Sunday, November 13, 2022

Preliminary Top 50 for the 2023 NHL Entry Draft

It's time for my first official ranking for the 2023 NHL Entry Draft. I say official because I release a preseason ranking in the summer (which can be found here). 
 
The list includes detailed reports on the Top 30 and small snippets on the other 20 that make up the Top 50. 

As of right now, I'm not sure I would call this a strong draft crop for the OHL. This is especially true when you consider the depth many other leagues and countries have to offer. We have some solid talent near the top and as many as six first round candidates IMO, but the depth does not currently look terrific. Filling out the top 50 for this list was extremely difficult. In reality, I would say only about 35 or so names are truly on the draft radar. I'd put the early over/under for players drafted from the OHL this year at about 29.5 and that includes re-entry candidates that I have not listed here.
 
Speaking of re-entries, it is important to note (for those that aren't familiar with my lists), that I don't include 2nd and 3rd year eligible players on the list (like Kingston's Linus Hemstrom or Sarnia's Marcus Limpar Lantz). I do a year end list for those players.

Without further ado, here's my early season top 50.

1. Cal Ritchie - Center/Wing - Oshawa Generals
I've seen a few people suggest that Ritchie's offensive production doesn't warrant being as highly rated as he is currently. I'd argue that it's important not to stat watch and actually see the players play. The Generals just aren't going to be a terrific team this year. Expecting him to be near the top of the league scoring race is unreasonable. Instead look at the improvements that Ritchie has made to his game in comparison to last year. He's stronger on/off the puck and is really turning into a dominant two-way force. He's trusting his shot more and hunting down opportunities to get to the inside to score. He's making better decisions with the puck in transition and is varying pace to make himself more unpredictable. He's still got a great combination of length, skill, and speed. He's the complete package. The great thing is that he's almost assuredly a big part of the Canadian U18 team in April, where he'll be given a chance to build off of his terrific Hlinka/Gretzky Cup appearance. 

2. Colby Barlow - Wing - Owen Sound Attack
I just wrote a piece on Barlow for McKeen's and Tony Ferrari and I recently spoke at length about Barlow on our THN podcast (found here). Needless to say...I'm a fan. I see his game transitioning to the NHL level extremely well. That combination of power, size, two-way ability, and goal scoring ability is just rare. He's also just a really good kid who's already wearing the "C" in Owen Sound as a 17 year old. He generates speed so quickly and it makes him very difficult to contain in transition. But, he's also very middle of the ice centric, which is something NHL scouts really look at. When he's using his speed to back down defenders, he's taking the puck to the middle and looking to get to the net. He's also physical and is a potential lock down defensive forward, something that he showed at the Hlinka/Gretzky and something that he has continued to show in the OHL. As a goal scorer, he has many weapons. He finishes well in tight. He has soft hands for re-directs. He has a wicked wrist shot and one timer. His scoring instincts are sound. We just saw a similar player in Cutter Gauthier go inside the top five and I'd honestly prefer Barlow as a long term prospect. Are there any downsides? The one area that needs to improve for Barlow is his neutral zone play with the puck and ability to handle at top speed. He can struggle to cleanly accept passes from his defenders and as he tries to push east/west, he can lose control. When he takes control in his own zone and builds a head of steam, he is rarely stopped. However, when he's supporting the breakout, it's not always the cleanest. This is something that can be worked on. I think his hands are good enough that as he gets stronger, this should improve. IMO it's truly the key to unlocking his high end potential.

3. Cam Allen - Defense - Guelph Storm
As you may have seen from the link to my preseason list, I had Allen at number one following the Hlinka/Gretzky Cup. I had very high expectations for him entering the year and I fully expected him to be the top defender available in 2023. Now...I'm less sure of that and as such, I've moved him below Ritchie and Barlow who have started the year off very well (to go with their strong Hlinka/Gretzky Cup performances). I still like Allen. I still have high hopes for Allen. How much of Allen's struggles can be blamed on the Storm's poor performance to start the year? Or, conversely, are Allen's struggles a main reason why Guelph has struggled? Allen's decision making with the puck has left some to be desired. To me, he looks like a player who is trying to force the play, always seemingly trying to make the hard play instead of taking the easy one. That is leading to some bad turnovers. He's being asked to do a lot right now and my guess is that the pressure of his draft year is weighing on him a little bit. Last year and at the Hlinka/Gretzky, I liked his decision making and thought it was a strength of his game. This year...it's been a weakness. Additionally, his play in the defensive end has wavered. He needs to be more consistently dialed in physically. He can play a suffocating style, but he can also be pushed around and does not come away with the puck enough in those true 50/50 toss ups. He's still a strong skating, potential two-way workhorse. However, what's the offensive upside here? Is Allen more of a Calvin de Haan type than say...a Charlie McAvoy?

4. Hunter Brzustewicz - Defense - Kitchener Rangers
If you asked me who the most impressive draft eligible blueliner has been so far this year, it wouldn't be Allen, but Brzustewicz (or Barrie's Beau Akey). It's pronounced "Bru-stay-vitch" for those wondering. After struggling through injuries and a lack of ice time with the NTDP the last two years, Brzustewicz has entered the OHL and become an immediate top pairing defender for the Rangers. They rely on him to play 25+ minutes a night and in all situations. Part of me is a bit concerned by the fact that he doesn't have a true standout quality; nothing I would consider elite. Sometimes that can be the kiss of death for blueline prospects as they try to transition to the NHL. However, the other part of me loves the simplicity of his game, a game built around quick decision making and strong four way mobility. I really like how he takes control of the game inside the offensive blueline. His lateral quickness and pivots are very sharp and he always has his head up. He's not afraid to make the simple play and rarely tries to force things if they aren't there. He's content to hold the line and dump the puck back into the corner. But he also identifies opportunities to pinch and try to work his way down low. In the defensive end, he takes good routes to pucks and surveys the ice well to start the breakout. He makes crisp passes to his outlets and has really good scanning habits. He's not really a true burner from a linear speed perspective. He's not someone who you'll see going end to end. But you don't need to be to be a good NHL defender. In the defensive end, I think he's a smart player, but I think he needs to be a harder player to match up against. He loses too many battles for positioning near the crease and can be too passive along the wall. But I'm curious to see how his game develops over the course of the year as he builds confidence (and as the Rangers improve...like I anticipate they will).

5. Beau Akey - Defense - Barrie Colts
If you follow me on social media, you'd know that I really like Akey. At this point, I think he's right there with Allen and Brzustewicz as a candidate to be the top OHL defender off the board. With Brandt Clarke in LA, Akey has been the top pairing defender that the Colts needed him to be. In terms of offensive upside, I think he may actually possess more than Allen and Brzustewicz. His hands and ability to escape pressure are a step above those two. He can really carve up the neutral zone as a carrier because of his quickness and his skill blending abilities. I think he could actually stand to take more chances with the puck because of how well he can recover, but right now he's still fairly conservative. I also really like Akey's defensive awareness. His play in the neutral zone is a real strength. He's not afraid to step up to play aggressively to knock down clearing attempts and he will look to shut down transitional attacks early. He defends the slot well too with that quick stick and strong anticipation. Where Akey struggles is similar to Allen and Brzustewicz. He needs to be harder on puck carriers. He can be too complacent at times and allows the opposition to dictate the play, rather than being assertive to force their hand. He flashes this ability on some shifts, but then leaves large gaps or fails to pin his man along the boards on others. For a player with his four way mobility, his defensive footwork can get sloppy at times too. It's almost as if he is unsure of himself and just overthinking things. If he can learn to be as aggressive in the defensive zone as he is in the NZ, he'd be a lot better for it. Even still, he's a borderline first round candidate for me.

6. Quentin Musty - Wing - Sudbury Wolves
Oh Quentin Musty, how you will frustrate scouts this year. There are so many intriguing qualities to his game. He's exceptionally skilled, especially as a one on one attacker. He has a big shot and scoring potential. He actually does have great vision at times and can thread a pass through the smallest of seams. The upside at the NHL level is extremely tantalizing. But then there are the disappearing acts. The shifts where he tries to take on three defenders and turns over the puck. The shifts where he is kept to the perimeter. The shifts where he is complacent and looks sluggish without the puck. What is the root cause of these deficits and the inconsistent performance? Is it processing? Is it conditioning? Is it skating related? He is bound to be one of the most heavily scrutinized players over the course of this draft season. The next Brandon Saad? Let's see how he plays under Derek MacKenzie. The early results are good.

7. Carson Rehkopf - Wing/Center - Kitchener Rangers
I actually know some people who prefer Rehkopf to Musty at this time and, honestly, I'm nearly there too. I don't think his offensive ceiling is nearly as high, but the floor certainly is. If you think Rehkopf can play center long term, he's going to be a very interesting player to you. Large frame. Plays the game hard and physical, especially below the goal line. Tough to knock off the puck already and strong on the wall. Has the potential to be a strong two-way presence IMO. Has excellent goal scoring potential too because of a quick release and heavy wrister. I think, for me, the biggest questions I have surround Rehkopf's processing and vision. I'm not saying it's poor. It's more that I just don't have a great read on that yet. I want to continue to see how his play without the puck evolves and how his playmaking ability improves in transition. Can he take over games consistently? There's a real intriguing combination of power and speed here.

