Wednesday, December 14, 2022

Preliminary Media/Scout Top 10 for 2023

Time for the first media/scout poll for the 2023 NHL Draft!

For those unfamiliar with how this works, I poll many of the OHL's brightest minds; those who cover the league incredibly well and know the OHL inside, and out. These contributors supply me with their top 10 available players from the OHL, in addition to some comments. I then put it all together and provide you with a cumulative list. Call it "the consensus."

At this point, this OHL crop does appear to be on the weaker side. Coming into the year, there was a lot of hope for it. Cal Ritchie was being discussed as a possible top 7-8 selection. Cam Allen was in consideration to be the top defender available. There was some hope that a few high end Imports would come over. Instead, it now appears that there is no guarantee that an OHL player will be selected inside the lottery and there may not be more than two or three taken in the first round. Additionally, the depth available does not appear to be strong either. That said, it's still quite early in the scouting season. Lots of time for players to turn things around.

As always, this list involves contributions from a rather colourful cast of characters. Contributing their rankings and thoughts to this preliminary list for 2023 were:

Corey Pronman - NHL Prospects Writer for TheAthletic (@coreypronman)

Dominic Tiano - Writer for The OHL Writers (@dominictiano)

Ryan Kennedy - Editor in Chief for The Hockey News (@THNRyanKennedy)

Scott Wheeler - NHL Prospects Writer for TheAthletic (@scottcwheeler)

Will Scouch – Founder of Scouching Draft Analytics & Contributor to McKeen's Hockey (@Scouching)

Peter Baracchini - Draft Content at The Hockey Writers (@PBaracchini)

Mike Morreale - Staff writer for NHL.com (@mikemorrealeNHL)

Mat Sheridan - OHL Regional Scout for Future Considerations (@sheridan_mat)

Dylan Krill - OHL Regional Scout for McKeen’s Hockey (@dylan_krill)

Matt Young - OHL broadcaster (@mattyoung71)

Josh Tessler - Director of Scouting for Smaht Scouting (@JoshTessler_)

Tony Ferrari – NHL Draft Content for The Hockey News (@theTonyFerrari)

Olivia Carter - OHL Regional Scout for Future Considerations (@oliviamcarter)

Joely Stockl – OHL Regional Scout for Drafts Prospects Hockey (@joelystockl04)

Jared Brown - Head Scout for Drafts Prospects Hockey (@JaredBrownn97)

and of course...myself (@BrockOtten)

 

Here's the List:

1. Cal Ritchie – Center – Oshawa Generals
Total Votes: 16
Highest Ranking: 1st (10x)
Lowest Ranking: 2nd (6x)
Comments:
I really, really struggle with Calum Ritchie to this point. I know I’ve seen better than what he’s shown so far this season, but I do see some good application of his size to protect pucks, move them up the ice and move them to teammates in effective ways, but the results just haven’t been there. He’s still in my first round, but to me, other talented players have surpassed him so far this year. I’ll keep my eye on him, and his tracked data isn’t bad, but it ain’t on the same level as my #1 OHLer, and is simply lagging behind many top junior prospects in my prior years of experience in a variety of areas.” - Will Scouch

He's just smart and skilled and once he has the puck, it's hard to get it off him. He can get to the net, and plays that power forward game so he can score. I think he's going to create a lot of interest just because a lot of what he does will translate to the next level. He's excellent on the power play too.” - Mike Morreale

A full package and complete centreman, Calum Ritchie can do it all whenever he’s on the ice. He’s extremely skilled and has great IQ and awareness to be a highly effective playmaker at the next level. He can find the seams very well and can execute plays perfectly with tape to tape or long stretch plays. He has soft hands in tight spaces, great control to maintain possession and provides excellent support for his teammates. While he has average speed, he has strong edges to weave his way through traffic and his body positioning allows him to gain the inside edge on his opponents. He has a high end compete level and work ethic and does a great job engaging on the forecheck to force turnovers. Defensively he’s very sound, forcing the opposition to the outside in order to regain possession. Having all the tools and qualities of an NHL centre already, Ritchie should hear his name early on in the draft.” - Peter Baracchini

Despite the lack of production and not meeting his high expectations, I still believe Ritchie should be in consideration for going top 10 in the NHL Draft. Ritchie is a very responsible two-way centre who possesses elite hockey sense and high-end tools in both his shot and vision. He reads and anticipates play very well in all three zones and is highly effective at pick pocketing opponents. He’s not the most dynamic player, but there are flashes where he pulls you out of your seat with his blend of skill and creativity with the puck. I believe Ritchie’s skill-set and all-around game will allow him to adjust to the NHL very well.” - Dylan Krill

Calum Ritchie plays very conservatively at times, especially in the neutral zone. Often, he is the last forward into the offensive zone. In situations in which he is the F1, he quickly distributes the puck once entering the zone (out of his hands before the perimeter). When the Generals are mid-cycle, Ritchie is completing quite a few cross perimeter passes instead of driving into dangerous areas. I’d like to utilize his handling and reach to skate around attackers at the perimeter to try to acquire space down low. If he can use his stick-handling to open up separation and drive into the slot, his 5v5 production will go up.” - Josh Tessler

A smart and cerebral player, it is hard to argue that Calum Ritchie is not deserving of the top draft-eligible player in the OHL. While he had his ups and downs in his rookie season last year, he showed glimpses of his potential and has started the year off well in Oshawa. Ritchie is dangerous with the puck on his stick, capable of driving the middle of the ice to gain an offensive zone entry or getting a quick wrist shot off through multiple layers of defence. Ritchie’s off-puck play makes him a threat as well. He takes smart routes in the defensive zone and is routinely in position to support his defencemen. He plays with pace, always moving his feet, to disrupt defensive zone breakouts for the opposition and causing havoc below the hashmarks. Ritchie could serve to add some quickness to his step as he lacks top-end acceleration, but he's easily been one of the Generals best players so far this season.” - Mat Sheridan

2. Colby Barlow – Wing – Owen Sound Attack
Total Votes: 16
Highest Ranking: 1st (3x)
Lowest Ranking: 7th (1x)
Comments:
The reason why Barlow is #1 on my list right now is that I see him as both a safe NHL contributor and a bit of a unicorn. Players like Barlow are pretty rare to find. Wingers with good size, speed, physicality, and the ability to play both ends well do not grow on trees. How many strong goal scorers can also be counted on to be on the ice in the final minute to protect a lead? Many prominent goal scorers in the NHL need to have their zone starts sheltered because they can't be trusted in the defensive end. That's far from the case with Barlow. Am I concerned about his ability to create his own chances at the NHL level due to some inconsistencies in his transitional skill set? Yeah...a little bit. But I do think that the hands will catch up to the feet at some point and I think he does so many other things well that it's easy to see him being a long time complementary piece. A modern day Steve Larmer?” - Brock Otten

Barlow’s just one of those players who, in skill, shot, makeup, build, and approach, just looks like a pro already. He plays a very projectable, consistent, intentional, direct game that blends scoring with competitiveness.” - Anonymous

Mainly shines in the defensive end and shows good efforts in taking up space when challenging his opponents in all areas of the ice. His stick work is really good, he’s able to block passes and intercept in the defensive zone to turn the play offensive. Able to make those smart puck handling decisions for passing lanes and creating good shot opportunities.” - Olivia Carter

A hot take has Colby Barlow well into my 2nd round. He’s got a great shot in a variety of scenarios, but that’s about all I’ve really been able to put down as a positive. His tracked data across both games is bad. His ability to get chances at 5v5 seems to be very limited whenever I’ve seen him, but perhaps I’m just not watching the right games. He has isolated moments where I’m really taken with his one on one skill and finishing ability, but more often than not, I find myself wondering what all the fuss is about. He’s scored his even strength goals off of rebounds and tips rather than creating his own chances, and has a few empty netters at time of writing. He brings back memories of how enamored I was with Matt Puempel’s ability to shoot the puck, ignoring other key areas of the game that required attention. Similar to Cam Allen, there are just other players who have impressed me more to this point that knocks Barlow down that bring other traits to the game that I believe are more important in the context of an NHL Draft.” - Will Scouch

Barlow is closing the gap on Ritchie for me with his outstanding play as of late. He possesses the athletic tools scouts drool over. He’s a strong power forward with high-end finishing ability. He plays the game at a high tempo and pushes the pace with his explosive linear speed with or without the puck. Consistently displays the ability to find open space between the dots where he’s ready to receive the puck and deliver his powerful one-timer toward the net. His shooting technique, power, and off-puck scoring instincts give him the potential to be a 30 goal scorer in the NHL. He’s equally effective on the forecheck and in defensive roles, showing that he’s a versatile, ultra-competitive player. Utilizes his size to play a physical forechecking game and create turnovers. Barlow can shoot, skate, play physical, and defend. What’s there to dislike? He’s going to have a promising NHL career as a top six forward.” - Jared Brown

The scoring is undeniable. He gets to the net and has some really nice hands in tight. He and Pinelli have gone back and forth as the OHL points leader among draft eligibles. So why am I constantly left asking for more from Barlow? He is a great complimentary player who goes to the net, puts himself into position for his teammates to set him up. Barlow is the definition of a “meat and potatoes” player, who just does the right thing most of the time and gets rewarded for it. The problem is that he doesn’t carry the play himself or create for his teammates. The Owen Sound captain is a hard worker but lacks the play-driving ability of a Pinelli. His tools are good but not great all around and his playmaking is average. Dynamism, facilitation, and the transition game are areas that leave you wanting more.” - Tony Ferrari

3. Quentin Musty – Wing – Sudbury Wolves
Total Votes: 16
Highest Ranking: 3rd (5x)
Lowest Ranking: 9th (1x)
Comments:
Musty is having a great start to the season. His overall skill set – shot, vision, passing – all scream NHL potential. The knock on Musty has been the lack of consistency not just from game to game, but shift to shift. Others argue that the effort is lacking as well. I think we are seeing less and less of that and I expect Musty to be higher on this list by the end of the season after he’s put those knocks behind him.” - Dominic Tiano

Quintin Musty is definitely an interesting prospect. The 2021 first overall pick in the OHL Priority Selection Draft has some of the best hands and skillset in this year’s draft class. He’s got excellent control of the puck and has the knack to constantly drive hard to the net, utilizing his size to his advantage. Combining the high-end skill and power forward like game will definitely attract a number of teams. While he has the dazzling skill and hands, his decision making and lack of IQ with and without the puck has hurt his draft stock. There are times where he tries to do too much and ends up turning the puck over or makes some questionable decisions with the puck. He is definitely a high-risk, high-reward kind of player.” - Peter Baracchini

Quentin has solid north-south speed and size that allows him to move the puck past traffic with ease. He has excellent puck protection and uses his reach to push the puck away from oncoming pressure while driving through the neutral zone on the rush. While Musty has quality north-south speed, he seems to be struggling with east-west speed and that presents challenges when Musty is on the forecheck as he struggles to keep pace with attackers who are looking to skate laterally around Musty. When Musty has the puck in the offensive zone and is facing tight pressure, he struggles to push the puck past the attacker and then recapture possession. If Musty can further develop his handling in high pressure situations, he will be difficult to contain for attackers.” - Josh Tessler

Although Musty was projected as a first round pick after the Hlinka Gretzky Tournament, he has had more negatives than positives this season. A one dimensional player with his lethal scoring and offensive intelligence, lots of development needed in the other aspects of his game. Potentially comparable to an 18 year old Arthur Kaliyev.” - Joely Stockl

I’m not the biggest fan of Musty. I’ve had too many rather poor or frustrating viewings than positive ones. There’s no denying his high-end level of skill with the puck to be a dynamic playmaker and threat on the powerplay. But when things aren’t going his way, he can give off horrible body language, force plays, or be selfish and try and do too much with the puck which leads to turnovers. I also think he’ll struggle with the pace of the NHL level as his first few steps still need further development. His ceiling is very high but I view him as a boom-or-bust pick.” - Jared Brown

Musty has been hit or miss depending on the game you’ve seen. In one game, he will be a dominant offensive force, attacking defenders with the puck and using his strength and skill to overwhelm them. In others, he will fade to the background and allow himself to be outplayed by lesser talent on his team. He’s begun to find some consistency recently, especially as a facilitator, which hasn’t always been his forte. The American is a July birthday so he is on the younger side of the draft class as well, making his high-end tool set even more attractive if a team thinks they can get him to put it together more consistently.” - Tony Ferrari

