The 2nd part of my Top 50 OHL players available for the 2019 NHL Entry
Draft. This is where we actually dive into the Top 50, with players
ranked 50 through to 31.
31. Jack York - Defense - Barrie Colts
Split the year between Kitchener and Barrie after a three team deal that saw him go to the Colts in December. The trade really allowed him to get more ice time, especially on the powerplay and his game blossomed as a result. York is excellent running the point. He has great instincts and really identifies passing and shooting lanes well. Doesn't force shots through traffic and makes very quick decisions to ensure that puck movement is fluid. York also has a terrific point shot that will see him score his share of goals in the OHL before he graduates from the league. Defensively, I think York's play can best be described as inconsistent. At times he can become complacent back there and lose sight of the play. At times he doesn't keep his feet moving and his average mobility can be exploited. And at times, turnovers can be an issue from not being assertive enough. But, the flip side is that at other times, York looks like a great two-way defender who exhibits good positioning in the defensive end and who is great at getting his stick in passing lanes. With his vision up ice, he can start the breakout quickly and should eventually develop into a great offensive asset 5 on 5. York, of course, also has great bloodlines, being the son of former NHL'er Jason York. The biggest issue that scouts may have with York though, is his average feet. He's an average mover and with his average size, there may be projection issues moving forward, especially with him being, primarily, an offensively oriented defender. If he could find a way to improve his acceleration, in particular, it would really help him to be a bigger part of the transition game and would see him take more control of the game. York finished the season extremely well in Barrie and is definitely trending in the right direction from a development standpoint, even if he's a little older than your average draft eligible player (missed the 2018 cut off by a few days).
32. Mason Millman - Defense - Saginaw Spirit
Millman had an excellent year for the Spirit, his first full season in the OHL. He was particularly good in the playoffs for Saginaw, as they pushed their way to the Western Conference finals. One of Millman's best assets is his skating ability. He is very fluid and covers ground very well. Tough to get by him in the defensive end, as his backwards and lateral mobility are excellent. And his forward stride is smooth and allows him to quickly skate the puck out of trouble in his own end when needed. Also like how he uses his feet when running the point on the powerplay. Will open up passing and shooting lanes with quick cuts or stops and exhibits patience with the puck. All that said, I do have some questions as to Millman's overall offensive potential. At times, I do think he lacks urgency with the puck and seems hesitant to extend his rushes or take chances. He also does not currently possess a point shot that could be deemed as a major scoring threat, nor does he shoot the puck very often. Now, both of these things could be related to the fact that this was Millman's first year in the OHL and he just needs a little more confidence at this level. Millman offers well as a mobile two-way defender with intrigue over just how much his production can improve.
33. Mason Primeau - Forward - North Bay Battalion
Massive center at 6'5, with some NHL bloodlines (son of Wayne Primeau). Moved from Guelph to North Bay this year, which allowed him to get more ice time down the stretch and into the first round of the playoffs. If there is a coach out there in the OHL who does well with big and raw forwards, it's Stan Butler. In North Bay, I thought Primeau's compete level without the puck was significantly higher and that is going to be key for his development moving forward. If he can learn to use his size consistently to engage in the offensive end, (forcing turnovers, dominating the wall, dominating near the net), he could turn into a real player. There is definitely some puck skill there and he shows well at times, moving across the blueline as he looks to attack the middle of the ice. Obviously with his size, he can be difficult to separate from the puck, especially as he draws nearer to the crease. As he adds bulk to his frame and becomes even stronger, it will be interesting to see just how unstoppable he can become below the dots. I also wonder just how much room for improvement there is in his skating. Primeau is alright once he gets going, but his slow starts allow him to be pinned in the neutral zone sometimes, and really prevent him from being a consistent offensive contributor. Again, in North Bay, he's in good hands for the type of player he should become. He was also one of the few Battalion players to show up in the first round of the playoffs. While size is less important in today's NHL, there will always be room for 6'5 centers who can play like Primeau.
34. Danil Antropov - Forward - Oshawa Generals
Late December 2000 born winger is the son of former Toronto Maple Leaf Nik Antropov. There are definitely a lot of similarities in their games. Danil can be a very effective player in the offensive zone when he uses his size to his advantage. Can be a major asset in terms of puck protection because he does shield the puck well, especially coming off of the wall. He also possesses good vision when operating down low and is very much a pass first player who does exhibit poise and confidence with the puck. As such, he's an asset on the powerplay who can work that half wall or even behind the net. Danil likes to slow the game down, just as his father did, rather than play with a ton of pace. And that's likely where NHL scouts have a few concerns. I think he also needs to be more hungry for the puck and play less on the perimeter. If he used his size more to attack the middle, crash the net, and really battle for those 50/50 pucks, he'd be a more effective and consistently noticeable player. Other than an increase in ice time, I wouldn't necessarily say that his game progressed a lot from his second to third year in the league. But he is a winger with size and skill, who, if he can play with a little more urgency and pace, would become a very solid NHL prospect. Despite a disappointing year, I was surprised to see him drop out of NHL Central Scouting's rankings all together.
35. Navrin Mutter - Forward - Hamilton Bulldogs
The ultimate wild card. Is there a place in the game for guys like Mutter still? I think the success of the Matt Martin, Casey Cizikas, and Cal Clutterbuck line in New York this year would suggest there is. It's an extremely fine line, but if you can play the game as hard as Mutter does, but stay out of the box, you can really be an asset for your team. Mutter is possibly the most physical forward in the OHL. He is like a human torpedo out there at times. And he does use that physicality for good quite often; on the forecheck especially. But he crosses that line far too often still and finds himself in the box or suspended for hits that just don't have a place in the game anymore. So the question is, can Mutter eventually figure out a way to harness his energy level? And just how much offensive ability does he possess? At times this year, I thought Mutter looked very effective with the puck. He earned promotions to scoring lines and powerplay units and did not look out of place. His shot is heavy and if he can get himself in better scoring position, he could really develop that side of his game. I think his skating has really improved over his two years in the OHL too. There is progression as more than just a brute. Whether Mutter gets drafted or not will tell us a lot about how the game has changed in the eyes of NHL scouts. 10-15 years ago, Mutter would have been an automatic selection as a big kid with some raw skill and a ton of physicality and energy. Now, I'm just not as certain.
36. Lucas Peric - Defense - Ottawa 67's
I think that this guy possesses a ton of potential as a puck moving defender, but just was not able to showcase that on one of the top teams in the CHL, who also happens to have one of the deepest defensive corps. Peric has terrific overall mobility and is an effortless skater. He could eventually be a big time asset in the transition game as the leash comes off a bit and he starts extending his rushes deeper into the offensive zone. He escapes the forecheck very well, but is more likely to make a quick exit pass or a dump in, rather than continue with the puck through the neutral zone. As such, it was tough to get a read on his puck skill without that confidence. But there were flashes throughout the year where he would go end to end and you'd say, "man why doesn't this guy do that more often?" I also think his mobility could be a big asset as a powerplay QB. He walks the line so well and is able to keep pucks in and be that general back there. Defensively, Peric is solid too. Doesn't make a ton of mistakes and is just quietly effective, although he could stand to increase his intensity level a bit and add some strength to handle bigger forwards in front of the net. Some people may look at Peric and see a well rounded defender with not a lot of projection as a pro, but I definitely see a potential puck mover who could explode if he were given more responsibility and ice time. If I were an NHL GM, I would definitely have him circled on my list as a late round pick possibility or a camp invite, at the very least.
37. Brayden Guy - Forward - Sarnia Sing
Competitive winger who was a very effective role player for Sarnia this year, finishing fourth on the Sting with 17 even strength goals (also good for 7th among all first time draft eligible players in the OHL this year). Guy is the type of kid who knows his role on the ice. Drives the net. Battles along the wall. Competes in all three zones. Can kill penalties. Can be the net front presence on a powerplay. He's certainly not the fastest guy on the ice, nor is he the most skilled with the puck. But he knows how to play without the puck and he never seems to give up on a play. As he gains more responsibility, maybe there's room for improvement as a puck carrier. Likely room for improvement as a skater too. But, all good teams have players like Guy.
38. Andrew Perrott - Defense - Owen Sound Attack
Physical, stay at home defender who is the son of former NHL depth player Nathan Perrott. Perrott was one of my favourite 2001's last year, but his game didn't progress a ton this year. Was traded to Owen Sound near the deadline in exchange for veteran Kevin Hancock. Perrott is one of the most physical young defenders in the OHL. He has the potential to develop into a real rock in the defensive end in the OHL (think along the lines of former Battalion workhorse Zach Bell). Love how aggressive he is with his zone entry denials. Loves stepping up on incoming forwards. But his skating will have to improve. Slippery forwards can really exploit his over aggressiveness and mediocre mobility off the rush. Perrott's puck skill is raw. He flashes the ability to be a puck carrier and will make some moves, especially inside the offensive zone when trying to hold the line, that make you believe he has more offensively in him. In a way, there are some comparisons to the way Tyler Tucker was last year when the Blues rolled the dice late in the draft on him only to have him really come out of his shell this year. I wonder if the same happens to Perrott. Physical defenders like him don't grow on trees anymore.
39. Cody Morgan - Forward - Flint Firebirds
Former first round pick who is already on his third organization, but he fit in like a glove after a trade to the Firebirds, posting a point per game over 30 contests and even managed to come out with a positive +/-, a remarkable feat on a last place club. Morgan does a really good job of controlling pace in the offensive end. The type of player who can slow things down and tire out opposing defenses by maintaining possession through the cycle until he sees an opening. Has that Gabriel Vilardi like quality. Later in the year, we really started to see him come out of his shell and play with more pace and creativity. That is something that we really haven't seen from him in the OHL so far. But given his average size at 5'11, this is something that he's going to have to do more often if he wants to be on the NHL radar. I do think that he's a good skater, it's just not something he shows often. But in his last 11 games he had 9 goals, 4 assists. Very encouraging. I don't think we've seen the best from him yet and I wonder if an NHL team throws a later pick at him in hopes that he continues to evolve and gain confidence as part of a solid Flint team moving forward.
40. Nathan Staois - Defense - Windsor Spitfires
Really wish
that Staois was bigger. But it's pretty tough for 5'8 defenders to draw
serious NHL attention, even in today's faster paced game where size
isn't as imperative. Staois moves exceptionally well. Has that Ryan
Merkley like edgework that he uses to maintain possession of the puck,
especially when escaping pressure in his own end, or when working the
point of the powerplay. Staois also competes well in his own end and
plays a lot bigger than his size, similar to a guy like Mac Hollowell in
the Soo. Doesn't back down from any challenge, even if he doesn't
always come out on the right side of them. Even though I really like
watching Staois play, I find it tough to rank him much higher because
the offensive production just wasn't that high. The skating ability is
top notch, but I don't know if the hands/puck skill and vision are also,
which could limit his offensive potential moving forward. A guy like
Hollowell had to go through a draft before he was taken, after he proved
that his offensive capabilities could take that next step. I wonder if
Staois will have the same fate.
41. Eric Uba - Forward - Flint Firebirds
Another Firebird here, and I don't think that Morgan and Uba could be more different as players. Uba is a North/South attacker who is at his best when the pace picks up. Uba is ultra aggressive in attacking the net and has quick hands that allow him to make creative plays while at full speed. He is very effective at putting defenders on his back and plays a lot bigger than his 6'0 frame. Uba also has a sneaky wrister that he loves to shoot coming down the wing. As a penalty killer, his energy level and aggressiveness are big time assets, and having seen him a bit during his time with the Oakville Blades, I would say his skating has improved a lot. A late 2000 born, Uba was playing in only his first OHL season, but I thought that he was one of Flint's most consistent players from beginning to end (even when the team was struggling to start the year). That has to be worth something. I feel like Uba is going to develop into a very good OHL scorer at some point, just a matter of whether he has pro potential or not.
