Tuesday, April 18, 2023

2023 OHL Priority Selection Mock Draft & Preview

The 2023 OHL Priority Selection is set to go this weekend, with rounds 1-3 occurring Friday night. The Erie Otters will select first after winning the draft lottery and all signs point to them taking Halton defender Matthew Schaefer.  
 
It should be noted that this collaborative mock draft was started over a week ago, before things start to leak out regarding placement. Even if the mock does not end up being extremely accurate, the true purpose of this piece is to provide you with information on some of the top players available this year. 
 
This is the fifth year that I have gathered scouts together for this piece. It seems like with each passing year, I am able to see less and less U16 action. This couldn't be more true now that I've taken on the director of scouting role with McKeen's Hockey. Thus, I love putting this together to help me learn too. This piece wouldn't be possible without the contributions of some terrific scouts.
 
Helping out with this mock draft are:
 
Steven Ellis – Associate Editor and Prospect Analyst for The Daily Faceoff (@SEllisHockey)
Connor Williams – Scout for Recruit Scouting (@cwilliams_384)
Chase Rochon - Scout for McKeen's Hockey & Stathletes Video Analyst (@chaserochon18)
Gavin Chiasson - Owner of Recruit Scouting (@NHLChiasson
Joely Stockl - Scout for McKeen's Hockey & Toronto Jr. Patriots (OJHL) (@joely_stockl04)
Chase Allen - Scout for Puck Preps (@ChaseAllen03)
Mat Goodwin - Scout for TheScout.ca (@Goody_0808)
Ryan Ferizovic - Director of Scouting for TheScout.ca (@RFerry27)
Jordan Malette - Scout for Puck Preps (@jordanmalette)
Gabe Foley - Head of North American Scouting for Recruit Scouting (@NHLFoley)
Steven Graves - Independent Scout (@German_Spitfire)
Ethan Atticus Page - Scout for TheScout.ca (@e_pager_)

If you're hungry for more information on these players, check out the content on the sites of these contributors!

Without further ado, here is our first round mock draft, honorable mentions, and top US potential selections:

1. Erie Otters (Brock Otten) - Matthew Schaefer, D, Halton (OMHA/SCTA) 
Coming into the year it was thought to be the Roobroeck and Moore draft after those two were denied exceptional player status last season. However, Moore has since signed on with the U.S. NTDP and Roobroeck had a disappointing end to the year. That opened the door for dynamic defender Matt Schaefer. Not only was he a factor for the Hurricanes all year, but he was probably the best player at the Canada Winter Games this year, helping Ontario capture a gold medal. A truly gifted skater, Schaefer likely jumps right into a top four role and should be able to help the Otters’ transitional attack and powerplay. As he gains experience, he should become an elite two-way defender because of his high IQ. With Spencer Sova and Schaefer, the Otters will now have two of the better skating defenders in the league and they’re building from defense out to support a solid, young forward group.

2. Niagara IceDogs (Joely Stockl) - Brady Martin, F, Waterloo (Alliance)
After having a true breakout performance for the Waterloo Wolves at the OHL Cup, and helping his team win the Alliance championships, Brady Martin has firmly placed himself inside the projected top three selections. From scoring overtime winners, to the quarter final hat trick to eliminate the 1st place Toronto Marlboros, Martin was the star of the show at the OHL Cup and was scoring goals at the time it mattered most. There is never a dull moment in Martin’s game, he’ll throw a big hit at one end, and then hustle down the ice and rip a shot past the goaltender at the other. Martin’s greatest asset is his shot. He seems to be able to consistently find open pockets in the ice where he has just enough room to get his shot off. Between his precise accuracy and incredibly heavy release, Martin is a nightmare for goaltenders to handle. He is a very powerful player with a great work ethic, battles hard in the corners and refuses to be pushed around. Martin isn’t the quickest player on the ice, but his stride and strength will likely allow him to improve in those areas as he develops. If the IceDogs are able to get Martin to commit at this position, he will bring life back into their offense and make an immediate offensive impact alongside skilled, young forwards like Kevin He & Declan Waddick.

3. Soo Greyhounds (Gavin Chiasson) - Ryan Roobroeck, F, London
While many felt that Roobroeck’s OHL Cup performance was a disappointment, I felt differently the more I thought about it. I watched Roobroeck early on this year at the Wendy Dufton and felt disappointed by what I had seen by (at the time) a bonafide 1st overall pick. He often hung around the opposing blue line, coasting and waiting for breakout passes for breakaways and odd-man opportunities, and I felt there was nothing more to his game than that. Obviously good speed and a good shot are what highlighted why he was successful in that regard which meant there had to be some deserving skillset there, right? Well, that proved useful as the year carried on. By the OHL Cup, Roobroeck was ‘disappointing’ stats wise, and maybe he wasn’t as dangerous in shooting attempts, and while I had the same opinion, I felt different the longer I thought about it. Roobroeck was magnificent two-ways, and was constantly disrupting opponents offensive and neutral play. I can’t really picture any other player who was that dangerous at stopping opposing opportunities than Roobroeck at that tournament. With his long reach, size, and already discussed speed, as Roobroeck learns how to make his two-way game work with his offensive flare, I still think Roobroeck could be incredibly dangerous, and possibly still the best of this draft class. I could see the Hounds going for Roobroeck as the name still stands out as one of the best, and there’s growth potential to hit a large two-way centreman. Any team would be happy with grabbing someone like that, and the Hounds have a good way of developing prospects to be offensive dynamos over the years, so I feel confident that if Roobroeck is interested in joining the Hounds, that they will grab him at 3.
 
4. Kingston Frontenacs (Jordan Malette) - Tyler Hopkins , F, Halton (OMHA/Alliance)
I could see the Fronts going in many different directions with this pick, but Hopkins made the most sense to me. Hopkins is among the best skaters in the class, and all he needs is a few long powerful strides to explode through the neutral zone uncontested. His speed creates separation all over the ice and should continue to be a competitive advantage at the OHL level. He manages the puck incredibly well, and when combined with his skating, makes for the mould of a play-driving centerman at the next level. Outside of the skating and transition impact, Hopkins is a gifted playmaker who creates plenty of chances for everyone around him. Tyler has a "pass first" mindset, constantly scans for open teammates, and can exploit the smallest of passing lanes. Kingston has a lot of talented wingers in their core, and adding a centerman who can handle the heavy lifting in transition, who is also a crafty playmaker, will complement their existing assets nicely.

5. Niagara IceDogs* (Chase Rochon) - Dryden Allen, D, Southern Tier Admirals (OMHA/SCTA)
The Icedogs are in a tough position with their compensation pick for Sam Dickinson, who failed to report last summer. After one season of new, inexperienced management, they will be forced to make safe decisions on draft day for players who will report for training camp, as this year's compensation pick will not be eligible to be compensated for next year. Using this pick to take the best player available that they believe will report will be the best route. Dryden Allen playing for the local AAA team, Southern Tier Admirals, would be a great, safe pick. Currently, a late first to early second-rounder, Allen would not be too far of a reach to ensure they are still getting a great player. This also fills the hole in young defence after losing Dickinson last year. Allen is great at headmanning the puck and driving play which is exactly what Niagara needs. Allen has lots of growing left to do, and once he fills out can use this more to his advantage as he is still quite slim. He is an excellent skater with a high IQ, shown by his decision-making and ability to read and create plays shows he has the tools and capability to succeed at the next level.

6. Oshawa Generals (Mat Goodwin) - William Moore, F, Toronto (GTHL)
Moore is one of the most talented forwards in this year’s draft.  He has all the tools of a top prospect: the size, the speed, the shot and the IQ.  The only question surrounding him is: will he take his talents to the OHL or suit up for the USNTDP (of course, he has signed on with the NTDP).  If he decides to go the Major Junior route, whichever team takes him will be getting a player that is ready to step in and contribute immediately.  Moore had an impressive 10 points in 5 games at the OHL Cup to help build on an incredible season and post-season run in the GTHL.  At nearly 6’2” he has a long reach and can corral the puck in transition and shows impressive stick handling skills while keeping an impressive high speed.  If opposing defenders aren’t ready, they will be beat cleanly on the rush.  Moore’s shot is as good as anyone’s in the draft class, in both speed and accuracy. He is a true offensive threat in any situation and will make you pay if he’s given too much time and space.  Moore rounds out his offensive game with solid defensive zone awareness and positioning, using his size and hockey sense to steal pucks and create turnovers.  Overall, Moore is one of the best forwards in the 2007 group and hopefully decides to display his talent in the OHL next season, even if it is appearing to be slightly far fetched.

7. Mississauga Steelheads (Chase Allen) - Quinn Beauchesne, D, Nepean Raiders (HEO)
Quinn Beauchesne really came to my attention after an impressive Canada Winter Games for Team Ontario. The offensively-inclined defender out of the HEO has been leaned on heavily by his squad to drive play from the blueline and has lived up to the expectations. He’s by-far one of the more mobile skating defenders in this years’ draft, great usage of his edges and momentum to pivot, twist, and turn, he can defend the rush strongly and keep pace with speedy puck carriers. On the other side of the puck he can lead the rush, jump in as a trailing man if needed, and even finish off plays here-and-there. Part of what makes Beauchesne so valuable is his mentality from the backend most defenders lack, he wants to drive play, he wants to have the puck, and wants to create things through transition via his stick and decision making. Occasionally there is a gaf-or-two with the puck as he transitions up ice, but the good far outweighs the bad regarding Beauchesne’s risk-to-reward ratio. Beauchesne would be a great addition to the Mississauga Steelhead’s blueline, instilling some offensive firepower on top of prospective defensive developments to round out his game fueled by his already established skating ability.

8. Hamilton Bulldogs (Steven Ellis) -  Henry Brzustewicz, D, New Jersey U16
One of the best skaters in the draft, Brzustewicz has the makings of a top-pairing, two-way defender. He's excellent on the rush (at both ends) and is calculated with his stick work. He doesn't waste much movement trying to shut someone down, and I’m fully convinced he’ll put up significant point totals in the O. The younger brother of Kitchener's Hunter, he was recently left off the U.S. NTDP team for U17.

9. Sudbury Wolves (Steven Graves) - Jack Ivankovic, G, Mississauga Senators (GTHL) 
The 9th overall selection belongs to Sudbury this year. The Wolves don’t have any major graduations going into next season so there isn’t an immediate position that needs addressing at the draft. Because of this, they’re in a position to take the best goaltender in the draft in Mississauga Senators backstopper Jack Ivankovic. Jack is one of the best goaltending prospects to come into the OHL in the past 10 years, He is very athletic in the crease, he is able to move left to right very quick and isn’t reliant on his frame to make saves. Ivankovic is the type of kid that gives his team an opportunity to win games in and out. He was the starter for Ontario at the Canada Winter games and was a big reason why the team took home gold. He made many clutch saves throughout the game and into overtime. Ivankovic has really shown to be a big game player at such a young age, coming up big whenever he is tasked to do so. Sudbury solve any goaltending concerns for the next 4 years with this selection. 

10. Kitchener Rangers* (Ryan Ferizovic)– Owen Griffin, C, York Simcoe Express (ETA)
Being left on the board this late into the first round, the Rangers would undoubtedly take the highly skilled two-way centreman from York Simcoe. With an extraordinary under-aged year last season with the Markham Waxers and leading the ETA in points this season, Owen Griffin has demonstrated why he is a top prospect in the 2023 OHL Entry Draft. He possesses a strong offensive skill set, a high compete level, and a hockey IQ that consistently gets the best of opponents. He is able to drive the play up-ice and generate prime scoring chances with great playmaking ability or employing a combination of strong puck skills and a quick-release shot. His positional awareness and creative passing allows him to find open linemates in seemingly impossible situations. Whether he’s coming off the cycle low in the zone or flying down the half wall after a successful zone entry, Griffin can find anyone in the same sweater as him regardless of pressure and traffic. Due to his high compete level and strong work ethic, he plays both special teams and is able to make meaningful contributions on both. Strong mobility and effective checking ability earns him the puck on the penalty kill while strong passing and shooting ability sees him quarterbacking his team’s power play. Don’t be surprised if Griffin is taken higher than this spot. He is a natural leader and highly skilled. 

11. Kitchener Rangers (Ethan Atticus Page) - Cameron Reid, D, Rochester BK Selects (USA)
As Kitchener comes into the draft with their second first round pick, it would make sense for a defensman to be their selection of choice. Reid, an Aylmer, Ontario native had another head-turning season for the BK Selects, establishing himself as one of the better defensive prospects in this years draft. Reid’s combination of mobility and IQ make for an exciting player to watch game-in game-out. The two-way D-man is poised with the puck, making smart plays and calculated decisions. Reid thinks one step ahead of his opponents, making it easy for him to anticipate plays and gain a strong sense of awareness of all areas of the ice. He is effective in most situations, displaying a solid sense of both offensive and defensive awareness. In his own end, he has the ability to keep opponents to the outside and keep player out of dangerous scoring areas. In transition, he makes accurate first passes to start breakouts. He will often join the rush when he can to add an extra level of offense. At the point, he moves well laterally, as he can effortlessly walk to blueline to evade defenders and look for possible shooting/passing lanes. When shooting, he is effective at getting the puck through traffic - usually looking to create a tip-in or a rebound for his forwards to pick up. When passing, he has the ability to be creative, making risky passing look easy, setting his teammates up with prime scoring opportunities. Reid will without a doubt be an exciting player to keep an eye on for seasons to come.