4. Cam Allen – Defense – Guelph Storm
Total Votes: 16
Highest Ranking: 2nd (1x)
Lowest Ranking: 9th (1x)
Comments:
Allen is still second on this list and one of the top defencemen available in this draft. While a little undersized, he's a right-shot defenceman with excellent puck-moving ability, and those are always sought after at the next level. Add in Allen's leadership ability as he was Captain of Team Canada at the Ivan Hlinka tournament and you have a pretty complete player. The fact that he got off to a slow start in Guelph this year was a bit worrisome but it was a slow start across the board for a Storm team just now finding its legs. I think Allen could have a big second half of the year, but he's still the second-best OHL player available.” - Matt Young

Allen is in a similar boat as Calum Ritchie, playing on a below-average team and tasked to log huge minutes on the backend for Guelph. He’s a well-rounded defenseman who can play in all situations and does a bit of everything. He’s an athletic skater with great power and agility off his edges. He cuts and changes directions swiftly with effective weight shifts on the puck. His offensive instincts are at a high level and he has the ability to create offense inside the offensive zone. He’ll be able to score goals here and there at the pro level due to his heavy point shot and active shooting. I love the way he defends the rush, forcing puck carriers to dump the puck with his tight gap control. Has a bit of that old-school nastiness in his game to play “playoff hockey”. I still see him as a top 20 pick despite his struggles this year.” - Jared Brown

The year hasn’t gone well for Allen or the Storm. Allen approached 40 points last season and then was named captain of Canada’s Hlinka team, setting up a year in which the young defender could grab hold of the status as the draft’s top defender. Now, he’s in a battle for the top defender coming for the OHL. He has the mobility and raw tools that should make him a high-end prospect but he hasn’t been effective this year and his ranking reflects that.” - Tony Ferrari

If you recall, I had Allen ranked at #1 on my preseason list and I thought he was the best defender available in this draft class. His play at the Hlinka/Gretzky largely backed that up. Since then it's been all downhill. I think he's slowly turning things around and playing better, but he still looks like a different player than the one we had seen previously; slightly lost and without a true identity. To me, it looks like he has succumbed to the pressures of being a potential high pick in his NHL draft year. The fact that Guelph has been bad hasn't helped either. So he's feeling draft pressure and the pressure to turn around his team. As such, a lot of the errors being made have come from forcing things. Forcing breakouts. Picking bad times to pinch or activate. Chasing the puck in the defensive end. He just looks like he's trying to do too much out there. In the last month or so, I have found his puck management has been better, but it's been at the expense of not really taking chances either. Is his upside limited? I don't think you can really rank him extremely low at this point given previous performances, but he's going to need a strong second half (and potentially a strong U18's) to save his chances at being a top 50 pick.” - Brock Otten

I’ve really struggled with Cam Allen, even going back to last year with the Guelph Storm. His skill level and deception from the offensive blueline is undeniable, and the shot he can let go is probably among the best in the draft this year, but whenever I’ve seen and tracked him this year, I just can’t bring myself to see him as a top defender in this class. He’s not managing gaps well, he’s not moving pucks with his feet or hands particularly effectively outside the offensive zone, and there are a lot of players that have been more intriguing to me playing outside the OHL that knocks him down into my second round. He could easily be higher on this list in the future, but so far, I just do not see it with Allen and would let someone else take him in the first round.” - Will Scouch

5. Hunter Brzustewicz – Defense – Kitchener Rangers
Total Votes: 16
Highest Ranking: 3rd (1x)
Lowest Ranking: 10th (3x)
Comments:
I liked Brzustewicz’ s game so much at the start of the season I named him my Draft Eligible Defenceman of the Month for October. I think the most impressive thing I’ve found so far is his decision making. I can’t, through 20 plus games, remember a bad decision he’s made. He’s not flashy like some others, he’s just steady eddie going about eating huge minutes for the Rangers and doing the right things right the first time.” - Dominic Tiano

Hunter Brzustewicz’s overall upside may not be as high as other defenders in this draft. However, his offensive production of 18 points in 22 games says otherwise. Even though he doesn’t stand out or is flashy with his play, he still manages to make the right decision with or without the puck. He displays great playmaking abilities as he’s always scanning the ice to make a play or stretching the play up with a strong breakout pass. He’s a very mobile skater and possesses a responsible game within his own end. While he won’t wow you at any point, he does catch your attention with his simplistic style.” - Peter Baracchini

Brzustewicz has been a strong player for the Rangers so far this season. He has the ability to create in the offensive zone with the puck on his stick, drawing in opponents to find teammates in open space and does well to get shots through traffic. His ability to make a clean first pass allows his team to transition quickly and create offensive odd man rushes. He keeps a good gap when defending and uses his strength to close off opponents in front of the net and in the corners. I think he projects as an impact defenceman at the next level and will continue to be an important part of the Rangers core moving forward.” - Mat Sheridan

Confidence, confidence, and more confidence with Brzustewicz. Not many defenders in this draft class can handle the puck and drive the play from the back end like he can. He quarterbacks each Kitchener powerplay and moves the puck around with tremendous intelligence and awareness. I would argue him as the best offensive defenseman in this draft class, at least from the OHL.” - Joely Stockl

He’s one of the older defenders in the draft class and he’s racked up some points this year but he hasn’t been able to truly put himself ahead of the pack as a blueliner. He lacks defensively and his offensive game has been predicated on making a high-quality first pass and allowing teammates to work their magic. The flair in the offensive zone hasn’t quite come out as of yet but he has a history of it so the hope is that he continues to gain confidence and brings more of it to the table.” - Tony Ferrari

6. Luca Pinelli – Wing – Ottawa 67's
Total Votes: 13
Highest Ranking: 1st (3x)
Lowest Ranking: Outside of the Top 10 (3x)
Comments:
The 67’s would not be having the kind of season that they are without Pinelli taking the leap forward that he has. He plays hard, he’s got skill, he’s always around the puck in the offensive zone, he’s much stronger than his listed height and weight suggest, and he has become a driver on a top team night-in and night-out. He deserves mid-round attention because of it.” - Anonymous

We’re already getting off the board here, but I absolutely have loved what I’ve seen out of Luca Pinelli. Huge production, but his game goes so far beyond offense in my opinion. He’s an excellent analyzer of play all over the ice, causing turnovers and headaches for opponents without the puck. If he were a couple inches taller, he’d probably be among the top C’s in this draft and he’s steadily worked his way into my top 20, which I certainly didn’t expect coming into this season. He’s creating, he’s finishing, he plays hard, he brings so many tools that I look for and the tracked data backs that up. He’s been by far the most consistently impressive OHL player to me so far this season.” - Will Scouch

Pinelli is constantly looking to find space in medium and high danger areas to key up dangerous passing lanes for the 67’s to exploit. His desire to grab open ice down low has led to many quality one-timer shots on net. Pinelli also will take over the cycle and look to distribute the puck to dangerous areas. When driving up the ice, Pinelli won’t force the puck into highly pressured areas. He will peel back, regroup and find an open teammate to pass towards. There is a lot to like in Pinelli’s game and I could see him as a top six contributor down the road.” - Josh Tessler

Pinelli has been one of the most impressive draft-eligible players this season to date. While he plays on a strong Ottawa 67s team, he has been one of their most dangerous players in every game. His ability to find open space in the offensive zone is impressive, as he is able to go undetected through multiple layers of defence and strike with a quick shot. With the puck on his stick, he is eerily calm. He never forces a play and is able to maintain the puck even when he is being pressured by numerous players on the opposing team. While he can stand to add more strength to his frame, if Pinelli continues to play like he has, he is going to continue to rise on many scouts’ lists.” - Mat Sheridan

Not only is Pinelli fighting Barlow for the scoring lead amongst draft-eligible OHL'ers but the 67’s forward is the creative and driving force on his line. He brings the dynamism and skill that is required to be an offensive difference-maker at the NHL level but Pinelli is also incredibly intelligent. His biggest knock is size but he isn’t afraid to outwork bigger players and plays a sound two-way game, intercepting passes and disrupting puck carriers defensively. Pinelli is a true dual-threat attacker who can make his teammates better.” - Tony Ferrari

7. Beau Akey – Defense – Barrie Colts
Total Votes: 14
Highest Ranking: 3rd (1x)
Lowest Ranking: Outside of the Top 10 (2x)
Comments:
Among the defenders from the OHL available this year, Akey has emerged as my personal favourite. I think his offensive upside is the highest because of his creativity and escapability, and his skating ability is already one of the best in the OHL. The defensive game is inconsistent. He needs to increase his physical intensity. He needs to learn to use his strong mobility better to his advantage in the defensive end. But, at the end of the day, I think he can be a very strong two-way contributor eventually in the same mold as Toronto's TJ Brodie.” - Brock Otten

Skilled defenseman who can skate. He's trending, more natural offensive touch than someone like Allen.” - Anonymous

If you like raw defenders who can really skate and play with skill, Akey is your guy. I really have enjoyed watching him through last season and into this one, but he’s a pretty raw player that has some shortcomings in his game. If he’s got the puck or a chance to jump into a rush, the skating ability comes out, he finds space, and can generate production. Without the puck, he sits back. Lets opponents come to him, and far too often lets them through without consistent pressure to turn pucks over. Akey is a guy that looks impressive, and certainly could be in time, but has holes that will need to be patched. Still, the mobility, skill and upside as a transitional defender that leans offensive has left him as my top OHL defender this year so far.” - Will Scouch

Despite Akey being my 10th ranked OHL player and 4th ranked defenseman, I still believe he has the highest potential out of the 4 defensemen. I also believe he has the most refining to do in order to reach that potential. Akey is a highly mobile defenseman who is very effective in transition because of his ability to drive play from the back. His 4-way mobility is high-end and he has very good skill that he displays consistently, being able to beat opponents 1-1 and open up space for himself. I think Akey’s defensive game is where I want to see him improve the most. He has a very active stick, but I don’t think he’s always in control of it. He kind of just throws his stick out and creates chaos. I believe opponents at the next level will be able to take advantage of that and it will become more and more difficult to defend, making him less effective. Akey has a lot of room to move up this ranking and I wouldn’t be shocked if he ends up being my 5th ranked OHL player by the end of the year.” - Dylan Krill

8. Carson Rehkopf – Center/Wing – Kitchener Rangers
Total Votes: 13
Highest Ranking: 4th (1x)
Lowest Ranking: Outside of the Top 10 (3x)
Comments:
Rehkopf has a solid all-around game but his best asset might be his shot; he's one of the better goal scorers of this draft class. He's got good size (6-3, 195), skates really well and has good hockey IQ.” - Mike Morreale

I might be a lot higher on Kitchener Rangers forward Carson Rehkopf than others, but I just love what he brings to the table. He’s a highly competitive, two-way centre that plays with an edge and has a wicked release with his wrist shot. He has great hands and with his long reach with his stick, he has no problem making moves at a quick pace to get around defenders with such ease. He’s a smooth skater with great speed to beat players to the outside or get the jump on a breakaway and can make moves in tight on goalies with no problem. He’s quick, in your face and can play a sound defensive game as well. Having that high-end skill and smarts should make him highly sought after.” - Peter Baracchini

Rehkopf has a lot of tools that many scouts are looking for in first round candidates. He has the size, skating, skill, but also the defensive awareness that makes him so valuable. The one thing that may keep Rehkopf outside of the first is that although there aren’t any glaring weaknesses to his game, none of his strengths are considered elite at this time. However, he has a very solid all-around game and is very effective on both sides of the puck. He reads and anticipates play very well, having great positioning to stay in the play and make it difficult on opponents to find open space. He suppresses many chances in transition and displays great compete on back checks. I believe Rehkopf is still quite raw and has a lot of room to grow offensively, making him someone to keep an eye on.” - Dylan Krill

Though his production hasn’t been through the roof thus far, Rehkopf certainly has all of the tools to be an impact player. He has the shot, the confidence, the hands, but it hasn’t seemed to come together for him yet this season. He needs to become a game changer for Kitchener, and it has been difficult for him because of the older, elite talent ahead of him in the lineup. There is still lots of time for him to get it together, but as of now, his stock is certainly dropping out of the first round.” - Joely Stockl