42. Camaryn Baber - Forward - Saginaw Spirit
A little bit surprised that he has flown under the radar so much this year. First year OHL player who started out as a depth player but slowly gained more ice time as the season went on and by the time the playoffs rolled around, he had fully earned coach Lazary's trust. Had 7 points in 17 games in the postseason, largely operating as the Spirit's fourth line center. Doesn't possess top end speed, but he's got good acceleration that allows him to be quick to loose pucks and quick to openings. Combine that with some tenacity and you have an effective player in all three zones who is noticeable even when the puck isn't on his stick. At 5'11, he doesn't have elite size down the middle, and his physical tools would probably be considered average. But there's a lot to like about his game and the progression he showed from September to April in his first OHL season.
43. Tyler Angle - Forward - Windsor Spitfires
Angle is a competitive, high energy center who is terrific in puck pursuit and whose motor never seems to waver. Even with Windsor going through some ups and downs this year, Angle was largely a consistent performer for them and a guy that was shuffled around different lines in hopes of using him as a spark plug to get different wingers going. At only 5'9, Angle actually excels in traffic and is great along the wall where he always seems to keep his feet moving. He isn't the most creative player, but he protects the puck well and is great working the dump and chase game. With his lack of size, and late 2000 birth date, Angle seems like a long shot to be drafted. But his consistent energy is infectious and impossible to ignore.
44. Emmett Sproule - Forward - Erie Otters
Sproule really improved as the year went on, which is obviously extremely encouraging. Undersized at 5'10, but he possesses terrific speed and is a solid North/South winger who can really be effective off of the rush. Early on in the year, it seemed like a lot of plays died on his stick because he was unable to handle the puck at full speed, or maintain possession through traffic. But his ability to operate with the puck really improved later in the year and he became extremely dangerous in transition. Also noticed a big difference in his confidence level in attacking the net and playing with more fire. Would love to see him shoot the puck a little more, but is a quick and dynamic playmaker with more offensive potential than he has shown so far. Is going to be a big part of Erie's future moving forward.
45. Kyen Sopa - Forward - Niagara IceDogs
Late 2000 born, first year Import from Switzerland, Sopa was an effective role player for the IceDogs this year. At 5'9, he's like the little engine that could out there. Constantly battling for every inch of ice and shows no fear playing through traffic. For a smaller player, Sopa really protects the puck well in tight and is difficult to separate from the puck. He also shows well in puck pursuit, using his speed to attack and his strength to force turnovers. That said, I wonder about his offensive potential, both in the OHL and moving forward to professional leagues. He's not the most creative or individually skilled with the puck. And I don't think his hockey sense or vision is high end either. He works hard and he can finish, but undersized role players aren't usually high on NHL scouts wish lists. But he deserves to be on this list for what he was able to do with limited ice time this year on a deep Niagara team.
46. Kari Piiroinen - Goaltender - Windsor Spitfires
Highly touted Finnish netminder was supposed to be the incumbent to Dipietro in Windsor. And while he had some solid outings and flashed potential, his rookie OHL season had to be largely considered a disappointment. Piiroinen is definitely an athletic netminder. He moves well post to post and is capable of making those highlight reel saves. And his quick legs are great at taking away the bottom part of the net. But he really struggled with a few things that prevented him from being consistent. First was rebound control. I found him to have particular trouble with shots up high and he gave up way too many second chances. Second was fighting through traffic to make saves, and again, being able to secure those initial shots to make sure additional chances were limited. It will be interesting to see what Windsor does next year. They could obviously bring him back, but it also wouldn't shock me if they cut him loose in hopes that Xavier Medina and Colton Incze can run the show as a platoon.
47. Grayson Ladd - Defense - Windsor Spitfires
A quality stay at home defender, Ladd had his OHL season end prematurely after suffering a broken thumb in late January. Ladd is very much a modern day shutdown defender who uses mobility and a good stick to shutdown the opposition, as opposed to physicality. IMO Ladd is one of the more intelligent young defenders in the OHL. It's pretty rare that you see him miss an assignment or make a mistake in his own end. Ladd also has really improved his first pass and has cut down on his mistakes with the puck. If only he could use his mobility to be a little more aggressive as an offensive player, but he does not yet possesses the puck skill or the confidence. Ladd is also not a threat on the point and does seem to struggle when in the offensive zone. But as I said, there are not many OHL'ers in this top 50 that are as good as Ladd is in his own end. Compounding things is the fact that Ladd requires offseason shoulder surgery that will disrupt offseason training and perhaps even the start of next year. We've seen the trouble that a guy like Connor Hall has had with shoulder injuries, I wonder if that, along with his lack of offensive abilities, scares away NHL teams come June.
48. Ashton Reesor - Defense - Sarnia Sting
Another stay at home defender, Reesor logged some big minutes for the Sting this year, even if the statistical production isn't very glamorous. As an offensive player, he has some limitations, even more so than Grayson Ladd. Reesor opts for safe chip outs, or deferrals to his partner most of the time and will need to improve his ability to handle the forecheck and make plays with the puck. But, he has some impressive physical gifts that will catch the attention of NHL scouts. At 6'3, he has that long reach to make him very difficult to maneuver around. And he's good at using his size down low, boxing out attackers to prevent them from recovering dump ins, or preventing them from establishing position near the crease. His mobility isn't quite as good as Ladd's, but it's still pretty decent for a 6'3, first year OHL defender. Similar to Ladd, I'm just not sure if there's enough potential to warrant a draft pick, but he's going to be a very good OHL defender by the time he graduates.
49. Nathan Allensen - Defense - Barrie Colts
Compact, yet mobile two way defender who was a standout in his rookie year last year, but who failed to take that next step forward from a progression stand point this year. Allensen, while possessing only average size at 5'11, is built similar to a guy like Travis Dermott and plays a lot bigger than his size would indicate. Allensen is consistently engaged physically and shows well when he is aggressive in preventing zone entry or net drives. He also has a strong lower body which helps him to gain leverage along the wall. Allensen also has impressive four way mobility and is a fluid skater, although his forward stride does lack some power which prevents him from being more of a factor offensively. His breakout pass is solid though and he is someone who does not commit a ton of turnovers in his own end. To summarize, Allensen is just a very solid all around defender. But he's also 5'11 and lacks high end upside as a pro player. The lack of growth in his game from year one to year two speaks to that. While he should be a quality five year OHL player, and eventually a top 3 defender for the Colts, at this point he is probably a long shot to be drafted despite his well rounded game,
50. Liam Van Loon - Forward - Hamilton Bulldogs
It seemed like every time I thought Van Loon was going to get going this year, after a couple of strong performances, he'd disappear for stretches afterward. That lack of consistency finds him as the last player ranked inside the top 50. When he's at his best, Van Loon is someone who brings relentless energy as an attacker. He uses good speed to be an active forechecker and to track down loose pucks, and competes in all three zones. He can drive the net or work the wall and proved to be an excellent support player, at times this year, on scoring lines because of his ability to open up space for his linemates. But his puck skill lacks polish and it prevents him from being able to compete with higher skilled players right now. Too often plays would die on his stick. And for someone who has such a high compete level at times, he would go stretches of being invisible. I really like Van Loon as an OHL player and I think he will eventually develop into a terrific 2nd/3rd line winger who can chip in offensively and kill penalties. But at times this year, he really struggled to find or maintain his identity in that role. With only average size and a lack of projection as an offensive contributor, Van Loon may not be on many NHL draft lists.
Tuesday, May 21, 2019
Monday, May 20, 2019
My Final Top 50 OHL Players for the 2019 NHL Entry Draft - Part 1: Honorable Mentions
The
Under 18's have wrapped up (where Canada finished 4th). The OHL
playoffs have completed; Congrats to the Guelph Storm. And the Memorial Cup is under way. The
race to the draft is on. We're about a month away from the 2019 NHL
Entry Draft, so that means it's time for me to release my rankings.
The top 50 will be released in four parts: Part 1 - Honorable Mentions, Part 2 - Prospects 50-31, Part 3 - Prospects 30-11, and Part 4 - Prospects 10-1.
Just for clarification, for my top 50 ranking, I haven't included any players eligible for draft re-entry, such as Pavel Gogolev and Nando Eggenberger. This has been consistent all the way through my lists. Instead, I did a list of the top 10 draft re-entries, which can be found here.
Also for clarification, this list is MY list of the top 50 OHL prospects, as if I were drafting for my own team. In other words, this isn't a list of where I THINK or believe players will go, but a ranking of my own opinion on the top players eligible for this draft based on my viewings this season. If you want a draft projection and information about players outside the OHL, be sure to check out McKeens Hockey (who will be releasing a draft guide soon) or order a product like the Future Considerations Draft Guide.
This first part includes the Honorable Mentions of my list. These are the players who received consideration for my top 50, but who fell just short. There are 20 in total. Last year, zero players were taken from my HM's. This year, I would be shocked if more than 1 goes from this HM list. While all of these guys most definitely have potential, they remain long shots who need to put in a lot of work to be serious NHL prospects.
Here are my HM's (in alphabetical order)...
Anthony Aguanno - Defense - Kingston Frontenacs
Tough to stand out as a defender on that Kingston squad this year, given how bad they were. Consistently hemmed in their own end, it did not give Aguanno much opportunity to show his offensive potential as a puck mover. But he did see powerplay time and holds the line well there, showing potential with a nice point shot and vision. In the defensive end, he is a very competitive player who plays much bigger than his 5'11 frame. From what I've seen, his mobility does need work, especially for a smaller defender. There were times where he was beaten wide or beaten to loose pucks by attacking forwards. And he wasn't able to consistently evade the forecheck the way his teammate Billy Constantinou did, given his advantage in the skating department.
Luke Bignell - Forward - Barrie Colts
Late 2000 born center had a disappointing season offensively, as he came into the year ranked and looked like a potential NHL draft pick. But he failed to take a step forward in progression in his second year and finds himself an extreme long shot to be taken. Bignell is a hard working player who keeps things simple with a fierce north/south style. Drives the middle of the ice with authority and is active as a forechecker. But he struggles to keep the puck on his stick at times and his hands haven't yet developed to the point where he can be considered a consistent offensive threat. Also needs to work on his faceoff ability, as he posted one of the lowest win percentages of any OHL player who took over 400 draws this year. Could be better to move him to the wing where the game would be simplified for him.
Luke Cavallin - Goaltender - Flint Firebirds
Tough year for Cavallin. Came into the year as someone who could push to be the top ranked goalie from the OHL, but he actually regressed instead of progressed. Cavallin has the physical tools to be an NHL goaltending prospect and a quality goaltender in the OHL. He has size. He is athletic. And he shows flashes of being the player that Flint thought they were getting when they drafted him so early in 2017. But this year, his confidence just seemed to be shot from the team's poor start to the year. He gets himself out of position too often, with his movements being erratic. Over commiting to the play was a big problem for him, as was going down too early, where he tried to rely on his athleticism to scramble. Tons of potential here still, so long as he can improve his composure in the crease and really refine his angles and movement.
Erik Cermak - Forward - Peterborough Petes
Tough player to get a read on this year. Saw action on the wing and at center for Peterborough, but never really drove the play. In my viewings of the Petes, he always seemed to be a passenger on whatever line he was on. Could work the dump and chase relatively well, and moves well in the offensive end. But was too easily muscled off of the puck and struggled to make a consistent impact. Came into the year as an Import with a fair amount of hype too, so his performance was a tad disappointing.
