy sometime before the deadline and Brahaney could be a nice fit. Moves the puck well. Skates well. Fits in with the other defenders they have.
Prediction: Brahaney goes to Oshawa in exchange for Ian Blacker, KGN 2 2021, WSR 3 2024

Gabriel Vilardi - Kingston Frontenacs
The biggest question mark surrounding this year's deadline. Will he be back in the OHL after the World Junior Championships are over? Quite honestly, I'd be shocked if he wasn't. The Kings can't send Vilardi to the AHL. And given his back issues, do they really want him stepping into the NHL midseason, adjusting to the pace and strength of the league while also rehabilitating? This is a big part of their future and they need to be careful with him. Send him back to the OHL where he can work himself back into form and push for a roster spot next year. Regardless of whether he comes back, you can bet your ass that Kingston will be moving Vilardi's rights. And that deal will have some serious conditions, perhaps even one of those two part deals that we see "completed" the following summer. So who are the suitors? Who wouldn't want one of the best players in the OHL when healthy? I could talk about almost any team here, but I'll only mention that one that I'm predicting he goes to; Saginaw. This is a team that could really use someone with playoff experience. They could really use another center with size. Vilardi is both of those things. And Saginaw has a ton of draft picks and young players at their disposal.
Prediction: Vilardi (plus WSR 3 2020) goes to Saginaw in exchange for Duncan Penman, and conditional draft picks on him reporting (SAG 2 2020, SBY 2 2020, SAG 3 2021, SAG 2 2023, PBO 2 2024 - of which, some of those picks would then be flipped for Nicholas Porco in the offseason)

Lucas Chiodo - Barrie Colts
Has had an absolutely fantastic season thus far, emerging as one of the league's top overage players. He would be an immediate impact player for any team that adds him, considering he can play on your top powerplay unit, on the PK, and in your top 6. The issue is him being an overager. As I've already mentioned, I just don't know how strong the OA buyers market is. You've got Ottawa, Niagara, in addition to Guelph, London, and Saginaw should they choose to upgrade. And if I'm being honest, I'd rather add guys like Saigeon, Brazeau, and Maksimovich first. That's without mentioning some quality defenders. Seems like Barrie would like to move him, but given that the team also wants to stay competitive this year, would they deal him if the return isn't as great? Ottawa could be a good spot for him on the left side. Could maybe see Saginaw swapping O'Grady for Chiodo as part of a bigger deal with Barrie (Keane?).
Prediction: Chiodo stays in Barrie.

Jaden Peca - Barrie Colts
High energy winger who hasn't had as good of a year offensively as last year. But he can play on your PK and be a great 3rd liner for a playoff push. Problem is, I can't see Barrie giving him away considering he'll return as an OA next year and be a potential top 6 forward. Could see a team like Oshawa or Ottawa looking at Peca for depth this year, and then utilizing him as an OA next year when the teams hope to compete for another OHL Championship.
Prediction: Peca stays in Barrie

Jason Willms - Barrie Colts
Like Peca, Willms hasn't been quite as effective offensively as he was last year, but he's a very competent energy player who can be a 3rd line center for a team with Championship aspirations. And like Peca, he could be a very good OA next year. Again, I just can't see Barrie being willing to give him away and the price will be high. As such, I'm not sure I see him moving. But could be a sneaky add for a team like the Soo, who could use him as a 3rd line center, but then move him up in the lineup next year when they have only DeMeo likely returning as an OA.
Prediction: Willms stays in Barrie

Joey Keane - Barrie Colts
Who couldn't use one of the OHL's best defenders in Joey Keane? One of the best at preventing zone entries in the OHL and he could be a big time factor for a team looking to improve their penalty kill and decision making with the puck. First team that comes to mind? Niagara. He would immediately become the team's top defender and gives them the difference maker that they need on the back-end. The issue is their lack of assets. I see London as a potential landing spot too, so that he can play with his brother in his final OHL season. He could be an amazing partner for Bouchard or Boqvist. And if SSM does decide to go all in again, he is the type of defender that Raftis and Co. really target. Of course, there's a chance Barrie doesn't move Keane in hopes of making a playoff run still. But after dealing their captain, why not move your best asset?
Prediction: Keane goes to Niagara in exchange for Drew Hunter, Andrew Bruder, LDN 2 2020, OSH 2 2021, NIA 3 2023, NIA 3 2024

Kai Edmonds - Barrie Colts
Will Barrie continue to carry on with their three way goaltending carousel (between Zhukov, Greaves, and Edmonds)? It's a good question. Edmonds is likely to end up as a starter somewhere, whether it's in Barrie or not remains to be seen. He certainly deserves a shot to play more. But he's also only a 2000 born and has a few years left in the league. Could a team like Owen Sound make a push for Edmonds? They need a starter this year, but what would that do to Guzda's (or MacLean's) confidence as the goalie of the future (only a year younger than Edmonds). More likely, I think, Barrie just continues the carousel knowing that Zhukov moves on next year and Edmonds can have his crack at the starter's role then.
Prediction: Edmonds stays in Barrie