8. Luca Pinelli - Wing/Center - Ottawa 67's
As of writing this, Pinelli is actually the highest scoring first time eligible player in the OHL. Not sure that would have been expected heading into the year. I know my pals at McKeen's Will Scouch and Sam McGilligan are huge fans of his and rightfully so based on the progress he has shown in the last calendar year. He was actually really strong in the second half of his rookie year and just continues to build off of that. He's a better skater than his brother Francesco was at the same age. But he has similar cognitive strengths. His play without the puck and anticipation in the offensive end are really strong. He slides in and out of traffic and plays through the middle of the ice. He's got more jam to his game than his brother too, consistently engaged in puck pursuit. I know he's played some center this year, but I've definitely liked him better on the wing. That's where I see him fitting down the line. I guess the million dollar question is...what's the upside? I don't see a guy with elite level skill. But I do see someone with the skill set to be a very strong complementary player at the next level...especially if he can continue to improve those physical tools. Good goal scorer. Supports the play well. Versatile. I don't see him as a first round candidate in this strong of a draft year, but if he keeps this up, he's assured to be a second rounder like his brother.

9. Denver Barkey - Center - London Knights
Seriously, how could you not like Denver Barkey? Yeah, yeah...I know. He's only 5'9 and a 155lbs. He's also not an elite skater like you probably want to see. Not a poor skater by any means, but he does not possess high end separation ability or elusiveness right now. Yet...he finds a way to be an impactful player in so many ways. He's versatile; already a fantastic penalty killer and two-way presence. He's competitive; someone who consistently fights to earn touches and competes away from the puck. He's skilled, more so than people give him credit for IMO. He's intelligent; his vision is a standout quality. What's going to happen after he matures more physically? I think there's a lot more potential to unlock here. I see Barkey in a similar light to Owen Beck last year. This is a young man that I believe has a high ceiling and a pretty decent floor. Even if he tops out as a Paul Byron type, that will still bring a lot of long term value to an NHL franchise. But what if he continues to get better and ends up as Joe Pavelski, JG Pageau type? Lots of different paths to the NHL for players like Barkey IMO. London is sure to yo-yo all season this year, but Barkey's going to consistently show well.

10. Nick Lardis - Wing - Peterborough Petes
Lardis is a really interesting prospect because of his combination of speed and goal scoring potential. He consistently puts defenders on their heals driving wide as he looks to cut to the middle. He's far from a perimeter player too. He will work his way between the hash marks and crash the net for scoring chances. Like Colby Barlow, he can score in a variety of different ways; the true mark of a top notch goal scorer. I like Lardis' energy off the puck in the offensive zone too. He battles for space and consistently applies pressure on the forecheck. I'm still trying to get a good read on his passing ability and overall vision. He can be turnover prone. There are instances of tunnel vision in transition. In a lot of ways, I think Lardis is still learning how to use his speed effectively and consistently. I think he's also still learning how to vary his attacks to incorporate changes of pace. These criticisms are similar to the ones that I had about David Goyette early last year. At this point, Lardis looks like a solid second/third round prospect, but with some improvements over the year, he could move up. Outside of Barlow and Musty, he has the highest upside as a goal scorer from the "O" IMO.

11. Carey Terrance - Center - Erie Otters
This is a player that is really growing on me, especially in the last few weeks. On the THN podcast I mentioned Terrance as a player that I felt was over-slotted as a "B" prospect. Since then, I've tried to watch Erie a bunch and get a better read on him. Turns out this was perfect timing because he's been hot from a production standpoint. I'm still not exactly sure of the offensive upside at the NHL level. But, there are quite a few standout and workable qualities to his game. His speed is a real asset and is the foundation of his game. He's always looking to push pace. However, his small area quickness is very impressive too. He spins off the wall and spins off checks really well, quickly exploiting gaps in the offensive zone. It seems like half his points in the last two weeks have come from plays that involved him exploding off the wall to hit a seam in the slot, catching defenders flat footed. The shot and two-way instincts are good too. He supports his defenders well down low and that really helps the transition game for Erie, as he can use his speed to turn things around quickly. Let's see how his game continues to develop over the year. I'm not entirely sure he's more than a Cody Eakin type, but that has great value.

12. Coulson Pitre - Wing - Flint Firebirds
Pitre was a bit inconsistent to start the year, but he's been playing much better the last few weeks. Perfect timing in correlation with my rankings. He's a real throwback power forward type who loves to throw the body, mix it up near the crease, and has some intriguing offensive tools. It's easy to see him carving out a long NHL career as a bottom six player, at the very least, because he skates pretty well for the type of game he plays too. Given Flint's depth, consistent ice time hasn't been easy to come by, and I think that contributed to some of the issues early on. I thought he was getting away from his identity a bit and wasn't bringing that consistent physical element that is the key to success for him. However, the last few weeks he has been dialed in. His best asset in the offensive zone might actually be his IQ/awareness. His anticipation in the offensive end is good and he has the quickness to exploit gaps, getting inside leverage for scoring chances in the slot and near the crease. This awareness also gives him good vision as a playmaker coming off the wall and when trying to drive the middle. He's great at drawing in defenders and sliding passes through coverage. Lots of check marks here for a player who could have a lengthy NHL career as a support player.

13. Alex Pharand - Wing/Center - Sudbury Wolves
The Sudbury Wolves have not been great to start the year, but Pharand has been one of the few bright spots for them so far. He's a big kid who excels playing through the middle of the ice. He's tough to contain near the crease and has been scoring and getting consistent looks by outworking defenders out front. I also like how he works the wall and keeps his feet moving. He's strong in the cycle and in puck pursuit. As he gets stronger, he could be a really solid support player. I think the most intriguing thing about Pharand is that he has shown an ability to play center and lead the offensive attack. His skating ability is not high end, but not poor either. He gets to where he needs to get and when combined with his size, it gives him an interesting profile and potential. I'm not sure the upside is extremely high. However, I'm really curious to see how his game develops further over the course of the season.

14. Ethan Miedema - Wing - Windsor Spitfires
It's probably a bit shocking to see Miedema this low, but I'm just not sold on him at this time. There are definitely some intriguing components to his game. He's certainly skilled, more so than the average 6'4 forward. He can create space for himself with his hands and I think his linear speed has improved to the point where he can be a transitional leader. He shows flashes of being a high end playmaker. Unquestionably, the offensive upside is very high and it's why Miedema was taken fourth overall. However, I have more questions about his game than answers at this time. For one, I find him too perimeter oriented currently, especially for a player of his size. He needs to get himself into the middle of the ice more consistently and he needs to find his way to the net when he doesn't have the puck. In transition, he attacks almost solely from the outside and can be forced to the wall and can be separated from the puck rather easily. When pressured, he can be turnover prone. The production has been pretty decent considering his third line ice time this season, but I have my worries about his game transitioning at this time. I like him a lot more as a third/fourth round target, rather than a true "B" prospect.

15. Cole Brown - Wing - Hamilton Bulldogs
Much like Pharand, Brown has an intriguing blend of size and skill. I don't think he's as quick as Pharand is at this current moment, but he seems to have a very clear understanding of how he needs to play to be successful. He lives near the crease, protects the puck well, and drives the net from the wing. His hands in tight are pretty good and I think he possesses some interesting potential as a goal scorer. I wish he was a little more involved from a physicality perspective. He's not yet a terrific three zone player either. The key for him will be improving his quickness and top end speed. I think it's possible. His east/west movement isn't terrible and he accepts passes well in stride, pivoting and changing direction quickly. It's that he's not generating significant power in his pushes or sustaining the power he is creating with shorter strides. I think a power skating coach could really work wonders with him. There's just something about Brown's game that is very intriguing from a pro perspective.

16. Matthew Mania - Defense - Sudbury Wolves
Part of me really wanted to put Mania higher on this list. I like so many components of his game. I think his offensive upside is really high. He's at his best when he can use his quickness and skill to lead the charge out of his own end and push the pace of play. He can be a very impactful puck mover at even strength. Yet...we just don't see him doing this enough. He seems hesitant to really unleash this year. Maybe new coach MacKenzie in Sudbury will help bring that out of him and let him feast and let him take more chances. Maybe it points to processing issues and not confidence ones. I also think he needs to grow further as a powerplay quarterback. I haven't been crazy about his decision making in the offensive end. He needs to make quicker decisions on the point and he needs to use his quickness more to beat pressure, helping to open up lanes. There's a level of rigidity there and there should not be given his skill set. Defensively, I actually think he's shown some growth. There's still room for improvement, but he's largely shown growth in his reads, chasing the play less and playing with a little more physical authority. If he doesn't show growth over the season, Mania likely falls on this list by season's end. But I'm still hopeful that he can gain confidence and be more of an offensive leader for the Wolves.

17. Joey Willis - Center/Wing - Saginaw Spirit
I have been so incredibly impressed with this young man in his rookie OHL season coming out of the U.S. AAA loop. That's a huge jump to make and he's come right into the league and become an impact player. He plays with a ton of energy in all three zones and is already a strong two-way player despite not having the size/strength to consistently win battles. It seems like every time I watch Saginaw, I find myself circling back to his play on the backcheck and his overall awareness/ability to force turnovers. His vision is also a standout quality. He is an excellent passer. One of those guys who seems to have eyes in the back of his head. Even when he's putting up zeroes on the scoreboard, he's making good plays and setting up chances. My heart wanted to put him higher, but my head has him here. The reason being that I think those "athletic" or "physical" tools will need to really improve for him to transition to the NHL level. He's not the biggest guy so he's going to need to improve his skating. His linear quickness is decent, but he needs to become a more dynamic mover overall. He can be forced to the outside when attacking with pace and is most effective when the game slows down right now. In a lot of ways, I'm getting Riley Kidney type vibes from him and I think the two are similar players with similar projections. In all honesty, this might be the most I've ever liked a player that I'm ranking at #17.