Nico Daws - Goaltender - Guelph Storm
Massive goaltender with a late 2000 birthday, who measures in at 6'5, 225lbs. Daws certainly takes up a ton of the net. Is able to play a little deeper in his net with that size and follows the play pretty well. Looked more athletic to me than he did last year as an OHL rookie and I think definitely possesses the potential to be a starter in the OHL. Just needs to work on his consistency and his ability to handle rebounds.
Ryan Dugas - Goaltender - Kingston Frontenacs
Only played 15 games this year, in his rookie OHL season, because of an ankle injury suffered over the December/January holiday break. Good sized goalie with good athleticism. When I saw him play early in the year, I was impressed with his quickness for a big kid. Definitely has a lot of potential in this league if he can come back healthy. Would have likely established himself as Kingston's starter in the second half had he not gotten injured and perhaps enters next year as likely starter for the rebuilding Fronts.
Dalton Duhart - Forward - Barrie Colts
The centerpiece of the Joey Keane deal with London, Duhart is a competitive, possession driven center who figures to be a relatively big piece of the Colts moving forward. Has a big impact on the game below the hash marks, where his drive and awareness are best utilized. Is able to prolong possession in the offensive end by working the wall and as he gets stronger, he should be a tough player to stop near the crease. His skating would be classified as only average though and limits his effectiveness in transition at this point in time.
Tim Fleischer - Forward - Hamilton Bulldogs
Was firmly entrenched on my list most of this season, but he really seemed to fizzle out in the second half of the season. Combine that with the fact that he's a late 2000 born, and I don't think you have a guy who is an NHL draft pick at this time. Granted, Fleischer is definitely better than the 21 points he put up. He flashes some real brilliance with the puck and is someone you could classify as dynamic in transition. In some of my early viewings of him in Hamilton this year, he was one of the best and most noticeable players on the ice. But when I saw him late in the year, he just didn't have that same jump in his step. Was kept mostly to the perimeter and lacks the strength to consistently work through traffic. If he isn't able to beat you with speed and tempo, he is not much of a factor. But as has been proven with Rickard Hugg, sometimes it takes Imports a year to really adjust. Hope the Bulldogs bring him back again to give him a chance to improve.
Jordan Frasca - Forward - Windsor Spitfires
Showed some nice things early on in the year with Windsor. In particular, a goal scoring touch in tight. Has a nice release. But as the year went on, his role became less prominent. Shifted back and forth between center and the wing, and found himself buried on the 3rd or 4th line through most of the second half. Again, there are some nice building blocks here. Nice skating stride. Good hands. But lacks the strength and confidence to play with the puck. Will need to take some strides forward next year to avoid being lost in the shuffle as part of a quality young forward group in Windsor.
Kyle Harris - Forward - Flint Firebirds
Had much higher expectations for Harris coming into the season. He had a very nice 16/17 year old season last year and was a former highly touted player who tried out for the U.S. National Development Program. But, like many of Flint's players, Harris didn't really take a step forward this year offensively. He did, however, close out the year well and in my final viewing of Flint this season, he had a great game. A talented two-way center who can skate, Harris' puck skill hasn't really developed to allow him to be a driving force from the middle. Flint switched him to the wing later in the year and I think that did a lot for him. Wouldn't be shocked to see him take a big step forward next year.
Louka Henault - Defense - Windsor Spitfires
Jack of all trades kind of defender. Moves well. Starts the breakout well. Generally makes pretty good decisions with the puck. Shows good gap control and competitiveness in the defensive end. But the upside is difficult to project. Don't know if he'll ever be a true offensive force from the back-end, and I don't see him developing into someone NHL teams would give a look to based on his defensive play alone. He'll be an excellent OHL defender by his overage season, if not earlier. Just not sure I see NHL projection because of a lack of a dominant trait.
Mathew Hill - Defense - Barrie Colts
At 6'3 and nearly 200lbs, Hill offers upside as a potentially elite stay at home defender at the OHL level. His defensive IQ is quite high and as he becomes more confident, I bet we will see him turn into a physically dominant player in his own end. His skating is pretty good for a defender of his size and ability too. But his puck skill is very limited right now. He will need to improve his exit pass and ability to handle the puck under pressure. He will never be an elite offensive defender, but rarely do NHL teams use picks on one dimensional defensive defenders these days, because of the speed of the pro game now.
Mason Howard - Defense - Niagara IceDogs
If Howard can find a way to improve his skating and overall mobility, he could end up being a very good defender in the OHL. He has a lot going for him. There's the size at 6'3, 220lbs. And he loves to use it. Is particularly physical in the neutral zone and near the blueline as he is aggressive in denying zone entry. Howard also has better puck skill than his 3 points on the year would suggest. Has some quick hands and could even one day play on the point of a powerplay IMO. But all of this will be tied to whether he can become quicker and more fleet of foot (or skate).
Andrew MacLean - Goaltender - Owen Sound Attack
Through December, it looked like MacLean could steal the starting job away from Mack Guzda, as he was playing exceptionally well. But the second half of the year was an utter disaster for him and his confidence completely left him. Really fought the puck from January on. Seemed like he was guessing too much out there and was leaving just way too many gaps for OHL shooters, and giving up too many second and third chances. But he's got size and proved, for a month anyway, that he can steal games when he's on. If he could find a way to play consistently like that, he could be a solid OHL netminder.
Cullen McLean - Forward - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
McLean looked very good early on in the year when he was occupying the second or third line center role for the Greyhounds. But as the Hounds filled out their roster with returnees and the arrival of Jaromir Pytlik, McLean found himself buried on the 4th line. And as the year went on, he even lost his spot in the playoffs due to the emergence of Alex Johnston in the energy role that he was being asked to play. McLean is a rangy pivot who has shown some nice puck protection ability, especially cutting through the middle of the ice. And I thought he showed well without the puck at times too, especially in terms of forcing turnovers. But his skating needs to be upgraded, especially those first few steps. Playing on the wing later in the year, he struggled to be noticeable without the puck on his stick.
Emmet Pierce - Forward - Flint Firebirds
Massive forward who closed out the season really well after a trade from London. 8 goals in 24 games for Flint. That's a 20 goal season pro-rated. And at 6'5, Pierce actually has some nice straight line speed. He's quick to loose pucks and was having success beating defenders to the net later in the year. His overall agility and balance could probably use some work, but this guy's package of size, speed, and hands in tight are definitely going to be alluring to NHL scouts. Would have loved for the sample size to be bigger here, to get a better read of his skill with the puck and his effectiveness without it, especially as someone who can set the tone physically.
Simon Rose - Defense - North Bay Battalion
Similar player to Henault of Windsor, whom I listed above. Rose shows good mobility from the back-end, has some nice skill with the puck, and makes quick decisions in the defensive end. But does he project as a defender for the next level? The type of jack of all trades kind of defender who likely ends up as a quality five year OHL player, but not a significant NHL prospect.
Zachary Roy - Goaltender - Hamilton Bulldogs
The goaltender on the 2nd all rookie team for the OHL this year, Roy had a solid first season as one half of the starting platoon in Hamilton. Roy is extremely athletic and he has to be at only 5'11, undersized by today's standard for goaltenders. He shows excellent mobility in the crease and is learning to be aggressive in attacking shooters to give them less to shoot at. But consistency was an issue this year. Needs to improve his rebound control and refine his movements so that he can stay flush to shooters and not over commit. Tough for undersized goalies to get drafted these days.
Mitchell Russell - Forward - North Bay Battalion
Once thought to be one of the top goal scorers in the age group, Russell's ability to put the puck in the net has not yet transferred to the OHL level. A midseason trade to North Bay did seem to re-invigorate him for a bit, but major upgrades are needed to his skating if he wants to live up to his potential. Is a tad slow to loose pucks and doesn't possess the mobility to create separation from defenders to allow him to use that good release and shot. Needs to play with more intensity too, to attack the net and get more "greasy" goals. If there's someone who can get that out of people, it's Stan Butler though.
Jacob Winterton - Forward - Flint Firebirds
Winterton started the year really well, his first in the OHL. But the speedy winger really disappeared down the stretch. Dropped down the lineup in the second half, which obviously contributed to his lack of production. But he also looked to lose steam physically and wasn't as assertive with and without the puck as he was early on. Winterton definitely possesses some nice offensive potential because he skates well and is slippery with the puck. He can also use that speed to be a penalty killer and maybe even a solid two-way player. Perhaps an offseason focused on conditioning could help him to be more of a consistent factor.
The top 50 will be released in four parts: Part 1 - Honorable Mentions, Part 2 - Prospects 50-31, Part 3 - Prospects 30-11, and Part 4 - Prospects 10-1.
Just for clarification, for my top 50 ranking, I haven't included any players eligible for draft re-entry, such as Pavel Gogolev and Nando Eggenberger. This has been consistent all the way through my lists. Instead, I did a list of the top 10 draft re-entries, which can be found here.
Also for clarification, this list is MY list of the top 50 OHL prospects, as if I were drafting for my own team. In other words, this isn't a list of where I THINK or believe players will go, but a ranking of my own opinion on the top players eligible for this draft based on my viewings this season. If you want a draft projection and information about players outside the OHL, be sure to check out McKeens Hockey (who will be releasing a draft guide soon) or order a product like the Future Considerations Draft Guide.
This first part includes the Honorable Mentions of my list. These are the players who received consideration for my top 50, but who fell just short. There are 20 in total. Last year, zero players were taken from my HM's. This year, I would be shocked if more than 1 goes from this HM list. While all of these guys most definitely have potential, they remain long shots who need to put in a lot of work to be serious NHL prospects.
Here are my HM's (in alphabetical order)...
Anthony Aguanno - Defense - Kingston Frontenacs
Tough to stand out as a defender on that Kingston squad this year, given how bad they were. Consistently hemmed in their own end, it did not give Aguanno much opportunity to show his offensive potential as a puck mover. But he did see powerplay time and holds the line well there, showing potential with a nice point shot and vision. In the defensive end, he is a very competitive player who plays much bigger than his 5'11 frame. From what I've seen, his mobility does need work, especially for a smaller defender. There were times where he was beaten wide or beaten to loose pucks by attacking forwards. And he wasn't able to consistently evade the forecheck the way his teammate Billy Constantinou did, given his advantage in the skating department.
Luke Bignell - Forward - Barrie Colts
Late 2000 born center had a disappointing season offensively, as he came into the year ranked and looked like a potential NHL draft pick. But he failed to take a step forward in progression in his second year and finds himself an extreme long shot to be taken. Bignell is a hard working player who keeps things simple with a fierce north/south style. Drives the middle of the ice with authority and is active as a forechecker. But he struggles to keep the puck on his stick at times and his hands haven't yet developed to the point where he can be considered a consistent offensive threat. Also needs to work on his faceoff ability, as he posted one of the lowest win percentages of any OHL player who took over 400 draws this year. Could be better to move him to the wing where the game would be simplified for him.
Luke Cavallin - Goaltender - Flint Firebirds
Tough year for Cavallin. Came into the year as someone who could push to be the top ranked goalie from the OHL, but he actually regressed instead of progressed. Cavallin has the physical tools to be an NHL goaltending prospect and a quality goaltender in the OHL. He has size. He is athletic. And he shows flashes of being the player that Flint thought they were getting when they drafted him so early in 2017. But this year, his confidence just seemed to be shot from the team's poor start to the year. He gets himself out of position too often, with his movements being erratic. Over commiting to the play was a big problem for him, as was going down too early, where he tried to rely on his athleticism to scramble. Tons of potential here still, so long as he can improve his composure in the crease and really refine his angles and movement.