Jacob McGrath - Sudbury Wolves
Lost his starting job to UPL this year, which I'm sure he's not happy about. He has also not played well at all this year. Could it be time for a fresh start? The Wolves just recently signed Mitchell Weeks who has been one of the top goalies in the OJHL this year. Whether that is just to cover for the WJC's, or to push McGrath out the door, remains to be seen. McGrath will be a candidate to start as an OA next year, pending he can turn his game around. So I'd look for a team like Erie, or Kingston to be possible suitors. Or even Peterborough who is likely looking for an established goalie to give Hunter Jones some time off. But he could be more likely moved in the offseason if Sudbury brings in another starter to replace UPL (perhaps another Import, cough Nick Malik, cough).
Prediction: McGrath stays in Sudbury

Justin Brazeau - North Bay Battalion
Again, moving overagers can be difficult. Brazeau has been one of the best players in the entire OHL this year. He has flat out dominated since the puck dropped in September. Teams looking to make a deep playoff run will want to add his size to their forward group, as his game is tailored to the way the game is played in the postseason. The question is, who has the room and will the Battalion even look to move him aggressively? One team that I really like as a fit for Brazeau is Guelph. They could follow in the footsteps of the Generals of 2015 by out-muscling opponents. Can you imagine Brazeau and Ratcliffe on the same line or powerplay? They could easily flip Poirier for a mid-late round pick to a team looking for a veteran presence to close out the season. If Brazeau was a left shot, I think Ottawa could have been have been very interested. And I see Niagara looking to the back-end or center for their OA open spaces. Obviously London could be a good fit if they flip a guy like Timms. Just as they did when they moved McKenzie last year, Butler needs to move Brazeau to keep this team competitive moving forward.
Prediction: Brazeau moves to Guelph in exchange for Tag Bertuzzi (then Guelph moves Poirier to another team for a later pick)

Luke Burghardt - North Bay Battalion
Great to see Burghardt back in action after stepping away from the game last year due to a back condition. Remains to be seen how long it takes him to get back to being an impact player, but it's obvious that his skating stride hasn't lost a step. We're still a little ways out from the deadline, so he has time to prove to potential suitors that he can be an impact OA for them down the stretch. That said, I'm just not sure North Bay moves him considering what he's gone through. The OA market is saturated and it could be best for Burghardt to just provide some stability to the Battalion's younger players as they push to earn one of the final playoff spots in the East.
Prediction: Burghardt stays in North Bay

Owen Tippett - Mississauga Steelheads
What do the Steelheads do with Tippett? His goal scoring ability, size, and skating ability are major assets. He is easily one of the best pure goal scorers in the OHL. But will there be a team out there who is willing to give up what Mississauga will be looking in return? Especially given Tippett's volatility. And if there isn't, would the Steelheads be willing to take a little bit less? So many questions. SSM would be an amazing fit, but I don't see them forking over the assets. London could be interested, but I think other players have their eye. Could Saginaw jump into the ring? I could definitely see them as a possible landing spot. And they have the assets. Again though, I think they go in a different route. Peterborough is a possibility, but I don't see them mortgaging the future too much as next year will be a bigger one for them. That said, they do have a chance to be a top 4 team in the Conference this year and with a few additions, could push if Jones stays hot. Problem is, they don't have a 2002 to move currently and I don't think there's a chance they move Robertson here.
Prediction: Tippett stays in Mississauga.

Ryan McLeod - Mississauga Steelheads
The Steelheads have to look to explore deals on McLeod too, given the team's status in the middle ground of the league. McLeod's size and speed down the middle make him an attractive target to teams who want to improve the pace at which they play. He's performed well in the playoffs too, especially during Mississauga's 2017 run. Oshawa is the team that comes to mind immediately. I think that they try to upgrade on the center position behind Jack Studnicka (shifting McShane to the wing) and they could really use an injection of more speed into their lineup to help with zone entries. This is where McLeod fits in. I could see Guelph and Saginaw being big players here too. McLeod would increase Guelph's pace of play too.
Prediction: McLeod goes to Oshawa in exchange for Nick Wong, OSH 2 2023, OSH 2 2024

Cole Carter - Mississauga Steelheads
Another top quality overager on the market and he may have less of a price tag than some of the other forwards available. It's not Tippett, or McLeod who lead Mississauga in scoring, it's Carter. He's also a guy who can play in any situation and who plays bigger than his 5'9 size. Like many of the OA's on this list, Ottawa and Niagara have to be considered the top targets. But I'm just not sure how large the market will be here.
Prediction: Carter stays in Mississauga

