Friday, May 8, 2020

2020 NHL Draft Questionnaire With OHL Experts

It's certainly not a normal year for draft coverage with the abrupt end to many 2020 seasons and the question marks surrounding next year's start-up. With that in mind, I teamed up with some familiar collaborators and asked them some pressing questions in regards to the OHL talent available for the 2020 NHL Draft. Naturally, I also took part in the questionnaire. Whenever the draft happens to be, my aim is to make you as informed as possible.

Here were the participants in the poll:

Dominic Tiano - Writer for The 
OHL Writers (@dominictiano)
Dylan Galloway - OHL Scout for 
Future Considerations (@dylangalloway_)
Tony Ferrari – OHL Scout for Future Considerations and NHL Draft Writer for Dobber Prospects (@theTonyFerrari)
Grant McCagg - President of Recrutes Hockey (@grantmccagg)
Steven Ellis – Former Digital Content Creator for The Hockey News, Provides OHL Related Content at http://stevenpellis.com/ (@StevenEllisNHL)
Raine Hernandez - OHL coverage for OHLNetwork & social media/scout for the Oakville Blades (OJHL) (@BringerofRaine)
Mark Scheig - OHL writer for The Hockey Writers (@THWMark)

and of course...myself (@BrockOtten)

Here was the Questionnaire:

How would you classify this draft class for the OHL?
Brock Otten - I think that this could go down as one of the strongest draft classes from the OHL in recent memory. 2003 is always going to be the pinnacle, but then again it probably is for almost every league. 2008 and 2010 are other years that come to mind for the OHL with the first four selections, and seven of the top 10 in 2008 and the top three selections in 2010. This group has the potential to be mentioned in the same breath. Not inconceivable to see the league having five of the first eight selections and many other quality players in the top 100.

Tony Ferrari - I think this year’s OHL crop is very good. Probably one of the better groups we’ve seen in a while with four guys almost locked into the top-10 and another 1 or 2 with a chance to sneak in if teams really like them and decide to reach a bit.

Grant McCagg - Any time you have five players from one league that could go in the top ten, it is a banner year. One could argue that it's the best OHL draft class since 2010 when Hall, Seguin and Gudbranson went one, two, three and six went in the top 12. The only class of the past decade in the discussion is the McDavid one because...it had McDavid. Marner is no slouch either, and Strome/Zacha have had their moments. All in all, I'm comfortable saying it is one of the best two OHL draft crops of the past decade...with both quality and depth.

Dominic Tiano - After the embarrassment of last season, the worst ever for the OHL, 2020 is a breath of fresh air. I think it’s the best draft class from the O since 2003 and it is strong in top end talent and depth. If there is an area of weakness it’s in the crease after Nico Daws.

Mark Scheig - Outside of the obvious names, I think this is a strong class overall. Having a 50-goal scorer as most expert's fifth ranked player says everything you need to know. And that doesn't even get to names like Jacob Perreault. I also think that there will be a strong showing in middle rounds. After a couple of down years, the OHL is back in full force in 2020.

Dylan Galloway - This draft class is one of the best I’ve been able to cover. The top end talent is ridiculous with 5 players that could be considered for the top 10. Even past the top end talent, there’s a ton of OHL talent to be had throughout this draft.

Steven Ellis - This is a big step up from 2018-19, and it’s nice to see an OHLer in contention for first overall. The league has the best power forward, the top defenseman and the North American goaltender with the most intrigue. When you take into the fact that scouts are in love with this draft, and that there could be as many as four players taken in the top 10, that’s a strong year – and one we expected when these players were selected in the OHL draft.

Raine Hernandez - I believe that this class of OHL players entering the NHL Entry Draft is the deepest that we have seen in quite some time. At the top of the heat, there are names that have the potential of changing a franchise. While there are four or five names can become faces of their future NHL teams, there are also numerous players that will find themselves within the first 60 picks. With such a saturated group of OHL players in this class with little wiggle room between one another, many teams will have the opportunity to pick OHL players that may not have been available in the later round’s years prior.

How many OHL players do you see going in the first round this year?
Brock Otten - I would put the over/under at 7.5. I think we need to look at Byfield, Drysdale, Perfetti, Rossi, and Quinn as locks. After that, this draft is pretty wide open so nothing would surprise me. But there is a group of 7-8 guys after that who have a legitimate shot of being drafted on day one.

Tony Ferrari - I think we could be looking at anywhere from 6-8 in the first round. There is a real chance that the OHL dominates the top and bottom of the first round with the 14-23 range possibly featuring a lull in the OHL selections.

Grant McCagg - Anywhere between six and ten. I figure it will be seven or eight.  

Dominic Tiano - Quinton Byfield, Jamie Drysdale, Marco Rossi and Cole Perfetti are top 10 talents. Jack Quinn is bordering on top 10. After those five, there’s Jan Mysak, Martin Chromiak, Jacob Perreault, Ryan O’Rourke and Tyson Foerster looking to see their names called in the first round. So, there could be as many as ten, but I see eight as definite first round picks.

Mark Scheig - I have seven in my first round. Byfield, Drysdale, Rossi, Perfetti, Quinn, Perreault and O'Rourke.

Dylan Galloway – 10

Steven Ellis - I'm going to go with six – Byfield, Rossi, Perfetti, Drysdale, Quinn and Mysak. It's more of a front-heavy draft in terms of OHL players going early, but that's better than having a bunch of late first-round picks instead.

Raine Hernandez - The big four (Byfield, Drysdale, Perfetti, Rossi) are guaranteed first round picks and most likely will be selected within the top-10. With this in mind, later in the first round we could see Sarnia’s Jacob Perreault, Barrie’s Tyson Foerster and Ottawa’s Jack Quinn and Hamilton’s Jan Mysak. Many mock drafts have been very different in regards to where Ryan O’Rourke finds himself, but he does carry an upside that’s big enough where he sees himself going in the first round (and personally I do), meaning if the right pieces fall into place, we could see a total of nine players selected in the first round.


Who is the most NHL ready player in this draft class from the OHL?
Brock Otten - I would say that despite him being on the smaller side, that Marco Rossi is the most NHL ready player from this OHL class. He may be small in stature, but his lower body strength is terrific and he is certainly the most polished two-way player in the group. Additionally, his later birthday has given him more experience to draw from than the others. With the improvements that he made to his skating this year, Rossi wouldn’t look out of place as someone’s third line center next year. Although I will also say that I don’t see the reason to rush him either. Let him play back home or in the AHL against men for a year to ensure that his size does not make him an injury risk, considering how hard he plays.

Tony Ferrari - The most NHL ready guy is probably Rossi because of his two-way game. His size doesn’t concern me because of his strength and the fact that he has those “Crosby thighs” that allow him to motor around the ice and stay upright. Byfield could also make the jump but I think he could benefit from another year of development, possibly overseas in Europe.

Grant McCagg - That is an excellent question. I think they could all probably use another year of hockey outside of the NHL, but if Byfield goes two or three, the recent tendency has been to keep players selected in the top three on your NHL roster. If Detroit ends up with Byfield he will play right away for sure because they don't have much quality depth at center. A team like Ottawa or New Jersey, though, has a little more young depth down the middle. Byfield is ready physcially in terms of his size and skating ability, but the team that drafts him may want to see him make the next step in terms of dominating physically at the OHL level before playing him for 82 games. Perfetti, Drysdale and Quinn need to get stronger. Rossi? He may stand as good a chance as any of them if the team that drafts him lacks depth at forward. I know his coach thinks he'll play in the NHL next season; we'll see. You don't see many 5-8 teenagers crack the NHL.

Dominic Tiano - I’m going to go with Jamie Drysdale here for two reasons: 1) his elite level skating and hockey IQ and 2) because he fills a spot on right defence that seems like every NHL team is looking for all too often.

Mark Scheig - It's Quinton Byfield and it's not close. I think Drysdale is one year away while everyone else is two or more years. Byfield has the size and the skill to make the immediate jump if he were to have a great camp. I don't think the others could handle the immediate jump.I could see Drysdale get up to nine games though.

Dylan Galloway - While I have my hesitations that the NHL is the best place for him next season, Byfield is the most NHL ready. He’s got the size speed and smarts to play with the big boys. He just needs to work on being able to play on the defensive side of the puck at a higher level so that NHL coaches can trust him on the ice and allow him to have the ice time to develop properly.

Steven Ellis - It’s easy to say Quinton Byfield, but I think you have to go with the player who can physically compete with the best players and can score at a high rate. Don’t let his slow World Junior Championship performance tell you otherwise – he can hang with the best (he was Canada’s best forward during training camp when he was playing with better players and given opportunities).