Erik Cermak - Forward - Peterborough Petes
Tough player to get a read on this year. Saw action on the wing and at center for Peterborough, but never really drove the play. In my viewings of the Petes, he always seemed to be a passenger on whatever line he was on. Could work the dump and chase relatively well, and moves well in the offensive end. But was too easily muscled off of the puck and struggled to make a consistent impact. Came into the year as an Import with a fair amount of hype too, so his performance was a tad disappointing.
Nico Daws - Goaltender - Guelph Storm
Massive goaltender with a late 2000 birthday, who measures in at 6'5, 225lbs. Daws certainly takes up a ton of the net. Is able to play a little deeper in his net with that size and follows the play pretty well. Looked more athletic to me than he did last year as an OHL rookie and I think definitely possesses the potential to be a starter in the OHL. Just needs to work on his consistency and his ability to handle rebounds.
Ryan Dugas - Goaltender - Kingston Frontenacs
Only played 15 games this year, in his rookie OHL season, because of an ankle injury suffered over the December/January holiday break. Good sized goalie with good athleticism. When I saw him play early in the year, I was impressed with his quickness for a big kid. Definitely has a lot of potential in this league if he can come back healthy. Would have likely established himself as Kingston's starter in the second half had he not gotten injured and perhaps enters next year as likely starter for the rebuilding Fronts.
Dalton Duhart - Forward - Barrie Colts
The centerpiece of the Joey Keane deal with London, Duhart is a competitive, possession driven center who figures to be a relatively big piece of the Colts moving forward. Has a big impact on the game below the hash marks, where his drive and awareness are best utilized. Is able to prolong possession in the offensive end by working the wall and as he gets stronger, he should be a tough player to stop near the crease. His skating would be classified as only average though and limits his effectiveness in transition at this point in time.
Tim Fleischer - Forward - Hamilton Bulldogs
Was firmly entrenched on my list most of this season, but he really seemed to fizzle out in the second half of the season. Combine that with the fact that he's a late 2000 born, and I don't think you have a guy who is an NHL draft pick at this time. Granted, Fleischer is definitely better than the 21 points he put up. He flashes some real brilliance with the puck and is someone you could classify as dynamic in transition. In some of my early viewings of him in Hamilton this year, he was one of the best and most noticeable players on the ice. But when I saw him late in the year, he just didn't have that same jump in his step. Was kept mostly to the perimeter and lacks the strength to consistently work through traffic. If he isn't able to beat you with speed and tempo, he is not much of a factor. But as has been proven with Rickard Hugg, sometimes it takes Imports a year to really adjust. Hope the Bulldogs bring him back again to give him a chance to improve.
Jordan Frasca - Forward - Windsor Spitfires
Showed some nice things early on in the year with Windsor. In particular, a goal scoring touch in tight. Has a nice release. But as the year went on, his role became less prominent. Shifted back and forth between center and the wing, and found himself buried on the 3rd or 4th line through most of the second half. Again, there are some nice building blocks here. Nice skating stride. Good hands. But lacks the strength and confidence to play with the puck. Will need to take some strides forward next year to avoid being lost in the shuffle as part of a quality young forward group in Windsor.
Kyle Harris - Forward - Flint Firebirds
Had much higher expectations for Harris coming into the season. He had a very nice 16/17 year old season last year and was a former highly touted player who tried out for the U.S. National Development Program. But, like many of Flint's players, Harris didn't really take a step forward this year offensively. He did, however, close out the year well and in my final viewing of Flint this season, he had a great game. A talented two-way center who can skate, Harris' puck skill hasn't really developed to allow him to be a driving force from the middle. Flint switched him to the wing later in the year and I think that did a lot for him. Wouldn't be shocked to see him take a big step forward next year.
Louka Henault - Defense - Windsor Spitfires
Jack of all trades kind of defender. Moves well. Starts the breakout well. Generally makes pretty good decisions with the puck. Shows good gap control and competitiveness in the defensive end. But the upside is difficult to project. Don't know if he'll ever be a true offensive force from the back-end, and I don't see him developing into someone NHL teams would give a look to based on his defensive play alone. He'll be an excellent OHL defender by his overage season, if not earlier. Just not sure I see NHL projection because of a lack of a dominant trait.
Mathew Hill - Defense - Barrie Colts
At 6'3 and nearly 200lbs, Hill offers upside as a potentially elite stay at home defender at the OHL level. His defensive IQ is quite high and as he becomes more confident, I bet we will see him turn into a physically dominant player in his own end. His skating is pretty good for a defender of his size and ability too. But his puck skill is very limited right now. He will need to improve his exit pass and ability to handle the puck under pressure. He will never be an elite offensive defender, but rarely do NHL teams use picks on one dimensional defensive defenders these days, because of the speed of the pro game now.
Mason Howard - Defense - Niagara IceDogs
If Howard can find a way to improve his skating and overall mobility, he could end up being a very good defender in the OHL. He has a lot going for him. There's the size at 6'3, 220lbs. And he loves to use it. Is particularly physical in the neutral zone and near the blueline as he is aggressive in denying zone entry. Howard also has better puck skill than his 3 points on the year would suggest. Has some quick hands and could even one day play on the point of a powerplay IMO. But all of this will be tied to whether he can become quicker and more fleet of foot (or skate).
Andrew MacLean - Goaltender - Owen Sound Attack
Through December, it looked like MacLean could steal the starting job away from Mack Guzda, as he was playing exceptionally well. But the second half of the year was an utter disaster for him and his confidence completely left him. Really fought the puck from January on. Seemed like he was guessing too much out there and was leaving just way too many gaps for OHL shooters, and giving up too many second and third chances. But he's got size and proved, for a month anyway, that he can steal games when he's on. If he could find a way to play consistently like that, he could be a solid OHL netminder.
Cullen McLean - Forward - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
McLean looked very good early on in the year when he was occupying the second or third line center role for the Greyhounds. But as the Hounds filled out their roster with returnees and the arrival of Jaromir Pytlik, McLean found himself buried on the 4th line. And as the year went on, he even lost his spot in the playoffs due to the emergence of Alex Johnston in the energy role that he was being asked to play. McLean is a rangy pivot who has shown some nice puck protection ability, especially cutting through the middle of the ice. And I thought he showed well without the puck at times too, especially in terms of forcing turnovers. But his skating needs to be upgraded, especially those first few steps. Playing on the wing later in the year, he struggled to be noticeable without the puck on his stick.
Emmet Pierce - Forward - Flint Firebirds
Massive forward who closed out the season really well after a trade from London. 8 goals in 24 games for Flint. That's a 20 goal season pro-rated. And at 6'5, Pierce actually has some nice straight line speed. He's quick to loose pucks and was having success beating defenders to the net later in the year. His overall agility and balance could probably use some work, but this guy's package of size, speed, and hands in tight are definitely going to be alluring to NHL scouts. Would have loved for the sample size to be bigger here, to get a better read of his skill with the puck and his effectiveness without it, especially as someone who can set the tone physically.
Simon Rose - Defense - North Bay Battalion
Similar player to Henault of Windsor, whom I listed above. Rose shows good mobility from the back-end, has some nice skill with the puck, and makes quick decisions in the defensive end. But does he project as a defender for the next level? The type of jack of all trades kind of defender who likely ends up as a quality five year OHL player, but not a significant NHL prospect.
Zachary Roy - Goaltender - Hamilton Bulldogs
The goaltender on the 2nd all rookie team for the OHL this year, Roy had a solid first season as one half of the starting platoon in Hamilton. Roy is extremely athletic and he has to be at only 5'11, undersized by today's standard for goaltenders. He shows excellent mobility in the crease and is learning to be aggressive in attacking shooters to give them less to shoot at. But consistency was an issue this year. Needs to improve his rebound control and refine his movements so that he can stay flush to shooters and not over commit. Tough for undersized goalies to get drafted these days.
Mitchell Russell - Forward - North Bay Battalion
Once thought to be one of the top goal scorers in the age group, Russell's ability to put the puck in the net has not yet transferred to the OHL level. A midseason trade to North Bay did seem to re-invigorate him for a bit, but major upgrades are needed to his skating if he wants to live up to his potential. Is a tad slow to loose pucks and doesn't possess the mobility to create separation from defenders to allow him to use that good release and shot. Needs to play with more intensity too, to attack the net and get more "greasy" goals. If there's someone who can get that out of people, it's Stan Butler though.
Jacob Winterton - Forward - Flint Firebirds
Winterton started the year really well, his first in the OHL. But the speedy winger really disappeared down the stretch. Dropped down the lineup in the second half, which obviously contributed to his lack of production. But he also looked to lose steam physically and wasn't as assertive with and without the puck as he was early on. Winterton definitely possesses some nice offensive potential because he skates well and is slippery with the puck. He can also use that speed to be a penalty killer and maybe even a solid two-way player. Perhaps an offseason focused on conditioning could help him to be more of a consistent factor.
Thursday, May 2, 2019
2019 OHL Playoff Predictions: OHL Finals
We're finally here. The 2018/19 OHL season is wrapping up and the OHL Championship is set to start tonight. The first place Ottawa 67's ran through the Eastern Conference without losing a game on route to the finals. Where as the Guelph Storm have clawed their way to the finals by coming back from the dead twice, down 3-0 to London and 3-1 to Saginaw. Who will take home the crown?
At this point, I am 11-3 in the playoffs after going 1-1 last round. I truly did believe that Oshawa's tenacity and speed could give Ottawa issues, on top of having Kyle Keyser between the pipes. But that wasn't the case. But I did get the Storm series correct, even if it took some unfortunate suspensions to turn the tide for Guelph.
Let's breakdown the Championship match-up.
1. Ottawa 67's vs. 4. Guelph Storm
Season Series: 1-1, TIE
Analysis: I admit, heading into the playoffs I was a little worried about how this Ottawa team would perform deep in the playoffs. Michael Dipietro wasn't looking his best. The defense, as aggressive as they are, struggled at times with pace and decision making with the puck. But, Dipietro seems to be slowly regaining his confidence. And the defense, in particular guys like Kevin Bahl, Nikita Okhotyuk, Hudson Wilson, and Merrick Rippon, have all been steady and have really limited their mistakes. On the Guelph front, I'm really concerned with fatigue. Their road has not been easy. They have had back to back emotionally and physically draining series'. All that said, my pick at the very start of these playoffs was the Guelph Storm and I am sticking with them. First reason; an advantage on special teams. These playoffs, and through the year really, Guelph has had the advantage on the powerplay and on the penalty kill. Second reason, I do truly believe that Guelph has more difference makers in the lineup. I love the way that this Ottawa team is composed and I love the way that they play, but Nick Suzuki and Dmitri Samorukov are literally playing out of their mind right now and when they're on, they are the best players on the ice and I don't think Ottawa has anyone who matches that same dominance on an individual level. All that said, I expect this series to be extremely close, unless Guelph is truly out of gas. Let the games begin!
Prediction: Guelph in 6
At this point, I am 11-3 in the playoffs after going 1-1 last round. I truly did believe that Oshawa's tenacity and speed could give Ottawa issues, on top of having Kyle Keyser between the pipes. But that wasn't the case. But I did get the Storm series correct, even if it took some unfortunate suspensions to turn the tide for Guelph.
Let's breakdown the Championship match-up.