Alan Lyszczarczyk - Mississauga Steelheads
Recently acquired by the Steelheads, it would be odd if they then flipped him elsewhere for likely much less than they acquired him for. Again, the OA market is extremely saturated. Lyszczarczyk is a solid offensive player but isn't as complete a player as other OA's available. And with teams looking to add OA's for their playoff run, I think they probably look elsewhere to guys who can make a larger impact in all areas. Although Lyszczarczyk did have a solid playoffs last year for Owen Sound.
Prediction: Lyszczarczyk stays in Mississauga

Greg Meireles - Kitchener Rangers
Meireles is having an excellent bounce back season after last year's disappointing drop in production. He's going to draw a ton of interest because of his two-way game and the fact that he profiles as an impact overager next year too. I could see a team like Niagara having a ton of interest in Meireles to be their 3rd line center. Could see Oshawa looking at him heavily too, so that they can use him next year for another playoff push. Could a team like Sault Ste. Marie be a possible destination too? He fits the profile of the type of player that they usually inquire about. At the end of the day though, it would take a lot to pry him from Kitchener and I don't see them completely rebuilding. So there's probably more of a chance that he stays.
Prediction: Meireles stays in Kitchener

Rickard Hugg - Kitchener Rangers
Tough to move an Import, even if Hugg has had a terrific season for the Rangers (currently 2nd in scoring for Kitchener). The one team that I truly think adds an Import is Guelph. But would they be willing to move Hugg to such a rival? I could see the Soo being interested too, but I'm not sure that they would be willing to pay a ton. Outside of Yantsis, I think Hugg has the best chance of moving but even then I'm just not convinced that Kitchener truly commits to a rebuild.
Prediction: Hugg stays in Kitchener

Jonathan Yantsis - Kitchener Rangers
One of the most improved players in the OHL this year, Yantsis' 24 goals puts him tied for 6th in OHL goal scoring this year. The big bodied winger has excelled especially on the powerplay as a net presence. His 10 powerplay goals are tied for 2nd in the OHL. On the right side, Sudbury could be a fit. Could see London looking at him too for their powerplay. But I think Peterborough is a terrific landing spot. Not only could adding more size to their forward unit be good for them, but their powerplay needs improvement too (why not add another piece to go with Merkley). Would be a nice low key add for a team I expect to make a few smaller scale additions to give them a fighting chance in the playoffs. This is especially true given that the team moved Gogolev in the Merkley deal.
Prediction: Yantsis goes to Peterborough in exchange for SAR 2 2020, PBO 2 2022, and a conditional PBO 3 2024 (on Yantsis returning as an OA next year)

Joseph Gareffa - Kitchener Rangers
Gareffa would probably be considered the heart and soul of the Rangers. Does everything the organization asks of him, shifting back and forth between defense and forward. Recently it has been stated that he wants to stay on the back-end and wants to have some stability, which is understandable. Given how good he was last year in the playoffs and the fact that he would be an elite OA next year, there is no doubt going to be a ton of interest. I could see Oshawa being a possible destination. I think that they add a '99 who can help them this year and who will return as an OA next year for another championship run. His mobility and offensive ability would fit in really well with the Generals. And with Merkley gone in Guelph, would the Storm dare trade Gareffa to, essentially, a cross town rival? But like a few other 99's in Kitchener, I'm just not sure he ends up moving.
Prediction: Gareffa stays in Kitchener

Kyle Maksimovich - Erie Otters
Like Saigeon, finding a home for Maksimovich is going to be more difficult than some others because of his overage status. Only a few teams have a spot open. That said, Maksimovich is one of the top OA's in the league this year and some teams may even be open to swapping OA's to get the upgrade (like Guelph with Zach Poirier). Niagara is a candidate, but I think they're more likely to use their OA spot on a center or defender. Guelph could swap Maksimovich with Poirier. He'd actually be a great fit there to help get the puck to big guys like Ratcliffe, Schnarr, Hawel, etc. But I truly believe Ottawa is the best fit here for him. His tenacity and playmaking ability would fit perfectly into that lineup on the left side. And they have the picks that Erie is going to want for Maksimovich.
Prediction: Maksimovich goes to Ottawa in exchange for MISS 2 2019, PBO 3 2019, OTT 2 2020, OS 3 2020, KGN 2 2024

Hugo Leufvenius - Sarnia Sting
One of this year's breakout candidates, the big Swedish winger has been sensational for Sarnia. Leufvenius is the top scoring Import in the OHL this year and his playmaking ability and size would look good on a lot of teams. The problem (sorry if I sound like a broken record) is his Import status. Guelph, as I've stated, is definitely an option. He could be a great add to their top 6. The Soo is another option, but I'm just not as sure that he suits the Sault's style of play. Given how well he's played, I think Ruzicka is the more likely import to move.
Prediction: Leufvenius stays in Sarnia