18. Oliver Bonk - Defense - London Knights
Another guy that people will be surprised to see so low down my rankings. I guess my concern is that, IMO, Bonk doesn't really have a standout quality. He's good in almost all areas, but is he elite in any? What's the projection here? Yeah, he's got great bloodlines. Yeah, he's been producing for the Knights. He's a good OHL player already and London utilizes him in a lot of creative ways (like having him work the flank a lot on the powerplay). He also has that coveted right shot and decent size. But I just can't help but see guys like Stuart Percy and Matt Finn in Bonk. His movement qualities are only average. He doesn't need to be a Cale Makar type. Not asking that. But I do have concerns about the dynamic qualities of his stride and whether his four way mobility can get to a point where it would be more than average at the NHL level. And his decision making with the puck is inconsistent. There are times where he looks great. He takes a great route to a retrieval or makes a strong defensive read and makes a great exit to start the breakout. Then there are other times where he fails to clear the zone, or turns the puck over in the neutral zone...especially when he tries to use his feet. Is this just a young player needing more experience in his truly first OHL season? Or are there some deficiencies which could cap his upside? It's highly possible that he grows on me over the year and pushes up my board. 

19. Andrew Gibson - Defense - Soo Greyhounds
Really interesting OHL rookie who has jumped right into a top four role with the rebuilding Greyhounds this year. Last year he had possibly the best U17 season of this millennium in the NOJHL, winning the league's defender of the year. So there is a pedigree there. NHL Central Scouting has him listed as a "B" player already. To be honest, I'm still trying to get a solid read on him this early in the year. So this ranking is a fairly moderate one. The length is intriguing at 6'3 and he plays the right side. His four way mobility looks good, but not exceptional. His decision making has been sound and he's getting the puck off his stick quickly. He's not really an aggressive offensive player at this point. Inside the offensive zone, his shot looks like his biggest weapon. He has a really heavy wrist shot and he generally does a good job getting it through traffic. Defensively, Gibson holds his ground well and he has a good stick that he uses to keep attackers to the outside. He looks comfortable in his own end already. I guess my question is...what's the upside? How much further can his offensive game grow? Can he continue to improve in his own end too? Like I said, I'm definitely still trying to get a good read on Gibson. 

20. Alexis Daviault - Defense - Sarnia Sting
I think what we, as a scouting community, need to determine this year is whether Daviault is someone who is going to be more than just a really good OHL defender. I feel very confident that he will develop into a very good, perhaps five year, OHL standout. What I'm less sure of is whether his particular skill set makes him a true NHL prospect or not. I actually like Daviault's play in the defensive end best right now. For a sub six foot defender, that may not be a great thing. He has really good anticipation in the defensive end. He always seems to be around the puck and he's more physical than you would expect him to be. He's a real competitive kid. Offensively, he's at his best when he keep things simple. He has a good exit pass, but when he tries to clear the zone with his feet or tries to be aggressive offensively, he can turn the puck over. I'm not sure he's innately skilled enough to be a true puck mover. At least at the next level anyway. He's also not a plus skater, at least moving forward anyway. Simply put, I think in order to stay on the draft radar his offensive production is going to have to be better.

21. Calem Mangone - Wing - Saginaw Spirit
Absolutely criminal that Mangone didn't receive a letter grade from NHL Central Scouting. Right there with Pinelli as one of the higher scoring first time draft eligible players in the OHL. Yes...I know he's a late born 2004. Yes...I know he's very undersized. I don't care. I liked Mangone last year too and he's building off that performance to take a really positive next step. He has everything you look for from a smaller player that you hope is able to transition out of junior. He's highly competitive. He's quick...especially moving East/West. He's skilled. He's smart. He drives play and is just a really fun player to watch. I almost put him higher on this list, but I do want to see him stay healthy this year and I do want to see him maintain this level of play for the Spirit. But I feel good about his odds to slowly creep up draft lists this year. You just can't ignore him when you watch Saginaw. A little ball of energy.

22. Brad Gardiner - Center - Ottawa 67's
This guy just keeps on scoring. But he's doing more than that for the 67's. He's taking key faceoffs. He's playing big minutes on the penalty kill. He's a strong linear skater with some explosiveness who can lead the attack from the middle. I like the offensive zone awareness. It's why he has so many goals already this year. He's one of those guys who just consistently finds himself in the right place at the right time and he keeps his feet moving in the offensive zone to work to the inside. I'm not convinced that he has significant upside at the NHL level at this time, but he definitely looks like someone who could carve out a role in some capacity. He's been really good for the upstart 67's. If he sustains this, he'll move up lists.

23. Matthew Soto - Wing - Kingston Frontenacs
Fairly strong skating winger who can be a difference maker in transition. Loves to lead the charge over the blueline and be first into the offensive zone. Doesn't always work his way into the middle, but can find his way to the net and is willing to work the cycle to slow the game down. I think he's a better playmaker than goal scorer. He shows a willingness to attack and is poised enough to make defenders bite before he dishes off. Soto doesn't have the kind of tunnel vision that you typically see from young speedsters. At this point, like many other players on this list, I'm uncertain of the upside. I don't think he'll ever be a highly physical player or an elite two-way player. So is he skilled enough to play higher up the lineup in the NHL? Or can he improve his play off the puck to be more of a consistent difference maker?

24. Owen Outwater - Center - Kingston Frontenacs
Kind of made sense to put these two Kingston forwards together. Former minor hockey teammates. Now OHL linemates. Similar strengths as players. Outwater has greater size, but similar speed. That's going to be attractive to NHL teams. However, I think Soto sees the ice better and has a better head for the game at this point, thus the slight nod despite the downgrade in physical tools. But, Outwater is going to be an intriguing player for scouts this year given his size and desired pace. He really likes to attack and similar to Soto, he has no qualms about working the inside lane. Similar to Soto, I also wonder what his upside is. I want to see how he develops over the course of the year and whether he can learn to use his size a little more effectively to be more consistent on the puck.

25. Quinton Burns - Defense - Kingston Frontenacs
Three Fronts in a row! Have really liked what I've seen of Burns so far this year. He's actually been one of those unsung heroes for the Fronts, helping them to be more competitive than many anticipated they would be. He's playing in all situations and playing quite well. Good mover. Can carry the puck. Holds the offensive line well. Plays aggressive defensively and closes gaps quickly. Brings a physical element. There is a lot to like. He's someone that I'm very much still trying to get a read on, kind of like the Soo's Andrew Gibson. What's the high end potential here? Can he continue to gain confidence as a puck carrier and show significant offensive potential? I could see him really moving up this list as the year goes on and I see him more.

26. Angus MacDonell - Wing/Center - Sarnia Sting
Drafted as a center, but MacDonell has been used almost exclusively on the wing so far this year. MacDonell is a high energy guy who wears his heart on his sleeve. He's probably a future captain for the Sting. Already noticeable on the penalty kill with his speed and tenacity. Throws his body around and blocks shots. It's cliche...but he's a guy who leaves it all out on the ice every shift. MacDonell is also a quality goal scorer. He's got a great wrist shot. Very quick release. He's not big, but with his tenaciousness, it's possible that he can develop into a high end offensive player at this level. At the next level...I'm not sure. He's kind of similar to the Brady Stonehouse, Owen Van Steensel types that NHL teams passed on at the draft last year.

27. Tristan Bertucci - Defense - Flint Firebirds
Bertucci is not a "sexy" potential draft pick. That's for sure. He's not a high end puck mover. He's not someone who will break down defenses with skill. He's not an elite linear mover, which limits his effectiveness in transition. But Bertucci knows this. It's why he keeps things simple. He gets the puck in the defensive zone and he's looking to pass out with his head up. He holds the line and doesn't take chances, simply dumping the puck back in or floating a wrister on net before he's pressured. Defensively is where he stands out. While he's only an average forward mover, Bertucci's backwards and lateral mobility are strong and it makes him very difficult to get around in the defensive zone. He defends aggressively and applies consistent pressure to puck carriers, maintaining a strict gap. He defends well below the goal line. I think NHL teams will be looking at Bertucci similar to the way they they did with Tnias Mathurin last year. There is a path to the NHL for Bertucci, even if its in more of a third pairing, PK role.

28. Donovan McCoy - Defense - Peterborough Petes
Even though he's playing a ton for the Petes (a strong team), I've been a little disappointed with McCoy this year. He's not playing poorly. But for a late born '2004 on a good team, he's been less noticeable than I would have hoped. I really liked McCoy as an OHL draft eligible player and felt that he possessed terrific potential as a two-way defender. But offensively, he just hasn't shown much. He is a strong mover, but he seems hesitant to involve himself as a puck carrier. Defensively, he is using his mobility to his advantage to be quick to pucks and to be aggressive to take away space. However, I think there's room for him to develop a little more snarl and bite. So right now we've got a pretty effective OHL defender, but one who isn't truly a standout at either end. I've said this a lot, but what's the upside here? I hope he has a really nice second half as he builds confidence.

29. Valentin Zhugin - Wing - Guelph Storm
Zhugin's game is all about speed. One of the quicker players listed here, he can flat out fly. He also blends skill with quickness well and can carve up the neutral zone to gain the offensive blueline. But once inside the offensive zone, he's had trouble trying to get to the inside. It's not an effort thing. I don't think he's being kept to the perimeter because he's not trying or lacks grit. But, at this point, he's very much all flash and no dash. He's just not been much of a true offensive threat outside of a few really impressive rushes per game. Even those rarely end up creating a significant scoring chance. Maybe as Guelph starts to play better, Zhugin starts to manufacture chances at a greater clip. Or maybe he just doesn't have the processing ability to get the best out of his gifts at this point in time. 

30. Easton Cowan - Wing - London Knights
The production has not been incredible thus far, but I think Cowan has been better and more noticeable than the stats would suggest. He's a really strong skater and he can have a real positive influence on London's transitional attack. He's also a pretty decent two-way player and he uses his speed to play a role in puck pursuit and on the forecheck. That's a reason why he's been an anchor of the London penalty kill so far this year. Can the production catch up? Want to see more of him.