12. Owen Sound Attack (Connor Williams) - Jake O’Brien, C, Toronto JRC (GTHL)
The Owen Sound Attack hold the 12th overall pick in the 2023 OHL priority selection. Going into the draft the Attack don’t have a ton of roster turnover in terms of overage players, leaving or players ageing out. As a whole they have a fairly young roster, and given the Attack have not selected a defenceman since they selected Nolan Seed 15th overall in 2018, it wouldn’t necessarily be a stretch to think the Attack may go with a forward once again. Add onto that is the OHL cup MVP and leading scorer Jake O’Brien and Toronto Jr. Canadiens remains available at the 12th overall selection, that would be a very hard player to pass up at this position. O’Brien is a very smart player with a high hockey IQ, he understands where to be in all three zones of the ice, specifically in the offensive zone, finding soft pockets where he can receive the puck to create offensive opportunities for himself and his teammates. in addition, O’Brien combines his high level hockey IQ with his high end puck skills play, making its score in ability to ultimately be an impact player whenever he is on the ice.

13. Peterborough Petes (Mat Goodwin) - Luca Romano, C, Toronto JRC (GTHL)
Romano is a very intriguing prospect for the OHL Cup winning Junior Canadiens.  He is not the biggest or flashiest player and was out-paced by fellow teammates during the OHL Cup tournament when it comes to points, however, Romano’s game is so much more than numbers.  He is a very good skater with an effortless stride and great acceleration.  He has great vision and his puck distribution is some of the best in his age group.  What really sets him apart from his peers is his hockey sense and ‘IQ”.  Romano is a very cerebral player that is wise beyond what his birth certificate reads.  He understands the importance of playing a 200-foot game and is rarely out of position in the defensive zone.  He can be counted on to get the puck out of the zone safely and is always calm and poised doing so.  He can control the pace of play when he has the puck, pushing the pace, or slowing it down and setting up in the offensive zone.  His gifted style of play makes everyone around him better and a fun player to watch.  He can be trusted in all situations, whether it be to win an important defensive zone draw in the dying seconds of a game, or to score a key power-play goal when his team is down late.  Romano has future captain potential and whichever team takes him will be very happy with their pick for years to come. 

14. Guelph Storm (Brock Otten) - Carson Cameron, D, Central Ontario Wolves (OMHA/ETA)
If Cameron is still available at #14, I believe that the Storm would have a very difficult time passing on him. In contention to be the second best defender available behind Schaefer, Cameron was another player who stood out in a really positive way at the Canada Winter Games for that strong Ontario team. He is a high IQ two-way defender who plays the right side and in two years time, he could end up anchoring the second pairing behind Cam Allen, helping to replace Buchinger. In the meantime, he can be brought along slowly and help to give more depth to a Storm team that has Jake Murray graduating and likely a decision to make between Enright and Romeo as an OA on the backend next season.

15. Flint Firebirds (Gavin Chiasson) - Chase Hull, F, Renfrew Wolves (HEO)
Chase Hull brings such offensive flare to his game that he becomes impossible to miss shift-by-shift. With Flint picking at 15, if Hull isn’t gone yet, I think he becomes the type of player Flint is looking for. The HEO is perhaps a bit underrated this year in terms of their top-end talent and Hull brings physicality, speed and an impressive shot that Flint is missing since losing Othmann. 

16. Saginaw Spirit (Steven Ellis) - Matheas Stark, F, Toronto Marlboros (GTHL) 
When he gets the puck, he races down the ice like he's shot out of a cannon. He has a quick, accurate release, but it's his playmaking that makes him appear as the smartest player on the ice anytime he's on. You won’t have to worry about his effort level - he brings it every single shift.

17. Sarnia Sting (Ryan Ferizovic) – Aiden Lane, RW, Toronto Marlboros (GTHL)
Perhaps the player who has shown the most development over the season, Lane is a sizable winger who has the ability to play in any and all offensive situations. From a player who played a ‘grinder’ style of play at the beginning of the season- coming in heavy on the forecheck to secure pucks and outlet them to streaking linemates- to a durable and pure goal-scoring winger, Lane was an integral part in why the Marlboros won the GTHL Playoffs and went so deep in the OHL Cup. He plays an assertive style in the offensive zone, using his big frame to protect the puck and his edges to find open ice to where he can make an accurate setup pass or take the puck to the net. He is a dangerous shooter from anywhere in the attacking end, able to employ velocity and accuracy in full stride or from a fixed position. He plays a physical style to win pucks and force turnovers, giving his team increased time on attack whenever he is out for a shift. His high compete level and continuous growth alludes to the fact he could become a top player at the next level. 

18. London Knights (Chase Rochon) - Aiden Young, F, London Jr. Knights (ALLIANCE)
London's current team looks quite different from their typical model of high-end offensive stars. Now they play more of a structured, defensive system with the elite defenders Logan Mailloux, Oliver Bonk, Isaiah George, Jackson Edward, and the developing 2006 star Sam Dickinson. With most of these defence returning next season and losing co-captains George Diaco and Sean McGurn, they should be looking toward a forward. Born and raised in London, Ontario, Aiden Young would be a great fit for the Knights at this pick. Currently playing for the local Jr. Knights, Young has been well-known and scouted by the Knight's scouting staff for a while. Possessing the two most transferable traits to succeed at the OHL level in skating and IQ should make for a smooth transition to developing into an OHL star. Under great coaching and management of the Hunters, they should be able round out his game and turn this type of player into a star. Aiden plays very well with Elite company but can create space to produce offence on his own, and this will fit perfectly into playing with some high-end talent with the Knights. The fit seems too good to be true and can make Youngs' dreams come true on draft day.

19. Barrie Colts (Joely Stockl) - William McFadden, F, Peterborough Petes (ETA)
William McFadden established himself as a difference maker in the offensive end this season for the U16 Peterborough Petes. He averaged over 2 points per game in the regular season, and had an impressive 9 points in 6 games at the OHL Cup before losing to Vaughn in the semi-finals. McFadden is a winger that oozes pure offensive skill. What makes McFadden unique, is the emotional edge that he plays with. He plays with loads of compete and he is relentless on every puck. He is able to pick up passes and loose pucks at full speed and always drives play with a purpose. McFadden’s foot speed and edges allow him to attack the defense in a variety of ways, whether he is beating them down the wall, or charging through the defense by using his hands. Sitting at just 5’7”, McFadden’s size is an issue that prevents him from getting picked earlier in this draft, and will prevent him from playing certain roles in the OHL. He doesn’t let himself get pushed around, but continuing to increase his strength will be crucial to making that next step. With the absence of over-age forwards Ethan Cardwell, Evan Vierling, & Declan McDonnell, offense will be hard to come by for the Barrie Colts next season. McFadden has the potential to be that difference maker for Barrie in the next couple seasons and provide some much needed offense.

20. Windsor Spitfires (Steven Graves) - Caden Taylor, LW, Mississauga Senators (GTHL) 
Windsor are in real good hands moving forward thanks to a strong 2022 draft class that saw them pull out three productive rookies in Liam Greentree, Anthony Cristoforo and AJ Spellacy. The Spitfires get to add to that here with the 20th overall selection. Taylor was very good for the Mississauga Senators at the OHL cup, in particular, where he turned his game up a notch and finished among the tournaments leading scorers despite only playing four games. The 6’2” Taylor has one of the best shots in the entire class; he already has a pro shot, not many kids his age can shoot the puck like him - His shot is heavy and he is able to get the puck off his stick quickly, and with precision. Taylor has very good offensive instincts, he reads the play well and positions himself accordingly for good scoring opportunities. He’s also a really good skater that can get up to pace quick and beat defenders to the outside. I know there are concerns about his off-puck game and his defensive effort, but a talent like Taylor is worth the risk at this spot. 

21. North Bay Battalion (Chase Allen) - Jacob Cloutier, RW, Pittsburgh Pens Elite (NEPACK)
From the HEO to the NEPACK, Jacob Cloutier has spent his OHL Draft Eligible season with the Pittsburgh Pens Elite south of the border and has been one of the leading offensive threats throughout the entire year. He’s by-far one of the best transition pieces available in this draft, and can lead offensive transition with ease regardless of the situation. His ability to pre-scan with the puck on his stick in all 3-zones, evade pressure, and create space is one of his greatest strengths. He has some decent physical maturity to go along with his evasive nature, if he gets caught with physical play he can endure the check through some decent strength and pivots via his footwork to better position himself to box out opposition from the puck. On top of the lethal transition work and playmaking ability via good reads and natural passing talent, Cloutier also possesses some nice finishing ability by finding open ice and using his quick and accurate wrist shot to beat goaltenders. He supports his teammates off-puck very well, remaining dynamic in the offensive zone, buzzing in-and-out of coverage, and ultimately winning space to be the reciptiant of dangerous scoring chances. With an aging core relative to Major-Junior standards, Jacob Cloutier would be a great offensive piece to insert into the North Bay Battalion lineup going forward.

22. Ottawa 67’s (Jordan Malette) - Tanner Lam, F, Halton Hurricanes (SCTA)
With the 67s first-round pick, I think they lean toward a forward after selecting Henry Mews and Frankie Marelli high in the 2022 draft. The 67s never seem to shy away from the undersized skill players, and that's precisely what you're getting in Tanner Lam. Lam plays with tremendous pace, outstanding individual skill, and creativity, and they all stack on top of each other to deliver that "wow" factor. He's one of the most confident players in the class and can pull off some outrageous moves to dangle his way to the dangerous parts of the ice. Conversely, there are moments where his ambitious moves don't work out, but he converts more often than not.  Especially as the 67s will have back-to-back picks as they hold Niagaras 2nd rounder, they could take a major upside swing by selecting Lam with one of those two picks. It's certainly not risk-free, but there is enormous potential for a top-line winger at the OHL level.

—-------------------------------- (Bonus Second Round)--------------------------------

23. Ottawa 67’s (via Niagara) (Connor Williams) - Parker Snelgrove, C, London Jr. Knights (ALLIANCE)
After having the final pick of the first round in the draft, the 67’s have back to back selections, opening up the second round of the draft with the first pick of the second round, as they hold Niagara’s second round selection in the draft. Although there are lots of options with this pick, the 67’s certainly can’t go wrong with selecting Team Ontario forward Parker Snelgrove of the London Jr. Knights. Snelgrove is a two way forward who plays the game, up-tempo high pace, utilizing his speed and quickness to put pressure on the opposition with and without the puck on his stick. While Snelgrove can play the game with speed he can also slow the game down with his edges, changing pace and creating time and space for himself and his teammates. In addition, Snelgrove sees the ice very well with the puck on his stick, finding teammates and setting them up for offensive scoring opportunities.

24. Erie Otters (Ethan Atticus Page) - Jimmy Lombardi, C, Don Mills Flyers (GTHL)
Lombardi, who could very well be taken in the first round, is a strong 200 foot centreman with a knack for winning face-offs. With Erie projected to take Schaefer first, and picking up former GTHL superstar winger Malcolm Spence in last years draft, it only makes sense for them to take a chance on this crafty forward. What stands out most about Lombardi is his ability to never stop moving. He is consistently active in the play in all areas of the ice, making presence known to everyone when on the ice. Standing at 5’11”, 147 lbs, he may not be the biggest on the ice, however that never stops lombardi from battling along the boards and making calculated checks to separate players from the puck. Lombardi is a strong skater who makes effective use of his edges to make quick direction changes to evade traffic. With the puck, he has the ability to protect it against other top plyers and defenders. Lombardi is versatile, having the ability to play the perimeter and actively engage in the slot. When in the defensive zone, he demonstrates an understanding of his assignments, picking up his man and clogging up passing lanes. Lombardi’s game should transition well to the next level.

Each Contributor’s Honorable Mentions

Brock Otten

Casey Bridgewater - Defense - Halton Hurricanes
Saw Halton play a few times this year and Bridgewater was always someone who caught my eye playing behind Matt Schaefer. Strong skating, puck moving defender who also shows well in the defensive end. If he was on a different U16 team playing larger minutes and receiving greater powerplay responsibility, would he be more highly regarded? Shades of Michael Buchinger, who played behind Ty Nelson with JRC a few years ago and has ended up becoming a high end OHL defender because of his skating ability and two-way impact.

Nico Addy - Forward - Toronto Jr. Canadiens
Big, physical, power forward with JRC who really caught my eye at the Canada Winter Games. Anyone who follows my work knows that I’m a sucker for a throwback power forward. Addy can really have a profound impact on a game with his ability to drive the net and lay the body in puck pursuit. I also think he shows well as a playmaker and passer and is more than just a North/South attacker with tunnel vision. The feet will need to improve and he’ll have to become more disciplined, but he should play in the OHL next year if he selects that route.