Raine Hernandez - There have been many that have been saying that he could play another year in junior, and while that may be true, Quinton Byfield still is the most NHL-ready prospect coming out of the Ontario Hockey League. Since being selected as the first overall pick in the 2018 Priority Selection, Byfield has had to go up against the opposing team’s top competition and has excelled immensely despite the talent around him. With his excellent blend of size, speed, and skill, Byfield’s game will translate instantly at the next level, with an opportunity to build on it under an NHL franchise 24/7.


Among the “big four,” (Byfield, Drysdale, Perfetti, Rossi), who are you the most confident in? In other words, who is the sure thing to become an elite NHL player?
Brock Otten - For me, that would be Jamie Drysdale. If I had to place a bet on one of them, it would be him. I just think that the combination of his mobility and hockey sense makes him the ideal NHL defender in today’s game. I also think that he has shown the ability to adapt and improve and that we have not yet seen the best from him. I think back to how he played at the World Juniors this year. At the start of the tournament, he looked timid. But by the end, he was one of Canada’s better defenders as a draft eligible. Not many 18 year old defenders have been able to play as well for Canada at that event as Drysdale did.

Tony Ferrari - My answer here is easy: Byfield. I could make the argument that he is the best of the bunch today but the reality is that he is in that discussion with Rossi at the moment. The difference between the two is that while I think Rossi has a chance to be a top-20 center in the NHL in his career, Byfield has a chance to be a top-10 player in the NHL. Byfield is the only player in this class, OHL or not, that rivals Alexis Lafreniere’s ceiling. Even if he doesn’t hit his insanely high ceiling, where ever he does ultimately land could be a top-15 center in the NHL.

Grant McCagg - I see at as a big five to be honest; there will be several NHL teams that have Quinn ranked ahead of Rossi, and don't be surprised if he is picked first. I don't think any of them are sure things to become elite players...for me it is Perfetti with the best chance of being an 80-point scorer, but in terms of confidence on who will likely be a first-liner...I will give the nod to Drysdale. The odds of him being a first-line defenceman on Detroit, Ottawa or New Jersey are higher than the others being first-line players where they are picked.

Dominic Tiano - That’s a tough one because all of them have the potential to become elite in the NHL but I will have to go with Byfield simply because he is the youngest and has the highest upside and if they all fulfill that upside; he will be the most talented.

Mark Scheig - Drysdale. He has the skating and can impact the game in so many ways. The others have legitimate questions in my mind for the next level. I'm not 100% sold that Byfield will become elite.

Dylan Galloway - While I feel all will have long and illustrious NHL careers, I’ve got to go with Rossi. He’s so well rounded and his senses are next level. He plays a pro game basically already and I think any coach is going to love tossing him over the boards in basically any situation and feeling comfortable.

Steven Ellis - I almost feel like there’s less pressure on Jamie Drysdale to perform at a high level, as you typically see from defensemen. There are opportunities for whoever drafts him to take their time and wait until he’s ready. Drysdale is a mature young man that can play heavy minutes and plays a better two-way game than any other defenseman in the draft. There’s a lot of Bowen Byram in Drysdale, and that’s a great thing.

Raine Hernandez - Despite the sub-par roster that has been around him in his two seasons in the OHL, Jamie Drysdale is my safest bet to become an elite NHL defenceman in the near future. Much like Byfield in Sudbury, Drysdale has managed to shine with a roster that is not among the OHL’s elites. Typically, with a player of that calibre that plays on a ‘weaker’ team, they’ll tend to create bad habits due to forcing to make something out of nothing to help generate plays for their team. It was rarely seen from Drysdale, who carries the complete package to be a complete top-pairing defenceman.


Conversely, among the “big four,” who are you the most wary of?
Brock Otten - Honestly, it’s probably Byfield. I know the conventional answer would probably be Perfetti because of his lack of extra gear, but his hockey sense and skill level should play well at the NHL level because of how he deconstructs defenses. Byfield is the least consistent of the four. And while his package of size, skill, and skating ability is impressive, there are times where I am left wondering if everything will come together the way that we hope it will. I'm also concerned that an NHL team will rush him and stunt his development. I don't think he is NHL ready right now. All that said, I would still take him and rank him first among the four because his ceiling is the highest. It’s just too much to pass up because even if his skills don’t quite come together, he’s still going to be an NHL player.

Tony Ferrari - While I am very confident in all of these guys, I think the one I tap the breaks on a bit is Drysdale. He is far and away the best defenseman in this draft class and I think that he will be a top-pair guy when he establishes himself. My worry with Drysdale would be someone rushing him into the NHL next year. He is the least ready of the four for the NHL and if he is forced in early, the chances that he stagnates or falters in his development becomes a bit higher.

Grant McCagg - NHL scouts keep telling me Byfield is most likely going to be a second or third-line center...so if you are asking which guy would I be most leery of becoming a first-line player out of the Big 5..it would be Byfield. I also think he may be the safest of the group too; if that makes sense. Byfield is going to help the team that drafts him in a lot of ways, especially if he adds more grit to his game. He's still just 17....twenty more pounds and he will be formidable if he uses it properly.

Dominic Tiano - You could probably throw Jack Quinn into this as well. But I am not leery of any of them to be honest. That said, I will throw it in a different direction and say Marco Rossi. I know there are concerns out there on whether he can handle the center position at the NHL level, so if you’re drafting him to play the middle and those concerns come to fruition, at least he could probably make it as a winger. So, Rossi would be the one I would be most leery of – at least at playing the position he’s most accustomed to playing.

Mark Scheig - I hate to say this but it's Marco Rossi. I think he will have a long and successful career but I do wonder if he can play center at the next level. I love his game and what he brings. But there aren't many 5-9 top centers in the league. If he's set on becoming a top center, I am leary. Otherwise I'm all in.

Dylan Galloway - You’re really not making these easy.. Out of the top 4, I’ll have to go with Perfetti but only because the others have potential to be super stars where Perfetti may just be a star. His skating needs improvement and could cause him some trouble transitioning to the next level over the other 3.

Steven Ellis – Perfetti. Obviously, scoring goals is huge, but it’s not uncommon for players with a natural goal-scoring ability to struggle once they crack the NHL. He doesn't have the explosive skating you'd hope for out for him, and I feel like he'd struggle in a third-line setting early in his career. I think whoever drafts him will want to get him into the top six as soon as he's ready. But having said that, you can't ignore how dominant offensively he is and how he took his two-way game to a whole new level this year, so my level of doubt is still quite low.

Raine Hernandez - I’ve been watching Cole Perfetti since his days when he was starring for a Whitby Wildcats team despite being a year younger than the rest of the competition. Now with Saginaw, Perfetti has exceeded expectations and has become one of the best offensive players in the CHL. At the next level, Perfetti won’t have the same situation that he has had in the past, not being in a position where he decides where to go like in minor hockey or the OHL draft where he committed to Michigan in order to go to an OHL franchise that he preferred. Perfetti will have to learn to adapt to becoming better defensively, and not with the best first step from a skating perspective, his development will be crucial to learning to use his high hockey-IQ playing at the next level.


Who is the OHL draft prospect who really swayed your opinion this year; the player who you were originally unsure of, but by the end of the year you were sold on?
Brock Otten - That has to be Zayde Wisdom. If you recall, I was a fan of his last year too and had him listed as an HM in my annual favourite OHL rookies piece. That said, I just didn’t expect this sort of offensive production from him. Sure, he plays with Shane Wright (and Chromiak later in the year). But he’s a driving force on that line too who consistently stands out for the right reasons. With every viewing of Kingston that I had this year, I came away impressed with his offensive skill set and I think his confidence really grew as the season progressed. Can we even say that his potential tops out as third or fourth liner anymore? It seems like every time Wisdom is sold short, he steps up and proves us wrong.

Tony Ferrari - Jacob Perreault is a player who I came into the year thinking was just a really good triggerman who has some skating issues and a lack of footspeed to make a difference. He has proved me wrong and he did it on a team that didn’t provide much help for him most of the year. His footspeed and skating improved by miles and the shot stayed high-end. What really impressed me was his ability to read the play in the offensive zone and become a bit more of a dual-threat. I still think his goal-scoring will be his bread and butter at the next level but his playmaking showed signs of growth. His teammates often left him out to dry and missed on good chances around the net.