31. Juan Copeland - Wing - Niagara IceDogs
The IceDogs have been a bit of a disaster so far this year. Between all the trades and the inconsistent play, they look like the worst team in the Eastern Conference right now IMO. But one of the bright spots has been the play of Copeland. He was a standout at times last year as a rookie too and has carried that over as a sophomore. Copeland is at his best when he drives wide with speed and takes the puck to the net. He has skill and finishing ability and his speed can get him clearance from defenders. The rest of his game is a bit of a work in progress. I have questions about how well he sees the ice. Turnovers can be an issue as he develops tunnel vision driving wide. There is often some hesitancy to alter his pace and he can become predictable and easily neutralized. How he adjusts over the course of the year will be interesting.

32. Adam Zidlicky - Wing - Kitchener Rangers
I think that there is a place at the next level for a player like Zidlicky. Good skater. Brings consistent energy. Understands how to play off the puck and fill open lanes. Works his butt off. Finishing skills are OK in tight. The potential is not high IMO. But he's got great bloodlines (as the son of Marek), is a real work horse and should be a mid-late round pick IMO. Key is for him to continue to get quicker and stronger to be more consistent.

33. Marco Mignosa - Wing - Soo Greyhounds
Smart, well rounded offensive player who has definitely made strides in a few areas of need. I think he looks quicker and more explosive in a straight line. I think he's working hard to be better in the defensive end. The overall dynamic qualities of his stride still need to improve and I don't think he's ready to be the type of play driver the Greyhounds need him to be right now. Would love to see him at the U18's this year to see how he could do with high end offensively oriented linemates.

34. Lucas Moore - Defense - Hamilton Bulldogs
I was pretty shocked to see Moore left off of NHL Central Scouting's preliminary regional grades. He definitely deserved a "C" rating. Obviously not a huge defender, but I like how he processes the game as a right shot defender. Quick puck mover. Good mobility. I think he's got potential as a powerplay quarterback as he works to improve his shot. He was good for the Bulldogs last year too. 

35. Alex Assadourian - Center/Wing - Sudbury Wolves
The offensive production has not been there for Assadourian, but I'm really hoping Derek McKenzie can bring out the best in him since they play pretty similar games. Assadourian is lightning quick and he loves to push and attack the crease. The small area skill and finishing ability needs to improve though. Classic case of the hands needing to catch up to the feet.

36. Joey Costanzo - Goaltender - Windsor Spitfires
First goaltender listed and, right now, the only first time eligible goaltender I see with a real chance to be drafted. Costanzo isn't huge, but he's athletic and shows potential as a play tracker because of it. Reigning in his movement and working with him to improve his rebound control are musts, but he looks like a potential OHL standout down the line. Niagara moving him is a head scratcher.

37. Luke McNamara - Center - Saginaw Spirit
The athletic tools are still really intriguing, even if the production hasn't been there. Good sized center with decent quickness and scoring potential thanks to a quick release. But getting himself into scoring position consistently has been a challenge. As has maintaining possession through contact. Really want to see how he progresses over the year.

38. Bronson Ride - Defense - Windsor Spitfires
Probably easy to compare Ride to former Spit Logan Stanley. Big kid with some intriguing movement qualities. I've found his play to be fairly inconsistent at both ends, but there have been flashes to suggest that he can grow into a competent two-way guy. How his overall decision making improves will dictate how high I move him up over the year.

39. Declan Waddick - Center/Wing - Niagara IceDogs
I believe Waddick is going to develop into a real high end OHL player at some point. He's both smart and skilled. He's also a competent two-way player (as a result of his IQ and anticipation). However, the athletic tools/quickness are a real work in progress and that's going to be a tough pill for scouts to swallow considering he's undersized at 5'10. Could see him being a slow burn on a Niagara team that's a bit of a mess right now.

40. Chris O'Flaherty - Wing - Windsor Spitfires
If O'Flaherty were a more dynamic skater, I'd have him higher. He's been pretty effective and consistent in a bottom six role for the Spitfires. Good size/length (has grown a lot in the last two years). Great scoring potential thanks to a quick release and good instincts. Will drive the net and use his size to be disruptive. He just needs to get quicker. Sustaining speed is an issue for him right now and he can struggle to beat defenders to the net.

41. Nic Sima - Wing - North Bay Battalion
Speaking of growth spurts, insert Nic Sima. Drafted at 6'0, he now comes in at 6'3. Even more impressive is that over that time, he's actually managed to improve his speed and become a better skater. Billed as one of the best goal scorers in the '05 age group in his OHL draft year, that part of his game just hasn't translated extremely well. He can attack with speed and supports the attack well, but his finishing ability and overall skill level hasn't really looked the part of an NHL selection at this point. Curious to see if he can progress over the year and earn more ice time. He could move quickly if he can show he has more to give offensively.

42. Matthew Mayich - Defense - Ottawa 67's
Mayich is kind of a tough one to rank. He's done great in the role that he's been asked to play, forming an excellent go-to pairing with Jack Matier for Dave Cameron. Mayich's strength in the defensive zone has allowed Matier's offensive skill set and confidence to blossom. Mayich has good size, decent four way mobility, and good physical intensity. But I also struggle to truly see him as long time player at the next level because the offensive skill set is fairly limited. Is he more than just a good stay at home type at the OHL level? I just need to see him/watch more him more to get a better read. Guys like Mayich truly need a lot of views to gain a true understanding of.

43. Anthony Romani - Wing/Center - North Bay Battalion
Romani has been really good the last few weeks for the Battalion and is slowly gaining more ice time. I like his skill. He can beat defenders one on one and he has an attacking mentality. At the very least, I see him developing into a quality scorer at the OHL level. His skating is a bit erratic though. He has this wide stride that limits his quickness and mobility, but once he gets going, he can really drive pace. Sustainability is the key word here. Very intrigued by him moving forward.

44. Cooper Foster - Wing/Center - Ottawa 67's
A jack of all trades type, Foster is an intelligent, high energy guy who has played well across a variety of roles for the 67's this year. He was phenomenal in the NOJHL last year and has been dependable as a rookie this year for Ottawa. He's the kind of guy who always seems to be around the puck and his vision/anticipation are good. I kind of see Foster as a bit of a less skilled Joey Willis. The physical tools are average across the board right now and I'm not sure he's innately skilled enough to be a true NHL prospect. Kind of reminds me of watching another former 67 at the same age in Austen Keating.

45. Niko Minkkinen - Defense - Guelph Storm
Minkkinen, a Finnish rookie import, is the type of player who is bound to be on the NHL draft radar regardless of limited production. 6'4, right shot defender with good defensive instincts. If you asked NHL scouts to make this list, Minkkinen would no doubt be in the top 30. My concern is that I don't think his four way mobility is fluid enough at this time. He can have trouble transitioning and is a little awkward defending pace. He also needs to get stronger on his skates and stronger overall to consistently win 50/50 battles along the wall or tie up forwards near the crease. The offensive skill set is pretty limited at this point too. So while I think his length can be very disruptive and his defensive potential is intriguing, I'm just not sure I see a true NHL prospect at this time.

46. Ethan Hay - Center - Flint Firebirds
Had a lot higher expectations for Hay this year. Came into the year liking his potential as a two-way center with decent skating ability. However, his offensive skill set really hasn't taken that step forward that I anticipated it would. He's getting the playing time, but a lot of plays are dying on his stick. He's struggling to make skilled plays through the middle (fumbling pucks, turning the puck over, not getting shots off quick enough). Maybe he can turn it around in the second half. He's worth listing still because I think the potential is still intriguing, but his play needs to improve with the puck.

47. PJ Forgione - Defense - Saginaw Spirit
His ice time has been pretty inconsistent so far this season and he's been out of the lineup the last month. Still has an intriguing skill set as a big defender with some skill and the ability to carry the puck. Decision making at both ends is the big question mark. Curious to see how he plays when he returns to the lineup.

48. Konnor Smith - Defense - Peterborough Petes
Smith is a throwback defender who has seen his ice time increase massively of late thanks to some injuries on the back-end (heck Connor Lockhart has been playing some defense). Great size. Extremely physical. Smith's puck skill is fairly limited at this point and his mobility will need to improve further, but I could see myself liking him more and more as the season goes on if he can show progression and improve his footwork/discipline.

49. Michael Podolioukh - Center - North Bay Battalion
Out since October with a lower body injury, Podolioukh is a guy that I thought was prime for a breakout season. Similar to Hay, I saw someone with good two-way potential and some intriguing skating qualities. Podolioukh has been pretty good defensively for the Battalion, but offensively he's been pretty much a non factor. 

50. Matthew Andonovski - Defense - Kitchener Rangers
Similar player to other defenders listed in this range. Good defensive first defender with some size and decent mobility. Offensive game is a work in progress and works best when kept very simple at this point. Is there upside? 

Limited Viewing - Matthew Jovanovic - Defense - Saginaw Spirit
Has still yet to play in the OHL due to injury. But there's a reason why NHL Central Scouting still listed him as a player to watch. He was considered one of the best 2004 born defenders in Ontario at one time for a reason. Potential two-way defender. If he does end up playing at some point (which I hope he does), and he plays well, he'll move up this list quickly.



Saturday, September 24, 2022

2022/23 OHL Season Preview Part 3: Award Predictions

The conclusion to my three part season preview sees me look at potential award candidates for 2022/23.
 