Adrian Manzo - Defense - Vaughan Kings
I hadn’t watched the Vaughan Kings until the OHL Cup and Manzo was someone who immediately jumped out at me. But, I guess he popped for others too since he was named to the OHL Cup All Star team. I don’t see a defender with significant offensive upside at the OHL level, at least in my smaller sample size (although he does quarterback the powerplay for Vaughan), but I do see someone who can be a really solid and dependable defensive presence. 

Joely Stockl

Nolan Jackson - Defense - Barrie Jr. Colts (ETA)
Any offense that the Barrie Jr. Colts are generating, seems to always be going through the hands of defender Nolan Jackson. Watching Jackson skate is truly a pleasure, he has a quick first step, lateral mobility and edges. Anytime that he is caught out of position, usually jumping up in the rush, his skating allows him to bounce back into position efficiently. His play oozes confidence as he is always trying to make plays through the middle of the ice and surely isn’t afraid to take risks. His feet allow him to get into quality shooting spots and he loves to shoot the puck. There are some lapses defensively, especially in front of the net, and cases where he is relying solely on his foot speed to generate chances. Large offensive upside with Jackson, and he is definitely worth taking a chance on post-first round.

Luke Dragusica - Defense - Toronto Marlboros (GTHL)
Dragusica could very well be taken in the first round, as he has a lot of translatable tools. He is a long strided defender with an aggressive, purposeful first pass and a physical edge. When he is facilitating a breakout, he is always looking far down the ice, and is able to hit a teammate with a hard pass on the tape almost every time.  He lacks quickness, but his lateral mobility allows him to take up a lot of area with his long reach, and this is how he is able to open up passing lanes. Dragusica is not a player that you want to go into the corners with or match up against as an opposing winger. He is not afraid to dominate physically and he is always looking to take advantage of an attacker with his head down. Dragusica has a very safe projection into the OHL, not much offensive upside, but he is a player that is extremely difficult to play against.

Brady Smith - Forward - Halton Hurricanes (SCTA)
Among the high-end point producers on the Halton Hurricanes is skilled-power forward, Brady Smith. Smith had a phenomenal season playing alongside Tyler Hopkins and he became a highlight reel of his own. Smith plays with finesse and tremendous puck control, if there are any bouncing pucks or rebounds down low, he always finds a way to pounce onto them. Most of his damage is done around the net, whether he is feathering passes through the slot to teammates, or beating the goalie himself using his deceptiveness. Smith’s lack of speed is the main concern surrounding his game. He has slow acceleration and it prevents him from being a major threat in transition. Smith is most likely going to be a support player at the next level, and it will be about finding a perfect situation for him to explode offensively in the OHL. 

Gavin Chiasson

Hudson Chitaroni, F, Soo Greyhounds
I have to highlight the north here, and why not do so with Hudson Chitaroni. It feels as though he’s being underrated quite a bit heading into the draft, and while I can see some of the concerns, I think there’s a lot more deep down. When Chitaroni is off-puck, his ability to get into open positions is among the best in the draft. With a great nose for the net, he is consistently putting himself in dangerous scoring opportunities, which is how he netted 62 points in 33 GNML U18 games this season. When on-puck, Chitaroni exhibits uber-confidence, where he often makes slick moves to open up ice or make a highlight reel deke. Now, I understand that at times Chitaroni does try to do too much, but he makes these moves work out more frequently than most skilled players. When he cleans up these aspects of his game, he’ll make out to be a fine OHL player. Now, the top end speed may also be a concern, but it can become better with good skating coaches, as he’s also very strong in his edgework and lower body strength. Chitaroni also displays great stick-lifting ability, winning most puck battles that he enters. There’s a lot of heart on his sleeve and a chip on his shoulder as well. 

Drew McLennan, D, Whitby Wildcats 
Out of all the U16 AAA defenders I saw at the OHL Cup, McLennan may just be my favourite. He might not be the best one out of them, but I for one believe he’s deserving of a top 50 pick. McLennan has the poise, awareness, speed and IQ of a defender who should be in the OHL next season. With a great motor that seems to last forever, he quickly became one of my favourite players in this class. In the game that saw overtime, McLennan probably played 30 minutes of a 50 minute game. It felt like he was on the ice for 10 of the 15 minutes in the third, and most of the overtime too, where he was the most responsible player on the ice in those shifts as well. 

Vasily Serov, F, Vaughan Kings
Vasili Serov is one of the most OHL-ready talents in this class. Spending last season as well in Canada makes him eligible, and I have a hard time seeing a 6’3 - 205 lbs power forward with his skillset not being taken in the top 30 of this class. Maybe the footspeed lacks a little from time to time, but Serov is very hard to strip the puck off of and has nice hands to go with it. Is it even worth mentioning that his shot is booming? Serov might have the best one-timer of the forward group in this draft, that he highlighted at the OHL Cup. Serov could potentially step into the second power-play squad right away of the OHL team that picks him. 

Jordan Malette

Lev Katzin, F, Toronto Marlboros
Lev is tendered with the Green Bay Gamblers of the USHL, so his draft status is a bit of a question mark. Nonetheless, he is worthy of an honourable mention, as if a team can get him to commit to the OHL, it would be a massive acquisition. Lev is the most exciting player in the draft class. He's one of the most dynamic and electric forwards and simply just oozes skill. What best describes Lev is the saying, "If you give someone an inch, they'll take a mile." The defence could give him hardly any space, and he'll still find a way to make a move and find an opening to the net. A few times a game, I am convinced the defence has Lev cornered and a turnover is coming, but Lev always finds a path to escape using quick turns and slick moves. He can create something out of absolutely nothing, which is such a unique and valuable trait. Katzin is a bit undersized, but he doesn't allow it to be a limiting factor. He's tenacious and feisty in the corners, rarely backing down from physical play. There's no guarantee he ever reports to the OHL, but it could be a home run if he did.

Rylan Singh, D, YSE 
If I created a Tony Ferrari and Brock Otten-style Frankenstein defenceman, they would have Rylan's brain and approach to hockey. Everything Rylan does is through the lens of pushing play to the dangerous parts of the ice. Rarely will Rylan opt for an uncontrolled play or low-danger shot, but instead, he'll do everything he can to attack a dangerous shooting lane or skirt a forechecker, then thread a pass to the slot. His mobility and evasiveness are at the core of his ability to generate such chances. Rylan can turn, pivot, or spin his way out of any corner or pressure, and he does it with complete control of the puck. Given his mobility and puck skills, Rylan will never back down from a chance to challenge opponents one-on-one and will routinely dangle his way to the middle of the ice. Likewise, Singh will never hesitate to activate up ice and join in on a rush, making him the most offensively involved defender in the class by a long shot. Outside of the offence, Singh is a reliable puck mover who can push play-up ice to his forwards with long stretch passes for fast breaks. He is more than capable defensively, routinely breaking up plays with smart stick position and quick stick checks. I love how Rylan plays hockey, and think he has enormous potential to be a top-pairing defender down the line. 

Ivan Galiyanov, F, Vaughan Kings
Galiyanov first caught my eye at the Toronto Marlboros Tournament, and since then, he's kept moving his way up my list. To me, Ivan is the "lite" version of Will Moore. He doesn't have the same high-end skill, but he is similarly a tremendous puck manager. When Galiyanov is on the ice, every transition flows through him, and it's extremely evident why. Ivan is one of the most reliable puck managers available in the draft. He is incredibly patient with the puck and constantly scans to find a path to a controlled zone exit and entry route. Like Moore, Galiyanov is a fantastic playmaker who can manipulate the defence with calculated puck touches to then connect on a slip pass into the open space he created. Even if the offensive upside isn't enormous, when we start getting into the mid-second round, finding a dominant possession centerman, even if he ends up in a depth role, would be great value.

Chase Rochon

Luka Graziano (D) Toronto Jr. Canadians (GTHL) 
Graziano turned heads at this year's OHL cup after leading defenseman in goals (4) and points (8), joining the OHLCup all-star team, being player of the game in the finals, and helping his team win the tournament. He didn't just have a good tournament, he has been dominant all season. Putting up 16 goals and 44 points in 56 regular season games as a defenseman in the GTHL is impressive. Graziano has great edges and elite mobility making him very shifty which he uses to his advantage to gain space. He does this particularly well on the blue line to open up shooting lanes to utilize his quick release to beat goaltenders from far. Graziano might be the most offensive gifted defenceman in this draft but will need to work on his strength and conditioning to become a two way threat at the next level so he can be more effective physically on the defensive side of his game.

Kieran Riley (D) Toronto Nationals (GTHL)
Kieran Riley had a terrific tournament at the 2023 OHL Cup representing the underdog wildcard Toronto Nationals. He may have only scored 2 goals, but, these were big game winning goals including a single handed effort overtime winner. Riley's production this season is nothing crazy and might be a reason he may fall on draft day with 5 points in 16 games and unfortunately missing a large chuck of the season due to injury. He had entered the 2022-23 season as one of the favorites as the top defenseman in the class and I can see why. Very deceptive and hard to read Riley does an amazing job of evading forecheckers with quick fakes and amazing footwork. With his large frame he is also such a good shut down defensman making life hard for any offensive attacks that come his way. He has a long reach that makes it hard to enter the zone and if you make it past that in tight with him you get bullied off the puck with all the strength and size he has. If a team can feels confident with his health and put him in a position to succeed he could be one of the most OHL ready players ready to make an impact right away in his rookie season.

Liam Beamish (F) Niagara North Stars (SCTA)
Liam Beamish was the best player in Niagara coming into this season and would have likely ended up on the loaded Southern Tier team but new boarder rules in Niagara left him playing with his middle of the pack team in the North Stars. This was a blessing in disguise as it showed local scouts what he is capable of on his own. Yes, he had help of teammate Jaden Flora, but, Beamish was the one driving the ship. No matter the team he plays against, or situation he is in, Beamish is always the hardest on the forecheck and backcheck. Hunting pucks down is a staple to his game. What makes Liam special is what he does once he gets the puck. He doesn't really have a single trait that is his standout specialty but more so that he has few flaws or things he cant do. He is well rounded and very skilled in all areas from his shot, puck skills, physicality, IQ and skating, Beamish can do it all. The only things holding him back from being a first rounder in this draft is his size and exposure playing on a struggling team. He very well could be the steal of the draft.

Mat Goodwin

Josh Avery, F, Peterborough Petes
Avery is a cerebral two-way centre man for an impressive Petes squad.  He plays a very solid all-around game, including lots of physicality and a nice offensive skill set and scoring touch.  Avery’s work ethic is admirable and he appears to be the straw that stirs the drink for his Peterborough team.  He is consistently finishing checks and taking care of the play in the defensive zone while also leading the fore-check and creating scoring chances in the offensive zone.  He is a strong skater and has the size and strength to fight through checks.  He’s excellent at lifting sticks and stealing pucks and his tenacious play often creates turnovers.  As Avery continues to grow and become even stronger, he will be that much more of a force as a high-scoring power forward. 

Ben Radley, D, Peterborough Petes
Radley is an exciting defender on a very talented Petes team.  He is the type of defenceman that does everything well and can be trusted in just about any situation.  His defensive game is strong, he is physical and battles hard for pucks in the corner and will punish opponents in front of the net.  He shows a great level of poise and patience with the puck and makes a smart and accurate first pass out of the zone.  Radley is a strong skater and puck carrier.  His zone exits are tops among his peers and you rarely see him give the puck away or turn it over.  He was often entrusted with “quarterbacking” the Petes power-play throughout the season and his quick feet and awareness with the puck make him ideal for the position.  Overall, Radley is a defender who improved throughout the year and pushed himself into early round consideration.  He has a high ceiling and will be exciting to watch him flourish at the next level.

Ryan Brown, F, YSE
Brown is a very smart and creative player for the Express.  He has a very strong motor and plays much bigger than his 5’08.5” 149 LBS frame may suggest.  He can be counted on to finish every check and battle hard in all the gritty areas.  There is, however, much more to Brown’s game than hard work and physicality, he also possesses an elite offensive upside that centres on vision and play-making.  He has the ability to slow the game down and set up teammates for prime scoring opportunities in the offensive zone.  His passes are hard and accurate and he does everything with purpose.  Brown has an accurate shot and will use it to beat unsuspecting goalies clean.  All of these tools is what makes Brown such an effective player.  He can be trusted in any situation and will drag his teammates into the fight with him.  His potential is very high and he will be exciting to watch moving forward.  

Chase Allen

Cooper Dennis - Center/Left Wing - Bishop Kearney Selects 15u AAA
After viewing Cooper Dennis time-and-time again at some of the highest competitions both within Ontario and the United States, it’s clear to me Cooper Dennis is hovering around that range of being worthy of a 1st round pick in the OHL Draft. He attended the 2023 NTDP Evaluation Camp but was unfortunately cut, but the speed and two-way presence Dennis offers, along with his ability to overcome his size, is sensational. He’s one of the better goal-scoring forwards within the 2007-born American class, and is relentless off-puck to force turnovers, apply pressure, and overall be a pain in the side of puck carriers.

