The Ottawa 67's...I mean, New Jersey Devils are up next.
1. Kevin Bahl - Ottawa 67's
One of the main pieces of the Taylor Hall trade, Bahl has turned himself into a legitimate NHL prospect and a potential top four shutdown defender over his four years in the OHL. The 6'7, 240lbs blueliner routinely has his way with OHL forwards, tossing them aside as if they weighed as much as a feather. Be it challenges in the corners, in front of the net, or in the neutral zone, he wins the majority. He suffocates you with his strength and is just such a physical player. No question, opposing players grip their stick a little tighter when he's on the ice. However, with his good four way mobility, Bahl is also strong defending the attack and denying zone entry. He is aggressive stepping up on attackers, laying the body on forwards trying to squeeze across the blueline near the wall. Sometimes, this aggressiveness can take him out of the play and lead to odd man opportunities, so he'll have to continue to learn to pick his spots at the pro level. His gap control has really improved and it is rare to see him beat to the outside as he has corrected some of those footwork issues that gave him trouble early on in his OHL career. Bahl has also really improved his exit pass and overall ability to handle the puck and make quick decisions in the defensive zone. Among players tracked by InStat Hockey, Bahl's 84 percent passes completed percentage is among the highest of any defender in the league. You won't see him jump up in the rush a ton. And the upside as an offensive player is probably not quite as high as I thought it could be a few years ago. However, Bahl is a stabilizing presence who certainly won't hurt you with turnovers. This was evident at the World Juniors this year, where Bahl's work as a shutdown defender and PK'er was excellent. I think he has a chance to move quickly through the New Jersey system and make an impact with the Devils as early as the end of next season.
2. Nikita Okhotyuk - Ottawa 67's
Okhotyuk made the most of this year, a season which saw him miss a substantial amount of time with a gruesome finger injury. The offensive production didn't really improve a ton, nor did his development as an offensive player. But that's OK, because what Okhotyuk is, is a true shutdown defender. Everything I said above about Bahl can be replicated about Okhotyuk. He may not have the elite size that Bahl does, but he is every bit as mean and effective in the defensive end. In fact, if you look at some advanced stats from InStat hockey, Okhotyuk actually had the highest challenges won percentage of any NHL draft prospect in the OHL this past season, more so than Bahl. His lateral and backwards mobility are excellent and he is just so poised when it comes to defending in transition. I'm not sure his upside is as high as Bahl's, but I do truly believe that he can be an NHL defender and a guy that you can have anchor your penalty kill. He'll turn pro next season and should be able to be a quality AHL defender right from the get-go.
3. Graeme Clarke - Ottawa 67's
Limited to only 16 games because of a shoulder injury, it's pretty tough to evaluate Clarke's season with the premature stoppage and cancellation of the playoffs. Small sample size, of course, but I'm not sure he really looked much quicker this year. In the limited viewings of Clarke that I had, I would say that his stride still lacked that explosiveness that caused him to fall the 80th spot in the draft. This is obviously crucial to his development. He's still an extremely talented and creative goal scorer and I am really looking forward to seeing him continue to build upon the chemistry that he showed with Cam Tolnai late in the year. Moving forward, the focus will still need to be on Clarke's strength on the puck, the consistency with which he engages without it, and his play in all three zones. Coming back from that shoulder injury, you could tell he was tentative at times to involve himself physically and that's fine. Next year, hopefully those worries subside and he really takes that next step forward. Playing on a strong team, it is not far fetched to suggest that Clarke could be a 40/40 player next year...or even more. He is that talented.
4. Michael Vukojevic - Kitchener Rangers
Well, I would say that odds are, between Bahl, Okhotyuk, and Vukojevic, the Devils should be able to develop at least one dominant shutdown defender for their pro roster, if not more. Vukojevic is cut from the same cloth as the other two. He's big. He's mean. He takes care of his own end, first and foremost. He's not quite as smooth of a skater as Okhotyuk and he doesn't quite have the reach of Bahl, but his mobility and coverage in the defensive end has greatly improved over the last year and a half. As a physical player, Vukojevic is also a bit different than Bahl and Okhotyuk, in the sense that he's not stepping up on attackers and laying those big open ice hits. He's more subtle in his approach. He's more likely to make his presence felt below the hash marks to win a one on one challenge for the puck near the crease or behind the net. He continues to progress as an offensive player, cutting down on his turnovers, improving his confidence in skating with the puck, and making cleaner and quicker exit passes. Like Bahl and Okhotyuk, I think Vukojevic's offensive ceiling is fairly limited. In fact, I would actually say that of the three, he is the least polished in this regard. However, that's not what Vukojevic's calling card will be in the NHL. He will return to the OHL again next year with Kitchener and will be a massive minute eater for them. A 7-8 goal, 35+ assist kind of season is a very real expectation. I would also imagine that we see him become the Rangers' captain.
Friday, August 7, 2020
Thursday, August 6, 2020
31 Teams in 31 Days - Nashville Predators
Two high quality prospects for the Predators.
1. Philip Tomasino - Oshawa Generals
What a terrific year for Tomasino, split between the IceDogs and the Generals. One of the top even strength point producers a year ago, it was no surprise to see Tomasino explode across the 100 point mark this season with increased ice time, specifically powerplay time. He remains such an asset on the attack because of his explosiveness and how well he navigates traffic to gain entry to the offensive zone. Playing alongside Ty Tullio and Brett Neumann, the three formed one of the most electric lines in the OHL in the second half. What I really like (and liked last year too) about Tomasino's game is how effective he is through the middle. He's a skilled player, but he attacks traffic and is always looking to push through to the net. If you look at his heat map, the vast majority of his goals were scored between the goal posts extended. One thing that I was looking for from him this past year was improvement away from the puck. I think we definitely saw that. His takeaway numbers were among the highest of any NHL drafted OHL forward this year and he really seemed to understand how to use his speed to be consistently effective on the forecheck and on the backcheck. I think he also looked much stronger along the wall, winning more battles for pucks and keeping plays alive that would have otherwise died on his stick a year ago. Overall, he progressed about as well as you could have expected. Next year, I would expect Tomasino to be back in the OHL and not in the NHL. I think another year in Oshawa (on a great team) would be great for him. Help him cut down on some offensive zone turnovers. Help him continue to get stronger. Help him continue to round out his game. If he's in the OHL, he's probably a top candidate for the scoring title and the Red Tilson.