1. Ottawa 67's vs. 4. Guelph Storm
Season Series: 1-1, TIE
Analysis: I admit, heading into the playoffs I was a little worried about how this Ottawa team would perform deep in the playoffs. Michael Dipietro wasn't looking his best. The defense, as aggressive as they are, struggled at times with pace and decision making with the puck. But, Dipietro seems to be slowly regaining his confidence. And the defense, in particular guys like Kevin Bahl, Nikita Okhotyuk, Hudson Wilson, and Merrick Rippon, have all been steady and have really limited their mistakes. On the Guelph front, I'm really concerned with fatigue. Their road has not been easy. They have had back to back emotionally and physically draining series'. All that said, my pick at the very start of these playoffs was the Guelph Storm and I am sticking with them. First reason; an advantage on special teams. These playoffs, and through the year really, Guelph has had the advantage on the powerplay and on the penalty kill. Second reason, I do truly believe that Guelph has more difference makers in the lineup. I love the way that this Ottawa team is composed and I love the way that they play, but Nick Suzuki and Dmitri Samorukov are literally playing out of their mind right now and when they're on, they are the best players on the ice and I don't think Ottawa has anyone who matches that same dominance on an individual level. All that said, I expect this series to be extremely close, unless Guelph is truly out of gas. Let the games begin!
Prediction: Guelph in 6
Sunday, April 28, 2019
Sunday Top 10 - 2019 NHL Draft Re-Entries
It's that time of the year for my annual (2018, 2017, 2016, 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010, 2009) list of the top second and third year eligible OHL players for the upcoming NHL Entry Draft. NHL teams continue to draft re-entry players in increasing number. This is mostly because drafting a second or third year eligible player gives NHL teams a lot of flexibility in their development under the CBA. Plus, a lot of these guys have been having success in recent years (Andrew Mangiapane, Tanner Pearson and Andrew Shaw are great examples from the OHL), which basic psychology tells us that other NHL teams will try to mimic.
Just to clarify, yet again, for those with limited understanding of the NHL draft system; North American players have either two or three years to get drafted, depending on their birth date. For those born from January 1 to September 15, they will go through three NHL drafts. For those born from September 16 to December 31, they will go through two NHL drafts. The players on this list are a mix of those having been passed over once or twice already.
Also, do not confuse this list with players drafted in 2017 who will re-enter the draft should they fail to come to a contractual agreement with their NHL team by June 1 (and whose birth date still allows them to be eligible). Quite often those too are referred to as draft re-entries. But this list does not contain them because it is not yet known who those players will be.
Last year four re-entries from the OHL were drafted (Durzi, Keane, Saigeon, Hollowell), with two others signing NHL deals (Gleason, Magwood). This year, I think that number will be significantly lower. It wouldn't shock me at all if not a single player from this list was drafted. Odds suggest that a couple will have their name called, but it wouldn't surprise me either way. There also isn't a clear top one or two. If you asked ten different people who the top "re-entry" is this year from the OHL, you could probably get ten different answers.
Without further rambling, here's my list:
1. Pavel Gogolev - Forward - Guelph Storm
I had Gogolev ranked 16th last year among OHL players and he ultimately went undrafted in June, which was a big surprise IMO. Not too many kids who score 30 goals in their draft year go unselected. This year, well it was a tough year for him so maybe it's a surprise to see him ranked 1st on this list. Traded from Peterborough to Guelph. Suffered a fractured ankle as he was working his way into Guelph's rotation (and playing extremely well). Returned before the playoffs and has been active during Guelph's postseason run. All of that said, I still believe in him as an NHL prospect, and given a bit of a down year for re-entries, he's still my number one here. He still possesses some nice speed, which he actually started using to be effective on the forecheck this year. His play without the puck definitely took a massive step forward. Even though the production hasn't been terrific, I think that he has performed very well in this year's playoffs. He is a very skilled player and as he continues to improve his strength, and continues to improve his engagement level without the puck, he could be a very strong OHL player. Next year, he'll return to Guelph and likely see first line ice time with Cam Hillis as a his center, along with significant powerplay time. Even though Guelph could struggle, it wouldn't shock me at all to see him in the 70+ point range.
2. Nando Eggenberger - Forward - Oshawa Generals
The one guy on this list that I think has the best chance of being drafted. The offensive production has definitely been inconsistent in the OHL; a very streaky player. But, he does a lot of little things well that keep him engaged in the play even when he's not scoring. Eggenberger is a solid two-way player who is consistently one of the first Generals back to his own zone, and he has done well on the penalty kill when asked to play that role (Oshawa has a few slightly quicker players who see more PK time). He uses that size well to open up space for his linemates and does a good job of protecting the puck down low. We'll call him a real workhorse. His skating is better than I thought it would be too. He's certainly not the best skater on his team, but he has some long strides that do allow him to cover ground well given his 6'3 frame. Explosiveness and first step quickness are not terrific, but once he gets going, he does have a decent top gear that allows him to close gaps well or carry the puck through the neutral zone with some effectiveness. As an NHL player, there likely isn't a ton of upside. But with his size, two-way awareness, and willingness to battle down low, he could be a 3rd/4th line option some day. The only thing NHL teams may want to see more of from him is physicality. Perhaps that's a mindset that can be coached into him at the next level.
3. Greg Meireles - Forward - Kitchener Rangers
One of the OHL's best players in the second half of the season with a 20 game point streak to close things out (38 points in that time frame). Meireles is a very complete player who plays in all situations for the Rangers. He also wears an 'A' for Kitchener and is a potential selection as captain next season (as an overager) if he returns. First thing you notice about Meireles is his tireless work ethic. He covers a lot of ground on his shifts, attacking on the forecheck and aggressive in puck retrievals, but will hustle back to cover his own end and look to separate his man from the puck or win battles along the boards. Despite being under 6'0, Meireles is actually terrific below the hash marks and is very difficult to separate from the puck. He keeps his feet moving and draws a lot of penalties as he works the cycle. Meireles is also a very good skater, something that he has improved a lot over his OHL career. That's not to say that he was ever a poor skater, it's just that he's clearly a more explosive and dynamic mover than he was...even last year. In terms of playing at the next level, I think he probably projects as more of a quality third line center as his skill level with the puck is only average if we're comparing him to those moving on to the pro level. But after a very good season as one of the OHL's most improved players, Meireles could definitely see his name called in June.
4. Merrick Rippon - Defense - Ottawa 67's
Like Gogolev above, I had Rippon ranked pretty highly for last year's draft (22nd). But he too went unselected. This year he has returned to Ottawa a much improved player. Firstly, Rippon is one of the most physical defenders in the OHL. He is consistently looking to make his presence felt in the defensive end, by catching attackers with their head down as they cross the blueline, or by plastering forecheckers looking to come away with a dump in. But Rippon has also refined his approach and become an excellent stay at home defender; one of the best in the OHL. Another reason for this is some improvements made to his skating. Rippon looks more agile this year and is able to stay ahead of attackers to get better angles on them. He blocks shots. He clears the net. He is someone that is relied upon heavily in key defensive situations by the top team in the OHL. Offensively, there are still some limitations. He can be turnover prone when he tries to extend rushes and tries to force plays up ice. But when he keeps things simple, he has enough puck skill to avoid turnovers from the forecheck and is able to start the breakout effectively. If NHL teams are looking for a physical, stay at home defender who could kill penalties and play a quiet third pairing role at the next level, they may look to Rippon this time around.
5. Nolan Hutcheson - Forward - Sudbury Wolves
From start to finish this OHL season, few players in the league improved as much as Hutcheson did. The second year OHL player saw his goal production jump from 8 to 24 and he found some terrific chemistry with the talented Quinton Byfield. Hutcheson is a real big kid at 6'4, but his skating looked so much better this year compared to his rookie season. He showed some explosiveness in his stride that allowed him to keep up with Byfield, and allowed him to be a factor driving wide, looking to take the puck to the net. Hutcheson also understands his role on the ice, as someone who should be winning battles along the boards, who should be establishing position in front of the net, and who competes hard in all three zones. But he also possesses great goal scoring potential at this level. He has a heavy shot that he really started to use more this year and with his size, he is difficult to stop or tie up in transition. I also thought that Hutcheson had a very good playoffs for Sudbury. Size, improving skating ability, goal scoring potential. I am actually quite surprised that I have not heard Hutcheson's name much when talking about re-entry players for this year's draft. IMO, NHL teams would be smart to look at him closely with a later round pick before he explodes (potentially) next year. I mean, this is totally how guys like Brett Leason go undrafted.
6. Hugo Leufvenius - Forward - Sarnia Sting
As a fellow bald man (who went bald early), I have a lot of love for Leufvenius. The hulking Swedish winger was such an important player for the Sting this year as they exceeded preseason expectations. In all seriousness, Leufvenius has a lot going for him. He is very skilled for a 6'3, 225lbs kid. A very complete offensive player, Leufvenius has one of the heaviest wrist shots in the OHL, and he loves to shoot the puck coming down the wing. But he is also a very good playmaker who can use his size to protect the puck or spin off checks, only to find an open teammate with a crisp pass. His poise with the puck in the offensive end is very impressive. He does not turn the puck over much. With his size and IQ, he is very effective with the man advantage as he works down low. As a defensive player, Leufvenius is only average. And he's not the most physical given his size. Those are two things that he would need to work on should he get a chance at being a pro in North America. And his skating is certainly not the prettiest. But there is just this quiet effectiveness to his game that should be admired. Not sure he gets drafted, but I think he gets quite a few camp invites this summer. Unfortunately he is headed back to Sweden next year (likely even if he gets drafted), but he's been a fun player to watch in the OHL.
7. Rickard Hugg - Forward - Kitchener Rangers
Back to back Swedes on the list, as Hugg is another Import who made massive improvements to his game in his second OHL season. Found Hugg to be too much of a passenger last year and too passive with the puck. This year, he exhibited so much more confidence with the puck and was way less of a perimeter player. Like his Kitchener teammate in Meireles, Hugg is a tireless worker who excels down low despite being on the smaller side. He has very good hands and is able to make very quick decisions with the puck under pressure. He also possesses a quick release on his wrist shot and doesn't need a ton of space to get shots off, which allows him to be a factor in the slot and near the crease. Hugg is also an excellent penalty killer who is very smart in his own end and has an excellent stick that he uses to force a lot of turnovers. I wish Hugg was a little better skater as he is only average in that department. If he were a little more explosive, he could be even more of a consistent factor. Like Leufvenius, Hugg is Sweden bound next year and has played his last OHL game. But given his performance at this year's WJC's, his strong motor, and high hockey IQ, he could find himself on a few draft boards.
8. Cole Coskey - Forward - Saginaw Spirit
Coskey is an aggressive, attacking winger who is a huge part of Saginaw's offense; one of the top teams in the OHL this year. He is a terrific forechecker who excels at puck retrievals and who never seems to give up on a play in the offensive end. Always keeps his feet moving and as such, he is great at forcing turnovers, or working the cycle along the wall. Coskey also is extremely effective driving the net, with or without the puck. Scores a lot of his goals below or between the dots. Coskey also possesses good puck skill and is able to excel in transition with above average skating ability. His profile is definitely that of a quality 3rd or 4th line winger at the next level. That said, there are still some things that could use some improvement. While he is relentless without the puck in the offensive end, his play in his own zone is best described as inconsistent. Being able to translate that effort across all three zones is critical to his development. He also can be turnover prone in the offensive end as he tries to force net drives, or play through traffic. Coskey is at his best when he keeps things simple and plays that attacking North/South kind of game.