Grant McCagg - I wouldn't say I am completely sold on him, but my opinion on Evangelista evolved as the season went on. He just kept making plays and earned time on London's top line; draft-eligible guys don't often get such a luxury in London..so if Dale Hunter likes what he sees...there is more there than originally met the eye. He's a very smart player, and you like what he does with the puck. If he can improve his game away from the puck, and where better to learn that than in London; he could be a pretty solid NHLer.

Dominic Tiano - I’m going to go with Luke Evangelista here. Teammate Antonio Stranges was the London Knight that got all the early attention between the two, but I always felt Evangelista had more to give and had the higher upside – at least he showed flashes last season. As this season progressed, it became more and more evident and NHL Central Scouting finally rewarded him ranking him ahead of his teammate.

Mark Scheig - Tyson Forester. I needed to see him before coming to any conclusions. He showed very well. I expect him to be one of the top goal scorers in the OHL the next year or two.

Dylan Galloway - Tyson Foerster. Wasn’t convinced of him at the start of the season. I still don’t love his skating, but I felt he did take steps at improving it through the season. His shot is fantastic, and he has excellent offensive instincts with an ability to use his wingspan for puck protection well.

Steven Ellis - Jack Quinn, easy. He had a strong year in the CCHL before going to major junior but didn't hit it off last year like I Was hoping. But a great start early in the campaign, followed by a Arthur Kaliyev-style goal-scoring campaign made me believe in his game. He scored in every live performance I saw him in, too. He has some minor deficiencies in his overall game, but Quinn has a tremendous skillset and should have no issue being a top-six winger.

Raine Hernandez - For some reason, I wasn’t the biggest fan of Ottawa 67’s Marco Rossi, but after the show he put on display this season, no doubt it’s him. I had thought that since Rossi produced behind the likes of Sasha Chmelevski, Tye Felhaber, and Austen Keating, I needed to see another season in which he would be the main guy. Once he got the keys to the top line, he did not disappoint.


Who was the OHL player that you were most disappointed in this year? Someone that you had really high expectations for coming into the year, but they failed to meet those expectations.
Brock Otten - That has to be Antonio Stranges. Coming into the year, I was a huge fan based on his skill level and offensive potential. And he certainly still possesses that. He just didn’t have a great year. Some of the issues that plagued his game last year (decision making with the puck, play through traffic, engagement level without the puck, defensive abilities) just didn’t improve. He has gone from a potential first round selection to a fourth-fifth round pick in my eyes.

Tony Ferrari - I think the obvious answers for me are Will Cuylle and Jean-Luc Foudy. The Windsor duo under produced expectations and while I think Foudy may have been a victim of questionable deployment and his teammates not pulling their weight on chances he generated, Cuylle underwhelmed for much of the year. He increased his physicality but his goal-scoring that came into the year as one of the more dangerous weapons on Windsor’s team became ineffective and inconsistent. He was never a razzle-dazzle player but he really seemed to hit a wall this year.

Grant McCagg - Take your pick of Pytlik or Foudy - I guess I'll say Foudy. Is he the next Rico Fata? Skates like the wind..unfortunately he also has to play hockey while he's flying. I kept waiting for the second-half breakout like Liam had in his draft year, but it never came. I question his grit and his hockey sense.  

Dominic Tiano - I actually have a pair of Windsor Spitfires here in Jean-Luc Foudy and Will Cuylle. Both came into the season as potential first round picks and didn’t meet expectations or take the next step. That’s something a player can’t afford in their draft year. That said, they both have high potential, more so in Foudy’s case, so all is not lost. But their season was a disappointment to me.

Mark Scheig - Antonio Stranges. I came in thinking first round. I wouldn't take him in the first three rounds. There is talent. There is intrigue. But he is someone who couldn't consistently go up in the London lineup and left so much to be desired. He has time to fix things but he was a major disappointment for me.

Dylan Galloway - Lleyton Moore. I was excited from my viewings last year, especially when he was in Niagara. I was hoping to see more of the offensive upside I came to expect from him. While he still shows some decent offensive upside, his defensive game is questionable at best.

Steven Ellis - I've been a believer in Will Cuylle since his minor bantam season and was hoping he'd take a big step in his game this year. Instead, he improved by just one point and didn't show his dominant offensive edge he had with the Toronto Marlboros. Most scouts I talked to around the OHL draft two years ago said he was as major junior-ready as they came. He had a good rookie year, but his lack of improvement wasn’t lost on me.

Raine Hernandez - Dealing with the off-ice distractions to get to Windsor, Will Cuylle showed tremendous upside in his rookie season with the Spitfires, and on multiple occasions, showcasing one of the greatest release’s that I had seen at the Minor Midget level. In his second season, I was hoping to see a massive jump in improvement from him, and it seemed that he just couldn’t get over that hump.


Who is the most underrated OHL player in this draft class; the player that you have ranked higher than others?
Brock Otten - I would give that moniker to Ryan O’Rourke. Because he doesn’t possess the raw athletic package of other projected stay at home defenders in this class (Guhle, Schneider, Barron, etc), he just doesn’t seem to get mentioned as much. IMO, he deserves to be right there with them because of how well he thinks the game and because his offensive skill set is undervalued. I believe that he has more to offer as a two-way defender and when you combine that with his leadership capabilities and physically intense style, you have someone who could be a solid top four defender for years to come. IMO, he deserves to be mentioned as a potential first round selection more than he has.

Tony Ferrari - Martin Chromiak is a guy that I don’t think gets the respect he deserves because he played with Shane Wright since he arrived around the mid-point of the season. He may not be a line driver on his own but he is a player who can play with elite talent, keep up to their pace of play and create chances for his teammates and himself. He can finish the plays the Wright generates and he can help set up Wright for good chances as well. Not every player can play with a star, Chromiak can.

Grant McCagg - I honestly don't look at a lot of public lists, so I'm not sure I can properly answer that question. I guess if you think there is a Big 4 and I have a guy ranked higher than one of those four...it must be him. :-) Jack Quinn is still underrated in some circles. An NHL scout told me he saw him after 15 on a couple of lists; I can't agree with that, Quinn has no real faults to his game. Speed, size, sense, shot, puck skills, defence and competitiveness are all above average - he is as safe a pick as any in this draft after Lafreniere. You know at the very least he will play third line, PP and penalty kill and score 20+ goals...that's a 17-18 -minute per night forward as your downside. On the other hand - he may be a 40-goal scorer on your top line, PP and PK. So that's pretty valuable.

Dominic Tiano - I’m going to go with a draft re-entry here and say Billy Constantinou. He was ranked 58th by Central Scouting a year ago and went undrafted and has not been on any of their lists this season. I think he was in a bad situation in Kingston a year ago and when he was traded early in the season to Sault Ste Marie, I think it suited him better and he showed his worth. I could also throw James Hardie of Mississauga or Logan Morrison of Hamilton on here as well.

Mark Scheig - Ryan O'Rourke. He is my 20th ranked player overall. You get so many things with him that won't crack the scoresheet. He's a natural leader. He leads by example. He's an in your face defenseman who gives you everything he's got. While he has things to work on, he's proven this season that nothing is too big for him. Being a captain at 17 proves that. He has that intangible of making everyone around him better by leading them through adverse situations. O'Rourke is by far my favorite player outside of the lottery.

Dylan Galloway - Evan Vierling fits the bill I think. The gap in the season didn’t help his case at all, as well as his slow start. But once he got to Barrie, he just looked so much more comfortable and back to the player I watched a year ago. I’d look to take a chance on him in the late second, early third.

Steven Ellis - Jean-Luc Foudy was a favorite of mine in 2018 and felt like he'd be a steal for Windsor. He didn't put up big numbers, but I think he's got significant value outside of putting pucks in the net. At the very least, he's a good energy guy with a good playmaking skillset.

Raine Hernandez - With the likes of Jaromir Pytlik and Ryan O’Rourke being the focus of scouts when watching the Soo Greyhounds this season, Rory Kerins would be the player that would catch their eyes by the end of it. Kerins enjoyed a great sophomore campaign with the Greyhounds, notching 30 goals and 29 assists. What Kerins may be lacking in foot speed, offensively, Kerins has a great playmaking touch and nose for the net, with a great mind for the game for a 200-foot player.


Who is the most overrated OHL player in this draft class; the player that you have ranked lower than others?
Brock Otten - Tough, but I would probably say that Jaromir Pytlik is that player for me. I still see him ranked in the upper part of the second round on some lists, but for me he is more of a third or fourth round selection. He plays a pro style game. One hundred percent, I do see him as a potential NHL player. However, I do wonder if he has enough dynamic qualities to his game. He’s an intelligent two-way player, but is his skating good enough to play that role in the NHL today? I would rate the majority of his skills as average which really puts him in danger of being that tweener type.