2. Egor Afanasyev - Windsor Spitfires
I was pretty much on the money with my projection for Afanasyev this past year, originally projecting him to have a 35/35 season. He finished as the leading goal scorer and leading point producer for the Spitfires after a 31/36 campaign in a shortened year. I really enjoyed watching him play. No question, there are consistency issues. But the Spitfires were a vastly inconsistent team as a whole, which certainly compounded Afanasyev's issues. What Afanasyev can really do is fire a puck. He has a ton of confidence in his ability to shoot the puck and is aggressive in seeking out his scoring chances. He can beat goaltenders clean from a distance with both his wrist shot and his one timer from the half wall area. He can certainly create his own scoring chances with a power move or with his hands, but he definitely is most successful as a triggerman right now. The vast majority of his goals are scored from a stand still. But he will attack the middle and crash the net to follow up plays, using his size to his advantage; he is not a perimeter player in that aspect. The rest of his game is certainly a work in progress. Among tracked NHL prospects, his completed pass percentage is among the lowest of any forward in the OHL. A lot of that has to do with not making quick enough decisions when acting as a facilitator. He gets pressured into a lot of those poor passes/reads. Afanasyev also will need to greatly improve his engagement level when he's not in the offensive zone. He would definitely be classified as more of a one note player at this current moment. Of course, all of these things can be improved upon. My hope is that the Predators assign Afanasyev back to the OHL again next year and not to the AHL. I don't think he's ready for that challenge yet and could learn a lot from the ice time and responsibility he would be given in Windsor. If he's back in the OHL, I think he's a 45+ goal scorer and a 85+ point player.
1. Philip Tomasino - Oshawa Generals
What a terrific year for Tomasino, split between the IceDogs and the Generals. One of the top even strength point producers a year ago, it was no surprise to see Tomasino explode across the 100 point mark this season with increased ice time, specifically powerplay time. He remains such an asset on the attack because of his explosiveness and how well he navigates traffic to gain entry to the offensive zone. Playing alongside Ty Tullio and Brett Neumann, the three formed one of the most electric lines in the OHL in the second half. What I really like (and liked last year too) about Tomasino's game is how effective he is through the middle. He's a skilled player, but he attacks traffic and is always looking to push through to the net. If you look at his heat map, the vast majority of his goals were scored between the goal posts extended. One thing that I was looking for from him this past year was improvement away from the puck. I think we definitely saw that. His takeaway numbers were among the highest of any NHL drafted OHL forward this year and he really seemed to understand how to use his speed to be consistently effective on the forecheck and on the backcheck. I think he also looked much stronger along the wall, winning more battles for pucks and keeping plays alive that would have otherwise died on his stick a year ago. Overall, he progressed about as well as you could have expected. Next year, I would expect Tomasino to be back in the OHL and not in the NHL. I think another year in Oshawa (on a great team) would be great for him. Help him cut down on some offensive zone turnovers. Help him continue to get stronger. Help him continue to round out his game. If he's in the OHL, he's probably a top candidate for the scoring title and the Red Tilson.
2. Egor Afanasyev - Windsor Spitfires
I was pretty much on the money with my projection for Afanasyev this past year, originally projecting him to have a 35/35 season. He finished as the leading goal scorer and leading point producer for the Spitfires after a 31/36 campaign in a shortened year. I really enjoyed watching him play. No question, there are consistency issues. But the Spitfires were a vastly inconsistent team as a whole, which certainly compounded Afanasyev's issues. What Afanasyev can really do is fire a puck. He has a ton of confidence in his ability to shoot the puck and is aggressive in seeking out his scoring chances. He can beat goaltenders clean from a distance with both his wrist shot and his one timer from the half wall area. He can certainly create his own scoring chances with a power move or with his hands, but he definitely is most successful as a triggerman right now. The vast majority of his goals are scored from a stand still. But he will attack the middle and crash the net to follow up plays, using his size to his advantage; he is not a perimeter player in that aspect. The rest of his game is certainly a work in progress. Among tracked NHL prospects, his completed pass percentage is among the lowest of any forward in the OHL. A lot of that has to do with not making quick enough decisions when acting as a facilitator. He gets pressured into a lot of those poor passes/reads. Afanasyev also will need to greatly improve his engagement level when he's not in the offensive zone. He would definitely be classified as more of a one note player at this current moment. Of course, all of these things can be improved upon. My hope is that the Predators assign Afanasyev back to the OHL again next year and not to the AHL. I don't think he's ready for that challenge yet and could learn a lot from the ice time and responsibility he would be given in Windsor. If he's back in the OHL, I think he's a 45+ goal scorer and a 85+ point player.
Wednesday, August 5, 2020
31 Teams in 31 Days - Montreal Canadiens
1. Cam Hillis - Guelph Storm
Make no mistake, Hillis was no shoe in to be signed by the Canadiens after an injury plagued draft +1 season the year prior. But his sensational year forced Montreal's hand and made him an easy sign (over some similar junior players that Montreal chose to release). Hillis has a long been a player that I have enjoyed watching, so it was great to see him take it to another level this year. Obviously, we have to talk about Hillis' playmaking ability as it is his calling card (his 28 even strength primary assists were second in the OHL to Cole Perfetti). He is just so poised and calculated with the puck. Usually players like Hillis play a higher risk style of game that can see them post high turnover rates, but not Hillis. He demands attention, but always seems to make the right play with the puck. His anticipation and precision are truly fantastic. I lost count on how many feathered saucer passes I saw Hillis make this year in transition, leading his linemates (Gogolev in particular) to open ice and scoring chances. I think Hillis' skating ability really took a nice step forward this year too. He is never going to be an elite mover, however I think his stride had more power this year and it really helped him to be more elusive with the puck. He's strong on the puck and does a great job creating from the cycle, but improving his foot speed really helped him be more explosive in transition. With his well rounded skill set, I think Hillis projects best as a high end third line center at the NHL level. There most definitely could be a learning curve at the pro level. I think a lot of it could have to do with who Montreal chooses to play with Hillis at the AHL level. He would operate best with a goal scoring forward with speed who can help him stretch the ice and take some pressure away from him handling zone entry responsibilities; at least until he gets up to speed. Look for him to be around the 30-40 point mark next year.
2. Jacob LeGuerrier - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
A minute eater for the Greyhounds, LeGuerrier took some nice steps forward this year, especially in the defensive end. With his size (6'3, 200lbs), SSM depends heavily on LeGuerrier to be a defensive stalwart and PK anchor. He pairs with the offensively inclined Robert Calisti (2020 draft eligible) and as such, is faced with some difficult tasks in defending odd man rushes. There's a lot to like as a defensive player. His mobility is good. His physical intensity increased this year. He is a terrific shot blocker who takes away shooting lanes. As an offensive player, LeGuerrier is still a pretty raw player. He defers to Calisti a lot to lead the breakout and receives very little powerplay time. He can make a clean exit and does show some potential in using his skating ability to lead the attack (as I stated last year), however, this can also lead to some turnovers when he's taken outside of his comfort zone. He is at his best when he keeps things simple. Next year, LeGuerrier will return to SSM for his OA year and the Soo intend to contend for the West. He will likely resume his partnership with Calisti and will take on a similar role. As such, it may not be expected for him to improve his production much. He is probably a bubble player to be signed by the Canadiens next year. In order to earn that contract, he will need to continue to become of the league's elite players in the defensive end, cut down on his turnovers, and be a leader in helping the Soo rise to the top of the standings.