Red Tilson Trophy - Brandt Clarke (Barrie Colts)
It has been over a decade since a defender won the Red Tilson. Ryan Ellis was the last in 2011. But if Brandt Clarke returns to the league in good time, I like him as my preseason favourite. I think he's ready to take that next step as a completely dominating force. Plus, I expect the Colts to be one of the best teams in the OHL. I also expect Wyatt Johnston to return and you can never discount the previous year's Red Tilson trophy winner. What happens if Shane Wright comes back to the OHL? I expect him to be dealt to a contender and that likely pushes him to the top of this list. What about a goaltender? If the Sting end up being one of the better teams in the Western Conference, one of the reasons will be Ben Gaudreau and that would have to make him a contender. Brennan Othmann in Flint, Tucker Robertson in Peterborough, Francesco Pinelli in Kitchener, Danny Zhilkin and Sasha Pastujov in Guelph, Matvey Petrov in North Bay, and Luca Del Bel Belluz in Mississauga are all going to be serious contenders too IMO.
 
Jim Rutherford Goaltender of the Year - Ben Gaudreau (Sarnia Sting)
Considering that I mentioned him as a candidate for the Red Tilson, it should come as no surprise that I'm going to list Gaudreau as my preseason pick for the Rutherford. Not only do I expect him to have a phenomenal year for Sarnia, but I think he ends up as Canada's starter at this year's WJC's too. Other strong candidates include Anson Thornton, Will Cranley, Jacob Oster, Dom DiVicentiis, and of course returning OA Brett Brochu. Brochu is obviously a big wild card as the returning Rutherford winner. But I don't expect the Knights to be great. That could mean they end up moving him to a contender at some point.
 
Max Kaminski Trophy - Brandt Clarke (Barrie Colts)
If he's the Red Tilson winner like I've predicted, then he's obviously going to be the Max Kaminski winner. Again, I do think Clarke comes back at some point and I think he really takes that next step as one of the league's elite on a strong Barrie team. If you read my work, you know how much I love Pavel Mintyukov so it would be foolish of me not to mention him here. I think draft eligible defender Cam Allen has a monster season for the Storm and that will put him in Kaminski contention. Last year's winner was an OA and look for Gavin White, Mitchell Smith, and Lleyton Moore to all have strong years. Ethan Del Mastro should have a monster year for the Steelheads. Christian Kyrou likely puts up a ton of points for the Otters. Ty Nelson likely has a big bounce back year. Heck, even rookie Hunter Brzustewicz could be a contender with the Rangers. It's a really strong year for defenders in the league.

Emms Family Award - Malcolm Spence (Erie Otters)
I think Spence is in a good position to be the league's top rookie this season. He's one of the most physically mature 2006's entering the league and he's going to be given a ton of ice time and responsibility. Look for him to be an immediate point per game player. Michael Misa should have a good year for the Spirit too for similar reasons to Spence. There are a whole bunch of quality 06's entering the league and many are being put in great situations. However, I do want to highlight some of the great '06 defenders who had great preseasons like Zayne Parekh, Anthony Cristoforo, in addition top the likes of Sam Dickinson, Henry Mews, etc. It's a very strong rookie crop. 

Leo Lalande Trophy - Ethan Cardwell (Barrie Colts)
The best thing for Cardwell's development would be for the Sharks to send him back to the OHL for his OA year and I believe that is the most likely scenario. And if that is the case, I think he's going to be a 100 point scorer and a candidate for many of the league's top awards. Logan Morrison is also an extremely strong candidate here if he returns. Ditto for teammate Gavin White. I also like defenders Mitchell Smith and Lleyton Moore here. Goaltender Brett Brochu is an obvious candidate even if where he ends up finishing the year is a bit of a mystery. Matthew Maggio is going to be a serious candidate too if he returns to the OHL. Lastly, can James Hardie pop 45+ this season for the Steelheads? Lots of good candidates.

Matt Leyden Trophy - Ted Dent (Flint Firebirds)
I expect the Firebirds to finish the year with the best record in the OHL, so that would make Ted Dent a top candidate for coach of the year. Marty Williamson in Barrie, Scott Walker in Guelph, Rob Wilson in Peterborough, and Chris Dennis in Kitchener are all strong preseason candidates. 

Eddie Powers Trophy - Ethan Cardwell (Barrie Colts)
I actually had Cardwell winning this award last year...which obviously wasn't a great prediction given his disappointing year. But...I'm back again. Look, Barrie is going to be one of the league's top offenses this year and Cardwell will be right in the middle of that pending his return. He's not going to miss time like many of the other top candidates (due to extended NHL stays, WJC appearances, etc). Take your pick of many of the other players I listed as Red Tilson candidates too.

Goal Scoring Leader - Brennan Othmann (Flint Firebirds)
At this point, I'd be pretty shocked if Othmann doesn't end up leading the OHL in goals this year. The stars are aligned for him to have a pretty special season. I expect Matvey Petrov, James Hardie, Wyatt Johnston, Tucker Robertson, Matthew Maggio, and Sasha Pastujov to be right up there too. Colby Barlow could have a pretty special draft year too.

1st Team All Stars
Center - Wyatt Johnston
Left Wing - Brennan Othmann
Right Wing - Ethan Cardwell
Defense - Brandt Clarke
Defense - Cam Allen
Goaltender - Ben Gaudreau
Coach - Ted Dent

2nd Team All Stars
Center - Luca Del Bel Belluz
Left Wing - Matvey Petrov
Right Wing - Sasha Pastujov
Defense - Ethan Del Mastro
Defense - Pavel Mintyukov
Goaltender - Dom DiVicentiis
Coach - Marty Williamson

3rd Team All Stars
Center - Tucker Robertson
Left Wing - Colby Barlow
Right Wing - Matthew Maggio
Defense - Hunter Brzustewicz
Defense - Gavin White
Goaltender - Jacob Oster
Coach - Rob Wilson

1st All Rookie Team
Center - Michael Misa
Left Wing - Malcolm Spence
Right Wing - Porter Martone
Defense - Zayne Parekh
Defense - Sam Dickinson
Goaltender - Nathaniel Day

2nd All Rookie Team
Center - Joey Willis
Left Wing - Beckett Sennecke
Right Wing - Jett Luchanko
Defense - Anthony Cristoforo
Defense - Henry Mews
Goaltender - Mason Vaccari

2022/23 OHL Preview Part 2 - Western Conference

Part 2 of my season preview is a look at the Western Conference.

Much like the Eastern Conference, I see the West being extremely competitive this year. The only team that I think is heading into the year as a true rebuilder is the Soo Greyhounds. That's bad news for them because the rest of the Conference will be gunning for a title. I'm particularly interested in how the Midwest Division shakes down. Will this turn into a rebuilding season for London or will they find another way to remain competitive? Given the strength of the Storm, Rangers, and Attack, they will be hard pressed to find consistent wins.

1. Flint Firebirds (West Division Champs)
Believe it or not but Flint (by my count) has the most goals returning of any team in the OHL. Yeah, OK, there is some concern that new goaltender Will Cranley will not be able to provide the stability that Luke Cavallin did. But, I'm not sure they need their goaltender to be anything more than simply adequate. This Firebirds team is going to score a boat load of goals. Look for Amadeus Lombardi and Riley Piercey to have huge breakout seasons. Yeah, the defense isn't extremely sexy either. But, I think the Firebirds will address that by adding a veteran fairly early in the year. They know that this is their year and I think they will push their cards all in pretty quickly. I have the Firebirds finishing first because I think that the West Division is a tad easier than the Midwest. Strength of schedule will be the difference.

2. Guelph Storm (Midwest Division Champs)
On paper, the Storm might actually be the third best team in the division behind Kitchener and Owen Sound, but I'm trusting my gut on this one. Part of it is my high opinion of Cam Allen and how I anticipate him becoming one of the league's elite defenders as a draft eligible player. Part of it is how I love the makeup of this roster. There's depth. There's creativity. There's speed. There's grit. The top two lines of the Storm are as good as anyone in the OHL. I also think Jacob Oster takes a nice step forward in the crease. Something else to watch for (and no offense meant to Profaca, McFarlane, and Walker): this Storm team could upgrade their overage group with so many talented OA players on the trade block currently. That would improve their outlook even more. 

3. Kitchener Rangers 
It was a heck of an offseason for the Rangers. They brought in Hunter Brzustewicz, who looks like he can be a top pairing defender for the team. It looks like they hit on both of their Import swings from the last two years as Hamara will definitely play and it all but seems Mesar will too. This team is incredibly talented. The question is...what kind of goaltending will they get? Jackson Parsons and Marcus Vandenburg are relatively inexperienced. Parsons has high end upside as a starter in the league, but is he ready for that role already? Would the Rangers be a potential landing spot for someone like Marco Costantini (at the expense of OA Jack Harper)? Unquestionably, the strength of this team is up front. I have no problem saying that the Rangers have the best top nine of any team in the OHL heading into the season. Carson Rehkopf looks like he's ready to take that next step. Serpa and Valade will be motivated OA's. Pinelli will be trying to establish himself as an OHL star finally. The addition of Mesar would be huge. This team could easily end up as the cream of the crop this year.

4. Sarnia Sting 
I must admit, I am a little bit weary putting the Sting this high. It would be quite the jump for them compared to last year in a very tough Conference. Yet, here I am. It starts in net. Ben Gaudreau is going to prove himself a star this year and he will prove himself to be the OHL's best netminder. The defense isn't going to wow you, but they are a veteran group and that goes a long way in the OHL. Up front, the Sting, by my count, are right up there in most returning goals in the OHL from a year ago. Ty Voit should have a breakout year. They brought in two potential impact imports in Vilmanis and Limpar Lantz. Porter Martone has the skill to be an immediate impact player. You are returning talent and adding to that. 