Kieran Witkowski - Left Wing - Toronto Marlboros 16u AAA
Going back to August 2022 when I began taking a few looks at some 2023 OHL Draft eligible skaters, Kieran Witkowski was one of the first to catch my eye. On a stacked Toronto Marlboros team I find he can slide under the radar a little bit, but given opportunity and the chance to flash his skill, it’s clear there is something with this player. He’s incredibly smart with the puck, has wicked processing speed when challenged by defenders, and overall moves around the ice very efficiently, acting as a constant playdriving threat whenever he’s in the offensive zone with the puck on his stick. A perhaps daunting comparison, but, the methodical analysis and processing of the ice reminds me of a lesser-version of a young Mitch Marner, minus the elite high-end skill.

Marco Boccardi - Left Defenseman - St. Louis AAA Blues 15O
Perhaps a bit of an off-the-board pick here as an honorable mention, Marco Boccardi is one of the most exciting defensemen from the 2007-born American class, akin to a Rylan Singh stylistic player, although, a bit smaller in stature. Boccardi has great edgework and foot-speed, capable of walking the blueline and opening up dangerous passing lanes, he can manipulate stationary defenders atop the zone and create space for both himself and his teammates from moves very few defenders are skilled, or brave enough to attempt. Defensively he works very hard to overcome his size, plays tight to the puck carrier and uses his speed and skating prowess to remain explosive and agile, keeping them to the outside with good body position and accurate stick checks. 

Steven Ellis

Shamar Moses, F, Don Mills Flyers
Need a hard-working, do-it-all forward? Moses is your guy. He was a big reason why the Don Mills Flyers advanced to the OHL Cup and continued his strong play against quality competition. He can be selfish when he needs to be, but this is the type of player that’ll lay it all on the line for his teammates.

Brendan Gerber, F, Waterloo Wolves
Outside of Brady martin's obvious heroics, Gerber was one of the biggest reasons to watch Waterloo this year. He tied Martin with 56 points (in 10 more games, albeit) before recording another 25 in the playoffs, giving them 45 on the season. With the right teammates, Gerber can get the job done thanks to his quick release.

Tanner Lawson, D, Halton Hurricanes
More of the reserved blueline option compared to Schaefer, there's a lot to like about Lawson's game. He's quick, smart and doesn't crumble under pressure. He's still quite raw, but he's aggressive, moves well, and, with the right coaching, I think he'll turn out to be something quite solid.

Steven Graves

Ethan Weir, F, London Jr Knights
Weir came into the year very highly regarded. His stock definitely slipped a bit but he is still an über talented two-way forward with a ton of potential. Weir is an excellent north-south skater, he frequently attacks defenders to the outside and has the puck skills to cut to the middle of the ice when necessary. He is a smart kid that flashes good playmaking ability and good offensive awareness. The question for Weir is if he is able to create and drive the offense himself.

Lane Sim, F, Weeks Major Midgets 
Brother of London Knights forward Landon Sim; Lane is taking a similar path to the OHL as his brother. He played his hockey in Nova Scotia this year but because his father, Jon Sim played 4 years in the OHL - it allowed Lane the opportunity to play in the OHL. Lane is an excellent skater, he moves well in all 4 directions. He is a shifty player that consistently has his feet moving - he isn’t afraid to be physical and shows flashes of a high end skill set. At the same age, Lane is probably better than his brother. 

Jack Nesbitt, F, Lambton Jr Sting
First thing that jumps out when talking about Nesbitt is his size, Nesbitt stands at 6’4” already at 16. He is a big, rangy centreman that uses his size well, he gets a lot of his goals within 6’ of the goal mouth and is very good at battling for pucks down low. Definitely a budding power-forward - Nesbitt started the year off on a torrid pace but cooled down in the second half of the season, skating could be a concern. 

Ryan Ferizovic

Lukas Moore- D- Peterborough Jr. Petes (ETA)
One of the best defensive defenders in the age group, Moore has demonstrated assertiveness in his own zone and willingness to do whatever it takes to move the puck out of trouble. He defends well against the forecheck with controlled physical play and uses strong puck skills to find open ice and kickstart the breakout. Additionally, he uses his big body to shield the puck from pressure and find open ice. He makes a strong first pass and joins the rush when there is little to no risk in doing so. He was able to start scoring near the end of the year, driving the rush deep into the zone and to the net. 

Charlton Trethewey- D- Detroit Little Caesars (HPHL)
One of the most exciting American prospects in this 2007-born age group, Trethewey caught the attention of many with strong two-way play and a high propensity for offence. He is an exceptionally strong skater with a high top-speed and elite edges, allowing him to be first on loose pucks and take away space from opponents. He possesses an extremely strong shot, able to power pucks by goaltenders from anywhere in the offensive zone. He runs his team’s power play with a keen hockey sense and quick decision-making, moving the puck to open teammates without hesitation to maximize scoring chances. Defensively, he maintains strong gap control and challenges the rush early. His size and strength allow him to defend against the forecheck well and move opponents from the front of the net. He is committed to the NTDP. 

Easton Lynds- F- Southern Tier Admirals (SCTA)
Admirals forward Lynds is a dynamic player with an amicable hockey IQ. He sees the ice exceptionally well, taking strong skating routes to receive the puck when he doesn’t have it and opening up the ice for his teammates when he does. He employs strong vision in the offensive zone, able to find his teammates with the puck as he draws in opponents. His ability to create scoring chances for his team is unparalleled by anyone else in the Admirals’ lineup. He does a nice job of skating the puck into the ‘home plate’ area before registering hard shots on net to convert on scoring chances for his team. Additionally, he maintains effective positioning at both ends of the ice. 

Ethan Atticus Page

James Barr - D - Burlington Eagles (SCTA)
Barr was a player that progressively got better as the year went on. He really rounded out his two-way ability, making him a force in both ends of the ice for the Eagles. Barr uses his body effectively in battles and puck protection, making it hard for opponents to play against him. He is versatile, being used by his coaches in all situations. What makes Barr a special player is his combination of size and skill. Not many defenders in this years draft can be physical on one shift, than quarterback a powerplay the next.

Harry Nansi - F - Nepean Raiders (HEO)
Another player who got better as the season went on, Nansi was Nepean's most electric forward for most of the year. He has an exceptional ability to pass the puck, picking up his teammates in all areas of the ice. Nansi’s vision is unlike many others, as he effectively gets the puck out of his zone and consistently creates dangerous scoring opportunities. He has a solid top-line speed, allowing him to get by defenders with ease. It will be interesting to watch Nansi as he progresses to the next level.

Nicholas Kiss - F - Burlington Eagles (SCTA)
Kiss is likely a player that has flown under the radar for most U16 AAA viewers this year. However, once you get a glimpse of his quietly dangerous IQ, it’s hard to look away. The Eagle’s assistant captain has an elite vision of the ice, making highly intelligent plays and calculating every move. He possesses soft hands and quick feet, making him a deceptive puck carrier and solid set-up man for his linemates. Kiss is a creative passer and is skilled at finding passing lanes through traffic. He plays a solid 200 foot game and understands defensive assignments well.

Connor Williams

Jeremy Martin, Wing, Toronto Marlboros (GTHL)
A dynamic winger for the Marlboros this year, Martin is a big fast winger who plays an extremely aggressive style of game. Martin plays an intimidating brand of hockey. He's the type of player who constantly moves his feet when he's on the ice utilizing his feet to bring a strong forecheck against the opposition, getting pucks in dee, forcing pucks loose, finishing his checks hard and not allowing the opposition time and space with the puck. The 6 ft winger combines both his size and strength with his quick feet and speed to be a consistent threat off the rush, he gets low in his stance he drives deep into the ice, and uses his body really effectively to drive the net with the puck, generating a great deal of offensive chances as a result. 
 
Ethan Czata, Centre, Mississauga Rebels (GTHL)
Playing on a defensively Sound Mississauga Rebels team this year, Czata was consistently relied upon in some of the Rebels biggest moments down the stretch of regular season, playoffs, and OHL Cup. Czata is an extremely smart two-way centreman, whose positioning in all three-zones has continually been impressive this year. Off the puck the centre has continuously showed off his high hockey IQ, as he consistently knows where the soft and quiet areas of the ice are, and understands how to work into those areas at the right times, allowing him to receive pucks in quality areas in the offensive zone. Late in games Czata was consistently relied upon to take big faceoffs in the defensive zone, while also being a player the Rebels continually relied upon late in games when a goal was needed.

Carter Kostuch, Wing/Centre, Vaughan Kings (GTHL)
A slick, highly skilled, offensively creative forwards, Kostuch was one of the most impactful forwards on the offensive end for Vaughan whenever he stepped on the ice. With his high end puck skills Kostuch is consistently looking to carry the puck up ice and be a threat off the rush offensively. The forward is an agile player who utilizes his edges, effectively to change pace when attacking defenders, both when in the offensive zone off the cycle and off the rush. Kostuch has the ability to beat defenders with slick dekes and dangles with his puck skills, but also has the ability to create offence and put the puck in the back of the net with a quick and deceptive release. Already with some good size and still filling out into his frame, Kostuch is an exciting prospect for OHL teams to draft. He’s been trending upwards with his play all season long, and showed what he’s capable of with his outstanding performance at the OHL cup, earning All-Star team honours at the tournament.

Gabriel Foley

Cameron Aucoin – Left Defense – Chicago Mission 15U AAA (HPHL 15U)
The son of former NHLer Adrian Aucoin, now the assistant coach of Chicago Mission 15U, Cameron Aucoin is a smooth-moving, hard-working defenseman who isn’t afraid to go into the dirty areas of the ice. He steps into hits well, showing a great ability to force, and win, puck battles. When he does, Aucoin uses strong passing to work the puck up the ice and is always quick to join the rush. He’s also a big fan of dipping into the offensive zone, consistently jumping into the slot and creating another dangerous scoring option. With how smooth his skating, puck-handling, and passing are, it’s hard to find large ‘needs’ in Aucoin’s game. He could benefit from better risk assessment – needing a little more caution in when and how he joins the rush – and while his physical play is a boost, he’ll need to better learn to square up his hits. But these are minor improvements to what is a very attractive playing style. Coming from a family of Canadians, a move to the OHL could be tantalizing for one of America’s top defenders.


Sunday, March 12, 2023

OHL Coaches Poll - My Ballot (2023)

Sometime soon, the OHL will release the results of their annual Coaches Poll, where the league's bench bosses vote on a number of categories within their own Conference. As is the annual tradition, below you can find my own opinion on how the results should look.

One thing worth noting though. OHL teams are only allowed to submit the name of one player per category for the ballot, thus on the results you won't notice any teams having more than one player per category. On my ballot, you'll see that I don't follow that rule (and never have), as the intention of this from my end is to highlight the very best of the league without that restriction. So this works as both a prediction, and also a fake ballot if I were indeed an OHL coach (which I am obviously not).

It goes without saying that these are not the results and below is strictly my opinion. As mentioned, the results should be released soon.

As is the case every year, some of these categories were really hard to narrow down; a testament to the talent level in the Ontario Hockey League. So if your favourite player isn't listed...my apologies.

Most Underrated Player
East
1. Ryan Gagnier
2. Connor Punnett
3. Paul Christopoulous & Brady Stonehouse

West
1. Matthew Poitras
2. Gavin Hayes
3. Jacob Maillet

Most Improved Player
East
1. Nick Lardis
2. Jacob Frasca
3. Luca Pinelli/Jack Matier

West
1. Rodwin Dionicio/Oliver Peer/Jacob Maillet
2. Braeden Bowman
3. Denver Barkey

Smartest Player
East
1. Brandt Clarke
2. Logan Morrison
3. Tucker Robertson & Calum Ritchie

West
1. Shane Wright
2. Ty Voit
3. Colby Barlow & Matthew Poitras

Hardest Worker
East 
1. Tucker Robertson
2. Liam Arnsby
3. Luca Pinelli/Brady Stonehouse/Vinzenz Rohrer

West
1. Braeden Kressler
2. Colby Barlow
3. Sean McGurn/Denver Barkey

Best Playmaker
East
1. Brandt Clarke
2. Logan Morrison/Pavel Mintyukov
3. Kyle Jackson

West
1. Ty Voit
2. Shane Wright
3. Christian Kyrou/Matthew Poitras

Most Dangerous in the Goal Area
East
1. Brennan Othmann
2. James Hardie
3. Kyle McDonald/Nick Lardis

West
1. Matthew Maggio
2. Colby Barlow
3. Sasha Pastujov/Nolan Burke

Best Skater
East
1. Nick DeGrazia
2. JR Avon/Gavin White
3. Nick Lardis/Jorian Donovan

West
1. Amadeus Lombardi
2. Christian Kyrou
3. Spencer Sova/Danny Zhilkin/Isaiah George

Best Shot
East
1. Ty Nelson/Brennan Othmann
2. James Hardie
3. Nick Lardis

West
1. Matthew Maggio
2. Colby Barlow
3. Christian Kyrou & Francesco Pinelli

Hardest Shot
East
1. Ty Nelson
2. Brennan Othmann
3. James Hardie

West
1. Colby Barlow
2. Francesco Arcuri
3. Michael Renwick/Logan Mailloux

Best Stickhandler
East
1. Brandt Clarke
2. David Goyette/Quentin Musty
3. Owen Beck