Rehkopf has tons of raw potential when you put together his size and skilled hands. I like his elusiveness and deceptive body language while controlling the puck. I find his skating to be fluid and agile for a big man and allow him to be an effective puck transporter through the neutral zone. Carries the puck with confidence and soft hands. He possesses high-end handling skills. His hands are always free off his hip allowing him to take a quick shot on net or a quick pass that opponents aren’t expecting. He’s got a very quick release on his wrister and is an accurate shooter between the dots. He will utilize his size to knock players off the puck and be physically abrasive. He has the potential to be a power forward with above average puck skills which aren’t all that common in the NHL.” - Jared Brown

9. Oliver Bonk – Defense – London Knights
Total Votes: 9
Highest Ranking: 5th (1x)
Lowest Ranking: Outside of the Top 10 (7x)
Comments:
As is often the case with London Knights, Bonk has come into his own as the season — and his role — has progressed. He’s the two-way right-shot defenceman that every team covets. While his game isn’t dynamic, he can comfortably make plays and influence the game in all three zones.” - Anonymous

A real good understanding of the game due in large part to the tutelage of his father and former NHL forward Radek. He skates really well, and is good at distributing the puck on transition. He's got a decent ceiling and is improving. Oliver was named OHL Rookie of the Month for November after leading all rookies with 14 points (three goals, 11 assists) in 12 games.” - Mike Morreale

I’m a big fan of Bonk for many reasons, but what makes him my top defensemen from the OHL is his defensive game and how well his tools will translate to the NHL. There have been many games where Bonk is by far the most effective player in the defensive zone. He has a very active stick and has excellent stick positioning, quickly taking away space and time from opponents. He’s consistently timing his stick checks perfectly, making it very difficult for opponents to get a clear shot off. He’s able to use his size and strength well to clear the net-front and pin opponents to the boards. His defensive game alone makes him an intriguing prospect, but he is starting to gain more confidence and is showing more of his offensive abilities by driving play in transition, being a strong puck mover and utilizing his cannon of a shot more. He’s relied on heavily and can eat minutes for his team. His offensive game is still raw, but I really like the foundation of his game and the potential he has to become a middle-pair defensively minded defenseman who can contribute offense and compliment his teammates very well.” - Dylan Krill

My first (but not last) London Knights player on the list and the son of a former NHLer in Radek Bonk. He's got good size at 6'2" and is yet another right-handed shot on defence in this list. Bonk is also a first-year player in the OHL having spent his 16-year-old season in junior B with the exception of a small 10-game stint in the OHL. In a world where everyone is raving about Logan Mailloux's offensive game this year, Bonk is roughly posting a similar points-per-game pace at a younger age and flying under the radar doing it and getting a lot of rope from Dale Hunter who is usually far more reliant on his veterans.” - Matt Young

10. Denver Barkey – Center – London Knights
Total Votes: 7
Highest Ranking: 3rd (2x)
Lowest Ranking: Outside of the Top 10 (9x)
Comments:
Very strong positioning around the defensive zone, strong efforts to disrupt the plays and possesses strong anticipation. He’s quick and tight on his edges, quick cuts when being challenged and puck handles very well.” - Olivia Carter

I’ve had my eye on Barkey since last year in the preseason, and in a similar vein to Pinelli, I’m highly drawn to his style of play. He’s got skill and speed, sure, but he also utilizes it very well off-puck. He drives great transition results going both directions, but involves himself defensively at a huge rate relative to other forwards, especially those that may lack some size. He gets his chances from dangerous areas through his sneaky positioning and ability to quickly change angles and spots on the ice, but also can create chances offensively and has done so in both games tracked to this point. He’s a skilled, feisty player that could slip in the draft due to being undersized and perhaps not the best under pressure with the puck, but he’s been an excellent puck transporter through his carries to this point, and he checks a ton of boxes in my books.” - Will Scouch

After a nine-game point streak with 13 in that span, Denver Barkey’s offensive creativity and awareness is what stands out and has put him on the map for the draft. He’s a quick and agile skater as he’s got a really strong burst of acceleration and speed. He’s quick and shifty in transition with great hands as he’s a dynamic playmaker. He has the vision to draw opponents, create space for his teammates and find the seams with crisp passes. His smarts and positioning allows him to always be in the right spot on the ice, with or without the puck. He isn’t afraid to attack the net and use his soft hands in tight to beat goaltenders. If Barkey wasn’t on your radar before, he should be now as he continues to make a name for himself.” - Peter Baracchini

Barkey is a highly efficient puck mover. He does a good job of finding tight passing lanes in transition and using them quickly without deliberation. When he doesn’t have control of the puck and his teammates do, he is constantly looking to establish open ice near them in every zone to open up quality outlet passing lanes. Barkey will utilize speed nicely on the rush. When entering into the offensive zone as the F2, he uses his speed to get past the defense and provide his teammates with quality passing lanes. Once Barkey gets control of the puck, he activates quickly and drives to the net. When facing tight pressure in low danger, he will complete quality passes underneath the attacker’s stick. He uses whatever space he has.” - Josh Tessler

The London Knights center has been one of the most entertaining draft eligibles in the OHL this season. He plays with incredible offensive instincts. You can find him rolling off defenders and darting toward the net, working the puck off the wall before finding a teammate in a pocket of space, or pulling off any number of crafty offensive maneuvers. He has a good shot and could stand to use it a bit more. His vision and passing ability to go along with his quick hands has been what's made Barkey such an effective player. He works the give-and-go as good as anyone in the OHL, understanding the geometry behind beating defensive structures. Barkey has a high work rate to go with his skill and pace, making him worth discussing among the top end OHLers.” - Tony Ferrari

Honorable Mentions

Matthew Soto – Wing – Kingston Frontenacs
Total Votes: 5
Highest Ranking: 7th (2x)
Comments:
I had no idea who Matthew Soto was going into the season but between he and Owen Outwater, I’ve liked those Kingston linemates quite a bit. Soto brings tenacity, pace, fierce one on one confidence, and offensive creativity that gives him a spot at the tail end of my list. I question his NHL likelihood as an offensive player due to his lack of true footspeed relative to how much effort it looks like he’s putting out there, but with some efficiency improvement in his skating and playing with a bit more dynamic pace, he could be a nice energy forward you could snag in the mid to late rounds. He’s also among the younger players in this year’s draft, and that bodes well for future development in my view.” - Will Scouch

Soto has excellent spatial awareness. He will pass the puck underneath the attacker’s stick when he is driving the rush and an attacker is closing in on him and in between a teammate of Soto’s. If he runs out of options in the offensive zone and an attacker has put tight pressure on him, he will once again go underneath the stick. When pressure has tightened up on him, he constantly shows that he can navigate out of pressure. He has been able to showcase his escapability on the regular against OHL defensemen.” - Josh Tessler

One of the younger players available in the draft and just making the 2023 draft by 16 days, Soto is averaging a point per game in Kingston. The 2021 fifth-overall pick is an intelligent player with a strong work ethic and has become a terrific playmaker since coming to the league. His acceleration could use work but as we've seen in the past, skating is something that can be improved as players get bigger and stronger; his overall IQ makes up for that deficiency right now but it is something that will need to improve in order to play with the pace at the next level.” - Matt Young

Soto’s dynamic skating and fast-paced offensive style are extremely fun to watch when he’s on his game. The issue is when he isn’t on his game, he can be invisible due to his lack of effectiveness without the puck. His transition speed is elite and has confident puck handles in full flight. He can explode up ice with the puck and also possesses the edgework to spin off pressure and maintain control of the puck along the boards. I love his ability to quickly identify passing options and move the puck accurately in motion. I’d like to see him attack the middle of the ice more consistently off the wall instead of staying stuck on the perimeter with the puck. I can see Soto driving play in transition with his blazing speed and above average hands as a middle six winger in the NHL, but needs to develop more consistency in his game.” - Jared Brown

Coulson Pitre – Wing – Flint Firebirds
Total Votes: 5
Highest Ranking: 8th (3x)
Comments:
NHL teams are always looking for the next Tom Wilson types, and that's a tall order. He's a pretty unique player. But Pitre does have some similar qualities. He plays that power game but also skates well enough to be a factor in transition and has high end vision/smarts with the puck that make him a strong playmaker. Consistency has been a bit of an issue to start the year, but it's important to note that he's counted upon to be more of a secondary threat for Flint and his ice time/responsibility has fluctuated to a degree.” - Brock Otten

Pitre is just a good player. That has been clear in each of the last two seasons. If you watch the Firebirds, it doesn’t take long to recognize that he’s driving play as a young player on that team (and the proof is in his goal differential results). Pitre is a smart player who understands where to be to support play and how to use spacing to his advantage. He’s also got more of a goal-scoring touch than we’ve seen so far this season. I expect him to push for 40 goals next year.” - Anonymous

I’m not sure how many to-10 lists Pitre will make either and I admit I thought long and hard about it. I just like where his game is at right now. He can be a physical force who moves pretty well. He’s not shy about mixing it up either. He’s a power forward from yester-year. But he also has pretty good vision and playmaking skills. If he could add a touch more scoring ability to his repertoire, he would be intriguing. But I am putting him in my top-10 anyway.” - Dominic Tiano

Ethan Miedema – Wing – Windsor Spitfires
Total Votes: 4
Highest Ranking: 4th (1x)
Comments:
A strong paced playmaker who is able to safely create cross ice passes and set up well around the offensive zone to set his linemates up for scoring opportunities. He’s able to create decent offensive rushes, possesses an accurate shot and has okay positioning overall.” - Olivia Carter

Big forward with skill. His skating is rough but there's a pro toolkit here. He'd score more on a different team.” - Anonymous

A 6'4" winger averaging nearly a point per game that played in a long playoff run in his first year in the league. There's a lot to like here and he's playing for Marc Savard in Windsor who has helped take several players to the next level in their game. I'm excited about what Miedma can become later on as players of his size always take a bit longer. He could take some time once he becomes a professional player but the wait could be worth it for a team that is patient for the former fourth-overall OHL selection.” - Matt Young

After a very slow start, Miedema is starting to get his game going. He’s got a big frame and great hands that give him a chance to put himself on a highlight reel at a moment's notice. He isn’t using his shot nearly enough which has affected his point totals but he has developed as a playmaker this season. If he can develop a bit more consistency and help Windsor get back on track, it would go a long way toward making him a riser among OHL draft eligibles.” - Tony Ferrari

Nick Lardis – Wing – Peterborough Petes
Total Votes: 4
Highest Ranking: 7th (1x)
Comments:
Lardis has impressed me this year more than a number of OHLers. Coulson Pitre and Owen Outwater really pushed for this last spot too, but Lardis’ ability to use his edges to find space, keep up with play, and gain scoring chances with an excellent release on his shot has been really fun to watch. He’s determined, pretty skilled, and has offensive tools that could project with some time and patience.” - Will Scouch

I don’t know how many top-10 lists Lardis will make, but he should make them all and I say that with all the bias I can muster because I just love the way he plays. He’s constantly flying down his wing taking on defenders and driving wide, but he will also take it right to the net. And he’s a natural goal scorer who can score in multiple ways. I wonder if he would get more attention if he wasn’t playing in Peterborough.” - Dominic Tiano

Lardis’ speed and scoring ability have stood out to me. His start to the year was impressive but the trade acquisition of Brennan Othmann by the Petes has limited his offensive opportunities and ice time. He’s got the speed and top-notch acceleration to be a threat off the rush and drive defenders off their blueline. He should look to drive the middle of the ice more in transition and not stick only to the outside lane. He’s dangerous in the slot as he possesses a quick release off the pass and is excellent at finding the soft spots in coverage to get lost and open for his teammates. He still has lots of physical maturing to be had so he can be heavier on pucks and withstand contact better, but the speed and finishing touch give him a high ceiling.” - Jared Brown