9. Jonathan Yantsis - Forward - Kitchener Rangers
From 5 goals to 50; talk about improvement. Without a doubt, the most improved player in all of the OHL this year. The 6'3, 210lbs winger is a near immovable object in front of the net for Kitchener. He led the OHL in powerplay goals, by camping out in his office near the crease. According to Prospect Stats (here), 43 of his 50 goals this year were scored from below the dots. Look, Yantsis has his limitations. He's not the world's best skater. He doesn't possess terrific skill with the puck or creativity. He isn't a terrific playmaker. But the kid just knows how to score. He's got very good hands in tight, for redirections, or for put backs. And he is so good at using his body and size to gain inside position on defenders. He is very difficult to tie up and his anticipation in the offensive end is very good. Yantsis is also a very physical forward who helps to establish possession in the offensive end by retrieving loose pucks and who can maintain possession by working the cycle. He is the perfect complimentary player to someone like Greg Meireles (who he played with most of this year). Of course, NHL teams may look at him next year as an OA in hopes that he can continue to improve other areas of his game. Or they could jump on him now with a later round pick. I could see either being the outcome.
10. Matthew Struthers - Forward - North Bay Battalion
Had Struthers ranked 36th among OHL'ers for last year's NHL draft. But he was not selected. The big, 6'2 center returned to North Bay and had a terrific offensive season that saw him nearly double his offensive production from the year prior. He and overage forward Justin Brazeau developed terrific chemistry with each other, and at times they physically dominated the opposition. A quality playmaker, Struthers operates well off the rush, where he can use his size to shield the puck as he cuts through the middle and drives the net. But he understands how to draw defenders in before dishing off and isn't someone who forces plays or commits turnovers from having tunnel vision. Struthers also excels along the wall and has good vision coming off of it, with the ability to spin off checks and find streaking or open teammates in the slot or near the crease (mostly Brazeau). He is also a solid two-way player who has blossomed under Stan Butler's tutelage. The Montreal Canadiens saw fit to bring him to Laval under an ATO to close out the season, something that is pretty rare for someone still draft eligible. While I think an NHL team may wait to see how he handles his OA season and how his production fares without Brazeau, there is definitely a chance he hears his name called this time around in June.
Honorable Mentions (sorted by position)
Goaltender
No goaltenders are going to appear on this list this year.
Defense
Owen Lalonde - Guelph Storm
A former second overall pick in the OHL draft, Lalonde quietly had a very good season for Guelph. He doubled his point production, posted his first positive +/-, and established himself as a quality two-way presence who could slide up when needed or mentor young Daniil Chayka on the third pairing when icing a full lineup. Lalonde's mobility is his best asset, but his decision making with the puck and defensive positioning greatly improved this year. There are bound to be questions over projection, but next year that Lalonde-Chayka pairing could be Guelph's top pairing, and he could see time on the first powerplay unit. Will be interesting to see if he can continue to improve and live up to his potential.
Kade Landry - Hamilton Bulldogs
Landry is a sharp puck mover who had a breakout season for Hamilton after coming over from Barrie last year. He didn't play in the OHL playoffs last year during Hamilton's Championship run, but emerged as one of Hamilton's go to defenders and their powerplay quarterback this year. He moves the puck well and has good vision on the back-end. Turnovers can be an issue at times and his play in his own end can be a little shaky. But Landry has some strengths that could make him attractive to NHL teams, at least as a summer tryout.
Riley McCourt - Flint Firebirds
Missed a big chunk of time this year with an upper body injury, but the smooth skating offensive defender had a good year from a production standpoint. His 0.68 points per game was Top 20 in the OHL among defenders. In the second half, when Flint had improved their performance, McCourt was one of the reasons for that because of his ability to start the breakout and prevent teams from hemming Flint in their own zone. His defensive play continues to need work, but from an offensive stand point, McCourt has the potential to one day be one of the OHL's best puck movers.
Hudson Wilson - Ottawa 67's
An unsung hero for the 67's and one of the better stay at home defenders in the OHL. Wilson has great size at 6'3, and his mobility is good enough to allow him to be a terrific modern day shutdown defender. He sees top PK time and is someone Ottawa relies on heavily late in games to protect leads. His puck skill and plays with the puck can be described as simple, but this guy does everything he can to make sure pucks don't end up in his own net.
Forward
Nathan Dunkley - London Knights
Aggressive, attacking forward who brings a lot of versatility to London's lineup. Can line up down the middle or on the wing. Can play the half wall or as a net presence on the powerplay. Can kill penalties. Dunkley can slide up and down the lineup because his work as a complimentary offensive piece fits in with any linemate. Was disappointed with his playoff performance for the second year in a row though, and I would expect his game to be perfectly suited to the postseason.
Jake Durham - Flint Firebirds
With everyone focused on Ty Dellandrea in Flint, Durham quietly had a heck of a season, going from 8 to 35 goals in his third OHL season. Works well in transition as he looks to attack the net and has a great wrist shot that he unleashes from the wing or when cutting to the slot. An aggressive player without the puck too. It's the breakout of players like Durham that has me inspired to believe that Flint can emerge as a playoff team next year.
Joseph Garreffa - Kitchener Rangers
Is he a forward? Is he a defenseman? Garreffa continues to flip flop back and forth. He finished the year at forward, but he apparently prefers to play on the back-end. At 5'7, Garreffa is most definitely undersized, even by today's standards. But he is both extremely quick, and extremely skilled with the puck. I do find him to be a high risk player in the offensive end though, as turnovers can be an issue. But you can't deny how electric and exciting he can be to watch. That's why he was NHL Central Scouting's highest ranking re-entry from the OHL. I think I just want to see him settle into a position for an entire year.
Maxim Golod - Erie Otters
Tough luck year for Golod, who missed time due to injury and illness (mono and an appendectomy). NHL Central Scouting has long been a fan (ranked him highly last year and highly at midterms this year as a re-entry). He certainly shows flashes of being a top notch offensive player. He excels when using his speed to drive wide and possesses that ability to beat defenders one on one to the net. He also has a high quality shot that should see him score his share of goals in the OHL moving forward. But I just want to see more consistency, which could come next year so long as he avoids some bad luck again.
Austen Keating - Ottawa 67's
Without a doubt, Keating is one of the smartest offensive players in the OHL. He reads the play so well in the offensive end. Rarely do you see him turn the puck over. Instead, he reads opposing defenses and is able to keep plays alive long enough until he sees an opening. Unfortunately, Keating just doesn't possess elite physical tools. His skating is average and he's not someone I would call dynamic with the puck. But efficient he is. Until he upgrades his skating, improves his shot, increases his physicality and tenacity, or all three to make him a more well rounded player, he probably doesn't get himself an NHL contract.
Kyle MacLean - Oshawa Generals
Would have been #11 on this list, so consider him the last HM. Really like MacLean (son of former Devil John) as a hockey player. He's one of the best two-way players in the OHL. He's one of the hardest workers in the OHL (with and without the puck). And his skating continues to improve. I just wonder what his offensive upside is. If he returns to the OHL as an OA, and really improves his offensive production, he would be at the top of my list of players to sign.
Billy Moskal - London Knights
It seems like it's only a matter of time before Moskal breaks through offensively and gets more responsibility from London's coaching staff. Tough as nails center who does a lot of little things well and produces with fluctuating ice time. Thought he was one of London's best forwards in this year's playoffs. Also one of the top faceoff men in the league. But I want to see what he's capable of offensively first, as he's nearly the same player who went undrafted last year.
Brett Neumann - Oshawa Generals
Undersized center who is also a terrific skater with a non stop motor. Hard to stop in the offensive end because he always keeps his feet moving and defenders have a tough time pinning him down. Also possesses a killer release on a powerful wrist shot that allowed him to score 45 this year. Just not sure if he's an NHL player or not. Hard worker, but not necessarily individually skilled enough to stick down the middle as a top 6 forward. Likely one of the top OA's in the OHL next year.
Jacob Tortora - Barrie Colts
Kind of tough to get a read on Tortora this year after he left Boston College to join Barrie. Started out like gangbusters, then cooled off a bit, then got injured. He's a little guy at 5'8, but man can he shoot the puck. Returning to the OHL as an overager next year, I think he scores 40+. Handles the puck well in transition and is both slippery and fearless. Can be pushed off the puck too easily at times though and needs to add strength. Too small a sample size, especially after he cooled off after a hot start, for him to be drafted IMO. But he is an overager to watch for next year because of his skill level. Excited to see what he can do fully acclimated to the league.
Chad Yetman - Erie Otters
The unsung hero in Erie this year, in the face of a rebuild. Was the team's Red Tilson nominee and one of the OHL's most improved players. As a second year player (2000 born), Yetman nearly quadrupled his production from a year ago. He skates well and is one of those guys that just seems to find himself in the right position all the time because of high end hockey sense. Can play in all situations and is a real jack of all trades kind of player. A guy that is flying under the radar right now, but wouldn't be surprised if some time in the next two years, he ends up being a part of an NHL organization.
Thursday, April 18, 2019
2019 OHL Playoff Predictions: Conference Finals
The 2019 OHL Conference Finals are set to begin tonight, so it is time to bring you a preview of both of those series.
I went 2-4 in the semi finals, missing on Niagara and Sault Ste. Marie. I admitted that I felt Niagara and Oshawa was a toss up, so the Generals winning, despite being the lower seed (who dealt the IceDogs some of their better players at the deadline), was no surprise. Ultimately, Kyle Keyser was the difference maker there, in addition to Niagara's inability to stay out of the penalty box. Where as with the Soo and Saginaw, the Spirit's depth proved to be too strong for the Greyhounds and Ivan Prosvetov out-dueled Matt Villalta.
So my overall prediction record for the playoffs sits at 10-2. Let's see what the Championship finals have in store.
EASTERN CONFERENCE
1. Ottawa 67's vs. 3. Oshawa Generals
Season Series: 5-3, Ottawa
Analysis: The Ottawa 67's have steamrolled the competition thus far in these OHL playoffs, having swept both of their series' so far. Oshawa has looked equally impressive, dispatching the star studded IceDogs last round thanks to the play of Kyle Keyser. The main story for me in this series is the battle of two of the league's elite goaltenders in Keyser and Michael Dipietro. Keyser struggled against Ottawa in the regular season, but he is rolling right now. And even though Dipietro struggled to close out the regular season, he has been slowly looking more like himself in these playoffs. Another thing to keep an eye on is Oshawa's powerplay unit versus Ottawa's penalty kill. The IceDogs lost that last round because of undisciplined play. The 67's need to stay out of the box, especially with their penalty kill not playing up to par this postseason (77.1%). Ultimately, I do feel like Ottawa has more firepower up front, but so did Niagara and they just could not beat Keyser. Another thing to watch for is that Brandon Saigeon and Nando Eggenberger both struggled big time against Ottawa in the regular season. Alright so who wins this series? I said last round that I felt that whoever won between Niagara and Oshawa would take the Eastern Conference and I stand by that. I just think that Keyser is playing at another level right now, and that Oshawa's special teams play gives them an advantage in an otherwise close match-up.