West
1. Amadeus Lombardi
2. Ty Voit
3. Matthew Maggio/George Diaco

Best on Faceoffs
East
1. Owen Beck/Tucker Robertson
2. Cameron Tolnai
3. Ryan Gagnier

West
1. Danny Zhilkin
2. Sean McGurn
3. Nolan Burke

Best Body Checker
East 
1. Connor Punnett
2. Tyler Boucher
3. Brennan Othmann/Liam Arnsby/Quinton Burns

West
1. Cameron Morton
2. Ryan McGuire
3. Coulson Pitre/Ethan Del Mastro

Best Shot Blocker
East
1. Shawn Spearing
2. Connor Punnett/Artur Cholach
3. Jack Matier/Paul Christopoulous

West
1. Cameron Morton
2. Michael Renwick
3. Andrew Gibson/Roman Schmidt

Best Defensive Forward
East 
1. Liam Arnsby
2. Vinzenz Rohrer/Jack Beck
3. Ryan Gagnier/Owen Beck

West
1. Marko Sikic
2. Cooper Walker
3. Matyas Sapovaliv

Best Penalty Killer
East
1. Josh Bloom/Liam Arnsby
2. Jack Matier
3. Avery Hayes

West
1. Sean McGurn
2. Ethan Del Mastro
3. Francesco Pinelli/Braeden Kressler/Cooper Walker

Best Offensive Defenseman
East
1. Pavel Mintyukov
2. Brandt Clarke
3. Ty Nelson

West
1. Christian Kyrou
2. Logan Mailloux
3. Dmitry Kuzmin/Zayne Parekh

Best Defensive Defenseman
East
1. Jack Matier
2. Artur Cholach
3. Shawn Spearing/Artyom Grushnikov

West
1. Ethan Del Mastro
2. Oliver Bonk
3. Michael Renwick

Best Puck Handling Goalie
East
1. Josh Rosenzweig
2. Max Donoso
3. Alessio Beglieri/Nate Krawchuk

West
1. Brett Brochu
2. Ben Gaudreau
3. Tristan Lennox/Joey Costanzo

Best Shootout Shooter
East
1. James Hardie
2. Logan Morrison
3. Ryan Gagnier

West
1. George Diaco
2. Bryce McConnell-Barker
3. Sasha Pastujov

Best Shootout Goalie
East
1. Collin MacKenzie
2. Dominic DiVincentiis
3. Anson Thornton

West
1. Brett Brochu
2. Ben Gaudreau
3. Patrick Leaver/Carter George

 

Sunday, February 19, 2023

Sunday Top 10 - Overagers Worth Signing (2023)



This is a yearly tradition (take a look at the Sunday Top 10 sidebar for other years). It's time to examine the top overagers in the OHL, available to be signed by NHL teams for the 2023 calendar year. We've already had one sign with an NHL team (Nolan Burke), but he will be included in this list for continuity. 
 
This list does intend to rank players according to the likelihood that they continue their career at the professional level. Likely more than half of the players on this list will not end up getting a professional contract and will play in the CIS. It's the nature of the beast. The bottom line is that a few will and many will not (be signed) and those players who do not, will take advantage of their education package while continuing to play a high level of hockey at a Canadian University.

It's important to note that this list does not include overagers who have yet to sign NHL contracts, despite having their draft rights owned by a team, such as OHL leading scorer Matt Maggio. This list is for those players who are NHL free agents after going through the draft two or three times (depending on their birth date).

Here's the list:

1. Logan Morrison - Center - Ottawa 67's
At this point, I just don't know how you overlook Morrison. Many of us were surprised and disappointed that he didn't get drafted last year after finishing sixth in league scoring. This year, he's returned as an OA and currently sits second in league scoring. Yeah, I know the skating is a concern. If he makes the NHL, he's going to be a below average skater for the league. It's clear that there are some limitations preventing him from really improving this area of his game. That said, he does so many other things well. He's one of the most intelligent players...on and off the puck...in the OHL. He rarely makes a poor read. He rarely turns over the puck in the offensive zone. His vision and passing ability elevates the play of his wingers. He's committed in all three zones. Outside of skating, there really isn't a significant weakness in his game. Would he still be a long shot to carve out an NHL career? Absolutely. But any of the players on this list would fall under that category. At worst, I think he can still end up as a really good AHL scorer and call up option/tweener. At best, his IQ helps him overcome some of his skating deficiencies and he develops into a Tyler Bozak esque diamond in the rough. 

2. Nolan Burke - Center - Sarnia Sting
Already signed by the Nashville Predators to an ELC earlier this season, Burke has shown positive progression in back to back OHL seasons. The key to taking his game to another level this year has been the improvements made to his skating coming into the year. He's really added a step and it's allowed him to be more of a primary play driver, rather than a passenger. He's got great scoring instincts and he's strong on the puck, allowing him to play a North/South power game. What's the NHL upside? I'm not entirely sure. But he's a well rounded enough player and is a good enough scorer that he could eventually find his way into the middle six in Nashville if his skating can continue to improve. 

3. Avery Hayes - Wing - Peterborough Petes
His play thus far with the Petes (well under his usual production) is likely going to decrease his odds of getting an ELC, but I still like his chances of eventually carving out a decent pro career. He's not big, but he's about as relentless of a player you'll find. He's kind of like a Tasmanian Devil out there. The fact that his motor never stops will earn him a look at the next level. However, he also happens to be a skilled finisher and play creator. He's got great hands and his strong edgework and agility give him strong puck protection skill despite lacking size. He's not the kind of explosive linear mover you typically like to see from an undersized forward, but his overall skating ability would be considered solid. He loves to incorporate the mohawk stride into his attacking approach in transition, although the transition of that particular style/skill to the next level has not had terrific results. The reality is that Hayes could at least serve a purpose as a high energy, F1, bottom six player at the next level and I'd be shocked if he doesn't get at least an AHL deal.

4. Kyle McDonald - Wing - North Bay Battalion
Big man got a late start to the season after trying out for Belleville of the AHL, then missed a few months through the mid part of the year due to injury. However, when he has played, he's been phenomenal. McDonald is a player who knows and understands his role on the ice. At 6'4, and pushing 220lbs, he is a near immovable object from the net front area at this level. However, he has really soft hands and a great shot; the goal scoring totals the last two years are no fluke. No, he's not the most dynamic skater. No, he's not the most skilled player with the puck in transition. But, there is still a place for hulking, complementary power wingers in today's game. It wouldn't shock me at all if McDonald is the only other player on this list to earn an NHL ELC.

5. Evan Vierling - Center - Barrie Colts
After not signing with the Rangers last year, Vierling has returned to the OHL to be one of the league's better forwards. He's playing with so much more assertiveness compared to last year. The offensive skill set is well rounded. He's got a good shot, but he's probably most effective as a distributor. Because he's being more assertive, he's making better decisions with the puck this year. What is Vierling at the next level? That's the question. I'm not sure he's skilled enough to be a top six guy. I'm also not sure he's tenacious or strong enough in all three zones to be a typical bottom six guy. Ultimately, that's why the NYR opted not to sign him. That said, players can re-invent themselves at the pro level to survive and I think Vierling does enough things well that he could be one of those types. He's another guy that I expect to earn an AHL deal.

6. James Hardie - Wing - Mississauga Steelheads
You have to give it up to Hardie. Honestly, this is a young man who has worked hard to improve the areas of his game NHL scouts had deemed insufficient. He's always been able to score, but in his draft year, there were major concerns over his skating, off puck play, and decision making. Over his OHL career, he's improved all three of those areas. Mississauga gutted their roster this year to start a rebuild and they've actually been playing better since doing that because Hardie has elevated his play and truly embraced being a leader to these talented young players. I don't think Hardie gets an NHL deal. He's going to have to take a longer route to the NHL. But, if he can continue to show the perseverance that he has thus far, I won't be betting against him eventually earning an ELC. 

7. Nick DeGrazia - Wing - Sudbury Wolves
DeGrazia is on this list because he's one of the best skaters in the OHL. An NHL or AHL team is going to look at him and wonder how they could use this to eventually make him a bottom six asset. His quickness, edgework, and ability to blend both is incredibly impressive. This year, his hands have improved and he's not overskating the puck or opportunities as much. He's also improved his strength and balance to be better at playing through traffic. He's not going to be a scorer at the NHL...or even AHL level. However, if he can continue to round out the rest of his game at the pro level, he could be a useable asset and a versatile player for coaches. Again, few players can skate like he does.

8. Sean McGurn - Center - London Knights
Is there a more underrated player than McGurn in the OHL? He was great for London last year and has been even better this year as the team's captain, leading London in scoring as of writing this. There's nothing elite about his game. But the sum of its parts make him a consistent on ice leader at this level and someone who can play in any situation asked of him. What is he at the next level? I'm not quite sure. But he's smart enough to find a way to stick in some capacity as a pro, especially if he can make further upgrades to his skating. 

9. Riley Piercey - Wing - Flint Firebirds
Massive winger has been good for Flint this year. A little quicker than you might expect given his length and he can be a real difficult cover in transition because of his ability to blend skill/control at his top speed. As a North/South attacker and complementary piece, there could be a place for him at the pro level. Given his size and skill combination, I'd be shocked if he doesn't earn an AHL deal and then attempt to work his way up. A strong playoff run with the Firebirds could earn him even more.

10. Brett Brochu - Goaltender - London Knights
I could have gone in a variety of different directions with #10, but decided to give the nod to Brochu. Look, you can't argue with his success. He's led the league in GAA before. He's won an OHL goaltender of the year award. After this year concludes, he's going to average 30 wins across three seasons in the league. The only thing missing from his resume is an OHL Championship and he'll try to change that this year. However, the other reality is that Brochu is a 6'0 netminder who can give up goals to the upper portion of the net. His athleticism and play reading ability are standout qualities, but he'll have to work hard to be even more technically sound with his positioning and aggressiveness at the next level. If he has a great OHL playoffs this year, I think he gives himself a great chance at earning an AHL/ECHL deal. If he struggles (like last year), he may end up as more of a CIS candidate.

Honorable Mentions

Defense

Kitchener's Lleyton Moore was having a really good year in Oshawa to start the year but since going to Kitchener, I've been a bit disappointed in his play. The finish to the year will be key for him. His skating ability is terrific and always has been, but I think he's worked hard to become stronger in the defensive end to become more complete this season. Mississauga's Kasper Larsen hasn't been as good as he was last year, but he's still a unique player because he's a 6'5, 230lbs puck mover who can also clear the crease. Saginaw's Mitchell Smith has always been a favourite of mine because of his high end skating ability. He's playing a bit of a different role with the Spirit this year but he's still found a way to produce offensively from the back-end. Windsor's Michael Renwick is a 6'0, right shot defender who is solid at both ends. He brings a consistent physical presence and has a good point shot. Ottawa's Anthony Costantini is a heady, puck mover who has made great strides in the defensive end this year. Like Renwick, he's also a right shot defender. Sudbury's Dylan Robinson is certainly intriguing because of his size (6'6) and production. He's physical. He can make plays with the puck. His mobility is a bit awkward and his decision making can leave some to be desired, but the overall package is intriguing.

Forwards

Ottawa's Cameron Tolnai has had a really strong year. He can play the power game from the middle and has become one of the better two-way centers in the OHL (and faceoff men). Oshawa's Ryan Gagnier is a high energy guy who is a real puck hound. He's smart and tenacious and it's led to a real nice production increase this year. I bet there are some competitive teams out there kicking themselves for not bringing him in at the trade deadline. Hamilton's Sahil Panwar has been unreal since going to the Bulldogs (along with Nick Lardis). He skates well and he is competitive at both ends. Kitchener's Reid Valade is a spark plug winger who loves to attack North/South. He has a good shot and could end up being a bottom six goal scorer at the next level. London's George Diaco is likely too small for the NHL. At only 5'7, he's not producing at the clip that he would need to in order to draw the attention of scouts. But, I just really love watching him play. He's one of the most creative and skilled players in the league and I wanted to make sure that he got mention.




Saturday, January 21, 2023

Midseason Top 50 for the 2023 NHL Entry Draft

What an unbelievable OHL Trade Deadline it was this year. We saw over a half dozen teams across the league really load up and this is going to make the stretch run and the playoffs incredibly exciting.

As is the case each year, the passing of the deadline signals that it is time to update my draft rankings. Recently you saw NHL Central Scouting release their rankings. You'll see several differences in my rankings, but also some similarities. 

At this point, I would probably call this draft crop from the OHL a little underwhelming. This is especially true given the strength of some other regions. There are only a couple of players that I would consider first round locks and it's conceivable that the OHL does not have a player selected inside of the lottery. Additionally, I'm not crazy about the depth the league has to offer this year. I wouldn't be shocked if the number of players selected from the league hovers around 30. 

For those unfamiliar with my lists, I only include first time eligible players. So a guy like Spencer Sova isn't listed despite the fact that I'd expect him to receive very heavy draft consideration. I do a list of "re-entries" or second/third year eligible players prior to the draft.