**Frederik Dichow - Sudbury Wolves
Dichow has already signed on to play for Sudbury next season after being selected in the previous year's Import Draft. He will be counted on to be the starter for a team that has aspirations of winning the Eastern Conference (pending Quinton Byfield returns). Needless to say, he will be tested. I'm very interested in seeing him play and hope that he can establish himself as one of the best goaltenders in the OHL.
Make no mistake, Hillis was no shoe in to be signed by the Canadiens after an injury plagued draft +1 season the year prior. But his sensational year forced Montreal's hand and made him an easy sign (over some similar junior players that Montreal chose to release). Hillis has a long been a player that I have enjoyed watching, so it was great to see him take it to another level this year. Obviously, we have to talk about Hillis' playmaking ability as it is his calling card (his 28 even strength primary assists were second in the OHL to Cole Perfetti). He is just so poised and calculated with the puck. Usually players like Hillis play a higher risk style of game that can see them post high turnover rates, but not Hillis. He demands attention, but always seems to make the right play with the puck. His anticipation and precision are truly fantastic. I lost count on how many feathered saucer passes I saw Hillis make this year in transition, leading his linemates (Gogolev in particular) to open ice and scoring chances. I think Hillis' skating ability really took a nice step forward this year too. He is never going to be an elite mover, however I think his stride had more power this year and it really helped him to be more elusive with the puck. He's strong on the puck and does a great job creating from the cycle, but improving his foot speed really helped him be more explosive in transition. With his well rounded skill set, I think Hillis projects best as a high end third line center at the NHL level. There most definitely could be a learning curve at the pro level. I think a lot of it could have to do with who Montreal chooses to play with Hillis at the AHL level. He would operate best with a goal scoring forward with speed who can help him stretch the ice and take some pressure away from him handling zone entry responsibilities; at least until he gets up to speed. Look for him to be around the 30-40 point mark next year.
2. Jacob LeGuerrier - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
A minute eater for the Greyhounds, LeGuerrier took some nice steps forward this year, especially in the defensive end. With his size (6'3, 200lbs), SSM depends heavily on LeGuerrier to be a defensive stalwart and PK anchor. He pairs with the offensively inclined Robert Calisti (2020 draft eligible) and as such, is faced with some difficult tasks in defending odd man rushes. There's a lot to like as a defensive player. His mobility is good. His physical intensity increased this year. He is a terrific shot blocker who takes away shooting lanes. As an offensive player, LeGuerrier is still a pretty raw player. He defers to Calisti a lot to lead the breakout and receives very little powerplay time. He can make a clean exit and does show some potential in using his skating ability to lead the attack (as I stated last year), however, this can also lead to some turnovers when he's taken outside of his comfort zone. He is at his best when he keeps things simple. Next year, LeGuerrier will return to SSM for his OA year and the Soo intend to contend for the West. He will likely resume his partnership with Calisti and will take on a similar role. As such, it may not be expected for him to improve his production much. He is probably a bubble player to be signed by the Canadiens next year. In order to earn that contract, he will need to continue to become of the league's elite players in the defensive end, cut down on his turnovers, and be a leader in helping the Soo rise to the top of the standings.
**Frederik Dichow - Sudbury Wolves
Dichow has already signed on to play for Sudbury next season after being selected in the previous year's Import Draft. He will be counted on to be the starter for a team that has aspirations of winning the Eastern Conference (pending Quinton Byfield returns). Needless to say, he will be tested. I'm very interested in seeing him play and hope that he can establish himself as one of the best goaltenders in the OHL.
Tuesday, August 4, 2020
31 Teams in 31 Days - Minnesota Wild
1. Hunter Jones - Peterborough Petes
Jones was successful in putting together a strong season from start to finish this year, the number one priority for him after fading down the stretch the previous year. The expectation was for Jones to be one of the best goalies in the OHL and he met those expectations. One thing Jones does so well is challenge shooters and cut down angles on longer shots. With his 6'4 frame, when he's out at the edge of the paint, he really doesn't give much daylight. And he has learned to be more aggressive in cutting down those angles, improving his quickness to recover and track the play when required. Moving forward, I think the key for Jones is continuing to progress as a "goaltender" and not just a stopper; by that I mean improving his rebound control and limiting second chance opportunities. He can have a tendency to drop down a bit early in the butterfly and even with his size, that leaves him especially vulnerable if he's not limiting those second chance opportunities as he scrambles to recover. Next year, I would anticipate that Jones spends the year in the ECHL with Kahkonen and Robson patrolling the crease at the AHL level. I always feel it necessary to say that this is not a bad thing for goaltenders, and is extremely common.
2. Ivan Lodnia - Niagara IceDogs
It couldn't have been easy for Lodnia this year. After signing his ELC last year, the expectation was that he would be in Iowa this year (AHL), however he failed to make that team and was sent back to the OHL in mid October. Some players take this hard and their on ice performance suffers because of it; players on good teams, let alone the rebuilding IceDogs that Lodnia was returned to. However, he put his head down and went to work, putting forth a consistent effort all season long. He was even named captain after the trade deadline passed. Look, not a lot of people (or scouts) were flocking to see Niagara down the stretch...myself included. But when I did, Lodnia was a difference maker. His confidence with the puck really reached a new level this year and he was a consistent play driver whenever on the ice. Teams would focus in on him and he would take a lot of abuse, yet he kept on trucking (even after a lower body injury kept him sidelined for a while at the start of 2020). He has an ability to create out of nothing, with his hands and agility working to give him that time and space to operate. The proof is in the pudding too. Look at the per game offensive stats this year and you'll find Lodnia near the top of every list. For example, 10th in even strength primary points per game and 6th in shots per game. That said, I think we all would have been disappointed if Lodnia wasn't as effective as he was as an OA and with all the ice time he could handle. So what's next? He'll take that pro plunge next year, but not in a way that you might expect. He's being loaned to Dinamo Minsk of the KHL. For the KHL he'll need to get a little quicker. He'll need to get a little stronger. These are cliches but true. However, I do believe that Lodnia possesses the talent to be a top 6 player at the pro level. Whether that's as an AHL level player, European player, or in the NHL remains to be seen.