Carey Terrance – Center – Erie Otters
Total Votes: 2
Highest Ranking: 7th (1x)
Comments:
With every viewing, I become more intrigued by Terrance. I think he's just scratching the surface of his potential. What I have really grown to appreciate about his game is that he works through traffic really well down low with great small area quickness and puck protection habits. For such a strong skater, he's actually more consistently effective inside the blue line, IMO. Once he learns how to truly harness his speed to be a full length playmaker and pace pusher, look out. And even if the transitional puck skill never really develops, he still brings a lot to the table as a potential two-way center and workhorse. At worst, he could be a Cody Eakin type. At best, he's a much more involved offensive player. Really curious to see how he closes out the year as he gains confidence.” - Brock Otten

Terrance is an elite skater with a solid two-way game and his offence has taken a step forward from a year ago. Terrance is a team-worst -12 but he's also lining up most nights as the Otters' number-one centre in his draft year which is never an easy task. The fact that he heads up the penalty kill in Erie and wears a letter at 17 years old tells me all I need to know about the character and two-way game at his age. There's a lot to like and I think Otters' fans should be excited for the future with Terrance and Malcolm Spence yet to play their best hockey in the league.” - Matt Young

Andrew Gibson – Defense – Soo Greyhounds
Total Votes: 2
Highest Ranking: 9th (1x)
Comments:
He's big, can skate and works hard. His offensive sense is a question though.” - Anonymous

A two-way right-handed defenseman who exhibits a lot of patience, a good first pass and smarts on the back end. He'll just need to improve his decision-making.” - Mike Morreale

Easton Cowan – Wing – London Knights
Total Votes: 1
Highest Ranking: 10th (1x)
Comments:
Cowan is your definition of a utility player. He brings tremendous playmaking ability, but also plays big penalty kill minutes and covers for the defense often. Cowan is a player you want on the ice in the last minute of the game, whether your team is down a goal, or up a goal. This is a player that is being overlooked, and is one of my sleeper picks in this draft.” - Joely Stockl


Sunday, November 13, 2022

Preliminary Top 50 for the 2023 NHL Entry Draft

It's time for my first official ranking for the 2023 NHL Entry Draft. I say official because I release a preseason ranking in the summer (which can be found here). 
 
The list includes detailed reports on the Top 30 and small snippets on the other 20 that make up the Top 50. 

As of right now, I'm not sure I would call this a strong draft crop for the OHL. This is especially true when you consider the depth many other leagues and countries have to offer. We have some solid talent near the top and as many as six first round candidates IMO, but the depth does not currently look terrific. Filling out the top 50 for this list was extremely difficult. In reality, I would say only about 35 or so names are truly on the draft radar. I'd put the early over/under for players drafted from the OHL this year at about 29.5 and that includes re-entry candidates that I have not listed here.
 
Speaking of re-entries, it is important to note (for those that aren't familiar with my lists), that I don't include 2nd and 3rd year eligible players on the list (like Kingston's Linus Hemstrom or Sarnia's Marcus Limpar Lantz). I do a year end list for those players.

Without further ado, here's my early season top 50.

1. Cal Ritchie - Center/Wing - Oshawa Generals
I've seen a few people suggest that Ritchie's offensive production doesn't warrant being as highly rated as he is currently. I'd argue that it's important not to stat watch and actually see the players play. The Generals just aren't going to be a terrific team this year. Expecting him to be near the top of the league scoring race is unreasonable. Instead look at the improvements that Ritchie has made to his game in comparison to last year. He's stronger on/off the puck and is really turning into a dominant two-way force. He's trusting his shot more and hunting down opportunities to get to the inside to score. He's making better decisions with the puck in transition and is varying pace to make himself more unpredictable. He's still got a great combination of length, skill, and speed. He's the complete package. The great thing is that he's almost assuredly a big part of the Canadian U18 team in April, where he'll be given a chance to build off of his terrific Hlinka/Gretzky Cup appearance. 

2. Colby Barlow - Wing - Owen Sound Attack
I just wrote a piece on Barlow for McKeen's and Tony Ferrari and I recently spoke at length about Barlow on our THN podcast (found here). Needless to say...I'm a fan. I see his game transitioning to the NHL level extremely well. That combination of power, size, two-way ability, and goal scoring ability is just rare. He's also just a really good kid who's already wearing the "C" in Owen Sound as a 17 year old. He generates speed so quickly and it makes him very difficult to contain in transition. But, he's also very middle of the ice centric, which is something NHL scouts really look at. When he's using his speed to back down defenders, he's taking the puck to the middle and looking to get to the net. He's also physical and is a potential lock down defensive forward, something that he showed at the Hlinka/Gretzky and something that he has continued to show in the OHL. As a goal scorer, he has many weapons. He finishes well in tight. He has soft hands for re-directs. He has a wicked wrist shot and one timer. His scoring instincts are sound. We just saw a similar player in Cutter Gauthier go inside the top five and I'd honestly prefer Barlow as a long term prospect. Are there any downsides? The one area that needs to improve for Barlow is his neutral zone play with the puck and ability to handle at top speed. He can struggle to cleanly accept passes from his defenders and as he tries to push east/west, he can lose control. When he takes control in his own zone and builds a head of steam, he is rarely stopped. However, when he's supporting the breakout, it's not always the cleanest. This is something that can be worked on. I think his hands are good enough that as he gets stronger, this should improve. IMO it's truly the key to unlocking his high end potential.

3. Cam Allen - Defense - Guelph Storm
As you may have seen from the link to my preseason list, I had Allen at number one following the Hlinka/Gretzky Cup. I had very high expectations for him entering the year and I fully expected him to be the top defender available in 2023. Now...I'm less sure of that and as such, I've moved him below Ritchie and Barlow who have started the year off very well (to go with their strong Hlinka/Gretzky Cup performances). I still like Allen. I still have high hopes for Allen. How much of Allen's struggles can be blamed on the Storm's poor performance to start the year? Or, conversely, are Allen's struggles a main reason why Guelph has struggled? Allen's decision making with the puck has left some to be desired. To me, he looks like a player who is trying to force the play, always seemingly trying to make the hard play instead of taking the easy one. That is leading to some bad turnovers. He's being asked to do a lot right now and my guess is that the pressure of his draft year is weighing on him a little bit. Last year and at the Hlinka/Gretzky, I liked his decision making and thought it was a strength of his game. This year...it's been a weakness. Additionally, his play in the defensive end has wavered. He needs to be more consistently dialed in physically. He can play a suffocating style, but he can also be pushed around and does not come away with the puck enough in those true 50/50 toss ups. He's still a strong skating, potential two-way workhorse. However, what's the offensive upside here? Is Allen more of a Calvin de Haan type than say...a Charlie McAvoy?

4. Hunter Brzustewicz - Defense - Kitchener Rangers
If you asked me who the most impressive draft eligible blueliner has been so far this year, it wouldn't be Allen, but Brzustewicz (or Barrie's Beau Akey). It's pronounced "Bru-stay-vitch" for those wondering. After struggling through injuries and a lack of ice time with the NTDP the last two years, Brzustewicz has entered the OHL and become an immediate top pairing defender for the Rangers. They rely on him to play 25+ minutes a night and in all situations. Part of me is a bit concerned by the fact that he doesn't have a true standout quality; nothing I would consider elite. Sometimes that can be the kiss of death for blueline prospects as they try to transition to the NHL. However, the other part of me loves the simplicity of his game, a game built around quick decision making and strong four way mobility. I really like how he takes control of the game inside the offensive blueline. His lateral quickness and pivots are very sharp and he always has his head up. He's not afraid to make the simple play and rarely tries to force things if they aren't there. He's content to hold the line and dump the puck back into the corner. But he also identifies opportunities to pinch and try to work his way down low. In the defensive end, he takes good routes to pucks and surveys the ice well to start the breakout. He makes crisp passes to his outlets and has really good scanning habits. He's not really a true burner from a linear speed perspective. He's not someone who you'll see going end to end. But you don't need to be to be a good NHL defender. In the defensive end, I think he's a smart player, but I think he needs to be a harder player to match up against. He loses too many battles for positioning near the crease and can be too passive along the wall. But I'm curious to see how his game develops over the course of the year as he builds confidence (and as the Rangers improve...like I anticipate they will).

5. Beau Akey - Defense - Barrie Colts
If you follow me on social media, you'd know that I really like Akey. At this point, I think he's right there with Allen and Brzustewicz as a candidate to be the top OHL defender off the board. With Brandt Clarke in LA, Akey has been the top pairing defender that the Colts needed him to be. In terms of offensive upside, I think he may actually possess more than Allen and Brzustewicz. His hands and ability to escape pressure are a step above those two. He can really carve up the neutral zone as a carrier because of his quickness and his skill blending abilities. I think he could actually stand to take more chances with the puck because of how well he can recover, but right now he's still fairly conservative. I also really like Akey's defensive awareness. His play in the neutral zone is a real strength. He's not afraid to step up to play aggressively to knock down clearing attempts and he will look to shut down transitional attacks early. He defends the slot well too with that quick stick and strong anticipation. Where Akey struggles is similar to Allen and Brzustewicz. He needs to be harder on puck carriers. He can be too complacent at times and allows the opposition to dictate the play, rather than being assertive to force their hand. He flashes this ability on some shifts, but then leaves large gaps or fails to pin his man along the boards on others. For a player with his four way mobility, his defensive footwork can get sloppy at times too. It's almost as if he is unsure of himself and just overthinking things. If he can learn to be as aggressive in the defensive zone as he is in the NZ, he'd be a lot better for it. Even still, he's a borderline first round candidate for me.

6. Quentin Musty - Wing - Sudbury Wolves
Oh Quentin Musty, how you will frustrate scouts this year. There are so many intriguing qualities to his game. He's exceptionally skilled, especially as a one on one attacker. He has a big shot and scoring potential. He actually does have great vision at times and can thread a pass through the smallest of seams. The upside at the NHL level is extremely tantalizing. But then there are the disappearing acts. The shifts where he tries to take on three defenders and turns over the puck. The shifts where he is kept to the perimeter. The shifts where he is complacent and looks sluggish without the puck. What is the root cause of these deficits and the inconsistent performance? Is it processing? Is it conditioning? Is it skating related? He is bound to be one of the most heavily scrutinized players over the course of this draft season. The next Brandon Saad? Let's see how he plays under Derek MacKenzie. The early results are good.

7. Carson Rehkopf - Wing/Center - Kitchener Rangers
I actually know some people who prefer Rehkopf to Musty at this time and, honestly, I'm nearly there too. I don't think his offensive ceiling is nearly as high, but the floor certainly is. If you think Rehkopf can play center long term, he's going to be a very interesting player to you. Large frame. Plays the game hard and physical, especially below the goal line. Tough to knock off the puck already and strong on the wall. Has the potential to be a strong two-way presence IMO. Has excellent goal scoring potential too because of a quick release and heavy wrister. I think, for me, the biggest questions I have surround Rehkopf's processing and vision. I'm not saying it's poor. It's more that I just don't have a great read on that yet. I want to continue to see how his play without the puck evolves and how his playmaking ability improves in transition. Can he take over games consistently? There's a real intriguing combination of power and speed here.

8. Luca Pinelli - Wing/Center - Ottawa 67's
As of writing this, Pinelli is actually the highest scoring first time eligible player in the OHL. Not sure that would have been expected heading into the year. I know my pals at McKeen's Will Scouch and Sam McGilligan are huge fans of his and rightfully so based on the progress he has shown in the last calendar year. He was actually really strong in the second half of his rookie year and just continues to build off of that. He's a better skater than his brother Francesco was at the same age. But he has similar cognitive strengths. His play without the puck and anticipation in the offensive end are really strong. He slides in and out of traffic and plays through the middle of the ice. He's got more jam to his game than his brother too, consistently engaged in puck pursuit. I know he's played some center this year, but I've definitely liked him better on the wing. That's where I see him fitting down the line. I guess the million dollar question is...what's the upside? I don't see a guy with elite level skill. But I do see someone with the skill set to be a very strong complementary player at the next level...especially if he can continue to improve those physical tools. Good goal scorer. Supports the play well. Versatile. I don't see him as a first round candidate in this strong of a draft year, but if he keeps this up, he's assured to be a second rounder like his brother.