Prediction: Oshawa in 7
WESTERN CONFERENCE
2. Saginaw Spirit vs. 4. Guelph Storm
Season Series: 2-2, TIE
Analysis: The Storm come into the series riding an ultimate high after coming back from down 0-3 to beat the top ranked London Knights. With all the additions that they made at this year's deadline, you'd be hard pressed to find anyone who is calling them the underdog. A few things worth noting. The first is how good Saginaw's penalty killing unit has been thus far. Operating at almost 95%, they have given up only 2 powerplay goals this playoffs. They are forcing teams to beat them 5 on 5. The second is how deep both of these teams are offensively. Both Saginaw and Guelph have eight players with at least 3 goals in the postseason. And the third is how good Ivan Prosvetov has been. We talked about Kyle Keyser earlier, but Prosvetov has seen the second most rubber in these playoffs, yet he has the second best save percentage (.932). At the beginning of these playoffs, Guelph was my pick to take the OHL Championship, so I am going to stick with them here, even if I have been very impressed by the Spirit in the playoffs. I think that they have faced a ton of adversity already in these playoffs and are riding a high. I also think that their veteran forward group is more battled tested, led by Nick Suzuki and Mackenzie Entwistle. Wouldn't shocked me either way. But I'm sticking with my guns here.
Prediction: Guelph in 6
I went 2-4 in the semi finals, missing on Niagara and Sault Ste. Marie. I admitted that I felt Niagara and Oshawa was a toss up, so the Generals winning, despite being the lower seed (who dealt the IceDogs some of their better players at the deadline), was no surprise. Ultimately, Kyle Keyser was the difference maker there, in addition to Niagara's inability to stay out of the penalty box. Where as with the Soo and Saginaw, the Spirit's depth proved to be too strong for the Greyhounds and Ivan Prosvetov out-dueled Matt Villalta.
So my overall prediction record for the playoffs sits at 10-2. Let's see what the Championship finals have in store.
EASTERN CONFERENCE
1. Ottawa 67's vs. 3. Oshawa Generals
Season Series: 5-3, Ottawa
Analysis: The Ottawa 67's have steamrolled the competition thus far in these OHL playoffs, having swept both of their series' so far. Oshawa has looked equally impressive, dispatching the star studded IceDogs last round thanks to the play of Kyle Keyser. The main story for me in this series is the battle of two of the league's elite goaltenders in Keyser and Michael Dipietro. Keyser struggled against Ottawa in the regular season, but he is rolling right now. And even though Dipietro struggled to close out the regular season, he has been slowly looking more like himself in these playoffs. Another thing to keep an eye on is Oshawa's powerplay unit versus Ottawa's penalty kill. The IceDogs lost that last round because of undisciplined play. The 67's need to stay out of the box, especially with their penalty kill not playing up to par this postseason (77.1%). Ultimately, I do feel like Ottawa has more firepower up front, but so did Niagara and they just could not beat Keyser. Another thing to watch for is that Brandon Saigeon and Nando Eggenberger both struggled big time against Ottawa in the regular season. Alright so who wins this series? I said last round that I felt that whoever won between Niagara and Oshawa would take the Eastern Conference and I stand by that. I just think that Keyser is playing at another level right now, and that Oshawa's special teams play gives them an advantage in an otherwise close match-up.
Prediction: Oshawa in 7
WESTERN CONFERENCE
2. Saginaw Spirit vs. 4. Guelph Storm
Season Series: 2-2, TIE
Analysis: The Storm come into the series riding an ultimate high after coming back from down 0-3 to beat the top ranked London Knights. With all the additions that they made at this year's deadline, you'd be hard pressed to find anyone who is calling them the underdog. A few things worth noting. The first is how good Saginaw's penalty killing unit has been thus far. Operating at almost 95%, they have given up only 2 powerplay goals this playoffs. They are forcing teams to beat them 5 on 5. The second is how deep both of these teams are offensively. Both Saginaw and Guelph have eight players with at least 3 goals in the postseason. And the third is how good Ivan Prosvetov has been. We talked about Kyle Keyser earlier, but Prosvetov has seen the second most rubber in these playoffs, yet he has the second best save percentage (.932). At the beginning of these playoffs, Guelph was my pick to take the OHL Championship, so I am going to stick with them here, even if I have been very impressed by the Spirit in the playoffs. I think that they have faced a ton of adversity already in these playoffs and are riding a high. I also think that their veteran forward group is more battled tested, led by Nick Suzuki and Mackenzie Entwistle. Wouldn't shocked me either way. But I'm sticking with my guns here.
Prediction: Guelph in 6
Tuesday, April 16, 2019
2019 NHL Central Scouting Final Rankings
NHL Central Scouting has released their final rankings for the 2019 NHL
Draft. Below is a breakdown of how OHL players were ranked. If you're
curious for a comparison, you can find the midterm rankings here.
Skaters:
1. Arthur Kaliyev (7)
2. Thomas Harley (11)
3. Philip Tomasino (14)
4. Nicholas Robertson (17)
5. Ryan Suzuki (18)
6. Connor McMichael (24)
7. Jamieson Rees (30)
8. Vladislav Kolyachonok (31)
9. Graeme Clarke (45)
10. Mike Vukojevic (55)
11. Nikita Okhotyuk (56)
12. Billy Constantinou (58)
13. Matvey Guskov (65)
14. Ethan Keppen (74)
15. Jacob LeGuerrier (92)
16. Keegan Stevenson (95)
17. Cole Schwindt (96)
18. Cole Mackay (98)
19. Joe Carroll (101)
20. Nicholas Porco (103)
21. Blake Murray (104)
22. Mason Primeau (113)
23. Mason Millman (125)
24. Nando Eggenberger (127)
25. Joseph Gareffa (135)
26. Pavel Gogolev (140)
27. Eric Uba (141)
28. Liam Ross (148)
29. Keean Washkurak (149)
30. Petr Cajka (152)
31. Merrick Rippon (158)
32. Hugo Leufvenius (161)
33. Rickard Hugg (162)
34. Tyler Angle (174)
35. Brayden Guy (181)
36. Nathan Staois (182)
37. Jonathan Yantsis (187)
38. Navrin Mutter (189)
39. Maxim Golod (190)
40. Jack York (213)
41. Nathan Allensen (214)
42. Louka Henault (216)
43. Daniel D'Amico (217)
LV - Tag Bertuzzi
LV - Grayson Ladd
Goaltenders:
1. Hunter Jones (3)
2. Nicolas Daws (16)
3. Luke Cavallin (23)
4. Mack Guzda (25)
5. Jet Greaves (28)
The full list can be found here.
Changes from Midseason
Biggest Risers
Joseph Gareffa +83 (from unranked)
Merrick Rippon +60 (from unranked)
Pavel Gogolev +57
Keegan Stevenson +53
Mason Millman +48
Hugo Leufvenius +37
Ethan Keppen +36
Cole Schwindt +35
Liam Ross +35
Brayden Guy +32 (from unranked)
Nathan Staois +31 (from unranked)
Rickard Hugg +31
Mason Primeau +29
Nicholas Robertson +13
Graeme Clarke +11
Philip Tomasino +10
Biggest Fallers
Maxim Golod -96
Danil Antropov -85 (now unranked)
Navrin Mutter -69
Daniel D'Amico -53
Louka Henault -53
Joe Carroll -50
Petr Cajka -49
Billy Moskal -40 (now unranked)
Tyler Angle -39
Cullen McLean - 38 (now unranked)
Nathan Allensen -28
Nathan Dunkley -27 (now unranked)
Jacob LeGuerrier -20
Keean Washkurak -15
Kari Piiroinen -14 (among goalies, now unranked)
Mitchell Brewer -12 (now unranked)
Mack Guzda -10 (among goalies)
Comments
1. For those that follow the draft closely, it should come as no surprise to see so few OHL players ranked highly by NHL Central Scouting this year. This is largely considered to be one of the worst crops from the OHL in many years (or have even heard the words "ever" from a few scouts). This is the first time in the last ten years that under 10 OHL players are ranked inside the Top 50. And the total number of players ranked (48) is also the lowest in that time period.
2. Still shocked at Mitchell Brewer's ranking...or lack there of this time. Not only did he not move up from his ranking at midseason (that I felt was low), but now he's unranked. I just don't get it. This is a defender with size, mobility, and physicality. He's currently the defender with the highest plus/minus in this year's playoffs and wears a letter for a team that just made the Eastern Conference finals. I think that there are some questions as to his offensive upside and as such, he'll probably fall a bit in my final rankings. BUT, he deserves to be ranked, and inside the top 100 (IMO).
3. Otherwise, I'm not sure there are really any surprises. I think that there were some that were shocked by Ryan Suzuki being 5th and as low as he was. But he didn't have a great second half and there are some concerns over his engagement level and consistency. I would still have him a bit higher, but the argument is logical.
Skaters:
1. Arthur Kaliyev (7)
2. Thomas Harley (11)
3. Philip Tomasino (14)
4. Nicholas Robertson (17)
5. Ryan Suzuki (18)
6. Connor McMichael (24)
7. Jamieson Rees (30)
8. Vladislav Kolyachonok (31)
9. Graeme Clarke (45)
10. Mike Vukojevic (55)
11. Nikita Okhotyuk (56)
12. Billy Constantinou (58)
13. Matvey Guskov (65)
14. Ethan Keppen (74)
15. Jacob LeGuerrier (92)
16. Keegan Stevenson (95)
17. Cole Schwindt (96)
18. Cole Mackay (98)
19. Joe Carroll (101)
20. Nicholas Porco (103)
21. Blake Murray (104)
22. Mason Primeau (113)
23. Mason Millman (125)
24. Nando Eggenberger (127)
25. Joseph Gareffa (135)
26. Pavel Gogolev (140)
27. Eric Uba (141)
28. Liam Ross (148)
29. Keean Washkurak (149)
30. Petr Cajka (152)
31. Merrick Rippon (158)
32. Hugo Leufvenius (161)
33. Rickard Hugg (162)
34. Tyler Angle (174)
35. Brayden Guy (181)
36. Nathan Staois (182)
37. Jonathan Yantsis (187)
38. Navrin Mutter (189)
39. Maxim Golod (190)
40. Jack York (213)
41. Nathan Allensen (214)
42. Louka Henault (216)
43. Daniel D'Amico (217)
LV - Tag Bertuzzi
LV - Grayson Ladd
Goaltenders:
1. Hunter Jones (3)
2. Nicolas Daws (16)
3. Luke Cavallin (23)
4. Mack Guzda (25)
5. Jet Greaves (28)
The full list can be found here.
Changes from Midseason
Biggest Risers
Joseph Gareffa +83 (from unranked)
Merrick Rippon +60 (from unranked)
Pavel Gogolev +57
Keegan Stevenson +53
Mason Millman +48
Hugo Leufvenius +37
Ethan Keppen +36
Cole Schwindt +35
Liam Ross +35
Brayden Guy +32 (from unranked)
Nathan Staois +31 (from unranked)
Rickard Hugg +31
Mason Primeau +29
Nicholas Robertson +13
Graeme Clarke +11
Philip Tomasino +10
Biggest Fallers
Maxim Golod -96
Danil Antropov -85 (now unranked)
Navrin Mutter -69
Daniel D'Amico -53
Louka Henault -53
Joe Carroll -50
Petr Cajka -49
Billy Moskal -40 (now unranked)
Tyler Angle -39
Cullen McLean - 38 (now unranked)
Nathan Allensen -28
Nathan Dunkley -27 (now unranked)
Jacob LeGuerrier -20
Keean Washkurak -15
Kari Piiroinen -14 (among goalies, now unranked)
Mitchell Brewer -12 (now unranked)
Mack Guzda -10 (among goalies)
Comments
1. For those that follow the draft closely, it should come as no surprise to see so few OHL players ranked highly by NHL Central Scouting this year. This is largely considered to be one of the worst crops from the OHL in many years (or have even heard the words "ever" from a few scouts). This is the first time in the last ten years that under 10 OHL players are ranked inside the Top 50. And the total number of players ranked (48) is also the lowest in that time period.