3. Damien Giroux - Saginaw Spirit
No question, Giroux is one of the hardest working players in the OHL. There's a reason why he's been the captain of the Spirit for the last two years. He leaves it all on the ice. The effort is consistent in all three zones and he provides a ton of flexibility to his coaches; be it usage in different situations or positional flexibility. Giroux is also a very underrated goal scorer. He's underrated because he's not a Jack Quinn, or Nick Robertson in the sense that he'll fly down the wing and beat a goaltender clean with a wrist shot. Giroux does the majority of his damage in tight. But it's because of his wicked release and his instincts/anticipation. His ability to read the play and his tireless work ethic earns him those chances as he gains inside leverage on larger defenders. Giroux is also not the type of player you'll see being the primary puck carrier in transition. He's the type that does the dirty work, driving the middle to create space and working hard to recover dump ins or establish/maintain possession along the wall. Giroux is also a committed two-way player who can be relied upon whether Saginaw is down a goal or up one late. That said, there may be some limitations to his game moving forward to the pro level due to his lack of dynamic skating ability and his lack of size. Will he be able to be as effective hunting down scoring chances near the net and dominating through the middle? While it is rare for signed players to be sent back, it actually wouldn't surprise me at all if Giroux returns to Saginaw for his OA (similar to what Minnesota did with Lodnia and Gordeev). That's because Saginaw will be hunting an OHL Championship and that could be a great experience for Giroux. However, he'll be given every opportunity to make the AHL squad in Iowa and could certainly be a successful role player in a checking line role. I'd call it a 50/50 toss up.
4. Fedor Gordeev - Guelph Storm
Like Lodnia, Gordeev was sent back to the OHL for his OA season by the Wild. He played a very large part in the Guelph Storm's surprisingly strong season by being a minute eater for the team. At the OHL level, Gordeev is simply physically dominant. He routinely has his way with opposing forwards who challenge him below the hash marks. No doubt, Gordeev is a menacing physical specimen and one of the OHL's most physical players. With his reach and his good mobility for his size (at 6'7), his positioning and anticipation doesn't even have to be fantastic for him to be effective. And that's going to be the challenge at the next level. Gordeev can still struggle with his decision making, both with and without the puck. Turnovers are an issue. However, he's certainly not devoid of talent. He can make a clean exit, be it with his feet or a pass. It's that he can get bottled up because he's not making those decisions quick enough. Another thing Gordeev will have to work on are his routes to DZ recoveries. At times in the OHL, I feel like Gordeev is content to lose that initial battle because he knows he can overpower forwards on the cycle. However, at the pro level, he's going to want to beat those forwards to loose pucks and give them less time. I see Gordeev's development going one of two ways. The first is that the speed of the pro game becomes too much for him and he becomes an AHL lifer (ala Chris Breen). The second is that he learns to rely more on his mobility than his size and adapts to become a useable third pairing defender. The tools are there, but patience will be required.
5. Matvei Guskov - London Knights (now with North Bay)
It will be really interesting to see how Guskov handles the move to North Bay next season, as he'll finally get a chance to be a top line center after playing more of a checking line role in London. From a development standpoint, it was a stagnant year. Guskov remains a project who has tools (length, power, two-way awareness), but who has yet to show that he has the vision or IQ to be a consistent point producer. He will dazzle with an end to end rush, but then go the rest of the game without really making a difference. In North Bay, he'll be counted on to be a go to guy and will get all the ice time he can handle. Needless to say, it will be a make or break year for him as an NHL prospect. Best case scenario likely sees him as a 30 goal, 40 assist player (doubling his previous career highs).
Jones was successful in putting together a strong season from start to finish this year, the number one priority for him after fading down the stretch the previous year. The expectation was for Jones to be one of the best goalies in the OHL and he met those expectations. One thing Jones does so well is challenge shooters and cut down angles on longer shots. With his 6'4 frame, when he's out at the edge of the paint, he really doesn't give much daylight. And he has learned to be more aggressive in cutting down those angles, improving his quickness to recover and track the play when required. Moving forward, I think the key for Jones is continuing to progress as a "goaltender" and not just a stopper; by that I mean improving his rebound control and limiting second chance opportunities. He can have a tendency to drop down a bit early in the butterfly and even with his size, that leaves him especially vulnerable if he's not limiting those second chance opportunities as he scrambles to recover. Next year, I would anticipate that Jones spends the year in the ECHL with Kahkonen and Robson patrolling the crease at the AHL level. I always feel it necessary to say that this is not a bad thing for goaltenders, and is extremely common.
2. Ivan Lodnia - Niagara IceDogs
It couldn't have been easy for Lodnia this year. After signing his ELC last year, the expectation was that he would be in Iowa this year (AHL), however he failed to make that team and was sent back to the OHL in mid October. Some players take this hard and their on ice performance suffers because of it; players on good teams, let alone the rebuilding IceDogs that Lodnia was returned to. However, he put his head down and went to work, putting forth a consistent effort all season long. He was even named captain after the trade deadline passed. Look, not a lot of people (or scouts) were flocking to see Niagara down the stretch...myself included. But when I did, Lodnia was a difference maker. His confidence with the puck really reached a new level this year and he was a consistent play driver whenever on the ice. Teams would focus in on him and he would take a lot of abuse, yet he kept on trucking (even after a lower body injury kept him sidelined for a while at the start of 2020). He has an ability to create out of nothing, with his hands and agility working to give him that time and space to operate. The proof is in the pudding too. Look at the per game offensive stats this year and you'll find Lodnia near the top of every list. For example, 10th in even strength primary points per game and 6th in shots per game. That said, I think we all would have been disappointed if Lodnia wasn't as effective as he was as an OA and with all the ice time he could handle. So what's next? He'll take that pro plunge next year, but not in a way that you might expect. He's being loaned to Dinamo Minsk of the KHL. For the KHL he'll need to get a little quicker. He'll need to get a little stronger. These are cliches but true. However, I do believe that Lodnia possesses the talent to be a top 6 player at the pro level. Whether that's as an AHL level player, European player, or in the NHL remains to be seen.