9. Denver Barkey - Center - London Knights
Seriously, how could you not like Denver Barkey? Yeah, yeah...I know. He's only 5'9 and a 155lbs. He's also not an elite skater like you probably want to see. Not a poor skater by any means, but he does not possess high end separation ability or elusiveness right now. Yet...he finds a way to be an impactful player in so many ways. He's versatile; already a fantastic penalty killer and two-way presence. He's competitive; someone who consistently fights to earn touches and competes away from the puck. He's skilled, more so than people give him credit for IMO. He's intelligent; his vision is a standout quality. What's going to happen after he matures more physically? I think there's a lot more potential to unlock here. I see Barkey in a similar light to Owen Beck last year. This is a young man that I believe has a high ceiling and a pretty decent floor. Even if he tops out as a Paul Byron type, that will still bring a lot of long term value to an NHL franchise. But what if he continues to get better and ends up as Joe Pavelski, JG Pageau type? Lots of different paths to the NHL for players like Barkey IMO. London is sure to yo-yo all season this year, but Barkey's going to consistently show well.

10. Nick Lardis - Wing - Peterborough Petes
Lardis is a really interesting prospect because of his combination of speed and goal scoring potential. He consistently puts defenders on their heals driving wide as he looks to cut to the middle. He's far from a perimeter player too. He will work his way between the hash marks and crash the net for scoring chances. Like Colby Barlow, he can score in a variety of different ways; the true mark of a top notch goal scorer. I like Lardis' energy off the puck in the offensive zone too. He battles for space and consistently applies pressure on the forecheck. I'm still trying to get a good read on his passing ability and overall vision. He can be turnover prone. There are instances of tunnel vision in transition. In a lot of ways, I think Lardis is still learning how to use his speed effectively and consistently. I think he's also still learning how to vary his attacks to incorporate changes of pace. These criticisms are similar to the ones that I had about David Goyette early last year. At this point, Lardis looks like a solid second/third round prospect, but with some improvements over the year, he could move up. Outside of Barlow and Musty, he has the highest upside as a goal scorer from the "O" IMO.

11. Carey Terrance - Center - Erie Otters
This is a player that is really growing on me, especially in the last few weeks. On the THN podcast I mentioned Terrance as a player that I felt was over-slotted as a "B" prospect. Since then, I've tried to watch Erie a bunch and get a better read on him. Turns out this was perfect timing because he's been hot from a production standpoint. I'm still not exactly sure of the offensive upside at the NHL level. But, there are quite a few standout and workable qualities to his game. His speed is a real asset and is the foundation of his game. He's always looking to push pace. However, his small area quickness is very impressive too. He spins off the wall and spins off checks really well, quickly exploiting gaps in the offensive zone. It seems like half his points in the last two weeks have come from plays that involved him exploding off the wall to hit a seam in the slot, catching defenders flat footed. The shot and two-way instincts are good too. He supports his defenders well down low and that really helps the transition game for Erie, as he can use his speed to turn things around quickly. Let's see how his game continues to develop over the year. I'm not entirely sure he's more than a Cody Eakin type, but that has great value.

12. Coulson Pitre - Wing - Flint Firebirds
Pitre was a bit inconsistent to start the year, but he's been playing much better the last few weeks. Perfect timing in correlation with my rankings. He's a real throwback power forward type who loves to throw the body, mix it up near the crease, and has some intriguing offensive tools. It's easy to see him carving out a long NHL career as a bottom six player, at the very least, because he skates pretty well for the type of game he plays too. Given Flint's depth, consistent ice time hasn't been easy to come by, and I think that contributed to some of the issues early on. I thought he was getting away from his identity a bit and wasn't bringing that consistent physical element that is the key to success for him. However, the last few weeks he has been dialed in. His best asset in the offensive zone might actually be his IQ/awareness. His anticipation in the offensive end is good and he has the quickness to exploit gaps, getting inside leverage for scoring chances in the slot and near the crease. This awareness also gives him good vision as a playmaker coming off the wall and when trying to drive the middle. He's great at drawing in defenders and sliding passes through coverage. Lots of check marks here for a player who could have a lengthy NHL career as a support player.

13. Alex Pharand - Wing/Center - Sudbury Wolves
The Sudbury Wolves have not been great to start the year, but Pharand has been one of the few bright spots for them so far. He's a big kid who excels playing through the middle of the ice. He's tough to contain near the crease and has been scoring and getting consistent looks by outworking defenders out front. I also like how he works the wall and keeps his feet moving. He's strong in the cycle and in puck pursuit. As he gets stronger, he could be a really solid support player. I think the most intriguing thing about Pharand is that he has shown an ability to play center and lead the offensive attack. His skating ability is not high end, but not poor either. He gets to where he needs to get and when combined with his size, it gives him an interesting profile and potential. I'm not sure the upside is extremely high. However, I'm really curious to see how his game develops further over the course of the season.

14. Ethan Miedema - Wing - Windsor Spitfires
It's probably a bit shocking to see Miedema this low, but I'm just not sold on him at this time. There are definitely some intriguing components to his game. He's certainly skilled, more so than the average 6'4 forward. He can create space for himself with his hands and I think his linear speed has improved to the point where he can be a transitional leader. He shows flashes of being a high end playmaker. Unquestionably, the offensive upside is very high and it's why Miedema was taken fourth overall. However, I have more questions about his game than answers at this time. For one, I find him too perimeter oriented currently, especially for a player of his size. He needs to get himself into the middle of the ice more consistently and he needs to find his way to the net when he doesn't have the puck. In transition, he attacks almost solely from the outside and can be forced to the wall and can be separated from the puck rather easily. When pressured, he can be turnover prone. The production has been pretty decent considering his third line ice time this season, but I have my worries about his game transitioning at this time. I like him a lot more as a third/fourth round target, rather than a true "B" prospect.

15. Cole Brown - Wing - Hamilton Bulldogs
Much like Pharand, Brown has an intriguing blend of size and skill. I don't think he's as quick as Pharand is at this current moment, but he seems to have a very clear understanding of how he needs to play to be successful. He lives near the crease, protects the puck well, and drives the net from the wing. His hands in tight are pretty good and I think he possesses some interesting potential as a goal scorer. I wish he was a little more involved from a physicality perspective. He's not yet a terrific three zone player either. The key for him will be improving his quickness and top end speed. I think it's possible. His east/west movement isn't terrible and he accepts passes well in stride, pivoting and changing direction quickly. It's that he's not generating significant power in his pushes or sustaining the power he is creating with shorter strides. I think a power skating coach could really work wonders with him. There's just something about Brown's game that is very intriguing from a pro perspective.

16. Matthew Mania - Defense - Sudbury Wolves
Part of me really wanted to put Mania higher on this list. I like so many components of his game. I think his offensive upside is really high. He's at his best when he can use his quickness and skill to lead the charge out of his own end and push the pace of play. He can be a very impactful puck mover at even strength. Yet...we just don't see him doing this enough. He seems hesitant to really unleash this year. Maybe new coach MacKenzie in Sudbury will help bring that out of him and let him feast and let him take more chances. Maybe it points to processing issues and not confidence ones. I also think he needs to grow further as a powerplay quarterback. I haven't been crazy about his decision making in the offensive end. He needs to make quicker decisions on the point and he needs to use his quickness more to beat pressure, helping to open up lanes. There's a level of rigidity there and there should not be given his skill set. Defensively, I actually think he's shown some growth. There's still room for improvement, but he's largely shown growth in his reads, chasing the play less and playing with a little more physical authority. If he doesn't show growth over the season, Mania likely falls on this list by season's end. But I'm still hopeful that he can gain confidence and be more of an offensive leader for the Wolves.

17. Joey Willis - Center/Wing - Saginaw Spirit
I have been so incredibly impressed with this young man in his rookie OHL season coming out of the U.S. AAA loop. That's a huge jump to make and he's come right into the league and become an impact player. He plays with a ton of energy in all three zones and is already a strong two-way player despite not having the size/strength to consistently win battles. It seems like every time I watch Saginaw, I find myself circling back to his play on the backcheck and his overall awareness/ability to force turnovers. His vision is also a standout quality. He is an excellent passer. One of those guys who seems to have eyes in the back of his head. Even when he's putting up zeroes on the scoreboard, he's making good plays and setting up chances. My heart wanted to put him higher, but my head has him here. The reason being that I think those "athletic" or "physical" tools will need to really improve for him to transition to the NHL level. He's not the biggest guy so he's going to need to improve his skating. His linear quickness is decent, but he needs to become a more dynamic mover overall. He can be forced to the outside when attacking with pace and is most effective when the game slows down right now. In a lot of ways, I'm getting Riley Kidney type vibes from him and I think the two are similar players with similar projections. In all honesty, this might be the most I've ever liked a player that I'm ranking at #17.

18. Oliver Bonk - Defense - London Knights
Another guy that people will be surprised to see so low down my rankings. I guess my concern is that, IMO, Bonk doesn't really have a standout quality. He's good in almost all areas, but is he elite in any? What's the projection here? Yeah, he's got great bloodlines. Yeah, he's been producing for the Knights. He's a good OHL player already and London utilizes him in a lot of creative ways (like having him work the flank a lot on the powerplay). He also has that coveted right shot and decent size. But I just can't help but see guys like Stuart Percy and Matt Finn in Bonk. His movement qualities are only average. He doesn't need to be a Cale Makar type. Not asking that. But I do have concerns about the dynamic qualities of his stride and whether his four way mobility can get to a point where it would be more than average at the NHL level. And his decision making with the puck is inconsistent. There are times where he looks great. He takes a great route to a retrieval or makes a strong defensive read and makes a great exit to start the breakout. Then there are other times where he fails to clear the zone, or turns the puck over in the neutral zone...especially when he tries to use his feet. Is this just a young player needing more experience in his truly first OHL season? Or are there some deficiencies which could cap his upside? It's highly possible that he grows on me over the year and pushes up my board. 

19. Andrew Gibson - Defense - Soo Greyhounds
Really interesting OHL rookie who has jumped right into a top four role with the rebuilding Greyhounds this year. Last year he had possibly the best U17 season of this millennium in the NOJHL, winning the league's defender of the year. So there is a pedigree there. NHL Central Scouting has him listed as a "B" player already. To be honest, I'm still trying to get a solid read on him this early in the year. So this ranking is a fairly moderate one. The length is intriguing at 6'3 and he plays the right side. His four way mobility looks good, but not exceptional. His decision making has been sound and he's getting the puck off his stick quickly. He's not really an aggressive offensive player at this point. Inside the offensive zone, his shot looks like his biggest weapon. He has a really heavy wrist shot and he generally does a good job getting it through traffic. Defensively, Gibson holds his ground well and he has a good stick that he uses to keep attackers to the outside. He looks comfortable in his own end already. I guess my question is...what's the upside? How much further can his offensive game grow? Can he continue to improve in his own end too? Like I said, I'm definitely still trying to get a good read on Gibson. 

20. Alexis Daviault - Defense - Sarnia Sting
I think what we, as a scouting community, need to determine this year is whether Daviault is someone who is going to be more than just a really good OHL defender. I feel very confident that he will develop into a very good, perhaps five year, OHL standout. What I'm less sure of is whether his particular skill set makes him a true NHL prospect or not. I actually like Daviault's play in the defensive end best right now. For a sub six foot defender, that may not be a great thing. He has really good anticipation in the defensive end. He always seems to be around the puck and he's more physical than you would expect him to be. He's a real competitive kid. Offensively, he's at his best when he keep things simple. He has a good exit pass, but when he tries to clear the zone with his feet or tries to be aggressive offensively, he can turn the puck over. I'm not sure he's innately skilled enough to be a true puck mover. At least at the next level anyway. He's also not a plus skater, at least moving forward anyway. Simply put, I think in order to stay on the draft radar his offensive production is going to have to be better.

21. Calem Mangone - Wing - Saginaw Spirit
Absolutely criminal that Mangone didn't receive a letter grade from NHL Central Scouting. Right there with Pinelli as one of the higher scoring first time draft eligible players in the OHL. Yes...I know he's a late born 2004. Yes...I know he's very undersized. I don't care. I liked Mangone last year too and he's building off that performance to take a really positive next step. He has everything you look for from a smaller player that you hope is able to transition out of junior. He's highly competitive. He's quick...especially moving East/West. He's skilled. He's smart. He drives play and is just a really fun player to watch. I almost put him higher on this list, but I do want to see him stay healthy this year and I do want to see him maintain this level of play for the Spirit. But I feel good about his odds to slowly creep up draft lists this year. You just can't ignore him when you watch Saginaw. A little ball of energy.