5. Windsor Spitfires
This prediction is built entirely around the assumption that Wyatt Johnston and Matt Maggio will return. If that's the case, those two should tear apart the league again and the Spitfires have enough secondary talent to support them. On defense, I like Sobolev to have a breakout year. At forward, I like Oliver Peer to do the same. They will have veteran goaltending. But all of this revolves around Johnston and Maggio. If Johnston sticks in Dallas and Maggio ends up playing in the AHL, then things could get ugly and the Spits could be joining the Greyhounds at the bottom of the Conference. This is also a good time to mention that I think the Attack are a better team than Windsor...but again strength of schedule will be important and that Midwest division is tough.

6. Owen Sound Attack
There's some volatility here. This isn't the most experienced team in the league. They enter the year with only two OAs, top defender Nolan Seed, and starting netminder Nick Chenard. However, they are not devoid of talent. How about Colby Barlow? He could easily score 50 this season in his NHL draft year. Then he's surrounded by a group of hard working, competitive players (would you expect any less from an Owen Sound team) like Burroughs, Bryant, Goure, Petrovsky. The real wild card here is Kaleb Lawrence. He's finally healthy and the Kings draft pick will be looking to be a quality top six forward. My only only concern? This team's defense is not big. Can they withstand the constant barrage of the division's top offenses?

7. London Knights
How this season ends up going for the Knights is a huge mystery. Up front, this is not your typical London team. It lacks top end fire power. Denver Barkey has a real chance to lead the team in scoring as a draft eligible player. However, preventing goals should be a team strength. They still have Brett Brochu in net. They have one of the deepest defensive groups in the entire league. Would it be shocking if Dale Hunter embraced this team's identity as a staunch defensive team, bringing them into the top four of the Conference? Not in the least. However, I do think that this is a bit of a rebuilding year that could see London deal Brochu, their other OA's, and other 03's to help them usher in a new era built around Barkey, Dickinson, Testa, Bonk, and perhaps Kasper Halttunen if they can convince him to come over at some point this year. 

8. Saginaw Spirit
The Spirit might just be the most difficult team to predict this season. There's no question that this team is more talented than they showed last year when they were among the league's worst. Injuries decimated them all year long and they didn't have the depth to recover. They can't possibly have that bad of luck again can they? I like the group of '05 and 06's on this team and I think that really helps them this year in terms of handling adversity. Josh Bloom should have a big year. Sapovaliv should too. Goaltending should be a strength with a motivated Tristan Lennox in the fold with Andrew Oke. I think Mitchell Smith has an outstanding overage season in support of Mintyukov. They might be a little young to push up further than a bottom playoff spot, but who knows. Will the real Spirit please stand up?

9. Erie Otters
If Erie wasn't in the Midwest division, I'd feel a lot better about their playoff odds. This isn't a bad team by any means. I just don't think that they are in the same category as the others in that division and that could be trouble. Goaltending is a big time mystery. Who will step up as a go-to offensive player? Is it Malcolm Spence in his rookie year? Is it Terrance in his draft year? Is it returning leading scorer Elias Cohen? The defense is the strength, especially in terms of puck movement. But, again, I just don't see a team that can compete in the Midwest Division. Another year at the bottom of the standings wouldn't be the worst thing. Another top pick to pair with Spence would be huge.

10. Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
The Hounds are losing seven of their top eight scorers from last year with only Bryce McConnell-Barker (#6) returning. Only two players on this roster have ever scored more than 15 goals in the OHL. That's just not a recipe for success. Look, the Hounds are due for a true rebuilding year. This team has been competitive for so long under Dubas and Raftis. But it eventually catches up to you in the OHL and this is the year that it does for the Soo. They can deal the few veterans they have for some further assets and they can end up with someone like Roobroeck or William Moore at the draft.


2022/23 OHL Preview Part 1 - Eastern Conference

The start of the 2022/23 OHL season is right around the corner. That means it is time to make some predictions and to preview each conference. 

First up is the Eastern Conference. I don't think we head into the year with a clear cut favourite. However, I do see two clear tiers. I see a top tier with Barrie, Hamilton, Peterborough, North Bay, and Mississauga. And I see a second tier with Ottawa, Niagara, Kingston, Oshawa, and Sudbury. Within those tiers, I think we could see anything happen. I'll try to describe this in greater detail in the team write ups.

1. Barrie Colts (Central Division Champs)
Yeah it's preseason, but we've seen how explosive this offense is going to be this season. There are certainly some questions...like will captain Brandt Clarke be back? How will they sort out their OA situation? But this team is returning among the highest number of goals scored of any OHL team this year and that always bodes well for success. I have confidence in new starting netminder Anson Thornton being a competent starter. They have a solid defense, even without Clarke. And their forward unit is three lines deep. If all three end up returning, the Colts could ice an all OA line of Cardwell, Vierling, and McDonnell, which could be fantastic. I expect Hunter Haight and Beau Jelsma to take nice steps forward this year too. Since I'm predicting the Colts to finish first...I do think that Brandt Clarke will return. I think he certainly gets some games in with the Kings, but given the Kings' young prospect depth, they can afford to be patient with him. Let him return to the OHL for another year to dominate, which I think he would do upon coming back.   
 
2. Peterborough Petes (East Division Champs)
The Petes seem to be the sexy pick right now as the top favourite in the East. And I can get on board with that. There is lots to like. This team's forward group is lightning quick. Bringing in Connor Lockhart was a great trade for them. The Petes will have no trouble putting pucks in the net as their forward group is as deep as any in the league. Jax Dubois is a sneaky breakout candidate. He's someone I was impressed with late in the year last season and he could be a big net front presence for them. But I am a little concerned with the team's ability to keep pucks out of their net. Michael Simpson was great in the preseason, which is very encouraging. However, traditionally, goaltending stats and performance in the preseason has meant very, very little. One of the real keys here is the progression of Donovan McCoy IMO. If he can elevate his play with the puck and become a strong offensive presence, it would help the Petes significantly. I think that there is also no question that this team will be all in to win this year which means making the necessary moves to put them over the top as division champs.

3. North Bay Battalion
Just a really well balanced team. Returning import Matvey Petrov should have another terrific year and the Battalion have some really nice depth at the forward position after drafting well in recent years. Obviously, there are some questions. Can Liam Arnsby take that next step as an offensive player? Can McDonald and Jackson be impact OA's? How good will Justin Ertel be? But this team has the makeup of one that will be difficult to play against. When you combine that with a solid defense and a good starting goaltender (DiVincentiis), they should also be tough to score against. In particular, I look for Ty Nelson to have a nice bounce back year as he no longer has the pressure of being a draft eligible player hanging over his head. 

4. Hamilton Bulldogs
This team still has to figure out what to do with all of their OA's, but if everyone ends up coming back, a trio of Logan Morrison, Avery Hayes, and Gavin White would be among the best OA groups in the entire OHL. Heck, even if the Stars put White in the AHL, or Hayes/Morrison sign in the AHL, George Diaco and Mark Duarte are still good options. Not to mention returning starting netminder Marco Costantini. But I do half expect Costantini to be dealt, ushering in the Drobac era. I've seen quite a few preseason predictions that have the Bulldogs near the bottom of the East and I just don't get it. This team still has a ton of talent. Ryan Winterton should be due for a massive breakout (if he can stay healthy) and they have a bunch of other high end 03's who should be able to handle more responsibility. Of course, if by some terrible luck all of Morrison, Hayes, and White all stick in the pros, and Winterton gets injured again, this could become a rebuilding year quickly. But as is, I think that gets delayed one more year.

5. Mississauga Steelheads
Much like the Petes, the Steelheads should have no trouble scoring goals. But I am a little concerned with their ability to prevent them. Swiss netminder Alessio Beglieri was brought in to be the starter and he could very well be excellent in that role. But it's a gamble. I also really liked the Steelheads bringing in Isaac Enright this offseason to give Del Mastro, Chas Sharpe, and Charlie Callaghan some help in the top four. But how much will the losses of Larsen and Holm be felt? This is no longer a massive, smothering defensive unit. They will have to change the way they play. However, as mentioned, we've got some fantastic options up front. The Luca Del Bel Belluz, Owen Beck, and Luke Misa combination down the middle is incredible depth. The team really needs a few wingers to step up and take that next step to support James Hardie. Lavoie? Vecchia? Uberti in his OA year? There are options. 

6. Ottawa 67's
I'm probably most worried about this prediction of any in this Eastern Conference write up. A lot would have to go right for the 67's to finish 6th. But, I think they have a few things going for them. The first is being in an easier division of the other "second tier" East teams that I mentioned. The second is that I really like the young make up of this team. The defense is young, but talented. I think Jack Beck has a monster season and that Tyler Boucher can be a consistent difference maker. They will be competitive and tenacious up front. Max Donoso is one of the most underrated netminders in the OHL too. The real question is, can the 67's get strong play down the middle? Can Cameron Tolnai take that next step as a top flight center in his OA year? Is Vinzenz Rohrer a center or will he be a winger (where he is better suited IMO). Will they continue to use Luca Pinelli down the middle as they have this preseason and can he excel in that role? Can someone like Gardiner or Barlas take that next step in their NHL draft years? I believe in this group.

7. Sudbury Wolves
Even with all the young talent on this roster, I think they're still a year away from being true competitors in the Eastern Conference. Bringing in the local (relatively) Joe Ranger to start was a savvy move. He was solid for the Steelheads last season and he should provide stable goaltending. I have made my love for Matthew Mania known on this blog and on social media and I expect him to have a big year on the blueline. On offense, I still think things will be wildly inconsistent. Musty will likely be up and down. Goyette too. The support pieces are all solid options too, but there's just that stability that is missing from the forward group. They will be very exciting to watch for NHL draft evaluators, but that doesn't always translate to on ice team success.