3. Damien Giroux - Saginaw Spirit
No question, Giroux is one of the hardest working players in the OHL. There's a reason why he's been the captain of the Spirit for the last two years. He leaves it all on the ice. The effort is consistent in all three zones and he provides a ton of flexibility to his coaches; be it usage in different situations or positional flexibility. Giroux is also a very underrated goal scorer. He's underrated because he's not a Jack Quinn, or Nick Robertson in the sense that he'll fly down the wing and beat a goaltender clean with a wrist shot. Giroux does the majority of his damage in tight. But it's because of his wicked release and his instincts/anticipation. His ability to read the play and his tireless work ethic earns him those chances as he gains inside leverage on larger defenders. Giroux is also not the type of player you'll see being the primary puck carrier in transition. He's the type that does the dirty work, driving the middle to create space and working hard to recover dump ins or establish/maintain possession along the wall. Giroux is also a committed two-way player who can be relied upon whether Saginaw is down a goal or up one late. That said, there may be some limitations to his game moving forward to the pro level due to his lack of dynamic skating ability and his lack of size. Will he be able to be as effective hunting down scoring chances near the net and dominating through the middle? While it is rare for signed players to be sent back, it actually wouldn't surprise me at all if Giroux returns to Saginaw for his OA (similar to what Minnesota did with Lodnia and Gordeev). That's because Saginaw will be hunting an OHL Championship and that could be a great experience for Giroux. However, he'll be given every opportunity to make the AHL squad in Iowa and could certainly be a successful role player in a checking line role. I'd call it a 50/50 toss up.
4. Fedor Gordeev - Guelph Storm
Like Lodnia, Gordeev was sent back to the OHL for his OA season by the Wild. He played a very large part in the Guelph Storm's surprisingly strong season by being a minute eater for the team. At the OHL level, Gordeev is simply physically dominant. He routinely has his way with opposing forwards who challenge him below the hash marks. No doubt, Gordeev is a menacing physical specimen and one of the OHL's most physical players. With his reach and his good mobility for his size (at 6'7), his positioning and anticipation doesn't even have to be fantastic for him to be effective. And that's going to be the challenge at the next level. Gordeev can still struggle with his decision making, both with and without the puck. Turnovers are an issue. However, he's certainly not devoid of talent. He can make a clean exit, be it with his feet or a pass. It's that he can get bottled up because he's not making those decisions quick enough. Another thing Gordeev will have to work on are his routes to DZ recoveries. At times in the OHL, I feel like Gordeev is content to lose that initial battle because he knows he can overpower forwards on the cycle. However, at the pro level, he's going to want to beat those forwards to loose pucks and give them less time. I see Gordeev's development going one of two ways. The first is that the speed of the pro game becomes too much for him and he becomes an AHL lifer (ala Chris Breen). The second is that he learns to rely more on his mobility than his size and adapts to become a useable third pairing defender. The tools are there, but patience will be required.
5. Matvei Guskov - London Knights (now with North Bay)
It will be really interesting to see how Guskov handles the move to North Bay next season, as he'll finally get a chance to be a top line center after playing more of a checking line role in London. From a development standpoint, it was a stagnant year. Guskov remains a project who has tools (length, power, two-way awareness), but who has yet to show that he has the vision or IQ to be a consistent point producer. He will dazzle with an end to end rush, but then go the rest of the game without really making a difference. In North Bay, he'll be counted on to be a go to guy and will get all the ice time he can handle. Needless to say, it will be a make or break year for him as an NHL prospect. Best case scenario likely sees him as a 30 goal, 40 assist player (doubling his previous career highs).
Monday, August 3, 2020
31 Teams in 31 Days - Los Angeles Kings
A very strong group of OHL players for Los Angeles, which shouldn't surprise you given how strong their system is overall.
1. Arthur Kaliyev - Hamilton Bulldogs
Honestly, at this point, you either believe Kaliyev's game is going to translate to the NHL level or you don't. There's not much else he can do to make you a believer. After a terrific draft eligible season, he followed it up with a strong draft +1 year that included a solid performance for the U.S. at the World Juniors (in a rather sheltered role). The shot and scoring instincts are NHL quality. His playmaking and vision are massively underrated. His skating is also over criticized IMO. I believe this stems from the fact that he appears to move better and quicker when he's in possession of the puck, as opposed to when he's gliding around without it. He's not likely to win a Selke any time soon, but I actually think his play in the defensive end has improved, especially his positioning and stick awareness. My main concern remains his lack of intensity without the puck when he's in the offensive end. He is not someone you see consistently engaging to challenge opposing players for possession. It's just not part of his make up or game. I doubt it ever will be, to be honest. So the question is, can Kaliyev bring enough worth to Los Angeles with his play with the puck, and his ability to set up and hunt down scoring opportunities without it. Los Angeles will have to find the right kind of linemates for Kaliyev; ideally a top notch playmaker who also plays with a high intensity level. I do think that there is a place for Kaliyev and I do think that he will succeed. But I also believe it will be in the same capacity that a guy like Thomas Vanek does (or did). I actually think that LA could give Kaliyev a look next year, rather than return him to Hamilton. They're rebuilding and they could shelter his responsibilities. He could play on the first powerplay, but have his zone starts limited mostly to the OZ at even strength. Additionally, they could work with him to improve his play away from the puck and challenge him in a way that he is not (at times) at the OHL level. If Kaliyev was part of an organization that was aiming to be a playoff team, I would say that he'd be back in the OHL. However, I do believe it to be a toss up.
2. Akil Thomas - Peterborough Petes
Splitting the season between Niagara and Peterborough, Thomas' year will forever be remembered for that fantastic, clutch goal to propel Canada to gold at the WJC's. Production wise, it was a fairly lateral year for Thomas, but I do think that he worked hard to improve some of the areas that he needed to. The first would be his overall engagement level without the puck and his commitment to playing through traffic. We really saw Thomas make more of a consistent effort to play through the middle of the ice and drive the net, giving his offensive game another layer. With defenses knowing that he was a more willing combatant this year, they knew that they could not just give him time and space on the outside. And as defenders tried to play him a little more closely, he was able to take advantage by being a better facilitator, using that good vision and his precision passing ability to set up scoring chances. I believe he still operates best near the half wall (something that may see him shift to the wing at the pro level), but I do believe that there is a possibility he sticks down the middle (something that I wouldn't have said a year ago). Thomas also really improved his play in his own end, forcing turnovers by taking away space and passing lanes and being fully committed to the backcheck. This is where adding strength will be critical for him, as at times, he has difficulty sustaining defensive pressure or maintaining possession following takeaways. So where does that put Thomas' potential moving forward? I do still believe that he profiles best as a middle six playmaker. I think there is some concern that his skill set (and lack of dynamic physical qualities) could make him more of a tweener. But he's also an extremely hard worker who I believe can be adaptable depending on how the offensive side of his game translates. At the AHL level next year, I'd look for Thomas to be in the 35-40 point range as he adjusts.