22. Brad Gardiner - Center - Ottawa 67's
This guy just keeps on scoring. But he's doing more than that for the 67's. He's taking key faceoffs. He's playing big minutes on the penalty kill. He's a strong linear skater with some explosiveness who can lead the attack from the middle. I like the offensive zone awareness. It's why he has so many goals already this year. He's one of those guys who just consistently finds himself in the right place at the right time and he keeps his feet moving in the offensive zone to work to the inside. I'm not convinced that he has significant upside at the NHL level at this time, but he definitely looks like someone who could carve out a role in some capacity. He's been really good for the upstart 67's. If he sustains this, he'll move up lists.

23. Matthew Soto - Wing - Kingston Frontenacs
Fairly strong skating winger who can be a difference maker in transition. Loves to lead the charge over the blueline and be first into the offensive zone. Doesn't always work his way into the middle, but can find his way to the net and is willing to work the cycle to slow the game down. I think he's a better playmaker than goal scorer. He shows a willingness to attack and is poised enough to make defenders bite before he dishes off. Soto doesn't have the kind of tunnel vision that you typically see from young speedsters. At this point, like many other players on this list, I'm uncertain of the upside. I don't think he'll ever be a highly physical player or an elite two-way player. So is he skilled enough to play higher up the lineup in the NHL? Or can he improve his play off the puck to be more of a consistent difference maker?

24. Owen Outwater - Center - Kingston Frontenacs
Kind of made sense to put these two Kingston forwards together. Former minor hockey teammates. Now OHL linemates. Similar strengths as players. Outwater has greater size, but similar speed. That's going to be attractive to NHL teams. However, I think Soto sees the ice better and has a better head for the game at this point, thus the slight nod despite the downgrade in physical tools. But, Outwater is going to be an intriguing player for scouts this year given his size and desired pace. He really likes to attack and similar to Soto, he has no qualms about working the inside lane. Similar to Soto, I also wonder what his upside is. I want to see how he develops over the course of the year and whether he can learn to use his size a little more effectively to be more consistent on the puck.

25. Quinton Burns - Defense - Kingston Frontenacs
Three Fronts in a row! Have really liked what I've seen of Burns so far this year. He's actually been one of those unsung heroes for the Fronts, helping them to be more competitive than many anticipated they would be. He's playing in all situations and playing quite well. Good mover. Can carry the puck. Holds the offensive line well. Plays aggressive defensively and closes gaps quickly. Brings a physical element. There is a lot to like. He's someone that I'm very much still trying to get a read on, kind of like the Soo's Andrew Gibson. What's the high end potential here? Can he continue to gain confidence as a puck carrier and show significant offensive potential? I could see him really moving up this list as the year goes on and I see him more.

26. Angus MacDonell - Wing/Center - Sarnia Sting
Drafted as a center, but MacDonell has been used almost exclusively on the wing so far this year. MacDonell is a high energy guy who wears his heart on his sleeve. He's probably a future captain for the Sting. Already noticeable on the penalty kill with his speed and tenacity. Throws his body around and blocks shots. It's cliche...but he's a guy who leaves it all out on the ice every shift. MacDonell is also a quality goal scorer. He's got a great wrist shot. Very quick release. He's not big, but with his tenaciousness, it's possible that he can develop into a high end offensive player at this level. At the next level...I'm not sure. He's kind of similar to the Brady Stonehouse, Owen Van Steensel types that NHL teams passed on at the draft last year.

27. Tristan Bertucci - Defense - Flint Firebirds
Bertucci is not a "sexy" potential draft pick. That's for sure. He's not a high end puck mover. He's not someone who will break down defenses with skill. He's not an elite linear mover, which limits his effectiveness in transition. But Bertucci knows this. It's why he keeps things simple. He gets the puck in the defensive zone and he's looking to pass out with his head up. He holds the line and doesn't take chances, simply dumping the puck back in or floating a wrister on net before he's pressured. Defensively is where he stands out. While he's only an average forward mover, Bertucci's backwards and lateral mobility are strong and it makes him very difficult to get around in the defensive zone. He defends aggressively and applies consistent pressure to puck carriers, maintaining a strict gap. He defends well below the goal line. I think NHL teams will be looking at Bertucci similar to the way they they did with Tnias Mathurin last year. There is a path to the NHL for Bertucci, even if its in more of a third pairing, PK role.

28. Donovan McCoy - Defense - Peterborough Petes
Even though he's playing a ton for the Petes (a strong team), I've been a little disappointed with McCoy this year. He's not playing poorly. But for a late born '2004 on a good team, he's been less noticeable than I would have hoped. I really liked McCoy as an OHL draft eligible player and felt that he possessed terrific potential as a two-way defender. But offensively, he just hasn't shown much. He is a strong mover, but he seems hesitant to involve himself as a puck carrier. Defensively, he is using his mobility to his advantage to be quick to pucks and to be aggressive to take away space. However, I think there's room for him to develop a little more snarl and bite. So right now we've got a pretty effective OHL defender, but one who isn't truly a standout at either end. I've said this a lot, but what's the upside here? I hope he has a really nice second half as he builds confidence.

29. Valentin Zhugin - Wing - Guelph Storm
Zhugin's game is all about speed. One of the quicker players listed here, he can flat out fly. He also blends skill with quickness well and can carve up the neutral zone to gain the offensive blueline. But once inside the offensive zone, he's had trouble trying to get to the inside. It's not an effort thing. I don't think he's being kept to the perimeter because he's not trying or lacks grit. But, at this point, he's very much all flash and no dash. He's just not been much of a true offensive threat outside of a few really impressive rushes per game. Even those rarely end up creating a significant scoring chance. Maybe as Guelph starts to play better, Zhugin starts to manufacture chances at a greater clip. Or maybe he just doesn't have the processing ability to get the best out of his gifts at this point in time. 

30. Easton Cowan - Wing - London Knights
The production has not been incredible thus far, but I think Cowan has been better and more noticeable than the stats would suggest. He's a really strong skater and he can have a real positive influence on London's transitional attack. He's also a pretty decent two-way player and he uses his speed to play a role in puck pursuit and on the forecheck. That's a reason why he's been an anchor of the London penalty kill so far this year. Can the production catch up? Want to see more of him.

31. Juan Copeland - Wing - Niagara IceDogs
The IceDogs have been a bit of a disaster so far this year. Between all the trades and the inconsistent play, they look like the worst team in the Eastern Conference right now IMO. But one of the bright spots has been the play of Copeland. He was a standout at times last year as a rookie too and has carried that over as a sophomore. Copeland is at his best when he drives wide with speed and takes the puck to the net. He has skill and finishing ability and his speed can get him clearance from defenders. The rest of his game is a bit of a work in progress. I have questions about how well he sees the ice. Turnovers can be an issue as he develops tunnel vision driving wide. There is often some hesitancy to alter his pace and he can become predictable and easily neutralized. How he adjusts over the course of the year will be interesting.

32. Adam Zidlicky - Wing - Kitchener Rangers
I think that there is a place at the next level for a player like Zidlicky. Good skater. Brings consistent energy. Understands how to play off the puck and fill open lanes. Works his butt off. Finishing skills are OK in tight. The potential is not high IMO. But he's got great bloodlines (as the son of Marek), is a real work horse and should be a mid-late round pick IMO. Key is for him to continue to get quicker and stronger to be more consistent.

33. Marco Mignosa - Wing - Soo Greyhounds
Smart, well rounded offensive player who has definitely made strides in a few areas of need. I think he looks quicker and more explosive in a straight line. I think he's working hard to be better in the defensive end. The overall dynamic qualities of his stride still need to improve and I don't think he's ready to be the type of play driver the Greyhounds need him to be right now. Would love to see him at the U18's this year to see how he could do with high end offensively oriented linemates.

34. Lucas Moore - Defense - Hamilton Bulldogs
I was pretty shocked to see Moore left off of NHL Central Scouting's preliminary regional grades. He definitely deserved a "C" rating. Obviously not a huge defender, but I like how he processes the game as a right shot defender. Quick puck mover. Good mobility. I think he's got potential as a powerplay quarterback as he works to improve his shot. He was good for the Bulldogs last year too. 

35. Alex Assadourian - Center/Wing - Sudbury Wolves
The offensive production has not been there for Assadourian, but I'm really hoping Derek McKenzie can bring out the best in him since they play pretty similar games. Assadourian is lightning quick and he loves to push and attack the crease. The small area skill and finishing ability needs to improve though. Classic case of the hands needing to catch up to the feet.

36. Joey Costanzo - Goaltender - Windsor Spitfires
First goaltender listed and, right now, the only first time eligible goaltender I see with a real chance to be drafted. Costanzo isn't huge, but he's athletic and shows potential as a play tracker because of it. Reigning in his movement and working with him to improve his rebound control are musts, but he looks like a potential OHL standout down the line. Niagara moving him is a head scratcher.

37. Luke McNamara - Center - Saginaw Spirit
The athletic tools are still really intriguing, even if the production hasn't been there. Good sized center with decent quickness and scoring potential thanks to a quick release. But getting himself into scoring position consistently has been a challenge. As has maintaining possession through contact. Really want to see how he progresses over the year.

38. Bronson Ride - Defense - Windsor Spitfires
Probably easy to compare Ride to former Spit Logan Stanley. Big kid with some intriguing movement qualities. I've found his play to be fairly inconsistent at both ends, but there have been flashes to suggest that he can grow into a competent two-way guy. How his overall decision making improves will dictate how high I move him up over the year.

39. Declan Waddick - Center/Wing - Niagara IceDogs
I believe Waddick is going to develop into a real high end OHL player at some point. He's both smart and skilled. He's also a competent two-way player (as a result of his IQ and anticipation). However, the athletic tools/quickness are a real work in progress and that's going to be a tough pill for scouts to swallow considering he's undersized at 5'10. Could see him being a slow burn on a Niagara team that's a bit of a mess right now.

40. Chris O'Flaherty - Wing - Windsor Spitfires
If O'Flaherty were a more dynamic skater, I'd have him higher. He's been pretty effective and consistent in a bottom six role for the Spitfires. Good size/length (has grown a lot in the last two years). Great scoring potential thanks to a quick release and good instincts. Will drive the net and use his size to be disruptive. He just needs to get quicker. Sustaining speed is an issue for him right now and he can struggle to beat defenders to the net.

41. Nic Sima - Wing - North Bay Battalion
Speaking of growth spurts, insert Nic Sima. Drafted at 6'0, he now comes in at 6'3. Even more impressive is that over that time, he's actually managed to improve his speed and become a better skater. Billed as one of the best goal scorers in the '05 age group in his OHL draft year, that part of his game just hasn't translated extremely well. He can attack with speed and supports the attack well, but his finishing ability and overall skill level hasn't really looked the part of an NHL selection at this point. Curious to see if he can progress over the year and earn more ice time. He could move quickly if he can show he has more to give offensively.

42. Matthew Mayich - Defense - Ottawa 67's
Mayich is kind of a tough one to rank. He's done great in the role that he's been asked to play, forming an excellent go-to pairing with Jack Matier for Dave Cameron. Mayich's strength in the defensive zone has allowed Matier's offensive skill set and confidence to blossom. Mayich has good size, decent four way mobility, and good physical intensity. But I also struggle to truly see him as long time player at the next level because the offensive skill set is fairly limited. Is he more than just a good stay at home type at the OHL level? I just need to see him/watch more him more to get a better read. Guys like Mayich truly need a lot of views to gain a true understanding of.

43. Anthony Romani - Wing/Center - North Bay Battalion
Romani has been really good the last few weeks for the Battalion and is slowly gaining more ice time. I like his skill. He can beat defenders one on one and he has an attacking mentality. At the very least, I see him developing into a quality scorer at the OHL level. His skating is a bit erratic though. He has this wide stride that limits his quickness and mobility, but once he gets going, he can really drive pace. Sustainability is the key word here. Very intrigued by him moving forward.

44. Cooper Foster - Wing/Center - Ottawa 67's
A jack of all trades type, Foster is an intelligent, high energy guy who has played well across a variety of roles for the 67's this year. He was phenomenal in the NOJHL last year and has been dependable as a rookie this year for Ottawa. He's the kind of guy who always seems to be around the puck and his vision/anticipation are good. I kind of see Foster as a bit of a less skilled Joey Willis. The physical tools are average across the board right now and I'm not sure he's innately skilled enough to be a true NHL prospect. Kind of reminds me of watching another former 67 at the same age in Austen Keating.