8. Niagara IceDogs
What a face lift for this franchise heading into the season. Tons of turnover here as Niagara made a ton of trades this offseason to bring in the likes of Pasquale Zito, Nolan Dann, Matthew Papais, and several others. What will the identity of this team be? It's really tough to say at this point. Is there someone on the roster who can step up and be a consistent difference maker? Is Pano Fimis ready for that role? What about one of the new additions? Can someone like Rodwin Dionicio take a huge step forward to become a top defender in the OHL? Will one of the three goaltenders on the roster become a quality starter? All three have the talent to be, that's for sure. However, as I stated, I just don't see the kind of star power needed to be at the top of the standings. 

9. Oshawa Generals
I think many people are expecting the Generals to be pretty bad this year. However, I actually think this team is better than many are claiming them to be. There is top end talent on this roster. The thing is...I think that rather than float in the middle, I see the Generals being sellers this year and that means trading away the likes of Brett Harrison and Lleyton Moore at some point. And because I see this second tier group in the East being so close, that would mean that Oshawa finishes the year a little more poorly. Even if they finish 9th, I don't think Oshawa is that far under .500. But building around the likes of Ritchie, Sennecke, and Danford just makes sense. 

10. Kingston Frontenacs
Someone has to finish last in the Conference. I think the best bet is Kingston. Look, Shane Wright could return and then a last place finish might not be in the cards. However, I also believe that if Wright returns, Kingston will deal him for a king's ransom in order to help accelerate their rebuild. There is some nice talent here. But like Oshawa and Niagara, I don't think there are truly enough play drivers. Of course, Paul Ludwinski could be this year's Wyatt Johnston. Ivan Zhigalov could steal the show in the crease. But more likely sees the team deal some quality veterans like Arcuri, Roger, Belanger, etc, in order to recoup assets spent to make runs the last few years. 

Wednesday, August 31, 2022

Preseason Top 30 for the 2023 NHL Draft

Ah...normalcy. After having to make last year's preseason list based on U16 performances (because the larger part of the group had yet to play in the OHL), we can make this year's list based on actual OHL performance. This group of players has played in the OHL and we also have a Hockey Canada camp and a Hlinka/Gretzky Cup to base rankings off of. The only thing missing is the World Under 17 Challenge, which will thankfully return this year. As an FYI, here were last year's preseason rankings.
 
Heading into the season, I would classify this group from Ontario as very top heavy. I think it's a really strong group in terms of potential top two round selections. After that, I'm unsure of the depth. This is magnified by the lack of Imports currently slated to beef up said depth. Of course, that can change a lot over the year too. But, having a crop that is top heavy is not a bad thing either. I see several players that I think can challenge for the Top 10 (in a very strong draft year) and several others who could be Top 50 selections.
 
Here's my early list:
 
1. Cam Allen - Defense - Guelph Storm
I've alluded to Allen being my top ranked OHL player heading into the season a few times on social media. I've lobbed high praise in his direction by stating that I believe he was the best 16 year old defender in the league since Aaron Ekblad. Not only was Allen terrific for the Storm last year, but he was great as captain of Canada at the Hlinka/Gretzky. Quite honestly, I see a player that doesn't really have a weakness...or at least projects that way. He can quarterback the powerplay with his big shot and mobility/vision. He can lead the attack in transition with his quickness and skill. He is deceptive, but also intelligent in picking his spots. There might even be more room for him to take chances to jump up in the play. Defensively, he has an edge. He is physically engaged and is terrific at defending pace thanks to his strong four way mobility. I think that as he gets stronger, we'll see that physical element really ratchet up. He can struggle at times to win 50/50 battles along the wall and does need to do a better job of engaging and sealing his man more consistently. But, let's see how that develops this year. The defensive IQ is strong, though, and he has a great stick and instincts. Like I said, not really much in the way of a true weakness and a lot of areas that I would grade out as well above average. He's my number one because I think he has a chance to be a right shot, top pairing defender and could end up similar to someone like a Charlie McAvoy, who many would have as one of the top defenders in the NHL.
 
2. Calum Ritchie - Center - Oshawa Generals
I'm probably in the tiniest of minorities when it comes to having Ritchie ranked behind Allen, and there's a reason for that too...Ritchie is a great prospect in his own right. I thought his rookie OHL season had its ups and downs (connected with Oshawa's ups and downs), but he was very good for Canada at the Hlinka/Gretzky. He projects as the kind of top line center who can play in any situation and that is also a rarity. He can play the power game. He is skilled. His passing ability is a strength. His shot is also a strength, but he doesn't use it enough. That's a big next step for IMO. He needs to keep defenders honest. I think his decision making with the puck could stand to be a little more consistent too. He's a creative player...and a confident one. However, at times, some of those high risk passes end up hurting his team. I think all of that works itself out this year and, he too, becomes a prospect at the top end of the draft with very few weaknesses. For me, it comes down to the fact that I think finding that #1, right shot defender, is a little more difficult. Thus Allen entering the year at #1. 
 
3. Colby Barlow - Wing - Owen Sound Atack
How could you not love what Barlow brought to that Canadian Hlinka/Gretzky team? His performance was, quite frankly, extremely eye opening. After posting a list earlier in the summer that had Barlow a few spots lower, a person in OHL management and I chatted and he let me know that I had missed the mark on Barlow's spot. He was correct. I was not. As an OHL rookie, I had wondered how Barlow's game would come together in a few years and the hesitation came from seeing some similar qualities to Owen Tippett (not a terrible young player by any means, but not someone I would take in that top 10 range). I still am very curious to see how Barlow develops as a more complete offensive player; more specifically how his playmaking and passing touch develops. However, there's enough there to make him a lottery selection already. He's big and quick. He was one of the better skaters at the Hlinka IMO. His shot and scoring instincts are great. And his work as a penalty killer and overall defensive presence was mighty impressive. Quite frankly, he projects similar to someone like Cutter Gauthier and we just saw him go in the top five in 2022. I have said this a lot over the years, but finding goal scorers whose zone starts and overall minutes do not need to be sheltered is very difficult. 
 
4. Quentin Musty - Wing - Sudbury Wolves
Oh boy...is Musty going to frustrate scouts this year. His OHL rookie year was mired by some injuries, but also inconsistency. Most of that inconsistency stemmed from issues with his decision making with the puck and with playing through traffic. Playing for the U.S. at the Hlinka/Gretzky, we saw those same issues creep up. Now I say that he's going to frustrate scouts because he is incredibly talented. He combines immense skill and creativity with a big frame. For every poor read he makes with the puck, he makes a terrific play or read to set up a teammate for a scoring chance. His first step quickness needs to improve; in all directions (he particularly seems to struggle making quick directional changes). However, his top speed is pretty good for a bigger winger and when you combine that with his puck protection ability and skill, you have a player who can really create chances in transition. Really, the profile is going to be extremely enticing. But then you come to these holes in his game that make you question the likelihood of him reaching his extremely high upside. Is Musty going to have a draft year like Brandon Saad? All eyes will certainly be on the former first overall selection.
 
5. Carson Rehkopf - Center/Wing - Kitchener Rangers
Rehkopf is a big forward with a real projectable frame/skill combination. It's easy to see him becoming an NHL player in some capacity. I think we'll learn a lot more about his offensive potential this season in Kitchener, but as of right now, he needs to be ranked highly as a potential first round pick. The big, power forward skates well. He plays through defenders but possesses enough skill to also play around them. He protects the puck well down low and consistently finds his way to the net. He can play in any situation. The questions that I have this year are; a) is he a center or wing long term? b) can his shot and shooting mechanics develop further? and c) can he elevate the players around him as a playmaker? The Rangers should be pretty good this year and I'm hoping Rehkopf can find his way into an integral role amongst that deep group.
 
6. Ethan Miedema - Wing - Windsor Spitfires
Miedema was probably the biggest disappointment for me at the Hockey Canada U18 camp this summer for the Hlinka. I thought that he would be a near lock going in, but his performance at camp was quite underwhelming. And I say this as someone who really believes in Miedema as a prospect. It is not too often you find a big winger with the vision and offensive awareness that he possesses. As he continues to add strength and becomes more difficult to separate from the puck, he is going to be lethal down low with how he sees the ice. I think the skill level and creativity are also quite high. What I'm now concerned with is his skating ability and his aforementioned strength. Those were the two areas that he really needed to improve upon this offseason, and at that HC camp, those were the two areas that held him back from performing better. If he can show growth, I think his offensive upside is high enough for him to be a first round selection. If not, he probably slips a great deal because of concerns over his mobility hindering his NHL potential.
 
7. Beau Akey - Defense - Barrie Colts
I was really disappointed that Akey end up getting injured at the Hlinka camp and was unable to participate. I thought he had a great chance of making the team. Few 2005 born players improved over the course of last year the way that Akey did. His mobility is a real asset for him. He's a naturally gifted skater. Due to his quickness and agility, he can lead the attack and push deep into the offensive zone with control, something we saw him start to do late in the year last season. However, I also like Akey's sense and feel in the defensive end. A potentially mobile two-way defender, I think he has great upside and I think that if he has a good year, he'll end up a potential first round selection in a weaker draft pool for defenders. I just hope that the injury he suffered is minor and does not linger this season because he should play a key role for the Colts.
 
8. Matthew Mania - Defense - Sudbury Wolves
Maybe a bit shocking to some to see Mania ranked this high considering his production was mediocre. However, I am a big fan of his game. Among the defenders on this list, his offensive upside is the highest. He is electric leading the attack. His ability to blend skill with quickness to evade checks is impressive and I think he can be a big time point producer on the back-end. How will his defensive game develop this year? Will he be more consistent? Will he be more confident? So many questions, but I just can't ignore the upside here. In many of Sudbury's games last year, Mania would be fairly quiet except for a few dynamic plays every game. It's those dynamic plays that lead me to believe that he can do those types of things on the regular with more experience.
 