Tony Ferrari - Jack Thompson from the Sudbury Wolves. I think he is above average in the offensive zone but his defensive zone play is a bit of a mess at times. His offensive game didn’t take a real step this year as some had hoped and because of that, his defensive flaws can’t be ignored like other skilled offensive defensemen. I’ve said it since about the halfway point in the year, I don’t even think he’s the best draft-eligible defender on his team. I think Isaak Phillips holds that mark.

Grant McCagg - I would have to say Stranges. I don't like the way he plays, and I don't see pro coaches liking it either. This year's Ho-Sang without the production? I wouldn't consider him before the middle of the third round.

Dominic Tiano - I’m not sure this is going to be a popular choice but I will go with Pavel Gogolev of the Guelph Storm. I am always leery of ranking third time draft eligible players too high. Sure, injuries derailed him a year ago. And he did put up fantastic numbers for the Storm this season. But this is his draft plus 2 year and that is to be expected. He’ll be in my top 50, but not as high as some others have him ranked.

Mark Scheig - Stranges. He's not in my top-100.

Dylan Galloway - Antonio Stranges. He’s got the skating and some good offensive instincts but I haven’t been convinced he’s going to translate those skills well enough to the next level to justify taking him with a top 40 or 50 pick.

Steven Ellis - I honestly have little faith in Antonio Stranges becoming an NHLer. Stranges was invisible in my live viewings and if he wasn't using his electric speed to blow past defenders, he wasn't doing much else. He's more of a one-dimensional player, in my opinion.

Raine Hernandez - Jean-Luc Foudy – Windsor Spitfires: Elite playmaking ability but lacked the confidence to create for himself and size to bang with the best in the Ontario Hockey League. Foudy still has a long way to go but can still become a great offensive player at the next level.

Alright, give me your two favourite “sleepers.” One player that you really like for the middle rounds and one for the later rounds that have the potential to be quality NHL players.
Brock Otten - Evan Vierling comes to mind, but I actually expect him to be a top 75 selection, so I’m not really sure he qualifies. So the two names that I’m going to provide are Mitchell Smith and Cameron Tolnai. Smith is a mobile defender who played a variety of roles for the Spirit this year. Early on, it was as a puck mover. Later on, it was as Bode Wilde’s stable defensive partner. I think he possesses a lot of potential that we haven’t quite seen yet. Where as Tolnai, he was supposed to be one of the better players from this Ontario age group. Later in the year, we started to finally see what he was capable of. If the OHL playoffs had actually occurred, I think he could have had a chance to be a point per game player during an OHL Championship run. Given his size and power game down the middle, that could have made him a MUCH more coveted player.

Tony Ferrari - A player who I like in the mid-rounds that could out-perform his draft stock is Ty Tullio. I’ve been on this bandwagon all year but I think he has a real shot to be a middle-six scorer who can play on a top-powerplay and penalty kill. He has shown effectiveness in all three zones and his offensive creativity and raw skill is impressive. His shot is good but can stand to get a bit stronger but his playmaking is smooth and crisp. He sees the ice really well and if he can get on a line with a skilled center, he can make some magic at even strength. As for a later round player that I think could make a jump, I’ll go back to the Sudbury Wolves best draft-eligible defender, Isaak Phillips. He won’t blow you away but his defensive play is sturdy and stable, his shot is heavy from the blueline, and he makes a good first pass and can transition with his feet. He is an excellent skater, especially for his size. Die to the fact that he doesn’t put up a ton of counting stats, he doesn’t get the love of some other guys but I think he is a safe, NHL-upside pick in the later rounds.

Grant McCagg - I don't have any guys ranked in the later rounds that I think will be NHL players; I can't predict where these guys will go...so I'm not going to give you the name of a player I think will both go late..and be an NHL player...the odds of that are likely below 10 percent. Zayde Wisdom may go in the middle rounds, and he may end up playing. He has the strength, character and desire to play an NHL energy role if he keeps improving his skills. I like him more than Chromiak as a potential NHLer, which I realize isn't a popular opinion. I think his game will translate better.

Dominic Tiano - My first choice here is Zayde Wisdom of the Kingston Frontenacs. He plays the game the right way, can score, make plays and has a motor that never quits and bring a lot of energy. I think by the time his career is over, he could be one of those players we’ll be saying he should have been picked earlier. My second choice is a goaltender that is not even ranked and probably won’t get drafted in 2020 but will re-enter the draft in 2021 and turn some heads, Tucker Tynan of the Niagara IceDogs. What he did in Niagara before suffering a devastating injury that ended his season and could have ended his life – well we haven’t seen in quite some time. Was it enough? Probably not. I am hugely disappointed that Central Scouting didn’t at least tag him as a limited viewing.

Mark Scheig - Middle rounds, I like Donovan Sebrango in Kitchener. He's a great skater and has shown a nice growth in his defensive game. In the later rounds, Erie goalie Aidan Campbell is going to surprise a lot of people. He's 6-5 and a great athlete plus he's expected to be the number one for the Otters in 20-21. After a bit of a rough rookie year, I expect him to show why there was a lot of promise about him when he first came over.

Dylan Galloway - Yevgeni Oksentyuk. Overager who I really like for the middle rounds. Late 3rd or 4th. He’s slick and skilled and was simply under covered in Belrus last season. Lots and lots of upside in his game. Ethan Cardwell. Can really let his shot go when he gets the chance. Decent speed through transition and incredibly aggressive and competitive on the forecheck.

Steven Ellis – James Hardie and Jake Murray. Through minor midget and major junior, Hardie has found ways of taking his linemates to a whole new level and upped his own scoring output in a big way this season. There was enough overall improvement from year one to year two to suggest he has the potential to take his game to a higher level than anyone expected prior to joining Mississauga. For a late-round sleeper, Jake Murray didn't have a great transition to major junior after being a dominant force of the Oakville Rangers organization for many years. That shows how important those two years of major junior can be, but he's got the size to compete for an NHL spot and if given more opportunities on the power play, Murray would have better numbers to show for. Being stuck on a bad Kingston team didn't help, but there's still potential there.

Raine Hernandez - Evan Vierling, Barrie Colts – After a strong start with Flint, Vierling spent some time away from the team for personal reasons, and was then traded to the Barrie Colts where he was able to regain his confidence in Barrie, showing why he was the second overall pick in the 2018 OHL Priority Selection.

James Hardie, Mississauga Steelheads – When Hardie had the puck on his stick, he was absolutely electric, tallying 34 goals and 29 assists for a Steelheads team that resurrected themselves following a rough start to the regular season.

With eyes on next year’s NHL Draft. What does your top 5 look like right now from the OHL? Give us one sentence to describe each player.
Brock Otten
1. Brandt Clarke - Most polished 16 year old defender that I’ve seen in the league since Ekblad.
2. Mason McTavish - Dynamic goal scorer who will be given more room to be creative next year.
3. Franceso Pinelli - Skilled transitional forward who plays with intensity and can score.
4. Daniil Chayka - Raw physical package from the back-end who improved a ton this year.
5. Brennan Othmann - Pro ready winger who is extremely well rounded.

Tony Ferrari
1 - D Brandt Clarke, Barrie Colts: A skilled defender who played better in his own end as the year went on. Had the season not been cancelled, he likely would have reached the 40-point marker as a 16-year-old in the OHL, a mark that top defensive prospects hit. His production really took off after the coaching change as he was given more powerplay time and his leash at even strength was lengthened, allowing him to make mistakes and grow. 

2 - C Mason McTavish, Peterborough Petes: One of the best shooters in the 2021 draft class, McTavish scored 30 goals in his age-16 season and was fourth across the CHL among 2021 draft-eligibles in primary points per 60, leading the OHL. His ability to put up points is impressive and the shot is special. 

3 - LW Brennan Othmann, Flint Firebirds: A silky smooth winger who creates plays on a regular basis. Everyone that played with him this year seemed to benefit from his offensive prowess. Othmann routinely pushes the puck to the middle of the ice and when he gets his shot off, it’s dangerous from anywhere. 

4 - C Francesco Pinelli, Kitchener Rangers: A true dual-threat, Pinelli is the player I expect to rise on this list the most because of his improvement as the season went on. His ability to play a strong game in all three zones and dominate at times when the puck is on his stick as he weaves through the neutral zone and gets creative in the offensive zone.  

5 - C Brett Harrison, Oshawa Generals: Between Harrison and Wyatt Johnston (Windsor Spitfires), this spot was tough as both players were among the top 16-year-old producers post January 1st. Harrison has a bit more finish and flash in his game though which gives him the edge.