And for comparison's sake, here's my preliminary top 50 from November. Additionally, here is the preliminary media/scout poll from late December.

Here's the list:

1. Colby Barlow - Wing - Owen Sound Attack
I'm in the midst of writing my report on Barlow for McKeen's (look for that in the next week or so), which would ultimately be a much deeper dive than this write up. However, here's why Barlow is my number one. I see a prospect with a very safe NHL projection. All the things he does well, he should continue to do well at the next level because of his combination of size, quickness, physicality, and IQ. At the very least, he is going to end up as a quality middle six player who can play in any situation. That safety in a year where the OHL does not seemingly have many safe bets is attractive. I think Barlow's playmaking and vision is extremely underrated. His goal scoring production this year has been impressive, but he can pass the puck too. It's rare to see him make a poor play or read in the offensive zone. He's probably one of the better forecheckers in the OHL already. He finishes plays off in a multitude of ways. He's defensively reliable and intelligent. I'm not worried in the least about him being too physically mature. It's not like Barlow is 6'4, 220lbs, or dominating because of his sheer strength in the absence of skill. If anything, I think his game could hit another level still with better conditioning and strength. I see three things being key to him unlocking his upside as a top six player. One; improving his ability to blend speed and skill. He can struggle to cleanly corral pucks when he's at full speed or trying to pick up speed. This leads to missed opportunities. Two; Improving his hands and shot even further. This sounds ridiculous to say given that Barlow is currently third in the league in goal scoring as a U18 player, but I actually think he's capable of being an even more dangerous goal scorer with some adjustments. That would include improving his catch ability on imperfect passes, in addition to blending his skating and shooting ability to create better angles for his wrist shot. Third; becoming a more consistent physical presence. Barlow is unquestionably a hard worker, but I'd love to see him really punishing people on a shift by shift basis. If he could become that true power forward, he becomes an even more valuable player.

2. Quentin Musty - Wing - Sudbury Wolves
Just when you think you've got Musty figured out, it seems like a poor performance throws a wrinkle in that. My live viewings of him this year have been poor. While my video viewings of him have been terrific. I was really starting to grow to like him but then I saw him play in Hamilton recently and he had a very poor game. Now...granted he played through a hand injury in that game (which has kept him out of action since), so it's probably measured with a grain of salt. Point being, he's a tough player to form a steady opinion on. There's so much good...especially under new coach Derek MacKenzie. He is highly skilled. He shows well as both a scorer and playmaker. His decision making with the puck has slowly started improving; his turnovers are being limited. He is playing with more physical tenacity and finding his way to the middle of the ice more consistently. His upside is, without question, the highest of any OHL player eligible this year. Yet...I'm just not sure an NHL scout will be willing to risk their neck for him as a first rounder. His defensive game is nearly non existent. He is often the last player back to the defensive zone and the first to exit. His first step quickness is not terrific. His ability to utilize his shot and get himself in scoring position remains a work in progress. And, while it has shown progress, his puck management remains a development target. I had a scout ask me the other day about what Musty can do to shake his reputation as a "risky selection" (we actually answered this on the THN podcast). It's a great question. The answer is probably continue to show the positive growth that he has the last month or two. When he returns from his injury, hopefully he can continue to show progress. If he's able to improve on the above areas, the upside truly is that of a first line player.

3. Calum Ritchie - Center - Oshawa Generals
Speaking of consistency, insert Cal Ritchie. He came into the year as a potential top 7/8 pick, but is now looking more like a mid to late first rounder. Given Oshawa's rebuilding status, it has to be tough on Ritchie and I understand how he's probably not ready to be the true focal point of an offense. But what scouts have to be asking themselves is "how do we view Ritchie's high end potential?" I've had a few tell me about how his projection may have shifted to that of a middle six guy instead of a true, top center. Even through his offensive struggles at even strength, Ritchie's defensive effectiveness has remained consistent. He's an intelligent two-way player. As an offensive player his two most valuable assets are his hands and his playmaking sense. He's shooting the puck more and hesitating less this year, but he's still a pass first player with the puck and always will be IMO. As a transitional attacker, Ritchie's skating limitations have prevented this from being a consistent part of his game. I think his top speed is actually good, but his boots are a little heavy. Adding that quickness would really help him shed defenders at even strength more consistently. It seems like every time he falls into a bit of a lull in production and performance, he breaks out in a big way (like his performance in the first TSN game of the year against Kitchener). It makes him tough to truly peg. I kind of want to move him down further , but then I'm sucked back in by that package of size and skill from the middle. It feels like a trap...that if we underappreciate Ritchie as a draft prospect, he's going to burn us in the future.

4. Carson Rehkopf - Center - Kitchener Rangers
I am firmly on the Rehkopf bandwagon (see this twitter thread on him). IMO, he's going to be an NHL first round pick so long as he can continue to produce down the stretch on a deep Kitchener team. Similar to Colby Barlow, I see a real safe projection here. Rehkopf is a very powerful skater and he uses this in so many different ways to be effective across all three zones. His quickness is a real problem for OHL defenders considering his length and puck protection ability. He's starting to realize this too and is looking for situations to exploit this advantage more consistently. Rehkopf also has a deceptive and quick release, perhaps among the best of any forward in this OHL class. His potential as a goal scorer is huge. Lastly, he's a disruptive defensive force because of his length, quickness, and physicality. Really, he's been great all year and I don't think he's getting the kind of respect he deserves. He started the year off with a great Hlinka/Gretzky and he's just continued to perform well. I don't think it's outside the realm of possibility that Rehkopf is even higher on my year end list at the expense of Musty/Ritchie. However, I want just a little more time to analyze his puck skill and overall ceiling. Production for him down the stretch will be critical, especially if he continues to be more of a third line option. He needs to make the most of his ice time.

5. Beau Akey - Defense - Barrie Colts
Oliver Bonk has emerged as the top defender available from the OHL in the eyes of many, but for me it's still Beau Akey. I think Bonk is the better two-way defender now, but I think Akey has the higher NHL upside of the two. Akey is among the best skaters in this OHL draft class and the best of the defenders. His impact on the transition game is profound when he's being aggressive as a transporter. He can carve up space and really put pressure on opposing defenses thanks to his elite level top speed and effortless four way mobility. His hands are excellent and his small area skill is good enough to help him weasel his way out of pressure at both ends. Even with Brandt Clarke back in Barrie, I would expect Akey continues to produce offensively (he has so far). However, I think Akey can be a solid defensive player too. The IQ is there, but he just loses too many battles for positioning right now. As he gains strength, I see him becoming a quality two-way player. His elite four way mobility will eventually become an asset at both ends. Depending on how his year finishes out, Akey could be a borderline first rounder for me too. He just seems like the kind of player who doesn't yet realize how truly good he could be.

6. Carey Terrance - Center - Erie Otters
I feel like Terrance is flying under the radar right now because the Otters just aren't great and because his production is fairly modest. But he leads the team in goal scoring as of writing this and is a player who I like better every time I watch him play. Similar to a few of the other players listed so far, I think Terrance has a very safe NHL projection. He's one of the best skating forwards in this OHL crop and he's a solid defensive center/forechecker. He also has an underrated shot and release. At the very least, there's a path to being a Cody Eakin type. But, his offensive tools, as raw as they are, could easily continue to improve as the Erie team improves around him. These days, I don't bet against athleticism. I think the other thing I really like about Terrance is how he already understands how to weaponize his speed. He changes pace well to be deceptive and he's very effective exploding off the wall and out of the cycle. Thus far, I'm still trying to get a read on his processing and vision as a distributor. I think it's a required area of growth. The same could be said for his skill blending ability, not dissimilar from Barlow and Rehkopf. Maybe he ends up having to play the wing at the next level where his speed, tenacity, and goal scoring touch could make him a really good complimentary piece? At the end of the day, I'm confused as to why he's not on more lists as a top two round pick.

7. Coulson Pitre - Wing - Flint Firebirds
Pitre is my kind of player. If you've followed my work for a long time, you'd know that power forward types like Pitre are my jam. I thought he started the year pretty poorly; he seemed a bit lost with trying to carve out a role on a deep forward group and he got away from the things that made him successful last year. But the last few months, he's been outstanding. The physicality is consistent. He understands how to play without the puck. He's a solid skater. But what I like most about Pitre's game is his vision with the puck. It's rare to find power forward types who see the ice the way that Pitre does. His IQ grade is quite high. As a late 2004, I do understand that some may believe he has less room for development and what you see might be what you get here. No question, I do believe there are players ranked below Pitre who have higher upside. But if I'm drafting in the second round, Pitre is an attractive target because he does so many things well and already has a pro style game. It's not far fetched to say that he develops into a Nick Foligno, Jason Zucker type. 

8. Oliver Bonk - Defense - London Knights
Yes, he's moving up my list finally. And no...it's not out of peer pressure. But I've had to watch a lot of the Knights and lot of isolated videos of Bonk to really develop more of an appreciation for how he is playing this year. He's probably the best defenseman (in London) on one of the best teams in the OHL. That's an impressive feat for (essentially) a first year player. Bonk's best attribute is unquestionably his IQ/processing ability at both ends. He's got a great stick in the defensive zone and always seems to be in the right spot to break up plays. He doesn't chase the play and has the poise of a five year OA. This is evident at the offensive end too, where he is great at picking his spots to jump up in the play. Yes, he's got a great point shot, but he's scoring a lot from the backend because he times pinches well and finds those soft spots in coverage consistently. I had someone mention to me the other day that Bonk could be a Devon Toews type at the NHL level and that's certainly possible if he can continue to upgrade his four way mobility. However, as I have been all year, I'm still a little weary regarding his projection. I think the skill, skating, and physicality components of his game grade out as average. There have been so many similar OHL defenders who have failed to take that next step because they aren't athletic enough/skilled enough to take advantage of their high end IQ. That said, he is growing on me because he does so many of the little things well. Is he Matt Finn? Is he Travis Dermott? Is he Calvin de Haan? Is he Devon Toews? The range of outcomes is vast and I just need to see him even more. However, I do feel like he will continue to rise on my list.

9. Luca Pinelli - Wing - Ottawa 67's
It was not shocking to see Pinelli lower on NHL Central Scouting. Undersized and not a dynamic skater can be a tough combination to overcome. For that reason, I see Pinelli as more a second/third round prospect. But I know he has his fans in the scouting community. Even if his production has slowed a bit, he's still playing well for the 67's. He's such a smart player who has a very well rounded offensive profile. He can get after it on the forecheck and makes great reads without the puck. He's skilled enough to be a play driver at the junior level and he uses deception to help him carry in transition, overcoming his lack of explosiveness. Pinelli has a good shot. He competes hard at both ends. Like I said, just a well rounded profile. The flip side of this is that there may be some projection issues here. What is Pinelli at the NHL level? I don't see him as a true offensive catalyst there without significant improvements to his skating. So is he then more of a complimentary piece then? Probably. Looking at someone like Michael Bunting is probably the best case scenario for Pinelli. Worse case, he ends up as more of a tweener like Nic Petan. 

10. Cam Allen - Defense - Guelph Storm
Great to see him return from his shoulder injury. I was worried that his participation in the Top Prospect's Game was in doubt Interestingly enough, Guelph had been playing their best hockey as of late without Allen. That's certainly not a criticism, but it means that now that he has returned, he should have a little less pressure on him to perform and he can work to keep things simple and play within the flow of the game. Coming into the year, I had him ranked first in Ontario. I loved him as a U17 player and I loved him at the Hlinka/Gretzky. But his play this year has pointed to some limitations in his processing at both ends. When he keeps things simple, he's at his best. Does that mean that his potential as an offensive defender might be limited? Lots of questions and not a ton of answers right now. All signs point to the U18's this year being a huge event for Allen. That is if the projection of the standings remains about the same and Guelph ends up losing in round one or missing completely. Some of the concerns scouts have with Allen this year were the same that they had with Spencer Sova last year who went through a similar curve. Hopefully Allen's draft stock doesn't take a similar dive. And if it does...look at how well Sova is playing this year, proving that he should have been drafted last year.

11. Hunter Brzustewicz - Defense - Kitchener Rangers
There are a lot of things that I like about Brzustewicz's game. His four way mobility is an asset. His edgework and lateral quickness help him at both ends and give him escapability to start the breakout. It also helps him when he's running the point in the offensive end. He keeps pucks in well and he pushes laterally well to open up lanes that he can exploit. I also really like the way he processes the game with the puck on his stick. Similar to a guy like Oliver Bonk, he keeps things simple. Quick outlets. Safe dump ins. He always seems to have his head up and his puck management is sound. I guess the question I have is what's the upside? He's not a dynamic or explosive mover, which will limit his ability to impact the game offensively at the next level. He has struggled defensively at times, both in his reads and in handling physicality. He will ultimately become a quality two-way defender IMO, but will that be at the NHL level? Earlier I mentioned a guy like Travis Dermott and if you go back and look at Dermott's scouting report from junior, you'll see a pretty similar player. Dermott has had some trouble carving out a niche at the NHL level without a true standout skill. Lots of pressure on the Rangers in the second half and I want to see how Brzustewicz handles that.