45. Niko Minkkinen - Defense - Guelph Storm
Minkkinen, a Finnish rookie import, is the type of player who is bound to be on the NHL draft radar regardless of limited production. 6'4, right shot defender with good defensive instincts. If you asked NHL scouts to make this list, Minkkinen would no doubt be in the top 30. My concern is that I don't think his four way mobility is fluid enough at this time. He can have trouble transitioning and is a little awkward defending pace. He also needs to get stronger on his skates and stronger overall to consistently win 50/50 battles along the wall or tie up forwards near the crease. The offensive skill set is pretty limited at this point too. So while I think his length can be very disruptive and his defensive potential is intriguing, I'm just not sure I see a true NHL prospect at this time.

46. Ethan Hay - Center - Flint Firebirds
Had a lot higher expectations for Hay this year. Came into the year liking his potential as a two-way center with decent skating ability. However, his offensive skill set really hasn't taken that step forward that I anticipated it would. He's getting the playing time, but a lot of plays are dying on his stick. He's struggling to make skilled plays through the middle (fumbling pucks, turning the puck over, not getting shots off quick enough). Maybe he can turn it around in the second half. He's worth listing still because I think the potential is still intriguing, but his play needs to improve with the puck.

47. PJ Forgione - Defense - Saginaw Spirit
His ice time has been pretty inconsistent so far this season and he's been out of the lineup the last month. Still has an intriguing skill set as a big defender with some skill and the ability to carry the puck. Decision making at both ends is the big question mark. Curious to see how he plays when he returns to the lineup.

48. Konnor Smith - Defense - Peterborough Petes
Smith is a throwback defender who has seen his ice time increase massively of late thanks to some injuries on the back-end (heck Connor Lockhart has been playing some defense). Great size. Extremely physical. Smith's puck skill is fairly limited at this point and his mobility will need to improve further, but I could see myself liking him more and more as the season goes on if he can show progression and improve his footwork/discipline.

49. Michael Podolioukh - Center - North Bay Battalion
Out since October with a lower body injury, Podolioukh is a guy that I thought was prime for a breakout season. Similar to Hay, I saw someone with good two-way potential and some intriguing skating qualities. Podolioukh has been pretty good defensively for the Battalion, but offensively he's been pretty much a non factor. 

50. Matthew Andonovski - Defense - Kitchener Rangers
Similar player to other defenders listed in this range. Good defensive first defender with some size and decent mobility. Offensive game is a work in progress and works best when kept very simple at this point. Is there upside? 

Limited Viewing - Matthew Jovanovic - Defense - Saginaw Spirit
Has still yet to play in the OHL due to injury. But there's a reason why NHL Central Scouting still listed him as a player to watch. He was considered one of the best 2004 born defenders in Ontario at one time for a reason. Potential two-way defender. If he does end up playing at some point (which I hope he does), and he plays well, he'll move up this list quickly.



Saturday, September 24, 2022

2022/23 OHL Season Preview Part 3: Award Predictions

The conclusion to my three part season preview sees me look at potential award candidates for 2022/23.
 
Red Tilson Trophy - Brandt Clarke (Barrie Colts)
It has been over a decade since a defender won the Red Tilson. Ryan Ellis was the last in 2011. But if Brandt Clarke returns to the league in good time, I like him as my preseason favourite. I think he's ready to take that next step as a completely dominating force. Plus, I expect the Colts to be one of the best teams in the OHL. I also expect Wyatt Johnston to return and you can never discount the previous year's Red Tilson trophy winner. What happens if Shane Wright comes back to the OHL? I expect him to be dealt to a contender and that likely pushes him to the top of this list. What about a goaltender? If the Sting end up being one of the better teams in the Western Conference, one of the reasons will be Ben Gaudreau and that would have to make him a contender. Brennan Othmann in Flint, Tucker Robertson in Peterborough, Francesco Pinelli in Kitchener, Danny Zhilkin and Sasha Pastujov in Guelph, Matvey Petrov in North Bay, and Luca Del Bel Belluz in Mississauga are all going to be serious contenders too IMO.
 
Jim Rutherford Goaltender of the Year - Ben Gaudreau (Sarnia Sting)
Considering that I mentioned him as a candidate for the Red Tilson, it should come as no surprise that I'm going to list Gaudreau as my preseason pick for the Rutherford. Not only do I expect him to have a phenomenal year for Sarnia, but I think he ends up as Canada's starter at this year's WJC's too. Other strong candidates include Anson Thornton, Will Cranley, Jacob Oster, Dom DiVicentiis, and of course returning OA Brett Brochu. Brochu is obviously a big wild card as the returning Rutherford winner. But I don't expect the Knights to be great. That could mean they end up moving him to a contender at some point.
 
Max Kaminski Trophy - Brandt Clarke (Barrie Colts)
If he's the Red Tilson winner like I've predicted, then he's obviously going to be the Max Kaminski winner. Again, I do think Clarke comes back at some point and I think he really takes that next step as one of the league's elite on a strong Barrie team. If you read my work, you know how much I love Pavel Mintyukov so it would be foolish of me not to mention him here. I think draft eligible defender Cam Allen has a monster season for the Storm and that will put him in Kaminski contention. Last year's winner was an OA and look for Gavin White, Mitchell Smith, and Lleyton Moore to all have strong years. Ethan Del Mastro should have a monster year for the Steelheads. Christian Kyrou likely puts up a ton of points for the Otters. Ty Nelson likely has a big bounce back year. Heck, even rookie Hunter Brzustewicz could be a contender with the Rangers. It's a really strong year for defenders in the league.

Emms Family Award - Malcolm Spence (Erie Otters)
I think Spence is in a good position to be the league's top rookie this season. He's one of the most physically mature 2006's entering the league and he's going to be given a ton of ice time and responsibility. Look for him to be an immediate point per game player. Michael Misa should have a good year for the Spirit too for similar reasons to Spence. There are a whole bunch of quality 06's entering the league and many are being put in great situations. However, I do want to highlight some of the great '06 defenders who had great preseasons like Zayne Parekh, Anthony Cristoforo, in addition top the likes of Sam Dickinson, Henry Mews, etc. It's a very strong rookie crop. 

Leo Lalande Trophy - Ethan Cardwell (Barrie Colts)
The best thing for Cardwell's development would be for the Sharks to send him back to the OHL for his OA year and I believe that is the most likely scenario. And if that is the case, I think he's going to be a 100 point scorer and a candidate for many of the league's top awards. Logan Morrison is also an extremely strong candidate here if he returns. Ditto for teammate Gavin White. I also like defenders Mitchell Smith and Lleyton Moore here. Goaltender Brett Brochu is an obvious candidate even if where he ends up finishing the year is a bit of a mystery. Matthew Maggio is going to be a serious candidate too if he returns to the OHL. Lastly, can James Hardie pop 45+ this season for the Steelheads? Lots of good candidates.

Matt Leyden Trophy - Ted Dent (Flint Firebirds)
I expect the Firebirds to finish the year with the best record in the OHL, so that would make Ted Dent a top candidate for coach of the year. Marty Williamson in Barrie, Scott Walker in Guelph, Rob Wilson in Peterborough, and Chris Dennis in Kitchener are all strong preseason candidates. 

Eddie Powers Trophy - Ethan Cardwell (Barrie Colts)
I actually had Cardwell winning this award last year...which obviously wasn't a great prediction given his disappointing year. But...I'm back again. Look, Barrie is going to be one of the league's top offenses this year and Cardwell will be right in the middle of that pending his return. He's not going to miss time like many of the other top candidates (due to extended NHL stays, WJC appearances, etc). Take your pick of many of the other players I listed as Red Tilson candidates too.

Goal Scoring Leader - Brennan Othmann (Flint Firebirds)
At this point, I'd be pretty shocked if Othmann doesn't end up leading the OHL in goals this year. The stars are aligned for him to have a pretty special season. I expect Matvey Petrov, James Hardie, Wyatt Johnston, Tucker Robertson, Matthew Maggio, and Sasha Pastujov to be right up there too. Colby Barlow could have a pretty special draft year too.

1st Team All Stars
Center - Wyatt Johnston
Left Wing - Brennan Othmann
Right Wing - Ethan Cardwell
Defense - Brandt Clarke
Defense - Cam Allen
Goaltender - Ben Gaudreau
Coach - Ted Dent

2nd Team All Stars
Center - Luca Del Bel Belluz
Left Wing - Matvey Petrov
Right Wing - Sasha Pastujov
Defense - Ethan Del Mastro
Defense - Pavel Mintyukov
Goaltender - Dom DiVicentiis
Coach - Marty Williamson

3rd Team All Stars
Center - Tucker Robertson
Left Wing - Colby Barlow
Right Wing - Matthew Maggio
Defense - Hunter Brzustewicz
Defense - Gavin White
Goaltender - Jacob Oster
Coach - Rob Wilson

1st All Rookie Team
Center - Michael Misa
Left Wing - Malcolm Spence
Right Wing - Porter Martone
Defense - Zayne Parekh
Defense - Sam Dickinson
Goaltender - Nathaniel Day

2nd All Rookie Team
Center - Joey Willis
Left Wing - Beckett Sennecke
Right Wing - Jett Luchanko
Defense - Anthony Cristoforo
Defense - Henry Mews
Goaltender - Mason Vaccari

2022/23 OHL Preview Part 2 - Western Conference

Part 2 of my season preview is a look at the Western Conference.

Much like the Eastern Conference, I see the West being extremely competitive this year. The only team that I think is heading into the year as a true rebuilder is the Soo Greyhounds. That's bad news for them because the rest of the Conference will be gunning for a title. I'm particularly interested in how the Midwest Division shakes down. Will this turn into a rebuilding season for London or will they find another way to remain competitive? Given the strength of the Storm, Rangers, and Attack, they will be hard pressed to find consistent wins.

1. Flint Firebirds (West Division Champs)
Believe it or not but Flint (by my count) has the most goals returning of any team in the OHL. Yeah, OK, there is some concern that new goaltender Will Cranley will not be able to provide the stability that Luke Cavallin did. But, I'm not sure they need their goaltender to be anything more than simply adequate. This Firebirds team is going to score a boat load of goals. Look for Amadeus Lombardi and Riley Piercey to have huge breakout seasons. Yeah, the defense isn't extremely sexy either. But, I think the Firebirds will address that by adding a veteran fairly early in the year. They know that this is their year and I think they will push their cards all in pretty quickly. I have the Firebirds finishing first because I think that the West Division is a tad easier than the Midwest. Strength of schedule will be the difference.

2. Guelph Storm (Midwest Division Champs)
On paper, the Storm might actually be the third best team in the division behind Kitchener and Owen Sound, but I'm trusting my gut on this one. Part of it is my high opinion of Cam Allen and how I anticipate him becoming one of the league's elite defenders as a draft eligible player. Part of it is how I love the makeup of this roster. There's depth. There's creativity. There's speed. There's grit. The top two lines of the Storm are as good as anyone in the OHL. I also think Jacob Oster takes a nice step forward in the crease. Something else to watch for (and no offense meant to Profaca, McFarlane, and Walker): this Storm team could upgrade their overage group with so many talented OA players on the trade block currently. That would improve their outlook even more. 

3. Kitchener Rangers 
It was a heck of an offseason for the Rangers. They brought in Hunter Brzustewicz, who looks like he can be a top pairing defender for the team. It looks like they hit on both of their Import swings from the last two years as Hamara will definitely play and it all but seems Mesar will too. This team is incredibly talented. The question is...what kind of goaltending will they get? Jackson Parsons and Marcus Vandenburg are relatively inexperienced. Parsons has high end upside as a starter in the league, but is he ready for that role already? Would the Rangers be a potential landing spot for someone like Marco Costantini (at the expense of OA Jack Harper)? Unquestionably, the strength of this team is up front. I have no problem saying that the Rangers have the best top nine of any team in the OHL heading into the season. Carson Rehkopf looks like he's ready to take that next step. Serpa and Valade will be motivated OA's. Pinelli will be trying to establish himself as an OHL star finally. The addition of Mesar would be huge. This team could easily end up as the cream of the crop this year.