Ryan McGregor - Sarnia Sting
Very versatile forward who can play anywhere in your line up. Brings speed, can play the PK. He crashes the net and has enough puck skill to be a complimentary piece on a scoring line. Also a chance he returns as an OA next year. Could be a great depth pick up for someone like Ottawa, Oshawa, Niagara, Saginaw, etc. But I think the Soo is a great fit. Plays the game the way the Hounds like and would fit in seamlessly with that lineup. I don't expect SSM to make any massive moves, but I do expect them to make a couple more minor ones like this. Wouldn't cost a ton but would really bolster depth as they prepare to try to capture their division.
Prediction: McGregor goes to SSM in exchange for Tye Kartye, SSM 3 2022, SSM 4 2020

Adam Ruzicka - Sarnia Sting
Ruzicka has never really developed into the player that many expected he would, but he's still a top 6 OHL forward who has the potential to elevate his game if brought into a different environment. Not too many teams have room for an Import, or would have the desire to swap Imports so the market will be limited. That said, I look at the Guelph Storm as a team that could have a ton of interest here, swapping out Toropchenko for Ruzicka, whose size would be coveted down low and who could slide into that 2nd or 3rd line center spot.
Prediction: Ruzicka goes to Guelph in exchange for Alexey Toropchenko, and NB 2 2020

Franco Spoviero - Sarnia Sting
For my money, Spoviero is easily one of the most underrated players in the OHL. This kid would go through a wall for his team and is a tremendous forechecker and penalty killer. Perfect little depth add for a playoff team. I look at Niagara and Ottawa as two great landing spots for him. Both could use a little help on the PK and both have overage spots open. Niagara has the greater need down the middle, a position that Spoviero is most effective at IMO. He would fit great with guys like Castleman and Sopa to form a quick and gritty 3rd line.
Prediction: Spoviero goes to Niagara in exchange for NIA 3 2020, MISS 2 2022, NIA 3 2024

Mitch Eliot - Sarnia Sting
Easily one of the most underrated players in the OHL right now. Came to the league with little hype last year and played a rather conservative role on a strong Sarnia team. But with more responsibility this year, he's flourished. He currently sits just outside the top 5 in defenseman scoring and is a big time minute eater. His OA tag is going to be an issue though. Again, the market is so saturated with talented players and as I said with Nic Mattinen, I think teams with space (Ottawa, Niagara, etc) may opt to go with a forward and not a defender. That said, Eliot could be a nice low key acquisition for Guelph to help them on the back-end. Would cause them to do some shuffling in the OA department, but he would look good there.
Prediction: Eliot stays in Sarnia
 
Alexandre Hogue - Sarnia Sting
Not too often you see a younger player appear on a list like this given I'm only really profiling the sellers (aka rebuilding teams). But the former 2nd round pick hasn't blossomed in Sarnia and there have been rumblings of his frustration with his place in the team's system. He seems like a trade candidate at some point in the near future, be it this deadline or this offseason. He still has lots of potential to develop into an elite offensive defender in the OHL and I am sure there are a few teams who have already inquired about his services. The Sting and Battalion hooked up on a deal last year and could see them doing so again as Hogue would fit in well as a powerplay QB for the future in North Bay. Erie could be another potential landing spot. Owen Sound is too. But this is probably a deal that happens in the offseason.
Prediction: Hogue stays in Sarnia

Luke Kutkevicius - Windsor Spitfires
Insert saturated OA market quip. Kutkevicius is a solid player. Versatile forward who plays down the middle naturally, can kill penalties and would look good on the 3rd line of a playoff competitor. But there are just so many options out there and not many potential landing spots. That said, Niagara is one team I really think could be interested if they look to pick up someone at a lesser cost (given their lack of assets). I see them upgrading their 3rd line center spot and he would be a good candidate.
Prediction: Kutkevicius stays in Windsor.

Sean Allen - Windsor Spitfires
Insert saturated OA market quip, again. Allen is a solid stay at home defender who brings physicality and would look great on the 3rd pairing of a playoff bound team. But if a team is going to go get an OA defender, it probably ends up being a guy like Mattinen, Durzi, or Eliot. No offense meant to Allen either. But he probably finishes his OHL career in Windsor.
Prediction: Allen stays in Windsor

Luke Boka - Windsor Spitfires
Even though I think Windsor will listen to offers on Boka given the position they're in, it's always a tough sell for a team to move its captain. And Windsor isn't going full rebuild. This is a team that expects to compete for the West next year, when they'll need Boka as an OA. But a team like Niagara or Oshawa could come calling and make an offer that's too good to pass up. Seems unlikely though.
Prediction: Boka stays in Windsor.