12. Matthew Mania - Defense - Sudbury Wolves
Upside, upside, and more upside. Playing under Derek MacKenzie, Mania has been terrific as an offensive defender. He skates really well. He's starting to take more chances with the puck, jumping up into the play. He's very skilled and is the type of offensive blueliner who can seemingly go end to end when he wishes. Mania is also doing a much better job in the offensive end, getting pucks on net, making better decisions on his pinches, etc. Defensively, he's a work in progress. There needs to be an increase in physical intensity. He can be pushed around too easily along the wall and near the crease and it puts the Wolves at a disadvantage. He, flat out, needs to be more difficult to play against. However, you just can't ignore what he's been able to do with the puck on his stick in recent months. As said, his offensive upside is significant. Can the defensive game show growth by the end of the year? 

13. Andrew Gibson - Defense - Soo Greyhounds
I'm really coming around on Gibson. He's a slow burn and he really requires many viewings to gain an appreciation of. I recently did a long thread on twitter on Gibson (here). In a nutshell, Gibson is a raw, potential two-way defender. 6'3, right shot defenders with decent mobility and an all around game do not grow on trees. Gibson is terrific in the offensive zone. He's not the most innately skilled or flashy; he keeps things simple. However, he supports the play really well and is gaining confidence in his ability to play deep in the offensive zone. Defensively, he is physical and has the kind of length that makes him a disruptive force to transitional attackers. His footwork isn't always clean, but I have faith that Brendan Taylor and the Hounds coaching staff can really bring the best out of him. The track record is there. I think the most concerning thing for me is his puck management in the defensive end. He can get bottled up in the defensive zone and turnovers have been an issue. He doesn't shoulder check enough and he doesn't yet have the confidence to use his feet consistently to help him clear forecheckers. Again, though, I would harbour to guess that this gets cleaned up eventually. Over the rest of the year my focus will be on determining Gibson's NHL upside. 

14. Ondrej Molnar - Wing - Erie Otters
He has only played a handful of games in the OHL, but I've been impressed with many components of his game. He's an electric skater who can really put pressure on opposing defenses. He has elite level elusiveness with his agility and ability to stop/start in the offensive zone. He's actually been a little better without the puck than I expected too. He can be effective on the forecheck with his speed. On the man advantage, his vision and passing ability has been very noticeable. However, at even strength, he's been a lot less effective. He's struggling to find ways to get to the inside and is getting pushed off the puck too easily. There are some strength deficits here. He seems hesitant to really take control too. He's passing up shooting opportunities and seems to be lacking confidence in that area. Unquestionably, his offensive upside is high. As he gets stronger and becomes more confident on North American ice, he could be a really electric player. I hope he sticks it out in Erie moving forward and into next year because they're building something good with guys like him, Terrance, Pano Fimis, Malcolm Spence and whoever they select early in 2023.

15. Ethan Miedema - Wing - Kingston Frontenacs
The big piece moved in the Shane Wright to Windsor deal, Miedema hasn't had the best start to his time in Kingston. But it's obviously very early. The issue with Miedema has been consistency this year. He's big and skilled. He can be a physical presence. I've always been impressed with his passing ability and vision with the puck, especially coming off the wall. But there's a definite need to improve his quickness and balance so that he can shed defenders more consistently. And it would be great to see him take the bull by the horns more often. There's a passiveness to his game at times that you don't like to see from a 6'4 forward. Can he put it all together? There will be a lot of eyes on him in the second half to see how he plays in Kingston where he will be expected to be more of a focal point of the attack. 

16. Quinton Burns - Defense - Kingston Frontenacs
IMO, Burns is one of the most underrated players in this OHL crop right now. He's played incredibly well for Kingston this year and is playing a lot for the Fronts across a variety of different situations. He's very mobile and is a strong skater. He's extremely physically aggressive and makes life difficult for opposing forwards; there's a real edge to his game. He moves the puck well inside the offensive zone. He's learning to be better as a carrier in transition and will eventually be the type who consistently looks to push pace and use his legs to start the breakout. Similar to Andrew Gibson, his puck management in the defensive zone has been a weakness at times. Additionally, I'm still trying to figure out just how skilled Burns is. What's the true upside here? But a defender with good mobility, size, and physically who isn't a liability with the puck? Sign me up.

17. Denver Barkey - Center - London Knights
Similar to Pinelli, it's not shocking to see Barkey disrespected by scouting agencies given that he's undersized and not the world's most dynamic skater. I don't think he's a top two round selection, but he's definitely someone I have a ton of time for in the mid rounds. There are a lot of paths to the NHL for Barkey if he can work to improve his quickness/speed. He's already a great defensive player who is a valuable penalty killer. He plays much bigger than his size and never backs down from a battle. He's also a skilled and deceptive playmaker whose quick hands afford him the time and space that his lack of quickness does not. I ultimately see him becoming a very versatile player as a pro who can slide up and down the lineup. Maybe he's a tweener. Maybe he's not more than a fourth liner and PK'er. Maybe he's a lot more than that. The range of outcomes is wide. Don't doubt the London development model. London has some reinforcements now, but for most of the year Barkey has been the straw that stirs the drink for the Knights. There's no way you can let him get outside the top 120 or so.

18. Joey Willis - Center/Wing - Saginaw Spirit
Is Willis truly an NHL prospect? There's no way you're watching Saginaw games and not coming away impressed with his play. He's been so good as a rookie, even if the production hasn't been consistent. He plays both ends. He's smart. He's an excellent playmaker. He's got great hands. He makes a couple really impressive plays every game, even if it's not showing on the score sheet. Yet, I do understand the concerns over his projectability. In a lot of ways, it's similar to the Barkey situation and thus I've lumped them together. Willis is not a dynamic skater. His strides lack power. He's also not the biggest at 5'10. That combo can be difficult for scouts. Additionally, he's kind of a player without a position. I'm not sure if he's a winger or a center long term. Sometimes as an analyst you have to try to separate the great junior players from the great NHL prospects. All that said, I have to trust my eyes here. I'm banking on processing ability here. I think it's important to realize that Willis is playing his first year above the AAA level. He's going to be behind the eight ball from a conditioning and strength perspective. I believe there is room for his athletic tools to improve and I'm happy to look his way in those middle rounds, banking on long term upside.

19. Brad Gardiner - Center - Ottawa 67's
Gardiner is a creative and intelligent pivot who has proven to be a versatile, swiss army knife for the 67's this year. He's been everywhere from the first line to the fourth line and he's played in every situation imaginable. I really like how he plays through traffic. His game is predicated by quick touches and quick feet and for that reason he's a tough cover. He protects the puck really well by spinning off checks and keeping his feet moving. While his first step quickness is not impressive, he builds up to a solid top speed which he can use to apply pressure on the attack. I've seen him pretty high on some lists lately, like Craig Button's. I've been impressed, but I'm also still trying to get a read on the high end upside here. 

20. Easton Cowan - Wing - London Knights
Similar to Barkey, Cowan has been really good for London this year. The two have developed remarkable chemistry with each other. Cowan loves to play at a breakneck pace. His motor is really good. He's hard on pucks. He drives the net. Yeah, he's not big, but he plays the way you want smaller players to play; fearless. I love how quickly he makes decisions too. High IQ player who can pass it off, but also has a quick release to help him finish off plays. I don't think he's got fantastic upside as a scoring line option at the NHL level, but I see someone who could carve out a long career as a high energy checking line player. Hopefully he doesn't get buried down the stretch by London's depth. 

21. Alex Pharand - Center - Sudbury Wolves
Pharand is a big bodied center who knows his role. He is aggressive in pursuit of the puck, he protects it well in the cycle, and he heads to the net as a screen option. His hands are actually quite good. You don't score as often as he has this year if they weren't. He can put pucks home under pressure and finishes equally well on his backhand as he does his forehand. The boots are a bit heavy. He's not a strong puck carrier at this time. The overall ceiling might be a little limited. But he's still a 6'3 natural center with good hands and physicality who shows potential as a two-way player. These are the types that NHL scouts love. 

22. Nick Lardis - Wing - Hamilton Bulldogs
Lardis sure is enjoying life with the Bulldogs so far with the opportunity to operate as a primary scoring option and the focal point of an attack. He's at nearly two points per game with Hamilton. I'm going to need a ton of views on Lardis in the second half because I, admittedly, don't feel like I have a good read on him at this time. In Peterborough, it felt like he was too often simply a passenger, despite possessing the quickness and skill to be a difference maker with the puck. But in Hamilton, the early returns have been great as he can be the one leading the charge over the blueline, with the flow of the game being dictated by his actions. He's a strong skater, which is critical given his lack of size. That much has always been obvious. But can he work his way into the middle of the ice? What kind of upside does he have as a goal scorer? I'm sure I'll have a more concrete opinion by season's end, especially given the kind of ice time he's getting in Hamilton.

23. Tristan Bertucci - Defense - Flint Firebirds
There is definitely a path to the NHL for a defender like Bertucci. Good size. Good mobility, especially laterally and backwards. Plays with physicality. Has a good stick in the defensive zone and tracks the play well. He's been a stalwart in the defensive end. The offensive production actually has been pretty good too. Bertucci makes a good first pass and does have good scanning habits. He's not the kind of defender who is skilled enough to be a powerplay QB at the next level, but he can start the breakout efficiently and that counts for something. John Marino comes to mind as a comparison and a best case scenario for Bertucci. More likely, he probably has less potential than some of the other defenders from the OHL this year, but he has the intangibles that NHL scouts are really going to like. It's early, but it would not shock me if he's a top three round selection come June.

24. Matthew Soto - Wing - Kingston Frontenacs
Soto is a high energy, chance of pace attacker who loves to play up tempo. Feels like I'm describing an NBA point guard prospect, but that's kind of how I see Soto. Even though he loves to push pace and is at his best in transition, he's also got great vision. His decision making with the puck always stands out as a positive for me. Quick wingers who can make quick decisions transition well to the next level. He's far from the tunnel vision type. I guess my concerns with Soto are upside related. Consistency has been an issue for him. Part of that is related to playing on a young Kingston team. Part of that stems from the fact that he needs to improve his strength/conditioning to be better playing through contact. Is he skilled or creative enough to be a top six winger? Can other parts of his game improve with experience and strength, rounding him into a more complete two-way presence? Love him as a mid round candidate.

25. Cooper Foster - Center - Ottawa 67's
Foster is quietly having a really good year in a middle six role for the 67's. He was the NOJHL MVP last year as a U17 player and his transition to the OHL has been pretty seamless. He has a really well rounded profile. Good skater. Good skill. Intelligent. Competitive. Equal parts playmaker and scorer. The issue I have had so far is trying to figure out what Foster would be at the next level. I have zero doubt that he will be a really good OHL player, perhaps even next year. But the lack of a true standout attribute, in combination with average size makes his projection a bit murky. I really like him at this point as a mid/later round option. Higher than that, I'm just not sure. 

26. Cole Brown - Wing - Hamilton Bulldogs
The production isn't great, but Brown is the kind of intriguing athlete that teams have been selecting in the mid rounds a lot lately. There is a wide range of outcomes regarding Brown's development because I feel like he's still finding his way in the league. It will be interesting to see how he plays in the second half with a ton of ice time and powerplay responsibility. At this point, Brown is very much a North/South winger who knows his role is to get to the net. He relishes in this and he finds success in it. He flashes an ability to drive wide, using his length/frame to protect the puck too. However, he disappears for stretches and needs to find a way to impact the game more consistently without the puck. Maybe that's as a forechecker. As a physical component. As a two-way winger (using that length). The skating isn't terrible for a player of his size at this age, but adding more explosiveness would definitely be key moving forward. It would help him to be better in pretty much every facet. 

27. Owen Outwater - Center - Kingston Frontenacs
Since acquiring Outwater, it's been interesting to see the chemistry develop at this level between he and Soto, former minor hockey teammates with the Oakville Rangers. I kind of see them as polar opposites to be honest and perhaps that's why it's working well. Outwater is this athletic, but raw pivot who is currently at his best when he can push pace. He's quite quick for a big, lanky pivot and he uses his speed to drive the middle. At times, this is to a fault, as he can try to drive through people when he should be dishing off; there is some tunnel vision at play here. I'm actually not completely convinced that he's a center long term. But, for now, he is being developed as such. I'm also not completely sold on the high end skill level, which means the rest of his game is going to really need to round into form, but there is definitely an intriguing package of athleticism here. Kind of like Brown, the range of outcomes is vast.

28. Lucas Moore - Defense - Hamilton Bulldogs
Moore is an undersized, right shot defender who has quietly been very good for the Bulldogs this year. There's a real simplicity to his game as a puck mover. He transitions quickly and is comfortable making an exit pass or using his feet to clear the defensive zone. He's not a completely dynamic linear attacker, but his four way mobility is sound. His decision making in the offensive zone is solid too. Makes quick decisions, uses his feet to get clearance, gets pucks on net. Defensively, I like the intensity level to make up for his lack of size. But he can chase the play at times and for a player with good mobility, his footwork can get sloppy defending attackers with pace. I'm not entirely convinced that he's more than a really good OHL defender in the future, but there's enough positives that I'd still look at him in the mid to late rounds. 