4. Sarnia Sting 
I must admit, I am a little bit weary putting the Sting this high. It would be quite the jump for them compared to last year in a very tough Conference. Yet, here I am. It starts in net. Ben Gaudreau is going to prove himself a star this year and he will prove himself to be the OHL's best netminder. The defense isn't going to wow you, but they are a veteran group and that goes a long way in the OHL. Up front, the Sting, by my count, are right up there in most returning goals in the OHL from a year ago. Ty Voit should have a breakout year. They brought in two potential impact imports in Vilmanis and Limpar Lantz. Porter Martone has the skill to be an immediate impact player. You are returning talent and adding to that. 

5. Windsor Spitfires
This prediction is built entirely around the assumption that Wyatt Johnston and Matt Maggio will return. If that's the case, those two should tear apart the league again and the Spitfires have enough secondary talent to support them. On defense, I like Sobolev to have a breakout year. At forward, I like Oliver Peer to do the same. They will have veteran goaltending. But all of this revolves around Johnston and Maggio. If Johnston sticks in Dallas and Maggio ends up playing in the AHL, then things could get ugly and the Spits could be joining the Greyhounds at the bottom of the Conference. This is also a good time to mention that I think the Attack are a better team than Windsor...but again strength of schedule will be important and that Midwest division is tough.

6. Owen Sound Attack
There's some volatility here. This isn't the most experienced team in the league. They enter the year with only two OAs, top defender Nolan Seed, and starting netminder Nick Chenard. However, they are not devoid of talent. How about Colby Barlow? He could easily score 50 this season in his NHL draft year. Then he's surrounded by a group of hard working, competitive players (would you expect any less from an Owen Sound team) like Burroughs, Bryant, Goure, Petrovsky. The real wild card here is Kaleb Lawrence. He's finally healthy and the Kings draft pick will be looking to be a quality top six forward. My only only concern? This team's defense is not big. Can they withstand the constant barrage of the division's top offenses?

7. London Knights
How this season ends up going for the Knights is a huge mystery. Up front, this is not your typical London team. It lacks top end fire power. Denver Barkey has a real chance to lead the team in scoring as a draft eligible player. However, preventing goals should be a team strength. They still have Brett Brochu in net. They have one of the deepest defensive groups in the entire league. Would it be shocking if Dale Hunter embraced this team's identity as a staunch defensive team, bringing them into the top four of the Conference? Not in the least. However, I do think that this is a bit of a rebuilding year that could see London deal Brochu, their other OA's, and other 03's to help them usher in a new era built around Barkey, Dickinson, Testa, Bonk, and perhaps Kasper Halttunen if they can convince him to come over at some point this year. 

8. Saginaw Spirit
The Spirit might just be the most difficult team to predict this season. There's no question that this team is more talented than they showed last year when they were among the league's worst. Injuries decimated them all year long and they didn't have the depth to recover. They can't possibly have that bad of luck again can they? I like the group of '05 and 06's on this team and I think that really helps them this year in terms of handling adversity. Josh Bloom should have a big year. Sapovaliv should too. Goaltending should be a strength with a motivated Tristan Lennox in the fold with Andrew Oke. I think Mitchell Smith has an outstanding overage season in support of Mintyukov. They might be a little young to push up further than a bottom playoff spot, but who knows. Will the real Spirit please stand up?

9. Erie Otters
If Erie wasn't in the Midwest division, I'd feel a lot better about their playoff odds. This isn't a bad team by any means. I just don't think that they are in the same category as the others in that division and that could be trouble. Goaltending is a big time mystery. Who will step up as a go-to offensive player? Is it Malcolm Spence in his rookie year? Is it Terrance in his draft year? Is it returning leading scorer Elias Cohen? The defense is the strength, especially in terms of puck movement. But, again, I just don't see a team that can compete in the Midwest Division. Another year at the bottom of the standings wouldn't be the worst thing. Another top pick to pair with Spence would be huge.

10. Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
The Hounds are losing seven of their top eight scorers from last year with only Bryce McConnell-Barker (#6) returning. Only two players on this roster have ever scored more than 15 goals in the OHL. That's just not a recipe for success. Look, the Hounds are due for a true rebuilding year. This team has been competitive for so long under Dubas and Raftis. But it eventually catches up to you in the OHL and this is the year that it does for the Soo. They can deal the few veterans they have for some further assets and they can end up with someone like Roobroeck or William Moore at the draft.


2022/23 OHL Preview Part 1 - Eastern Conference

The start of the 2022/23 OHL season is right around the corner. That means it is time to make some predictions and to preview each conference. 

First up is the Eastern Conference. I don't think we head into the year with a clear cut favourite. However, I do see two clear tiers. I see a top tier with Barrie, Hamilton, Peterborough, North Bay, and Mississauga. And I see a second tier with Ottawa, Niagara, Kingston, Oshawa, and Sudbury. Within those tiers, I think we could see anything happen. I'll try to describe this in greater detail in the team write ups.

1. Barrie Colts (Central Division Champs)
Yeah it's preseason, but we've seen how explosive this offense is going to be this season. There are certainly some questions...like will captain Brandt Clarke be back? How will they sort out their OA situation? But this team is returning among the highest number of goals scored of any OHL team this year and that always bodes well for success. I have confidence in new starting netminder Anson Thornton being a competent starter. They have a solid defense, even without Clarke. And their forward unit is three lines deep. If all three end up returning, the Colts could ice an all OA line of Cardwell, Vierling, and McDonnell, which could be fantastic. I expect Hunter Haight and Beau Jelsma to take nice steps forward this year too. Since I'm predicting the Colts to finish first...I do think that Brandt Clarke will return. I think he certainly gets some games in with the Kings, but given the Kings' young prospect depth, they can afford to be patient with him. Let him return to the OHL for another year to dominate, which I think he would do upon coming back.   
 
2. Peterborough Petes (East Division Champs)
The Petes seem to be the sexy pick right now as the top favourite in the East. And I can get on board with that. There is lots to like. This team's forward group is lightning quick. Bringing in Connor Lockhart was a great trade for them. The Petes will have no trouble putting pucks in the net as their forward group is as deep as any in the league. Jax Dubois is a sneaky breakout candidate. He's someone I was impressed with late in the year last season and he could be a big net front presence for them. But I am a little concerned with the team's ability to keep pucks out of their net. Michael Simpson was great in the preseason, which is very encouraging. However, traditionally, goaltending stats and performance in the preseason has meant very, very little. One of the real keys here is the progression of Donovan McCoy IMO. If he can elevate his play with the puck and become a strong offensive presence, it would help the Petes significantly. I think that there is also no question that this team will be all in to win this year which means making the necessary moves to put them over the top as division champs.

3. North Bay Battalion
Just a really well balanced team. Returning import Matvey Petrov should have another terrific year and the Battalion have some really nice depth at the forward position after drafting well in recent years. Obviously, there are some questions. Can Liam Arnsby take that next step as an offensive player? Can McDonald and Jackson be impact OA's? How good will Justin Ertel be? But this team has the makeup of one that will be difficult to play against. When you combine that with a solid defense and a good starting goaltender (DiVincentiis), they should also be tough to score against. In particular, I look for Ty Nelson to have a nice bounce back year as he no longer has the pressure of being a draft eligible player hanging over his head. 

4. Hamilton Bulldogs
This team still has to figure out what to do with all of their OA's, but if everyone ends up coming back, a trio of Logan Morrison, Avery Hayes, and Gavin White would be among the best OA groups in the entire OHL. Heck, even if the Stars put White in the AHL, or Hayes/Morrison sign in the AHL, George Diaco and Mark Duarte are still good options. Not to mention returning starting netminder Marco Costantini. But I do half expect Costantini to be dealt, ushering in the Drobac era. I've seen quite a few preseason predictions that have the Bulldogs near the bottom of the East and I just don't get it. This team still has a ton of talent. Ryan Winterton should be due for a massive breakout (if he can stay healthy) and they have a bunch of other high end 03's who should be able to handle more responsibility. Of course, if by some terrible luck all of Morrison, Hayes, and White all stick in the pros, and Winterton gets injured again, this could become a rebuilding year quickly. But as is, I think that gets delayed one more year.

5. Mississauga Steelheads
Much like the Petes, the Steelheads should have no trouble scoring goals. But I am a little concerned with their ability to prevent them. Swiss netminder Alessio Beglieri was brought in to be the starter and he could very well be excellent in that role. But it's a gamble. I also really liked the Steelheads bringing in Isaac Enright this offseason to give Del Mastro, Chas Sharpe, and Charlie Callaghan some help in the top four. But how much will the losses of Larsen and Holm be felt? This is no longer a massive, smothering defensive unit. They will have to change the way they play. However, as mentioned, we've got some fantastic options up front. The Luca Del Bel Belluz, Owen Beck, and Luke Misa combination down the middle is incredible depth. The team really needs a few wingers to step up and take that next step to support James Hardie. Lavoie? Vecchia? Uberti in his OA year? There are options. 

6. Ottawa 67's
I'm probably most worried about this prediction of any in this Eastern Conference write up. A lot would have to go right for the 67's to finish 6th. But, I think they have a few things going for them. The first is being in an easier division of the other "second tier" East teams that I mentioned. The second is that I really like the young make up of this team. The defense is young, but talented. I think Jack Beck has a monster season and that Tyler Boucher can be a consistent difference maker. They will be competitive and tenacious up front. Max Donoso is one of the most underrated netminders in the OHL too. The real question is, can the 67's get strong play down the middle? Can Cameron Tolnai take that next step as a top flight center in his OA year? Is Vinzenz Rohrer a center or will he be a winger (where he is better suited IMO). Will they continue to use Luca Pinelli down the middle as they have this preseason and can he excel in that role? Can someone like Gardiner or Barlas take that next step in their NHL draft years? I believe in this group.

7. Sudbury Wolves
Even with all the young talent on this roster, I think they're still a year away from being true competitors in the Eastern Conference. Bringing in the local (relatively) Joe Ranger to start was a savvy move. He was solid for the Steelheads last season and he should provide stable goaltending. I have made my love for Matthew Mania known on this blog and on social media and I expect him to have a big year on the blueline. On offense, I still think things will be wildly inconsistent. Musty will likely be up and down. Goyette too. The support pieces are all solid options too, but there's just that stability that is missing from the forward group. They will be very exciting to watch for NHL draft evaluators, but that doesn't always translate to on ice team success.

8. Niagara IceDogs
What a face lift for this franchise heading into the season. Tons of turnover here as Niagara made a ton of trades this offseason to bring in the likes of Pasquale Zito, Nolan Dann, Matthew Papais, and several others. What will the identity of this team be? It's really tough to say at this point. Is there someone on the roster who can step up and be a consistent difference maker? Is Pano Fimis ready for that role? What about one of the new additions? Can someone like Rodwin Dionicio take a huge step forward to become a top defender in the OHL? Will one of the three goaltenders on the roster become a quality starter? All three have the talent to be, that's for sure. However, as I stated, I just don't see the kind of star power needed to be at the top of the standings. 

9. Oshawa Generals
I think many people are expecting the Generals to be pretty bad this year. However, I actually think this team is better than many are claiming them to be. There is top end talent on this roster. The thing is...I think that rather than float in the middle, I see the Generals being sellers this year and that means trading away the likes of Brett Harrison and Lleyton Moore at some point. And because I see this second tier group in the East being so close, that would mean that Oshawa finishes the year a little more poorly. Even if they finish 9th, I don't think Oshawa is that far under .500. But building around the likes of Ritchie, Sennecke, and Danford just makes sense. 

10. Kingston Frontenacs
Someone has to finish last in the Conference. I think the best bet is Kingston. Look, Shane Wright could return and then a last place finish might not be in the cards. However, I also believe that if Wright returns, Kingston will deal him for a king's ransom in order to help accelerate their rebuild. There is some nice talent here. But like Oshawa and Niagara, I don't think there are truly enough play drivers. Of course, Paul Ludwinski could be this year's Wyatt Johnston. Ivan Zhigalov could steal the show in the crease. But more likely sees the team deal some quality veterans like Arcuri, Roger, Belanger, etc, in order to recoup assets spent to make runs the last few years.