Cole Purboo - Windsor Spitfires
I don't anticipate the Windsor Spitfires to make a ton of moves following the Dipietro deal. But I do think that they'll look to move Purboo because his value would never be higher. Big body who can play on a 2nd or 3rd line. Play in all situations. Those types are valuable to playoff teams. I look at a team like Sudbury jumping into play here. They could use some help on the right side and Purboo would be a nice low key add for them. Like Peterborough, I see them making a couple moves to get themselves past round one.
Prediction: Purboo goes to Sudbury in exchange for OSH 3 2021, OS 3 2022, SBY 3 2024

Kevin Hancock - Owen Sound Attack
So.....many....OA's on the market. Obviously Hancock is one of the best though. Has been an extremely consistent player the last three seasons (averaging over a point per game). He just seems to keep getting better. And he's a proven playoff performer too. The usual suspects will be mentioned here. Ottawa, who could use him on the left wing. Niagara, who could slide him into the 2nd line center role (bumping Jones). Or even London, as part of a blockbuster trade with Nick Suzuki. But Owen Sound is going to want a big return on Hancock given the fact that they still have a chance to earn home ice in the first round. I'm still not convinced or certain that they rebuild. They could move a few pieces and then keep a few to make sure that the team still makes the playoffs.
Prediction: Hancock stays in Owen Sound

Maksim Sushko - Owen Sound Attack
Another one of those versatile forward types who could be a great, low key add for a playoff contender. Sushko is an excellent penalty killer and has the skill to line up on the 2nd line, especially if flanked by a talented playmaking center. Pushes the pace well too. Not too many teams with Import room, but one is the SSM Greyhounds and I think he would be a great fit there. Could be a perfect linemate for Frost or Hayton and wouldn't cost as much for the Hounds as some other candidates.
Prediction: Sushko goes to SSM in exchange for SSM 3 2020, SSM 3 2024

Nick Suzuki - Owen Sound Attack
It's going to take quite the package for the Attack to move Suzuki. There is no question that it would have to include a recent first round 2002 born player coming back the other way, in addition to picks. Suzuki is obviously one of the best in the OHL, but who has the assets to get the deal done? Saginaw? But would they move Perfetti and would he waive his no trade? London and Evangelista? Ottawa has gone on record to say that they aren't interested in dealing current players because they intend to contend for several years. But here's the thing, Suzuki is a difference maker in a Championship run. They've already gone out and brought in Dipietro. They're all in this year too. And Cameron Tolnai is a big trade chip for them considering some of their other 2002's have been better and they have the depth to make the move. Adding Suzuki would give them one hell of a top 6. Circling back to London, they could have a ton of interest because it would bring Suzuki home. Tough to peg how this goes down.
Prediction: Suzuki goes to Ottawa in exchange for Cameron Tolnai, PBO 2 2019, OTT 2 2024, SSM 3 2021, OTT 3 2023

Sean Durzi - Owen Sound Attack
Kind of a tough year for Durzi so far. Returned late from NHL/AHL camp. Has had trouble with injuries. Has only gotten into 11 games (as I write this). But he's one of the best defenders in the OHL when he's playing. The issue is his OA tag. And as I mentioned with Mattinen, Eliot, and other OA defenders, I think I see teams with OA room going the forward route. That said, Durzi is an upgrade for any team because of his abilities. Would London swap Matt Timms for Durzi? What about Guelph bringing in Durzi now that Merkley is gone? Again though, I'm just not convinced Owen Sound goes full rebuild.
Prediction: Durzi stays in Owen Sound

Markus Phillips - Owen Sound Attack
An interesting case here. Phillips is a quality two-way defender who can use his mobility to his advantage at both ends. He also had 33 games of playoff experience. But I think it's fair to say that his offensive game hasn't quite developed as well as many expected. His production has regressed over his OHL career, settling more into more of a defensive first role. But he'd be a solid #3-4 for a team that hopes to contend for an OHL title, with a chance of returning as an OA next year (if LA does not sign him) and being an impact player. If he is dealt, I would expect any deal to carry future considerations. I would also expect that if he's dealt, it could be in a combo deal with a guy like Hancock or Suzuki. I could see a team like Oshawa having a lot of interest here. His mobility fits their blueline MO and he could be a potential impact player next year in their quest for a Memorial Cup. Could see Niagara having interest in him too. Ditto for London. He would be a nice upgrade to their second pairing. But they have limited cards left. Guelph is an option too, but they probably look for someone with more offensive ability. I actually think Phillips could have a greater chance of being dealt than Durzi. As much as I want to suggest a deal to London (for say Golden, Duhart, and picks), I think he stays.
Prediction: Phillips stays in Owen Sound