Grant McCagg - I honstly don't watch underagers very much; I more than have my hands full scouting draft eligible guys each year, and that is always my focus. Because of their Ottawa-area connections..the only guys I paid any attention to this season were McTavish, Enright and Clarke. I like McTavish and Clarke a lot. McTavish is a goal scorer, and he plays with some jam too...pretty smart, pretty tenacious. Clarke could be a stud defenceman....he has the whole package.

Dominic Tiano
I don’t usually rank players this far out and take a page out of Central Scouting with a player to watch list. These are the players who are most intriguing and should keep eyes on during the 2020-2021 season. In no particular order:

Brandt Clarke – Barrie Colts: Fantastic skater who has shown he can control a game. Superb passer with a high-level hockey IQ. Is in the mold of a Jamie Drysdale.

Mason McTavish – Peterborough Petes: McTavish seems to score goals at will. Got off to a tremendous start to the season but found himself being bounced around the lineup as the Petes gathered depth to make a run. It’ll be his team next year.

Francesco Pinelli – Kitchener Rangers: Pinelli already saw some time on the top line with the Rangers and he is expected to take on a bigger role for next season. Already plays a solid 200-foot game at a young age.

Daniil Chayka – Guelph Storm: A defender who plays in every situation and eats up huge minutes and takes on a leadership role is hard to find, and Chayka is just that. Possesses and excellent shot and is an agile skater for his size. Has played a ton of hockey this season.

Brennan Othmann – Flint Firebirds: Possesses an absolutely lethal shot. Has good vision and soft hands. Playmaking skills were much better than I anticipated. Skating is excellent and even at his young age showed the confidence to take on defenders one-on-one.

Mark Scheig
1. Brandt Clarke: He's the best defenseman by a mile and should pace the top of the rankings all of next season.
2. Mason McTavish: McTavish does so many things well and will be a terror to play against.
3. Francisco Pinelli: Enjoyed an excellent rookie season for the Rangers and could give McTavish a run for his money as the best forward available for the '21 draft.
4. Chase Stillman: While Byfield got all of the attention, Stillman quietly enjoyed a good rookie season and is ready to take the next step.
5. Brennan Othmann: He had a hand in helping Flint to its best season ever and is primed to help continue that trend.

Dylan Galloway
1 - Brandt Clarke - the offensive defenceman is absolutely lethal on the rush. He’s smart, fast and incredibly skilled. Can’t see anyone taking over top spot in the 2021 draft from the OHL.
2 - Brennan Othmann - Don’t get in the way of his shot because he’ll put it right through you.
3 - Mason MacTavish - The skilled power forward has an excellent shot and while he had a successful rookie season in the OHL with 29 goals in 57 games, I think there’s even more to give offensively.
4 - Francesco Pinelli - He’s flashy and skilled and just getting started, needs to work on his consistency and defensive game but that should come with maturity. 
5 - Danill Chayka - Good sized defender who’s a fluid skater and is already playing big minutes in Guelph. He loves to jump up on the rush and possesses a good and smart puck moving game.

Steven Ellis
    1 - Brandt Clarke, D (Barrie) The top competitor to Owen Power to be the first defenseman chosen in 2021 – but I have faith Clarke will be the best prospect from the class when it's all said and done.
    2 - Mason McTavish, C (Peterborough)One of the best pure goal-scorers available, McTavish is a smart kid with many pro-level qualities. Putting it all together consistently will help him push up a whole new level.
    3 - Francesco Pinelli, C (Kitchener)
    Pinelli will have no issue putting pucks in the net at the next level. He has everything you want out of a skilled, two-way centre.
    4 - Brennan Othmann, LW (Flint)Othmann's rookie season left a lot to be desired, but when he plays against the best, he's among the best. He's ready for a breakout.
    5 - Daniil Chayka, D (Guelph) A big Russian defender who was once a dominating force in minor midget. As an older player, Chayka needs a big third season to boost his stock.

Raine Hernandez
1 - Brandt Clarke (Barrie): Want to know what a game-breaker looks like from the backend? That’s Clarke every time he steps onto the ice.
2 - Mason McTavish (Peterborough): 29 goals as a rookie in the OHL as a rookie? A gifted offensive center with the ability to play a 200-foot game.
3 - Brennan Othmann (Flint): High-octane winger with an excellent ability to put the puck in the net.
4 - Francesco Pinelli (Kitchener): After a productive season in his first year, Pinelli will be taking the reins from Riley Damiani, poised for a huge season in 2020-2021.
5 - Chase Stillman (Sudbury): Reminds me a lot of his father Cory Stillman, has a high level of skill and smarts from the wing, and if Byfield comes back, get ready for Stillman’s sophomore season.

Tell us where people can find your work and what sort of upcoming projects they can expect from you and your crew.
Brock Otten - Obviously you can find my work here and on twitter (@BrockOtten). I’ll be releasing my final top 50 rankings in the near future. I’ll also be doing my annual media/scout poll to close the year. I’m also part of the team at McKeen’s Hockey and we’re gearing up for the draft. We are working on our Draft Guide as we speak.

Tony Ferrari - You can find me on Twitter at @theTonyFerrari and at Dobber Prospects! The majority of my work is at Dobber Prospects where you can find my weekly Ramblings every Monday where I take a look at different prospects around hockey and my monthly Draft Report where I deep dive a number of topics, profiles players and put together a “Team of the Month” like the All-Defensive team or All-Shorty team!


Grant McCagg - You can find my work at recrutes.ca. I have a draft guide coming out in a couple of weeks if I don't get hounded too much by any more guys looking for opinions on CHLers. ;-)


Dominic Tiano - Founder of ohlwriters.me I mostly stick to covering draft eligible players. With the cancelation of the season, I am going back and watching a lot of tape and currently working on profiles of players eligible for the draft. Will have my final ranking in early June.


Mark Scheig - I can be found on Twitter @markscheig and at thehockeywriters.com. As for current projects, we are in the midst of getting ready for the 2020 NHL Draft as we continue filling our draft guide to get everyone ready for the big virtual event whenever that will be. Also I am keeping close tabs on the Blue Jackets so fans will see stuff about them and perhaps their candidacy as a host city should the season resume. And we will watch for a potentially busy offseason for the Erie Otters while making some plans for a podcast sometime next season.


Dylan Galloway - You can always find me pumping my own tires on Twitter (@dylangalloway_). For rankings and articles you can read those at futureconsiderations.ca where I’ve posted articles on Byfield and Perfetti. Plus keep your eye out for our 2020 NHL Draft Guide which is in the works now.


Steven Ellis - You can follow me on Twitter, @StevenEllisNHL. I also write about prospects on my personal website, StevenPEllis.com, and have some cool stuff planned for the near future.


Raine Hernandez - Follow me on Twitter (@BringerOfRaine) and OHLNetwork (@network_ohl) for updates and feature articles with some of the best that the OHL Draft has to offer.





Sunday, April 19, 2020

Sunday Top 10 - 2020 NHL Draft Re-Entries


It's that time of the year for my annual (2019, 2018, 2017, 2016, 2015201420132012201120102009) list of the top second and third year eligible OHL players for the upcoming NHL Entry Draft. NHL teams continue to draft re-entry players in increasing number. This is mostly because drafting a second or third year eligible player gives NHL teams a lot of flexibility in their development under the CBA. Plus, a lot of these guys have been having success in recent years (Joey Keane and Sean Durzi as legitimate NHL prospects and Andrew Mangiapane, Tanner Pearson, Colin Miller, and Andrew Shaw as legitimate NHL players are great examples from the OHL), which basic psychology tells us that other NHL teams will try to mimic.

Just to clarify, yet again, for those with limited understanding of the NHL draft system; North American players have either two or three years to get drafted, depending on their birth date. For those born from January 1 to September 15, they will go through three NHL drafts. For those born from September 16 to December 31, they will go through two NHL drafts. The players on this list are a mix of those having been passed over once or twice already.

Also, do not confuse this list with players drafted in 2018 who will re-enter the draft should they fail to come to a contractual agreement with their NHL team by June 1 (and whose birth date still allows them to be eligible). Quite often those too are referred to as draft re-entries. But this list does not contain them because it is not yet known who those players will be.

Last year only two re-entries from the OHL were drafted (Meireles and Coskey). But, as you know, it was a significant down year for the OHL across the board. This year, I think that number will be significantly higher. I am going to guess that we'll see 6-7 of these guys drafted. It's a very strong group led by Nico Daws, who should be a top 75 selection.