2. Still shocked at Mitchell Brewer's ranking...or lack there of this time. Not only did he not move up from his ranking at midseason (that I felt was low), but now he's unranked. I just don't get it. This is a defender with size, mobility, and physicality. He's currently the defender with the highest plus/minus in this year's playoffs and wears a letter for a team that just made the Eastern Conference finals. I think that there are some questions as to his offensive upside and as such, he'll probably fall a bit in my final rankings. BUT, he deserves to be ranked, and inside the top 100 (IMO).
3. Otherwise, I'm not sure there are really any surprises. I think that there were some that were shocked by Ryan Suzuki being 5th and as low as he was. But he didn't have a great second half and there are some concerns over his engagement level and consistency. I would still have him a bit higher, but the argument is logical.
Monday, April 1, 2019
2019 OHL Playoff Predictions: Round Two
Round one is officially finished, and to no one's surprise all of the top teams moved on. In fact, none of the series' even made it past Game 5. I think it is safe to say that round two will be a little different.
Of course, worth mentioning that I wrote playoff previews for McKeens this year and you can find those HERE & HERE.
Went 8-0 in round one with my predictions (again, no surprise).
Let's take a closer look at the Conference Semi Finals.
Eastern Conference
1. Ottawa 67's vs. 4. Sudbury Wolves
Season Series: 1-1, TIE
Analysis: Throw the season series out the window. These two teams have not met since November 15. Both teams look pretty different since then. This is a hell of a goaltending battle with two of the three best goalies in the OHL going up against each other. Dipietro still does not look completely comfortable in Ottawa and is going to be tested a heck of a lot more than he was against Hamilton. Where as UPL is the front runner for goaltender of the year and continues to be the Wolves' MVP. Defensively, Ottawa has a clear advantage here, especially in terms of experience. From an offensive perspective, Ottawa has the advantage again. Quinton Byfield is terrific, but asking him to lead this Wolves team to the Eastern Conference final in his first year is a lot to ask. Two things to keep an eye on here. The first is powerplay efficiency. During the regular season, Sudbury was dead last in the league. But their powerplay has been better in the playoffs so far. They will need to take advantage of every man advantage that they get. The second is the UPL factor. Can he truly steal this series and send home the top team in the OHL? I think that the Wolves are going to push Ottawa and make them sweat, but at the end of the day I see the 67's experience as a major advantage and that Dipietro can do enough to make sure Ottawa advances.
Prediction: Ottawa in 6
2. Niagara IceDogs vs. 3. Oshawa Generals
Season Series: 1-1, TIE
Analysis: Like the other East semi, these two teams are not very familiar with each other because they are in opposite divisions. They have not played each other in the 2019 calendar year. The biggest story of this series is the fact that Niagara acquired Jack Studnicka and Matt Brassard from the Generals to help them capture the East and now they have to go through their former team who refused to throw in the towel after dealing them. Quite honestly, I think whoever wins this series takes home the East; that is how much I believe in either team. I think both are built for playoff success this year with balanced rosters and solid goaltending. Oshawa has the advantage from a defensive standpoint, be it their blueline or their goaltender. Where as Niagara has the advantage from an offensive standpoint with a little more fire power. So who the heck wins? I think Niagara takes this and here is why. The first reason is home ice advantage. I think this ultimately goes seven games and that 7th game would be played in St. Catharines. The second reason is that I think Niagara's forward group is better in terms of generating possession time in the offensive end on the backs of guys like Jason Robertson, Jack Studnicka, Akil Thomas, and hopefully Kirill Maksimov (if he's healthy enough). Oshawa is more of a quick strike team who can prey on a team that does not have an incredibly mobile defense group. And Niagara's blueliners are a terrific skating bunch. Again, this will be close, but I am going with Niagara.
Prediction: Niagara in 7
Western Conference
1. London Knights vs. 4. Guelph Storm
Season Series: 4-2, Guelph
Analysis: Unlike the East, the teams playing each other in the West semi's are extremely familiar with each other. Guelph has largely taken it to the Knights this year, especially recently having outscored London 12-4 in the two meetings in the regular season's final month. Three main reasons for that have been Guelph's dominance at 5 on 5, London's inability to capitalize on the powerplay, and London's inability to get quality goaltending against the Storm. In order for London to win, goaltending will be the key. Kooy was solid in round one and either he (or Raaymakers, if he falters) will need to be play well. Their powerplay, on the backs of Bouchard and Boqvist, was unreal in round one (operating at over 50%) and they will need to keep that up. And they will need to stay out of the penalty box against an equally dangerous Guelph powerplay. Ultimately, I see this series being incredibly high scoring. We could see a lot of 6-5, 7-4, type of games. Think of it like a heavyweight title bout in boxing with each boxer swinging with maximum power with each punch. But here is why I see Guelph winning. I think their forward group is deeper on higher end, more experienced talent and I think their forward group sees the ice a little better overall. London will be bringing speed and plenty of it. They like to push the pace. But Guelph has an extremely mobile defensive group who can counter punch. And ultimately, I do not think London's defense is hard nosed enough to stop Guelph's forward group from dominating below the hash marks like they are capable of.
Prediction: Guelph in 6
2. Saginaw Spirit vs. 3. Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
Season Series: 4-4, TIE
Analysis: This is most definitely a coin flip for me. Two very solid teams here who have versatile lineups. Here is why Saginaw should win: SSM had brutal performances by their special teams in the opening round of the playoffs and the team's powerplay has struggled with consistency all season long. Saginaw also has a deeper forward group with the ability to roll three very strong scoring lines. Additionally, Saginaw's size and physicality on the back-end should give SSM difficulty and prevent them from establishing consistent zone time. However, here is why SSM will win: Two of Saginaw's biggest guns, Owen Tippett and Ryan McLeod have yet to score this year against the Soo and have been shutdown by the Greyhounds' veteran duo of Morgan Frost and Barrett Hayton. Also, as good as Ivan Prosvetov has been down the stretch, he has struggled against the Greyhounds this year and he does not have the experience that Matthew Villalta does (even if I am not the most confident in Villalta either). And while the Greyhounds do have some youngsters in the lineup that they are relying on heavily, they are largely a very battle tested playoff group. Frost, Hayton, Hollowell, Sambrook, Howdeshell, Peca. These are veteran players who know what it takes to win in the playoffs and who have been terrific so far.
Prediction: SSM in 7
Of course, worth mentioning that I wrote playoff previews for McKeens this year and you can find those HERE & HERE.
Went 8-0 in round one with my predictions (again, no surprise).
Let's take a closer look at the Conference Semi Finals.
Eastern Conference
1. Ottawa 67's vs. 4. Sudbury Wolves
Season Series: 1-1, TIE
Analysis: Throw the season series out the window. These two teams have not met since November 15. Both teams look pretty different since then. This is a hell of a goaltending battle with two of the three best goalies in the OHL going up against each other. Dipietro still does not look completely comfortable in Ottawa and is going to be tested a heck of a lot more than he was against Hamilton. Where as UPL is the front runner for goaltender of the year and continues to be the Wolves' MVP. Defensively, Ottawa has a clear advantage here, especially in terms of experience. From an offensive perspective, Ottawa has the advantage again. Quinton Byfield is terrific, but asking him to lead this Wolves team to the Eastern Conference final in his first year is a lot to ask. Two things to keep an eye on here. The first is powerplay efficiency. During the regular season, Sudbury was dead last in the league. But their powerplay has been better in the playoffs so far. They will need to take advantage of every man advantage that they get. The second is the UPL factor. Can he truly steal this series and send home the top team in the OHL? I think that the Wolves are going to push Ottawa and make them sweat, but at the end of the day I see the 67's experience as a major advantage and that Dipietro can do enough to make sure Ottawa advances.
Prediction: Ottawa in 6
2. Niagara IceDogs vs. 3. Oshawa Generals
Season Series: 1-1, TIE
Analysis: Like the other East semi, these two teams are not very familiar with each other because they are in opposite divisions. They have not played each other in the 2019 calendar year. The biggest story of this series is the fact that Niagara acquired Jack Studnicka and Matt Brassard from the Generals to help them capture the East and now they have to go through their former team who refused to throw in the towel after dealing them. Quite honestly, I think whoever wins this series takes home the East; that is how much I believe in either team. I think both are built for playoff success this year with balanced rosters and solid goaltending. Oshawa has the advantage from a defensive standpoint, be it their blueline or their goaltender. Where as Niagara has the advantage from an offensive standpoint with a little more fire power. So who the heck wins? I think Niagara takes this and here is why. The first reason is home ice advantage. I think this ultimately goes seven games and that 7th game would be played in St. Catharines. The second reason is that I think Niagara's forward group is better in terms of generating possession time in the offensive end on the backs of guys like Jason Robertson, Jack Studnicka, Akil Thomas, and hopefully Kirill Maksimov (if he's healthy enough). Oshawa is more of a quick strike team who can prey on a team that does not have an incredibly mobile defense group. And Niagara's blueliners are a terrific skating bunch. Again, this will be close, but I am going with Niagara.
Prediction: Niagara in 7
Western Conference
1. London Knights vs. 4. Guelph Storm
Season Series: 4-2, Guelph
Analysis: Unlike the East, the teams playing each other in the West semi's are extremely familiar with each other. Guelph has largely taken it to the Knights this year, especially recently having outscored London 12-4 in the two meetings in the regular season's final month. Three main reasons for that have been Guelph's dominance at 5 on 5, London's inability to capitalize on the powerplay, and London's inability to get quality goaltending against the Storm. In order for London to win, goaltending will be the key. Kooy was solid in round one and either he (or Raaymakers, if he falters) will need to be play well. Their powerplay, on the backs of Bouchard and Boqvist, was unreal in round one (operating at over 50%) and they will need to keep that up. And they will need to stay out of the penalty box against an equally dangerous Guelph powerplay. Ultimately, I see this series being incredibly high scoring. We could see a lot of 6-5, 7-4, type of games. Think of it like a heavyweight title bout in boxing with each boxer swinging with maximum power with each punch. But here is why I see Guelph winning. I think their forward group is deeper on higher end, more experienced talent and I think their forward group sees the ice a little better overall. London will be bringing speed and plenty of it. They like to push the pace. But Guelph has an extremely mobile defensive group who can counter punch. And ultimately, I do not think London's defense is hard nosed enough to stop Guelph's forward group from dominating below the hash marks like they are capable of.
Prediction: Guelph in 6
2. Saginaw Spirit vs. 3. Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
Season Series: 4-4, TIE
Analysis: This is most definitely a coin flip for me. Two very solid teams here who have versatile lineups. Here is why Saginaw should win: SSM had brutal performances by their special teams in the opening round of the playoffs and the team's powerplay has struggled with consistency all season long. Saginaw also has a deeper forward group with the ability to roll three very strong scoring lines. Additionally, Saginaw's size and physicality on the back-end should give SSM difficulty and prevent them from establishing consistent zone time. However, here is why SSM will win: Two of Saginaw's biggest guns, Owen Tippett and Ryan McLeod have yet to score this year against the Soo and have been shutdown by the Greyhounds' veteran duo of Morgan Frost and Barrett Hayton. Also, as good as Ivan Prosvetov has been down the stretch, he has struggled against the Greyhounds this year and he does not have the experience that Matthew Villalta does (even if I am not the most confident in Villalta either). And while the Greyhounds do have some youngsters in the lineup that they are relying on heavily, they are largely a very battle tested playoff group. Frost, Hayton, Hollowell, Sambrook, Howdeshell, Peca. These are veteran players who know what it takes to win in the playoffs and who have been terrific so far.
Prediction: SSM in 7
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