Trenton Bourque - Owen Sound Attack
Could be a solid pick-up for a team looking to add a physical stay at home defender to its third pairing. Has a lot of playoff experience too. And as an OA, his price tag wouldn't be incredibly high. But as an OA, his list of suitors is limited. And there are so many other big fish out there. Just depends on whether teams go bargain hunting. Niagara looks at him if they can't line up a deal for a higher impact OA.
Prediction: Bourque stays in Owen Sound

Fedor Gordeev - Flint Firebirds
Gordeev has quietly had a decent season in Flint despite how much the team has struggled. He could be a real underrated pick-up for a competitive team down the stretch (think the Riley Stillman pick up for Hamilton last year). He can eat minutes, bring physicality and play on your secondary powerplay and PK unit. And of course, his size is going to be coveted for that long playoff run. Niagara likely goes after another defender to replace Liam Ham (who asked to be moved closer to home) and they could still use more size on the back-end. Oshawa, I think, goes after another defender. They already have a huge blueline, so why not make it bigger? Sudbury, Guelph, and Peterborough make sense too. In fact the Wolves could be a great fit because they could use his mobility and size in their top 3, taking the pressure off of some younger defenders like Liam Ross.
Prediction: Gordeev goes to Sudbury in exchange for Kirill Nizhnikov, BAR 2 2019, ER 3 2020, MISS 3 2021

Ty Dellandrea - Flint Firebirds
Will he, or won't he? What the Firebirds do with Dellandrea seems to be one of the bigger questions surrounding this year's trade deadline. The Firebirds are floundering in the basement, but injuries have played a pretty large part in that. This roster has talent. Just look at how many goals they've been scoring lately. If they keep this roster intact, I think they have a chance to be a pretty decent team next year. Last year, the Knights made the right choice in dealing Robert Thomas, anticipating that he would be in the NHL for his 19 year old season. I don't think Dellandrea ends up making Dallas next year, but do the Firebirds move him now, just in case? I think any team in the league would be interested in adding him. And the cost would be insanely high. Another issue is can the Firebirds get a premium young player to waive their no trade clause to come to Flint in return? They'll entertain offers (from teams like Oshawa, Niagara, Ottawa, London, etc), but I just don't see Dellandrea moving. I think they stay the course.
Prediction: Dellandrea stays in Flint

Emanuel Vella - Flint Firebirds
Has done his best to hang in there this year in Flint, despite the defense in front of him suffering massive injuries. There won't be much interest in him, except I do believe that Peterborough could look to add a veteran to spell Hunter Jones a bit as we get closer to the playoffs. But they'd have to move someone like Osmanski first. Oshawa could have been an option before acquiring Hughes. Or Flint just keeps Vella to help mentor Cavallin. I would imagine that they give Vella the option.
Prediction: Vella stays in Flint.

Sunday, December 9, 2018

Sunday Top 10 - Under the Radar Draft Eligibles for 2019



We're over a third of the way into the current OHL season. While this is unquestionably a down year from the OHL, we've still seen some strong performances from draft eligible players thus far, and we're likely to see many more as we approach the second half. The Preliminary Media/Scout Poll was recently released and that should give everyone a good idea of the top players that the OHL has to offer for 2019. But what about those who are flying under the radar thus far? The amount of depth that the OHL has to offer for this year remains to be seen, even if the top end talent appears to be weaker. This list aims to highlight a few of the guys who are bound to see their stock rise should they continue their high level of play and could end up being Top 100 picks come June.

Here are 10 guys (plus some HM's) that you should be keeping your eye on through the 2nd half (in alphabetical order):

Mitchell Brewer - Oshawa Generals
Mobile defender with good size (6'1, 200lbs) who projects well as a pro defender. Brewer is a top three defender for the Generals, switching between Nico Gross and Matt Brassard as his partner. He is also one of the main reasons why Oshawa has a top 3 penalty killing unit in the OHL. Brewer is the type of defender who can do it all (plays physical, blocks shots, makes smart plays with the puck). And I think he's been really gaining confidence in his offensive abilities too, looking to use his skating ability to jump up in the play more and has been more aggressive in looking for his own scoring chances. With Oshawa poised to be a top 3 team in the Eastern Conference, he's going to get a ton of looks down the stretch.

Petr Cajka - Erie Otters
Cajka entered the year as a potential top 50 prospect on some lists and had a decent amount of hype attached to his arrival in Erie. But he struggled out of the gate, which isn't uncommon for rookie Imports. But Cajka has been considerably better of late with four multi goal games in his last ten. While he doesn't possess elite size at 5'11, he's actually terrific at protecting the puck, using his strong skating ability and balance to keep plays alive in the offensive end. Works the wall very well and plays a relatively fearless game. Consistency is going to be an issue with Erie's struggles (especially of late), but this is a guy teams should be looking at in the later rounds come June, if not earlier depending on how he responds after Erie makes some inevitable trades in January.