 
Without further rambling, here's my list:


1. Nico Daws - Goaltender - Guelph Storm
It should come as no surprise to see Daws as the top ranked player on this list. He had a heck of a year for the Guelph Storm in his first season as a starter in the OHL, finishing tops in save percentage at .924%. This also led to an appearance for Canada at the WJC's (although his performance was less than stellar at the event). The Guelph Storm were supposed to be one of the worst teams in the OHL this year, but thanks to the remarkable play of Daws (and several other players), they managed to have a successful season that saw them near the top of the Western Conference for a good chunk of the year. A lot of Daws' success, from a personal standpoint, can be attributed to his dedication to improved conditioning this past offseason. He lost 25lbs on the Keto diet and the effect on his abilities was profoundly positive. It made him much quicker post to post, and gave him better overall agility. This allowed him to use his 6'4 frame more effectively to challenge shooters, and to still be able to recover and track the play. Guelph had one of the stronger penalty killing units in the OHL this year because of how well Daws fights through traffic to make saves, how well he squares to shooters, and how well he takes away the bottom part of the net while being forced to move and cover his posts. Daws is also a terrific puckhandler who is ultra aggressive in playing the puck, a bit of a lost art in today's trapezoid age. One thing Daws will have to clean up is his rebound control, especially on higher shots. He can give up too many second chance opportunities on point shots because of this. However, he is the likely OHL Goaltender of the Year, and the top ranked goaltender in North America by NHL Central Scouting for a reason. The progression he showed this year, matched with his size and athleticism, makes him a very intriguing option for the first three rounds in 2020.

2. Yevgeni Oksentyuk - Left Wing - Flint Firebirds
He may be pint sized (5'7, 160lbs), but the Belarussian import is a highly effective offensive player. He finished just outside the Top 10 in the OHL in even strength points per game this year (0.83), and was the leading scorer for Flint, a team that had earned home ice advantage in the West had the playoffs actually occurred. While Oksentyuk may not possess the elite top end speed that you like to see from a smaller player, he makes up for it in other areas. The first is in his overall agility. His edgework is both powerful and fluid, allowing him to change direction on a dime. He's also very sturdy on his skates for a 5'7 kid, with a strong lower body that allows him to protect the puck. When you combine these things with elite hands and playmaking ability, you have a very dynamic player who is difficult to pin down in the offensive end. He is far from a perimeter player too, finding a lot of success from driving the net and playing through the middle of the ice, something that scouts will no doubt like and bodes well for success at the higher levels. This is a kid that I'd have a lot of time for inside the top four rounds this year. The underlying statistics match the eye test, which he passes. His five on five production was better than the likes of Akil Thomas, Ryan Suzuki, and Phil Tomasino this year, all players considered to be among the best playmakers in the OHL.

3. Pavel Gogolev - Left Wing - Guelph Storm
I continue to be a big Gogolev supporter. He was #1 on this list a year ago (despite suffering through injuries and having a down year), and would be there again if not for the remarkable seasons and potential of Daws and Oksentyuk. I do think sometimes that you have to be weary of kids who take huge steps forward in their 19/20 year old seasons. But let's not forget that Gogolev was a 30 goal scorer in his original draft year. He's always had the talent. But other areas of his game were lacking. This year, those areas took massive steps forward to the point where he is a much more projectable player. Run down the list. His skating looked much better this year. More power in his stride, stronger East/West. His playmaking ability took a huge step as he learned to utilize his strong hands and creativity to be more than just a goal scorer. This meant less turnovers from trying to force plays or shots through traffic. Instead, he exhibited poise and patience, using his hands to draw in defenders before dishing off, but remaining assertive in hunting down open ice to utilize his shot. His play away from the puck was more consistent. He'll never be a defensive stalwart, but he was much more active hunting down loose pucks (especially as a forechecker), and was more aggressive on the backcheck. At the end of the day, we also should not forget that Gogolev is a premium goal scorer who has one of the best shots in the OHL. Most promising, a lot of his production came at even strength and consistency really wasn't much of an issue for him. Like Nico Daws, he put the Storm on his back and should be drafted this year because of it.

4. Robert Calisti - Defense - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
Have to say, Calisti's development really took me by surprise this year. He was easily one of the most improved players in the league after getting passed over in last year's NHL Draft. The first thing you notice about Calisti is his skating. In my opinion, he is one of the better skaters in the OHL and he uses this mobility to his advantage at both ends of the ice. He is very effective leading the rush because of his explosiveness. He does not take long to build up speed from his own end, making him very difficult to pin down on the forecheck. And he is ultra aggressive in pushing across the opposing blueline, constantly on the attack, pushing the pace. Calisti also does a great job of using his mobility to create shooting lanes, which helps to explain his 18 goals on the year. He identifies gaps well and is aggressive in jumping up in the rush, hitting the middle with the authority. Defensively, while undersized at 5'10, he is physically aggressive and will not allow himself to get pushed around. That said, his aggressiveness can hurt him at both ends of the ice. He does play a high risk game that sees him caught up ice. And his defensive coverage is a little erratic because he gets himself caught out of position because he's trying to get back, or simply overplaying puck carriers. However, Calisti is only a 2001 born who just finished his second year in the league, his first as a top four defender. It would be foolish to suggest that his game can't be reigned in a bit as he gains more experience. Like the three others listed ahead of him, I believe Calisti should be looked at as a top four round selection.

5. Ilya Solovyov - Defense - Saginaw Spirit
Made a ton of noise to start the year as he found himself near the top of the scoring charts in the OHL. That sort of production was just not sustainable though. It was inevitable that he would crash back down to Earth a little bit. However, his point totals took a nose dive in the final month, which is causing him to fall off draft lists completely (like NHL Central Scouting). While I do think that he hit a bit of a wall in the second half, causing a slight dip in his play, you also have to take into account Bode Wilde's arrival, which corresponds with his lack of production in the final month. Less opportunity for him in key offensive situations, such as the powerplay. What you have to think about here is the projection of his skill set. You've got a 6'3, 210lbs defender with good mobility, good hands and an aggressive style at both ends of the ice that allows him to play in all situations. Offensively, he uses his size really well to protect the puck and is no stranger to pushing deep below the hash marks. He has quick hands that allow him to evade stick checks, both in the neutral zone and inside the blueline. His top speed is only average, but his lateral mobility is very strong for a big kid. Defensively, he is generally solid. Can get lost in coverage from overplaying, but his size and lateral quickness can be a real asset. For a 2000 born kid, his game is still so raw, with the potential for him to improve. I'm hoping that regardless of whether he gets drafted or not, he returns to the OHL as an overage Import (a rarity). Would be interesting to see how his game improves with another year in the league.

6. Billy Constantinou - Defense - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
One of the highest ranked players to go undrafted in 2019, Constantinou had a terrific year after a trade to the Greyhounds. For whatever reason, things just didn't click in Kingston, both this year, and to close out last year. He can be a real exciting player to watch though. He's not quite as explosive as his teammate Calisti, but his overall mobility is excellent. He is very elusive when attacking off of the rush, and when working the point on the powerplay, because of how fluid he is in changing pace and direction. I think Constantinou's defensive game did make some strides by season's end too. There is still work to be done, no doubt, but his awareness and effectiveness defending the crease and winning those battles in the corner did improve. And it's not like Constantinou is drastically undersized too. He comes in at 6'0, 190lbs. I do know that there are some concerns over his vision and hockey sense though. At times, he can be turnover prone, especially when trying to escape the forecheck in the defensive end. But there's still a lot to like here, from a puck moving defender who continues to improve. I know the LA Kings had or have interest in him especially. 

7. Joe Carroll - Left Wing/Center - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
From what I understand, Carroll is a player that has been teasing scouts dating back to his days in minor hockey. The inconsistencies in his game are the reason that he was not drafted last year in the NHL, despite being fairly highly ranked. I was certainly higher than most on him last year, but I understood why he was not selected. This year, I don't think he started strong. But around the new year, we saw a much different Carroll. A Carroll who was using his size (6'3, 200lbs), skating ability, and skill level to be an impact player on a more consistent basis. The proof is in the pudding too. In the final 21 games of the year, Carroll had 15 goals and was averaging 3.5 shots per game, which would be right up there with other high end goal scorers in the league. Plain and simple, when Carroll is fully engaged in all areas of the ice, he has the talent to be the #2 player on this list behind Daws. When he's not, he's a near non factor. Which player is the real Carroll? The one who appeared to turn a corner late this year, or the inconsistent one in every other year? All it takes is for one NHL organization to truly believe in Carroll. If he plays the way that he's capable of, he could be an 80+ point player next year for the Soo and with his size and skating ability, that would make him a potential Brett Leason. Do you pick him now in the later rounds to be ahead of the curve? 