3. Jacob Ingham - Kitchener Rangers
The Rangers started the year extremely poorly. Then they made a coaching chance and they got Jacob Ingham back. Voila, they became winners. Needless to say, Ingham was fantastic this season and really progressed well as a netminder and a NHL prospect. He faced the most shots of any goalie in the league this year, yet he posted the league's second best save percentage at .915. In previous years, mental resiliency has been the biggest issue with Ingham and it led to those consistency issues. Poor positioning or reads would result in bad goals, which would then spiral into a poor performance. But, I didn't see any of that this season in Kitchener. Another area of his game that I think really improved was his rebound control. We didn't see him fighting the puck as much, especially when challenged by traffic and his pad control was much better. And Ingham still has that wonderful glove hand. There are certainly a lot of tools to work with here, as he possesses the size, athleticism, and make-up to be a NHL goaltender. One area that I think will need to be worked on at the pro level is his blocker side. I've noticed that this is the area that he can still be beaten cleanly or from not covering his angles properly short side. Depending on how he looks at camp (and depending on LA making any depth signings), Ingham could start next season splitting time with OHL alumni Matt Villalta at the AHL level. However, there's always a chance that he ends up starting at the ECHL level too. I think he'll perform well.
4. Aidan Dudas - Owen Sound Attack
Look, Dudas didn't exactly have the kind of offensive season that I expected from him. But that doesn't mean that he can't be an NHL player eventually. As we saw from his Canadian WJC performance, he does so many other things well and that profiles him as a future checking line player who can kill penalties for the Kings one day. I still believe that Dudas has a good shot with good velocity, however the scoring instincts and release just never developed to make him that high end goal scorer (although a serious hand injury may have hampered that slightly this year). One part of his game that did improve a lot is his speed. I think his skating has improved considerably since he was drafted and it has really allowed him to blossom as a forechecker, defensive player, and penalty killer. The effort is always 100% and the positioning in the defensive end is very high end. Dudas forces a ton of turnovers. Ultimately, the key for him is going to be getting stronger and continuing to improve his skating. For the type of role that he will end up playing at the NHL level, and considering his smaller stature, injuries could be an issue if he's not physically prepared. Moving to the AHL level next season, expect Dudas to play a checking line role and put up rather modest numbers. But in the long term, I think he's an NHL player in some capacity.
5. Markus Phillips - London Knights
Struggling in his first professional season, the Kings decided to send Phillips back to the OHL about half way through the year; when he was subsequently dealt to the London Knights. In London, he paired mostly with Alec Regula down the stretch, allowing Regula to use his skating ability to activate offensively. At the OHL level, Phillips is an elite player in his own end. The positioning, the gap control, the decision making. It's all high end. His mobility is a major asset as a defender, even if it never made him a strong offensive presence. As a pro, Phillips is going to need to become a little more aggressive of a defender, as this passiveness is what gave him troubles to start the year (from what I have been told). Additionally, as a defender who relies on the breakout pass to exit the zone, he will need to learn to trust his mobility more to create space for him to execute in the face of a forecheck. The Kings are rebuilding and that means their AHL team will be pretty stacked next year. Phillips will be battling guys Cole Hults for third pairing ice time. I would imagine that he spends the year in the ECHL where he can play a bigger role and get up to speed.
1. Arthur Kaliyev - Hamilton Bulldogs
Honestly, at this point, you either believe Kaliyev's game is going to translate to the NHL level or you don't. There's not much else he can do to make you a believer. After a terrific draft eligible season, he followed it up with a strong draft +1 year that included a solid performance for the U.S. at the World Juniors (in a rather sheltered role). The shot and scoring instincts are NHL quality. His playmaking and vision are massively underrated. His skating is also over criticized IMO. I believe this stems from the fact that he appears to move better and quicker when he's in possession of the puck, as opposed to when he's gliding around without it. He's not likely to win a Selke any time soon, but I actually think his play in the defensive end has improved, especially his positioning and stick awareness. My main concern remains his lack of intensity without the puck when he's in the offensive end. He is not someone you see consistently engaging to challenge opposing players for possession. It's just not part of his make up or game. I doubt it ever will be, to be honest. So the question is, can Kaliyev bring enough worth to Los Angeles with his play with the puck, and his ability to set up and hunt down scoring opportunities without it. Los Angeles will have to find the right kind of linemates for Kaliyev; ideally a top notch playmaker who also plays with a high intensity level. I do think that there is a place for Kaliyev and I do think that he will succeed. But I also believe it will be in the same capacity that a guy like Thomas Vanek does (or did). I actually think that LA could give Kaliyev a look next year, rather than return him to Hamilton. They're rebuilding and they could shelter his responsibilities. He could play on the first powerplay, but have his zone starts limited mostly to the OZ at even strength. Additionally, they could work with him to improve his play away from the puck and challenge him in a way that he is not (at times) at the OHL level. If Kaliyev was part of an organization that was aiming to be a playoff team, I would say that he'd be back in the OHL. However, I do believe it to be a toss up.
2. Akil Thomas - Peterborough Petes
Splitting the season between Niagara and Peterborough, Thomas' year will forever be remembered for that fantastic, clutch goal to propel Canada to gold at the WJC's. Production wise, it was a fairly lateral year for Thomas, but I do think that he worked hard to improve some of the areas that he needed to. The first would be his overall engagement level without the puck and his commitment to playing through traffic. We really saw Thomas make more of a consistent effort to play through the middle of the ice and drive the net, giving his offensive game another layer. With defenses knowing that he was a more willing combatant this year, they knew that they could not just give him time and space on the outside. And as defenders tried to play him a little more closely, he was able to take advantage by being a better facilitator, using that good vision and his precision passing ability to set up scoring chances. I believe he still operates best near the half wall (something that may see him shift to the wing at the pro level), but I do believe that there is a possibility he sticks down the middle (something that I wouldn't have said a year ago). Thomas also really improved his play in his own end, forcing turnovers by taking away space and passing lanes and being fully committed to the backcheck. This is where adding strength will be critical for him, as at times, he has difficulty sustaining defensive pressure or maintaining possession following takeaways. So where does that put Thomas' potential moving forward? I do still believe that he profiles best as a middle six playmaker. I think there is some concern that his skill set (and lack of dynamic physical qualities) could make him more of a tweener. But he's also an extremely hard worker who I believe can be adaptable depending on how the offensive side of his game translates. At the AHL level next year, I'd look for Thomas to be in the 35-40 point range as he adjusts.