Daniel D'Amico - Windsor Spitfires
Snake bitten to start the season and given his lack of size at 5'9, the lack of production was bound to correlate with a drop in draft rankings. But he's really found his stride; 10 goals in his last 12 games. D'Amico has a real nose for the net and has one of the best releases of any OHL player eligible this year. Seems like whatever line he's placed on, is consistently Windsor's best on any given night. Originally thought he could be a long shot to be drafted, but scouts won't be able to ignore his production if it keeps up. Just needs to continue to prove that he can play at a higher tempo given his lack of size.

Jacob LeGuerrier - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
Was happy to see LeGuerrier get his first OHL goal the other night after going 100+ without one. That said, my stance so far this year has been that LeGuerrier is a better offensive player than the numbers might suggest. With his size, reach, and skating ability, he is good for about one impressive rush deep into the offensive zone per game. It's just not something that he looks to do very often. Will that confidence get there one day? Will he explode next year when Sambrook and Hollowell move on? In the mean time, he at least profiles as a modern day stay at home defender. 6'3, mobile, can make plays with the puck, and is a willing combatant in the defensive end.

Kari Piiroinen - Windsor Spitfires
All eyes on Piiroinen now that he has fully taken over the crease in Windsor after the Dipietro trade. He's been pretty good this year as a rookie, but he'll now be given a chance to get into a groove with consistent starts. Without a doubt, the most impressive part of Piiroinen's game is his athleticism. He's very quick post to post and I think scouts will like how aggressive he is in challenging shooters given his lack of elite size. That glove hand is great too. Where he has struggled (from my viewpoint) is in refining his movements. Pucks have a tendency to squeak through him when he's moving and he can have trouble holding his post. That could stem from a lack of strength though. But he's going to have the spotlight down the stretch and it will be interesting to see how he responds.

Mason Primeau - North Bay Battalion
Sometimes a change of scenery is all you need. Since being dealt to North Bay, Primeau is averaging a point per game and has given North Bay a quality 2nd line behind the Brazeau/Struthers unit. At 6'5 and with NHL bloodlines, there is absolutely no doubting that the big power forward is going to draw a ton of interest from NHL scouts if he keeps producing for the Battalion. He can be an absolute force below the hashmarks and while he's not Serron Noel, I think that there is a lot of potential for his skating to improve as he matures. Stan Butler (who has recently returned to GM duties and perhaps will return to coaching duties soon) has proven to be great working with guys like Primeau over his career.

Jamieson Rees - Sarnia Sting
It is going to take some time for Rees to get back into a groove after missing two months with a kidney laceration. Came into the year as a possible top 60 pick (especially after a strong Hlinka performance), but now has some ground to make up. Saw him play recently and thought he looked great, using his speed to play in all three zones. Was forcing turnovers and made a couple terrific passes to set up prime scoring chances. Jacob Perreault and he are the future in Sarnia and as the trade deadline approaches, they may have to elevate their play even further if the Sting continue their rebuild and move more veterans.

Cole Schwindt - Mississauga Steelheads
Offensive production has really declined (has not scored in 12 games), and the Steelheads are mired in a slump (even with beating Oshawa recently). But Schwindt's versatility is going to be attractive to NHL scouts. In a way, Schwindt is similar to Hamilton's Mackenzie Entwistle. 6'3 forward who plays any forward position and who can be relied upon in any situation. Even though the Steelheads PK hasn't been terrific this year, I've really liked Schwindt in that situation where he can use his length and skating ability to disrupt passing lanes and track down loose pucks. The offensive potential at the next level may not be extremely high, but given his size and coachability, he will draw a lot of interest.

Kyen Sopa - Niagara IceDogs
Sopa, a late 2000 born Import like Cajka (on this list earlier), has found himself in a nearly opposite situation. As part of a Championship contender in Niagara, Sopa has seen his ice time cut in recent weeks with the addition of Jason Robertson and the emergence of Philip Tomasino. Playing on the 3rd and 4th line is not a kiss of death for your draft value, but it does mean that he will have to find a way to stand out consistently with the time he does get. I continue to admire the energy that Sopa brings to the ice. Undersized, but he attacks the net and seems to revel in that pest role. Has very quick hands in tight. But playing with less talented players, he will need to create more of his own scoring chances and show more of a dynamic ability with the puck in transition.