8. Tag Bertuzzi - Left Wing - Hamilton Bulldogs
After missing the majority of his draft year last year, Bertuzzi bounced back strong this year for the Bulldogs, finishing third in team scoring, and second in goals. While he has yet to fully live up to the hype attached to being the second overall selection in the priority draft, he did make great strides this year. Son of former NHL'er Todd, Tag is a budding power forward at 6'1, 200lbs. I thought that he looked noticeably quicker this year, and had become more confident with the puck on his stick. He is especially effective down low, where he can spin off the wall and drive the net with the authority. And he has a very powerful wrist shot that he was more aggressive in using. There were a few games this year that he just completely took over. That said, no question he still has more to give. I'd love to see him get even quicker to be more effective driving the net in transition. I'd love to see him be more consistent as a physical threat. And I'd love to see him dominate near the crease, spending less time along the wall or on the outside. Again, though, Bertuzzi remains an interesting prospect with his bloodlines and potential as a middle six goal scorer. 

9. Tye Kartye - Center/Left Wing - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
I heavily considered putting Kartye as high as number 5 on this list, because I do think that he has the fifth best chance to be drafted among the players that I have listed. But settled at number 9, only because I think that the players I have ranked ahead of him possess a little more offensive potential if their development curve continues upward. However, there are a lot of things to like about Kartye's game. He is an extremely versatile player; that classic coaches dream type. He can play the wing or down the middle (finished the season very strong at center). He can be a net front presence on the powerplay or work the top of the box/diamond on the penalty kill. He brings a physical intensity to all three zones and is a tireless worker. He's got good size and is a good enough skater to be a high quality bottom six player at the next level. Like I said, there's not much that he can't do on the ice. Offensively, there will likely be limitations for him at the next level. He has a good skill set, but not a great one, and as mentioned doesn't possess the upside of his teammate Joe Carroll, as an example. But NHL scouts love kids like Kartye, who have size, can skate, work hard, and show great progression. I think he's a draft pick in the later rounds.

10. Louka Henault - Defense - Windsor Spitfires
I had a very tough time selecting #10 for this list. Quite frankly, you could probably make a case for a number of guys that I have listed as honorable mentions. But here's why I went with Henault. Firstly, he's a very good overall skater. He shows good explosiveness and top speed as a puck mover, but is also a great four way mover which helps him hold the blue line, and helps him as a defensive player. The underlying statistics really help to show how good his vision with the puck is too. His 17 even strength primary assists were third among blueliners in the entire OHL this year, behind only Noel Hoefenmayer and Declan Chisholm. Henault is just really good at using his mobility to open up passing lanes, drawing defenders to him before finding an outlet or an open forward in the offensive zone. I thought he really improved a lot in his own zone this year too. A little more assertive physically. A little more confident in his reads. Not sure that he'll ever be a true powerplay QB; he's not necessarily dynamic in that regard. But, what he is, is a very effective, heads up puck mover whose all around game continues to improve. 

Honorable Mentions:

Goaltenders:

Mack Guzda - Owen Sound Attack
While I'm not really expecting Guzda to be drafted this year, it would be a shame to ignore the improvements that he made this year. One of the bigger disappointments last year in his draft year, Guzda really struggled. But this year saw a 22 point swing in his save percentage (.878 to .900). He's still got elite size at 6'5 and he has done a good job to improve his positioning and rebound control. However, consistency is still an issue, something that Guzda has battled throughout his OHL career. Nice to see him trending in the right direction though.

Defense:

Nathan Allensen - Barrie Colts
Allensen is one of the guys that I highly considered at #10. He took some really nice steps forward from his draft year. Looked way more confident with the puck, while remaining assertive and confident in his own end. His skating, while not elite, is strong too. Just a solid all around defender. Consistency was still a bit of an issue though. Started the year really strong. Then through the middle part, I thought he hit a wall. This was followed up by a strong finish post coaching change. I think there's potential for him to play pro though.

Mitchell Brewer - Oshawa Generals 
I had championed Brewer pretty hard last year as a draft eligible player. I felt like he had more offensive potential than scouts were giving him credit for. However, I'm not sure he had the best year from a development standpoint. He's still a staunch defender who will do anything necessary to make the right play in his own end. But I felt like his offensive game actually regressed and not progressed. Currently, his game lacks that dynamic quality that sees him as a potential pro. I listed him still because I do feel like he's one of the better stay at home defenders in the league and that has value. But I have lost some hope that his offensive game improves to the point that it needs to.

Riley McCourt - Flint Firebirds
No question, McCourt has emerged as one of the top offensive blueliners in the OHL, perhaps even in the CHL. His ultra aggressive style helps to really kick start the Firebird's offense. He is constantly on the attack and loves to play deep within the offensive zone. He's a quality skater which helps him recover and play that high risk/high reward style. I guess the question is, does he defend well enough to be an NHL player? I'm just really not sure. That said, he's certainly talented enough to warrant a look. 

Justin Nolet - Sarnia Sting 
On numbers alone, Nolet isn't really someone who stands out; only 18 points from a player that I would classify as more of an offensive oriented player. But every time I saw Sarnia this year, Nolet stood out for all the right reasons and IMO, was the Sting's best defenseman, in his first season in the league (after starting the year in the OJHL with the Toronto Patriots). While I'm doubtful that he gets drafted this year, he's someone worth mentioning. I think his vision with the puck is quite strong and that his hockey sense overall is very good. His four way mobility is pretty good too. As he gets stronger and adds another gear to his skating, I'm really curious to see what he can do. This can also be said for Sarnia improving as a team around him. He's someone to really keep an eye on IMO.

Andrew Perrott - Owen Sound Attack 
If you recall, I was a Perrott fan last year. And I still really like the kid. He plays the game hard and I really admire that in a defender. I think his offensive game took nice steps forward this year. A lot more sure handed and confident with the puck in all three zones. His skating is likely still viewed as not strong enough to be an NHL prospect though, especially with him not having elite reach at 6'0. But I felt it necessary to include him because I think he brings a lot to the table as an OHL player.

Merrick Rippon - Ottawa 67's 
A really tough year for Rippon with a lot of time missed. Missed his chance at Carolina's prospect camp because of injury. Missed a few months towards the end of 2019. Missed six games due to suspension towards the end of the year. Just a very disjointed year. Yet, when he played, Rippon was an impact player for the 67's. He is one of the most physical defenders in the league and he uses his mobility to try to impact the game at both ends. That said, decision making remains an issue and I don't think he had enough of a chance to show scouts that he's making better decisions with the puck. Curious to see how he develops as an OA next year. Could have a monster year.

Arber Xhekaj - Kitchener Rangers
Admittedly, I actually considered putting Xhekaj at #10. No, I haven't lost my mind. Hear me out. IMO, Xhekaj was one of the most improved players in the OHL this year, because I wasn't even sure he had the ability to stick in the league again after a rough rookie year. He's only a 2001 born and has a lot going for him now. I think his skating looked much better this year. Still room to grow, but he was doing a much better job defending off of the rush and activating as an offensive player. His puck skill has grown considerably. He'll never be confused with Erik Karlsson, but turnovers were much less of an issue. And he's one of the league's top hitters and shot blockers. There is a reason that he is such a fan favourite in Kitchener, because he makes the Rangers more difficult to play against. Seeing the improvements that he made this year, I'm curious to see how he continues to improve moving forward, as he is given more responsibility. Starting to get a Brandon Crawley vibe here. 

Forward:

Daniel D'Amico - Windsor Spitfires
Not really sure his game improved a ton this year, but he's still a player worth mentioning on this list because of his high end hockey sense and hands. Be it next year, or his overage season, D'Amico will break out and be a considerable offensive threat in the league. Just not sure that the skating will ever be at a high enough level to compensate for his average size. Likely another Austen Keating.

Maxim Golod - Erie Otters
Really nice steps taken forward by Golod this year in Erie, which is why I heavily considered him for that #10 spot. He's not a huge kid at 5'11, but he plays with power. Skating ability really taken up a notch this year allowing him to be a real factor creating off the rush. Will look to drive the net and play through the middle of the ice. He also does well to control the wall and has good vision spinning off checks. More than doubled his offensive production from the previous year, which is impressive. He's always had the ability, it was just about becoming a little bit better of an athlete to be more consistent. I think he plays pro at some point. 