29. Angus MacDonell - Center - Mississauga Steelheads
One of the many new pieces brought in by the Steelheads, I really like MacDonell. I think he's a future captain in the league and someone who will be a really good OHL player. His energy level on the ice is infectious and consistent. It's go, go, go. He's not a big kid at 5'10, but he competes hard and is just a solid all around player. The rest of the skill set probably grades out as average. His shot is probably the best of that; there's a solid goal scoring ceiling here. Would he be better as an attacking winger? Hard to say. I'd say yes, but we'll see how Mississauga develops him. The upside likely isn't very high, but he's an easy player to like and cheer for. His intangibles should get him a look in the later rounds.

30. Valentin Zhugin - Wing - Guelph Storm
At this point of my rankings, I see most of the guys listed as long shots to be drafted this year. So I'm going to rank a guy like Zhugin pretty high. His upside is quite high. He is extremely quick and he is very skilled. Zhugin is a dynamic transitional attacker. When you watch Guelph play, he always seems to stand out, but the production just doesn't match the eye test. Why is that? I'm not sure the processing ability is great. A lot of his impressive rushes end up not really creating much in the way of a dangerous opportunity. Additionally, he needs to find a way to work between the hash marks more consistently. There is a need to add strength and physical intensity to his game. I could see a team taking a swing at him late because of his speed and skill combo.

31. Matthew Mayich - Defense - Ottawa 67's
Mayich has been really good for the 67's this year; one of the team's unsung heroes thus far. He's a 6'2 defender with good mobility and a strong defensive IQ. His projection at the next level would definitely be as a stay at home type, however he shows flashes of being a capable puck mover too. Is there offensive upside? Tough to say.

32. James Petrovski - Defense - Owen Sound Attack
Another good sized defender (6'3), Petrovski is definitely a lot more raw than Mayich. He hasn't really found that niche in the league that many expected he could carve out. His four way mobility is pretty decent for a big kid and he shows flashes of being very good at both ends of the ice. However, consistency has been an issue. Puck management has been an issue. Kind of a similar player to Nolan Collins last year when the Pens took him in the sixth round.

33. Donovan McCoy - Defense - Peterborough Petes
McCoy has been a disappointment for me this year. Really thought he'd have a monster breakout year, but that just hasn't happened. I like the mobility. I like the defensive zone intensity. He's playing a lot for the Petes, which is great, but the fact that his offensive game and decision making haven't taken that next step is concerning in regards to his upside. Way too early to give up on him, but as a late born 2004, the expectations were going to be higher. 

34. Joey Costanzo - Goaltender - Windsor Spitfires
It is bizarre to me that Costanzo was not listed at all by NHL Central Scouting. Do I think he's a lock to be drafted? No. But I think he's the better goaltender and a better goaltending prospect than the other four OHL goalies they listed. Costanzo has been terrific for Windsor since coming over from Niagara. This is especially true of late. He never quits on a play. He's athletic. He could be the starter for one of the main contenders in the OHL. 

35. Konnor Smith - Defense - Peterborough Petes
Massive stay at home defender is one of the most physical players in the OHL. The 6'5 behemoth is one mean customer. He truly suffocates in the defensive end. But his play with the puck is pretty weak at this point. Turnovers are an issue in the defensive end. Four way mobility is a concern too. But, I'd bet on him being drafted late because of how he could project as a depth, shutdown crease clearer.

36. Adam Zidlicky - Wing - Mississauga Steelheads
Very curious to see how Zidlicky does with more ice time and responsibility in Mississauga. Decent results so far. Look, I don't think the upside is high. But Zidlicky is a hard worker, has a nose for the net, and I think could potentially develop into a useful role player at the next level if his skill development can take that next step. The bloodlines are great.

37. Anthony Romani - Wing - North Bay Battalion
Romani is another guy that I think eventually becomes a really good OHL player. He's pretty skilled. His hands in tight are particularly impressive. I think he sees the ice pretty well and is a responsible two-way player. Romani is versatile. If he were a better skater, he'd be a more consistent offensive contributor and that's the next step for him. Could be the kind of guy who suddenly explodes with greater conditioning, or he could be more of a solid OHL player only type.

38. Matthew Andonovski - Defense - Kitchener Rangers
Another defender with good size, mobility, and physicality. But another guy I'm not certain has the skill or sense with the puck to be a longtime NHL defender. How he plays down the stretch for the Rangers will dictate where he ends up slotting in for the draft, especially in comparison to the likes of Mayich, Petrovski, Smith, etc.

39. Chris Barlas - Center/Wing - Ottawa 67's
Honestly, Barlas is probably not an NHL draft prospect this year, but I'm listing him anyway. He's not big, but he competes hard. He knows his role on this 67's team is to provide energy from the bottom six and he does just that. His combination of quickness, physicality, ability to protect the puck, and shot should make him a quality goal scorer at some point during his junior career. Can he be a high energy, bottom six guy in the NHL too if he develops accordingly?

40. Luke McNamara - Center - Saginaw Spirit
Center with good size who just hasn't put it all together consistently in the OHL. He can have a few shifts every game where he flashes impressive potential as a play driver, but mixes that in with too many where he's not visible. Would love to see him use his size to attack the net more consistently and be more assertive. Was originally touted as one of the better goal scorers in this age group and in order for that to happen, he'll need to increase his intensity.

41. Ethan Hay - Center - Flint Firebirds
Really good defensive center who can take key faceoffs. Solid enough skater. Intelligent. I'm just not sure he's skilled enough to be a true offensive catalyst. Can he have a similar trajectory to a guy like Tyler Gaudet (a blast from the past who ended up earning an NHL contract but now plays in Germany)?

42. Marco Mignosa - Wing - Soo Greyhounds
At this point the physical tools just haven't caught up to the brain. Mignosa is very clearly a smart player. He understands how to position himself in the offensive zone and his anticipation/reads are usually spot on. I think he looks quicker this year too. However, there's still work to be done as a skater and in terms of his strength on the puck. He's too easily kept to the perimeter and that limits his production and his projection.

43. Calem Mangone - Wing - Saginaw Spirit
I really like Mangone. He's really fun to watch when he's on his game because of how quick and skilled he is. He's tenacious too, which is good for his long term projection. However, the last few months he just hasn't been quite as effective. Maybe partially snake bitten, but also not noticeable enough as a late born 2004, who also happens to be undersized. 

44. Juan Copeland - Wing - Niagara IceDogs
Hard for players on this Niagara team to look good at this point of the season. It's been a rough year for the franchise. Copeland is the team's best hope at the NHL Draft IMO. Good speed and creativity on the wing. Is at his best when he's attacking wide and looking to get to the net. His decision making with the puck leaves some to be desired, but he's going to be a point per game player in this league and probably a 35+ goal scorer by the time he graduates. Not sure he's a true NHL prospect, but I've always been intrigued by him.

45. Charlie Robertson - Goaltender - North Bay Battalion
Big goalie who is going to play in the CHL Top Prospect's Game this year. Other than Bjarnason and Ratzlaff, it's not a strong year for goalies in the CHL, so that's Robertson's gain and a great opportunity to impress scouts considering his back-up role in North Bay this year. Tall and lanky, Robertson kind of resembles a young Matt Murray in the crease from an appearance perspective. He's actually very aggressive in challenging shooters, something you don't often see from big, young netminders who usually seem more comfortable playing deep. His agility and quickness is a work in progress, as you might expect. Consistency has also been a bit of an issue, which is not a surprise. Bottom line, Robertson is getting a look because he's big, shows some positive play tracking ability, and could have great potential if he can continue to get quicker in the crease.

46. Nic Sima - Wing - Saginaw Spirit
Sima is a big winger with good speed; he's an intriguing athlete. The rest of his game remains a work in progress. North/South, he looks good. He can operate as the F1. He uses his length well on the backcheck. He shows promise as a transitional leader. But the hands and finishing ability need to improve for him to score consistently in this league. If you draft Sima, you're banking on unlocking his potential based on his athletic build and traits.

47. Declan Waddick - Wing/Center - Niagara IceDogs
Not the biggest. Not the quickest. Maybe that means I've lost you already. But Waddick is an impressive thinker on the ice. Always puts himself in good position to make a play. Has a good compete level. I think he's eventually going to be a very good player in this league. But an NHL prospect? That will be reliant on whether he can get quicker.

48. Alex Assadourian - Center - Niagara IceDogs
He's been fantastic since the trade to Niagara. I love to see this because I was a big fan of his heading into the year. He's ultra quick, but I feel like he's still learning how to use his speed to be a truly effective all around, impact player in the OHL. Getting more ice time in Niagara hopefully unlocks that and the early returns are great. At his best, Assadourian is a feisty, speedy, play driving pest. There's NHL upside there if he can prove that he has the skill to play at the next level.

49. Alexis Daviault - Defense - Erie Otters
It's been a pretty disappointing season for Daviault. He came into the year as one of the better defenders in the age group, but he's been very underwhelming this year. As a U17 player, we saw someone who was aggressive (for his size) in the defensive end, but who also showed promise as a puck mover. This season, I don't think he's been as aggressive defensively and thus, not as effective given that he's only average sized. And he's been fairly timid with the puck, especially in his time with Erie. The big return of the Christian Kyrou trade needs to turn things around.

50. Bronson Ride - Defense - Niagara IceDogs
Massive defender who is now going to get significantly more ice time with Niagara after a move from Windsor. His potential as a defensive stalwart is great. His mobility isn't terrible considering his size and when combined with his reach, he can be very disruptive. The key for Ride is simply to become more difficult to play against physically. For a big guy, his ability to win those 50/50 battles has been pretty inconsistent. Additionally, decision making with the puck...especially under pressure, has been an issue. Could see an NHL team looking his way late banking on defensive upside, but let's see how he closes out the year.



Friday, January 13, 2023

2023 NHL Central Scouting Midterm Rankings

NHL Central Scouting has released their first official draft ranking for 2023. Let's see how the OHL players were ranked. In total, 55 were listed. I'll be releasing my own midseason rankings very shortly (likely by the end of the month). See below for some commentary on these rankings.

Skaters:
1. Colby Barlow (10)
2. Quentin Musty (11)
3. Calum Ritchie (17)
4. Oliver Bonk (18)
5. Beau Akey (25)
6. Cam Allen (29)
7. Carson Rehkopf (31)
8. Andrew Gibson (32)
9. Hunter Brzustewicz (33)
10. Quinton Burns (37)
11. Coulson Pitre (41)
12. Brad Gardiner (43)
13. Ethan Miedema (45)
14. Ondrej Molnar (48)
15. Luca Pinelli (49)
16. Carey Terrance (50)
17. Tristan Bertucci (51)
18. Alex Pharand (54)
19. Matthew Mania (62)
20. Cooper Foster (74)
21. Easton Cowan (75)
22. Owen Outwater (76)
23. Denver Barkey (84)
24. Konnor Smith (87)
25. Matthew Soto (88)
26. Ethan Hay (90)
27. Luke McNamara (92)
28. Nick Lardis (96)
29. Florian Xhekaj (103)
30. Cole Brown (105)
31. Matthew Andonovski (115)
32. James Petrovski (116)
33. Matthew Mayich (122)
34. Blake Smith (123)
35. Nic Sima (133)
36. Spencer Sova (136)
37. Djibril Toure (156)
38. Alexis Daviault (169)
39. Anthony Romani (170)
40. Chris Barlas (171)
41. Angus MacDonell (172)
42. Joey Willis (174)
43. Calem Mangone (176)
44. Marco Mignosa (191)
45. Donovan McCoy (192)
46. Lucas Moore (207)
47. Bronson Ride (210)
48. PJ Forgione (214)
49. Wyatt Kennedy (216)
50. Valentin Zhugin (219)
51. Adam Zidlicky (220)

Goaltenders:
1. Charlie Robertson (12)
2. Nathan Day (14)
3. Charlie Schenkel (23)
4. Zach Bowen (29)

For the full list, see here.

Comments:

1. When we compare this to my own rankings (nearly solidified) the following players would be ranked higher by me: Carey Terrance, Luca Pinelli, Matthew Mania, Denver Barkey, Joey Willis, Easton Cowan, Nick Lardis, Angus MacDonell.

2. When we compare this to my own rankings (nearly solidified) the following players would be ranked lower by me: Oliver Bonk, Brad Gardiner, Cooper Foster, Konnor Smith.

3. This list looks similar to what I expected it to look like given NHL Central Scouting's track record. I expected guys like Barkey, Willis, Lardis, etc to be lower. I expected Bonk to be ranked quite high. The only real surprise for me is Carey Terrance. He's the type of player that NHL CSS typically really likes. I think they're underrating him because of the quality of the team he's playing on and subsequent production deficits. Similarly, the fact that so few OHL players ranked highly is not surprising. At this point, I'd set the over/under at 3.5 for the number of OHL players selected in the first round this year.

4. Good to see Spencer Sova ranked. I think he's the top re-entry guy from the OHL currently. I'd even be more aggressive with that ranking than 136. A bit surprised to see Linus Hemstrom not on the list. I think he deserves to be.