Keean Washkurak - Mississauga Steelheads
Another Steelhead who is struggling big time lately; one point in his last 10 games. Unlike Schwindt, Washkurak doesn't possess elite size at 5'10, so a lack of production will have a big time negative influence on his draft stock. It's no co-incidence that the Steelheads are mired in a slump as their secondary scoring has disappeared. The Steelheads need Washkurak to pick it back up. But I do really like him as a prospect. Washkurak is one of the best skaters among OHL draft eligibles this year. He plays at such a quick pace, and is at his best when he's a big factor without the puck (backcheck/forecheck). I think he's got great potential to be a consistent impact player in this league and a top three round pick come June. Let's see how he responds to a drought.

Honorable Mentions:

Nathan Allensen - Barrie Colts
If the move of Justin Murray is just the beginning, and Joey Keane is next out the door, then Allensen could see his ice time increase substantially in the second half. Thought he was great as a rookie last year, but with a sheltered role this year, he hasn't been able to show a ton of progression. More ice time may be his chance to show his offensive skill set, which is needed given his average size.

Brayden Guy - Sarnia Sting
Hard nosed Guy (pun intended) who has proven to be a terrific complimentary offensive piece in Sarnia. Don't have a great grasp of what his offensive ceiling is at this point, but he keeps producing and could take on an even larger role once Sarnia moves more veteran forwards out.

Mason Millman - Saginaw Spirit
Has pushed himself into Saginaw's top three, even earning some time with Bode Wilde recently. Also quarterbacks the powerplay for the Spirit. Good size (6'1). Good mobility. Just a solid all around defender who should have a lot of eyes on him as Saginaw battles for a top 3 spot in the Conference down the stretch. With the addition of Justin Murray, one has to wonder if that affects his ice time.

Lucas Peric - Ottawa 67's
An anchor of the 67's 3rd pairing, which wouldn't be as impressive if the 67's weren't the top rated team in the OHL and he wasn't +15. His mobility is extremely impressive on the back-end and like Mitchell Brewer, he's going to have a ton of eyes on him down the stretch.

Liam Ross - Sudbury Wolves
One of my favourites in the age group dating back to MM. Solid two-way defender who leads Sudbury in defensive scoring and has been critical to their turnaround this year as a top defender for them. A lack of dynamic skating ability will hurt him in draft rankings, but look at the improvements that Tyler Tucker has made this year in Barrie.

Eric Uba - Flint Firebirds
While Ethan Keppen will be the draft eligible forward who will receive the most attention in Flint this year (and rightfully so), Uba has been impressive as of late. Yes, he's a late 2000 born player, but he's also an OHL rookie thrust into a tough situation. His speed and pace are noticeable every time I see Flint play. This kid will be a big scorer in this league by the time his OHL career is finished. 14 points in his last 14 games.

Bonus - Five Re-Entry Candidates to Watch (in alphabetical order):

Cole Coskey - Saginaw Spirit
Recently named to the U.S. training camp roster for this year's WJC's. Coskey is a competitive winger who is a very versatile player. Does it all. Is at his best working the wall, tiring out opposing defenders. Very difficult to separate from the puck and has good vision along the half wall. Can be a bit turnover prone though, so he just needs to keep things simple. With his size and continued improvement in production each year, it's only a matter of time before the NHL comes calling.

Nando Eggenberger - Oshawa Generals
Big Swiss Import who has come as advertised this year. He was one of the highest ranked players to go undrafted in 2018, and given his strong performance in the OHL this year, it seems unlikely that, that will happen again. Eggenberger's skating has been much better than I had anticipated after reading reports prior to him coming over. I've also been impressed by his commitment level at both ends. Has been one of the more efficient players in the OHL at 5 on 5 this year.

Hugo Leufvenius - Sarnia Sting
Another big bodied Import, Leufvenius has been a difference maker in his 2nd year in the OHL. Has already surpassed his goal total from last year (19) in less than half the games. Currently leads Sarnia in scoring and is riding a 16 game point streak. He won't be winning any skating competitions, but he's an extremely intelligent player who is also hard to separate from the puck. That gives him time to operate in the offensive zone.

Matthew Struthers - North Bay Battalion
Has cooled off after a terrific start (2 goals in his last 12 games), but has still been a much improved player over a year ago. Using his size more to his advantage down low and when paired with Justin Brazeau, the two have been terrorizing opposing defenses. His size and playmaking ability down the middle are going to be very attractive to NHL scouts this year, pending he can get his production back on track.

Jacob Tortora - Barrie Colts
The former first round priority selection finally came to the OHL recently and has paid immediate dividends. 7 goals in 7 games, proving that he is an impact player in this league. At 5'8, he's going to have to continue to put up big numbers like that to interest NHL scouts, but he appears more than capable. I don't believe that this is just a hot start. Tortora has proven to have a real nose for the net and he excels as the pace picks up. What a terrific pick up for the Colts.

Honorable Mentions (in alphabetical order):

Rickard Hugg
Austen Keating
Billy Moskal
Brett Neumann
Merrick Rippon
Cole Tymkin
Jonathan Yantsis