3. Jacob Ingham - Kitchener Rangers
The Rangers started the year extremely poorly. Then they made a coaching chance and they got Jacob Ingham back. Voila, they became winners. Needless to say, Ingham was fantastic this season and really progressed well as a netminder and a NHL prospect. He faced the most shots of any goalie in the league this year, yet he posted the league's second best save percentage at .915. In previous years, mental resiliency has been the biggest issue with Ingham and it led to those consistency issues. Poor positioning or reads would result in bad goals, which would then spiral into a poor performance. But, I didn't see any of that this season in Kitchener. Another area of his game that I think really improved was his rebound control. We didn't see him fighting the puck as much, especially when challenged by traffic and his pad control was much better. And Ingham still has that wonderful glove hand. There are certainly a lot of tools to work with here, as he possesses the size, athleticism, and make-up to be a NHL goaltender. One area that I think will need to be worked on at the pro level is his blocker side. I've noticed that this is the area that he can still be beaten cleanly or from not covering his angles properly short side. Depending on how he looks at camp (and depending on LA making any depth signings), Ingham could start next season splitting time with OHL alumni Matt Villalta at the AHL level. However, there's always a chance that he ends up starting at the ECHL level too. I think he'll perform well.
4. Aidan Dudas - Owen Sound Attack
Look, Dudas didn't exactly have the kind of offensive season that I expected from him. But that doesn't mean that he can't be an NHL player eventually. As we saw from his Canadian WJC performance, he does so many other things well and that profiles him as a future checking line player who can kill penalties for the Kings one day. I still believe that Dudas has a good shot with good velocity, however the scoring instincts and release just never developed to make him that high end goal scorer (although a serious hand injury may have hampered that slightly this year). One part of his game that did improve a lot is his speed. I think his skating has improved considerably since he was drafted and it has really allowed him to blossom as a forechecker, defensive player, and penalty killer. The effort is always 100% and the positioning in the defensive end is very high end. Dudas forces a ton of turnovers. Ultimately, the key for him is going to be getting stronger and continuing to improve his skating. For the type of role that he will end up playing at the NHL level, and considering his smaller stature, injuries could be an issue if he's not physically prepared. Moving to the AHL level next season, expect Dudas to play a checking line role and put up rather modest numbers. But in the long term, I think he's an NHL player in some capacity.
5. Markus Phillips - London Knights
Struggling in his first professional season, the Kings decided to send Phillips back to the OHL about half way through the year; when he was subsequently dealt to the London Knights. In London, he paired mostly with Alec Regula down the stretch, allowing Regula to use his skating ability to activate offensively. At the OHL level, Phillips is an elite player in his own end. The positioning, the gap control, the decision making. It's all high end. His mobility is a major asset as a defender, even if it never made him a strong offensive presence. As a pro, Phillips is going to need to become a little more aggressive of a defender, as this passiveness is what gave him troubles to start the year (from what I have been told). Additionally, as a defender who relies on the breakout pass to exit the zone, he will need to learn to trust his mobility more to create space for him to execute in the face of a forecheck. The Kings are rebuilding and that means their AHL team will be pretty stacked next year. Phillips will be battling guys Cole Hults for third pairing ice time. I would imagine that he spends the year in the ECHL where he can play a bigger role and get up to speed.
Sunday, August 2, 2020
31 Teams in 31 Days - Florida Panthers
Definitely a strong group of OHL prospects for the Panthers.
1. Vladislav Kolyachonok - Flint Firebirds
It was a very strong draft +1 year for Kolyachonok, as he established himself as one of the better defensive stalwarts in the OHL. His skating remains his best asset as he possesses this ability to just suffocate his marks. He is so difficult to shake. Kolyachonok also has such explosive start ups, it allows him to consistently beat opposing players to loose pucks. This is especially evident on the penalty kill, where he is so quick to close out and it stifles all creativity. This is a kid that was manufactured to be a defensive player in today's NHL. The question is, just how much more can he evolve offensively? The answer will ultimately determine whether Kolyachonok can be a quality top four defender, or more of a defensively sheltered number 5 who can anchor a PK. His confidence as a powerplay QB took a nice step forward this year, in particular his ability to use his quickness to jump into shooting lanes. He looks comfortable on the point. Where he still doesn't look entirely comfortable is leading the attack. He is much more likely to make a quick exit pass than he is to use his speed to push deep through the neutral zone. Sometimes he can skate himself into trouble when he attempts to extend rushes, so by default he seems to hesitate even when openings appear to him. Whether that is a processing issue, a skill issue, or a confidence issue remains to be seen. Next year, it appears that he will be playing in the KHL after being loaned out. Not sure I'd close the book completely for him in the OHL, as with pandemic times, who knows what will happen. As alluded to, I believe Kolyachonok is a safe bet to be an NHL player in some capacity.
2. Cole Schwindt - Mississauga Steelheads
Few players improved their status as NHL prospects the way that Cole Schwindt did this year for me. He emerged as one of the top two-way centers in the league and was the straw that stirred the drink for the Steelheads during their terrific second half performance. He plays with such a long stick in the neutral and defensive zones, forcing turnovers on what seems like every shift. This year, we saw him increase his intensity level too, taking away space from opposing players on the backcheck or while pressuring along the wall. He is a takeaway machine. Schwindt also showed greater confidence leading the attack offensively, improving his ability to create at top speed, and improving his lateral quickness and fluidity to make him more deceptive and creative when attacking the middle. Moving forward next year, there are three areas that I'd like to see continued improvement in. The first is his shot. I think that if he could make it more of a weapon, especially his release in the slot, it would make him a more dangerous overall player. The second is his explosiveness moving forward. The third is his vision and poise with the puck in his own zone. He forces a lot of turnovers in the defensive zone, but at times, he can give it right back by making a poor pass or not being decisive enough. Being able to force those turnovers, then turn up ice and navigate traffic to reverse pressure (the way a guy like Marco Rossi does) is the next step in his progression as a dominant defensive center. Look for Schwindt to be in the 30 goal/50 assist range next year and I think he's a real darkhorse for the Canadian junior team (if the WJC's actually happen).
3. Serron Noel - Kitchener Rangers
Probably the player whose lack of development disappointed me most this year. I had sky high expectations for him and his game took a step backward, not forward. IMO, that starts with inconsistent physical intensity. What makes Noel such a special player at times, is his size and skill combination. However, he's at his best when he's applying consistent pressure away from the puck, using his size to drive the net, and disrupt in all three zones. Watching Noel this year, there were just too many instances where he wasn't noticeable. Additionally, I think his play with the puck failed to progress, as he can still struggle when receiving passes in transition and being the one leading the attack. So he finds himself in a difficult spot at times. His game may not be tailored to be drive the play with the puck on his stick. But he's also not engaging consistently without the puck. He still has a great shot. He can still be an impact player. His power is impressive when he's driving wide or plowing down the middle. However, I think it has become more apparent that he's likely more suited to be a third line type and not a top six option (think along the lines of former Panther Jamie McGinn). As Noel turns pro next year, I will be very curious to see how he performs. Will we see the Noel that dominated at times in 2018/19, or will be see the indifferent one we got in 2019/20? A good freshman season at the pro level would likely see him in the 15/15 range with an aim at taking on a larger offensive role in his sophomore year.