Barret Kirwan - Owen Sound Attack 
IMO Kirwan is one of the league's most underrated players. He does it all and really is a great example of why Owen Sound continues to be a winning team. He works his ass off on the ice and can be used in any situation. He's also a great faceoff man. I really don't think he ends up being heavily on the NHL radar as he doesn't have the elite skating ability of someone like Hayden Verbeek, a similar kind of player. But I felt like listing a player that I don't think gets enough credit. Should be one of the better OA's in the league next year as a possible 40/40 guy.

Cole Mackay - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
To be honest, I felt like Mackay got a little overshadowed by the progression of other Soo forwards this year (Kartye, Kerins, Trott, Dickinson). He's still a very solid OHL player. His high end hockey sense allows him to play in any situation and excel. He is just a very good complimentary winger on a scoring line. That said, I don't think his skating or ability to create his own chances really improved much this year. And that was the strike against him from NHL scouts last year. Still someone to keep an eye on as he matures physically.

Luke Moncada - North Bay Battalion
Right at the top of the list when we're discussing the most improved players this year. A checking line, energy player through his OHL career thus far, Moncada was asked to step up and be an offensive presence this year and he succeeded. But he did so without sacrificing his commitment to the defensive end, making him one of the better two-way centers in the league. His speed was noticeably improved this year, something that helped him get 7 shorthanded goals. Wouldn't be shocked at all if an NHL club used a late round selection on him considering his great size (6'1, 210lbs), his versatility, and his dedication to improvement. Like Kirwan, he'll be one of the top OA's in the league next year. 

Sergey Popov - Owen Sound Attack 
Why does it seem like Owen Sound has so many underrated players who don't get the publicity they deserve? Popov's 51 assists put him 15th in the league this year as we saw him blast away his previous career highs. Popov is an extremely skilled playmaker who has always possesses the creativity and the flash, but just wasn't strong enough on the puck to be a consistent contributor. This year, we saw that. To be honest, I don't think there is a lot separating Popov from a guy like Semyon Der Arguchintsev. 

Austen Swankler - Erie Otters
Swankler was one of the younger players eligible for the draft last year when he went unselected after a year in the USHL. He decided to forgo his scholarship to play in Erie and he had a pretty solid year. He plays a sound power game from the middle of the ice and is aggressive in driving the net and playing from the home plate area. He is physical on the forecheck and does well to create space for his linemates. As he improves his skating, he could be a real good player in this league. Given his skill set and the type of game he plays, I could definitely see him being on the NHL radar, which is reflected by his ranking in NHL Central Scouting's rankings this year.

Zack Trott - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
Trott led the Greyhounds in scoring this year with 66 points in 62 games and was a much improved offensive player. He is such a good energy player. He keeps plays alive in the offensive end by keeping his feet moving and using his strong hands to evade checks. He can play in any situation and has turned himself into a really good OHL player. For as intelligent and hard working as he is, I'm not sure he'll get a serious look at the draft this year. He's 5'10 and not really someone I would call an elite skater. His agility and lateral movement is strong, but he's far from a burner. I would look for him to be a very high scoring player next year as an OA though.

Eric Uba - Guelph Storm 
Uba is essentially the same kind of player as Trott, but plays with a little more power because he's bigger and his skating is a tad more explosive. Whenever I watched Guelph play this year, Uba was always noticeable playing up in the lineup. He works hard and is the perfect compliment to Gogolev and Hillis on that top line because he goes hard to the net and can win battles along the wall. Like some of the other players on this list, I'm not sure he really attracts NHL attention, but he's worth mentioning because of the improvement he showed this year.

Chad Yetman - Erie Otters 
The final player on this list is another player that I heavily considered for the #10 spot. What is most impressive about Yetman is that he just continues to find ways to get better. In each of his three years in the league, he's improved considerably. This year his 43 goals put him 8th in the OHL. And there's a reason why he was named an underrated player in the OHL Coaches Poll. He plays in all situations for Erie and is a competent three zone player to go with being a quality goal scorer. Not sure he would be a center at the pro level, but his skating and strength continue to improve. If I'm an NHL team, I'm keeping a close eye on Yetman. If he's not drafted, he should have his pick of a few development camp offers (should they actually occur).

Wednesday, April 8, 2020

2020 NHL Central Scouting Final Rankings

NHL Central Scouting has released their final rankings for the 2020 NHL Draft. Below is a breakdown of how OHL players were ranked. If you're curious for a comparison, you can find the midterm rankings here.

Skaters:
1. Quinton Byfield (2)
2. Jamie Drysdale (3)
3. Cole Perfetti (5)
4. Marco Rossi (6)
5. Jack Quinn (7)
6. Jacob Perreault (17)
7. Tyson Foerster (21)
8. Ryan O'Rourke (27)
9. Jan Mysak (28)
10. Martin Chromiak (30)
11. Jean Luc Foudy (33)
12. Will Cuylle (34)
13. Brandon Coe (35)
14. Luke Evangelista (39)
15. Jaromir Pytlik (46)
16. Ty Tullio (52)
17. Oliver Suni (53)
18. Zayde Wisdom (54)
19. Antonio Stranges (56)
20. Donovan Sebrango (59)
21. Jack Thompson (60)
22. Evan Vierling (66)
23. Tanner Dickinson (67)
24. Ethan Cardwell (70)
25. Rory Kerins (72)
26. Robert Calisti (78)
27. Ruben Rafkin (84)
28. Hayden Fowler (87)
29. Kirill Steklov (106)
30. Pavel Gogolev (107)
31. Yevgeni Oksentyuk (109)
32. Isaak Phillips (114)
33. Ole Bjorgvik Holm (116)
34. Riley Piercey (129)
35. Ville Ottavainen (137)
36. Cameron Butler (138)
37. Jake Uberti (147)
38. Reid Valade (148)
39. Declan McDonnell (155)
40. James Hardie (163)
41. Louka Henault (171)
42. Igor Chibrikov (188)
43. Logan Morrison (190)
44. Tye Kartye (192)
45. Jake Murray (193)
46. Lleyton Moore (194)
47. Austen Swankler (200)
48. Maxim Golod (213)
49. Brendan Hoffman (217)

Goalies:
1. Nico Daws (1)
2. Will Cranley (4)
3. Nick Malik (10)
4. Tye Austin (14)
5. Owen Bennett (24)
6. Aidan Campbell (28)
7. Brett Brochu (29)
8. Mack Guzda (31)

Differences Between Midterm and Final Rankings

Biggest Risers:
Riley Piercey: +89 (from unranked)
Declan McDonnell: +63 (from unranked)
Robert Calisti: +59
Jake Uberti: +55
James Hardie: +50
Zayde Wisdom: +36
Ethan Cardwell: +34
Louka Henault: +30
Ole Bjorgvik Holm: +24
Tyson Foerster: +20
Luke Evangelista: +19
Brandon Coe: +12
Will Cranley: +12 (among goaltenders)
Evan Vierling: (undetermined, LV to #66)

Biggest Fallers: 
Ilya Solovyov: -99 (to unranked)
Dylan Robinson: -80 (to unranked)
Ville Ottavainen: -66
Jake Murray: -63 (to unranked)
Isaak Phillips: -38
Cam Butler: -38
Kirill Steklov: -37
Luke Profaca: -33 (to unranked)
Igor Chibrikov: -32
Evgeni Oksentyuk: -30
Reid Valade: -25
Hayden Fowler: -21
Tye Kartye: -19
Anthony Tabak: -19 (to unranked)
Antonio Stranges: -17
Andrei Bakanov: -15 (to unranked)
Jean Luc Foudy: -13
Will Cuylle: -13
Owen Bennett: -11 (among goaltenders)

Comments:

1. Hard to compare against my own rankings at this time because I have not yet set my final rankings for the draft. That said, I can tell you that James Hardie, Andrei Bakanov, Logan Morrison, and Jan Mysak will be higher. And that Kirill Steklov and Olle Bjorgvik Holm will be lower.

2. Looking at the players who fell, the only ones that I really disagree with are Bakanov, Oksentyuk, and Solovyov. That said, I wouldn't have had Solovyov that high in the first place. While the offensive production did decrease in the second half, I'm not entirely sure we can say that his play dropped. He was the same player, just his production fell back down to Earth. And Bakanov, well it's obvious we see different players.

3. James Hardie was a kid that I had been hearing was gaining serious traction among the NHL scouting community as a potential 3rd/4th round selection with his strong play in the second half. Yet, NHL Central Scouting still has him as a virtual non draft selection. Very confusing to me.

4. The Top 10 among OHL players is the exact same for me right now in terms of the names. Just the order is different.

If you're curious to see the entire list, you can find that HERE.