4. Greg Meireles - Kitchener Rangers
Outside of goaltender Jacob Ingham, I think Meireles needs to be considered the MVP of the Rangers this past year. He had another strong season, his final (OA year) in the OHL. What you see is what you get with Meireles. He plays the game hard and his success is created by his determination and effort. He never seems to run out of energy, whether he's attacking as a forechecker, or prolonging possession deep in the offensive end, keeping plays alive along the wall with his feet and strength. His overall offensive skill set is good, but not elite (shooting ability, skill level, vision, etc), however when you combine it with the motor, you have a highly effective player. Guys like Meireles can be difficult to project at the next level sometimes. If you pigeon hold them as checking line players or tweeners, they surprise by becoming more. If I was a betting man, I'd probably place Meireles as a potential piece for the bottom six. And he may take some time to produce at the AHL level and therefore earn himself a call up. Let's not forget that Florida has yet to sign Meireles, meaning that they probably intend for him to start the year on an AHL PTO to see how he performs before offering him an ELC (the Avs took a similar approach with Brandon Saigeon recently). I think he is worth an ELC though, however sitting at 48 contracts, Florida can afford to be patient as they hold on to Meireles' rights until next June.
1. Vladislav Kolyachonok - Flint Firebirds
It was a very strong draft +1 year for Kolyachonok, as he established himself as one of the better defensive stalwarts in the OHL. His skating remains his best asset as he possesses this ability to just suffocate his marks. He is so difficult to shake. Kolyachonok also has such explosive start ups, it allows him to consistently beat opposing players to loose pucks. This is especially evident on the penalty kill, where he is so quick to close out and it stifles all creativity. This is a kid that was manufactured to be a defensive player in today's NHL. The question is, just how much more can he evolve offensively? The answer will ultimately determine whether Kolyachonok can be a quality top four defender, or more of a defensively sheltered number 5 who can anchor a PK. His confidence as a powerplay QB took a nice step forward this year, in particular his ability to use his quickness to jump into shooting lanes. He looks comfortable on the point. Where he still doesn't look entirely comfortable is leading the attack. He is much more likely to make a quick exit pass than he is to use his speed to push deep through the neutral zone. Sometimes he can skate himself into trouble when he attempts to extend rushes, so by default he seems to hesitate even when openings appear to him. Whether that is a processing issue, a skill issue, or a confidence issue remains to be seen. Next year, it appears that he will be playing in the KHL after being loaned out. Not sure I'd close the book completely for him in the OHL, as with pandemic times, who knows what will happen. As alluded to, I believe Kolyachonok is a safe bet to be an NHL player in some capacity.
2. Cole Schwindt - Mississauga Steelheads
Few players improved their status as NHL prospects the way that Cole Schwindt did this year for me. He emerged as one of the top two-way centers in the league and was the straw that stirred the drink for the Steelheads during their terrific second half performance. He plays with such a long stick in the neutral and defensive zones, forcing turnovers on what seems like every shift. This year, we saw him increase his intensity level too, taking away space from opposing players on the backcheck or while pressuring along the wall. He is a takeaway machine. Schwindt also showed greater confidence leading the attack offensively, improving his ability to create at top speed, and improving his lateral quickness and fluidity to make him more deceptive and creative when attacking the middle. Moving forward next year, there are three areas that I'd like to see continued improvement in. The first is his shot. I think that if he could make it more of a weapon, especially his release in the slot, it would make him a more dangerous overall player. The second is his explosiveness moving forward. The third is his vision and poise with the puck in his own zone. He forces a lot of turnovers in the defensive zone, but at times, he can give it right back by making a poor pass or not being decisive enough. Being able to force those turnovers, then turn up ice and navigate traffic to reverse pressure (the way a guy like Marco Rossi does) is the next step in his progression as a dominant defensive center. Look for Schwindt to be in the 30 goal/50 assist range next year and I think he's a real darkhorse for the Canadian junior team (if the WJC's actually happen).
3. Serron Noel - Kitchener Rangers
Probably the player whose lack of development disappointed me most this year. I had sky high expectations for him and his game took a step backward, not forward. IMO, that starts with inconsistent physical intensity. What makes Noel such a special player at times, is his size and skill combination. However, he's at his best when he's applying consistent pressure away from the puck, using his size to drive the net, and disrupt in all three zones. Watching Noel this year, there were just too many instances where he wasn't noticeable. Additionally, I think his play with the puck failed to progress, as he can still struggle when receiving passes in transition and being the one leading the attack. So he finds himself in a difficult spot at times. His game may not be tailored to be drive the play with the puck on his stick. But he's also not engaging consistently without the puck. He still has a great shot. He can still be an impact player. His power is impressive when he's driving wide or plowing down the middle. However, I think it has become more apparent that he's likely more suited to be a third line type and not a top six option (think along the lines of former Panther Jamie McGinn). As Noel turns pro next year, I will be very curious to see how he performs. Will we see the Noel that dominated at times in 2018/19, or will be see the indifferent one we got in 2019/20? A good freshman season at the pro level would likely see him in the 15/15 range with an aim at taking on a larger offensive role in his sophomore year.
4. Greg Meireles - Kitchener Rangers
Outside of goaltender Jacob Ingham, I think Meireles needs to be considered the MVP of the Rangers this past year. He had another strong season, his final (OA year) in the OHL. What you see is what you get with Meireles. He plays the game hard and his success is created by his determination and effort. He never seems to run out of energy, whether he's attacking as a forechecker, or prolonging possession deep in the offensive end, keeping plays alive along the wall with his feet and strength. His overall offensive skill set is good, but not elite (shooting ability, skill level, vision, etc), however when you combine it with the motor, you have a highly effective player. Guys like Meireles can be difficult to project at the next level sometimes. If you pigeon hold them as checking line players or tweeners, they surprise by becoming more. If I was a betting man, I'd probably place Meireles as a potential piece for the bottom six. And he may take some time to produce at the AHL level and therefore earn himself a call up. Let's not forget that Florida has yet to sign Meireles, meaning that they probably intend for him to start the year on an AHL PTO to see how he performs before offering him an ELC (the Avs took a similar approach with Brandon Saigeon recently). I think he is worth an ELC though, however sitting at 48 contracts, Florida can afford to be patient as they hold on to Meireles' rights until next June.
Saturday, August 1, 2020
31 Teams in 31 Days - Edmonton Oilers
No OHL prospects for the Oilers this season after having some terrific ones the previous few years.
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