9. Coulson Pitre - Wing - Flint Firebirds
The top late born 2004 from the OHL (at least currently IMO), Pitre is a skilled power winger. He's consistently dialed in physically and is excellent in puck pursuit. He's not the biggest (6'0, 165lbs last year), but he is scrappy as all hell. If he had a good offseason conditioning program, he could be a very, very good OHL player this year with added strength on the puck and the chance to finish on more of the chances that he is creating. The skating is good. It could get better. The offensive ceiling remains a bit of a mystery. However, these are the types of players that I really like (if you know anything about me) and I have high expectations for Pitre this season.

10. Denver Barkey - Center - London Knights
There is a good group of talented, but slightly smaller forwards in this 2005 Ontario crop and I think Barkey has a chance to be the best of the bunch. He was actually really impressive through the first two months of last year, but then he hit a wall and found himself buried on a deep London team. When he played later in the year, it looked like he had lost confidence in his ability to create; the same confidence that was impressive early on. However, he had a very strong Hlinka/Gretzky for Canada and I hope that really gets him going heading into this season. The Knights won't be quite as loaded up front as usual, so there's an opening for him to grab a top six spot. As he proved as the Hlinka/Gretzky, Barkey is tenacious. He's quick. He's intelligent. However, he's also more skilled and creative than he showed while playing that PK, high energy role. I'm very excited to see how Barkey plays this year. Is he a low key candidate to lead the Knights in scoring?

11. Nick Lardis - Wing - Peterborough Petes
There's a lot to like about Lardis' game. He's lightning quick and he loves to take the puck wide to beat defenders one on one. I think he projects best as a complementary goal scorer who can use his speed to play well off the puck and to get himself into scoring position. To do that, his off puck play and physical engagement level will need to increase...or at least become more consistent. I thought he played well enough at the HC Hlinka camp to crack that team, so that's encouraging. I also want to see how Lardis' game rounds out this year. Can he be a difference maker when the game slows down and when he's not able to use his speed on the puck?

12. Matthew Soto - Wing - Kingston Frontenacs
Speaking of speed, insert Matthew Soto. Like Lardis, he is at his best when he can fly down the wing with the puck and look to take the puck to the net or cut to the middle. I think his off puck play has a little more potential too. Later in the year we saw Soto more consistently engaged in all three zones and at the HC camp, I liked the increase in physical intensity. That should serve him well. My concern is whether the hands are good enough to play at the blistering pace that he wants to play at. The same could be said about his shot and finishing ability. This year in Kingston, where Soto will get lots of ice time, we should get a better idea of whether he projects as a top six winger or more of a bottom six, change of pace, high energy guy.

13. Oliver Bonk - Defense - London Knights
Bonk looked very good in limited games with London last year, so it really wasn't all that surprising to see him perform well at the HC camp to grab a spot on the Hlinka team. There is a very well rounded profile here. I like the IQ at both ends a lot; you can tell that he's the son of a former high end player (Radek Bonk). He is really strong and consistent at starting the breakout and has great scanning habits with the puck. Defensively, his positioning is sound and I liked the increase in physical intensity shown at the Hlinka/Gretzky. I hope this carries over to the OHL season. The million dollar question this year will be...does he have a true standout quality that makes him a potential top four NHL defender? I think there's room for him to improve his four way mobility and his quickness. It's not poor, but it's not an extreme strength either IMO. London seems to be headed for a bit of a transition year, so it does look like he'll get some quality ice time this season.

14. Alexis Daviault - Defense - Sarnia Sting
No question, Daviault was one of the best 2005 born defenders in the OHL last year. He played a lot for Sarnia and showed positive progression over the course of the year. His confidence with the puck really seemed to blossom by the end of the year and we saw him extending his rushes and trying to create in transition. The overall mobility is solid, which is good given that he's not the biggest defender out there. I also like the tenacity he brings to defending, key for a slight defender. He wasn't always winning battles last year, but he was consistently engaged. Like Bonk, I think Daviault is intelligent at both ends and should have a good year for the Sting. But is Daviault dynamic enough offensively? That's the question I'm looking to have answered this year. I think he's someone who is going to have to prove that he can be a consistent play creator to remain in contention for a high draft pick. His value would be less as a "safer" two-way guy given that he's not the biggest or longest. Easier to project him to the pro level if he can be a high end puck mover.

15. Donovan McCoy - Defense - Peterborough Petes
The second late born 2004 to be listed, McCoy was one of my favourites in his OHL draft crop. However, his rookie year had a lot of ups and downs. Even within games, there were consistency issues with his decision making and effectiveness. But, much like Matthew Mania, I believe in the potential because if those really good moments become more prevalent, he's going to be a very good draft prospect. Later in the year we did see McCoy break out of his shell as a puck carrier. He can be impactful as a puck mover because he skates well and can escape pressure. I think he has good potential in the defensive end too because he's got good size, plays physical, and uses his mobility as an asset. It's just a matter of how everything comes together for him this season.

16. Alex Pharand - Center - Sudbury Wolves
Yes...I am a sucker for power forwards. The production for Pharand was only mediocre, but I'm really interested to see how he plays over a full year with his hometown Wolves. Like I mentioned with Rehkopf, Pharand has many potential pro qualities. Big kid who plays a power game but who also shows potential to be an above average skater. He can drive the net. He can play physical and apply pressure in puck retrieval scenarios. He can hold the wall. How skilled is he as a distributor? Can he be an offensive leader? Is he truly a center long term or does he project better as a winger? Lots of questions, but I really like his physical potential. 

17. Luca Pinelli - Wing/Center - Ottawa 67's
Really liked the progression that Pinelli showed over the course of the previous OHL season. Early on in the year, he was a complete non factor. But by season's end, he looked like a different player. There are a lot of similarities between he and his brother Francesco. Both are skilled. Both are tenacious. There's a nice middle six ceiling here if he can continue to evolve as a two-way player and off puck threat. I loved the energy he brought at the HC Hlinka camp. He was very effective on the forecheck and embraced the high-energy role that they seemed to be auditioning him for. How Pinelli's draft season goes will depend on the progress of his skating development. Like his brother, Luca needs to improve his quickness and top end speed. 

18. Angus MacDonell - Center/Wing - Sarnia Sting
Effort and energy are the name of the game here. MacDonell was always noticeable for Sarnia with how he used his speed to attack, no matter the score. He's not huge, but he sure is tenacious. A former captain with the Toronto Marlboros, it's not going to be long before he's wearing a letter for the Sting too. I think MacDonell also has potential as a goal scorer. He tracks the play well, has good hands, and can really rifle the puck. But what's the upside here? Is he a potential, all situations center who can be an offensive leader? Is he a scoring, complementary winger who can open up space? Or is he more of a bottom six, high energy, PK type? Let's see how this year goes.

19. Carey Terrance - Center/Wing - Erie Otters
Speed is the name of the game here. Terrance is a dynamic mover who can be deadly in transition. The rest of his game? I'm just not sure. I thought that the Hlinka/Gretzky would give us a good indication of his development and how he might look this year, but that wasn't the case as Terrance didn't have a terrific tournament. He looked good when he could attack with speed or support the rush, but inside the offensive zone, he was mostly a passenger. Is Terrance a center or a winger? Can he develop the other parts of his game to give him significant offensive upside? I think he still needs to be rated pretty highly given his speed and transitional abilities, but I have more questions than answers right now.

20. Adam Zidlicky - Wing - Kitchener Rangers
Every time I saw Kitchener play last year, I came away impressed with Zidlicky's energy and effort from the fourth line. It was great to see him get a good chance with the Czech Hlinka team, playing a first line role (even if his performance was inconsistent). Like some of the other guys in this range, I'm just unsure of the high end offensive potential. The Rangers are going to be good this year and Zidlicky is not likely to be more than a bottom six winger. Can he show progression in a limited role?

21. Tristan Bertucci - Defense - Flint Firebirds
If Bertucci can show more offensively this season, he is going to move up this list quickly. He is an excellent athlete on the blueline. His four way mobility is a real strength. He showed well as a defense first type of defender as a rookie, rarely looking to take chances offensively, but rarely making errors either. I think the IQ at both ends is really good. But is Bertucci a true NHL prospect or more likely a solid five year junior player? 

22. Cole Brown - Wing - Hamilton Bulldogs
Brown didn't play a ton last year due to the Bulldogs' excellent depth, but when called upon to play up in the lineup, he was good. He is a big winger who already has a clear understanding of how to use his size at the OHL level. He takes up position net front and he works the wall well. He also shows potential as a carrier in transition. I think the first step quickness needs to improve. As does his four way mobility (being more deceptive instead of straight North/South). I'm also uncertain of his true offensive ceiling and overall skill level. But there are some pro qualities here and I'm curious to see how he handles more ice time this season.

23. Juan Copeland - Wing - Niagara IceDogs
One of the youngest players eligible this year with an early September birthday, Copeland is a speedy, scoring winger who played well for a rebuilding Niagara team last year. The focus for him has to be adding strength to play through traffic more effectively. Additionally, he needs to be able to show that he has the IQ and awareness to be a difference maker when the game slows down (like several other "speedy" types listed here).

24. Marco Mignosa - Wing - Soo Greyhounds
Mignosa could be in line for a big breakout year if he was able to improve his athletic tools over the summer. He's intelligent. He's skilled. However, there is a need to upgrade his quickness and his strength. He is going to get a chance to play big minutes on a rebuilding Greyhounds team this year and he could move up lists quickly if he can show that the skating has improved.

25. Alex Assadourian - Center - Sudbury Wolves
Another high energy, tenacious attacker, there's a lot to like about Assadourian. He's a real spark plug who can impact the game with his speed. He showed flashes of high end skill last year too, especially as a playmaking pivot. At his size, he's going to have to put up offensive numbers though. I think he has the capability to do it, but this serves as a moderate ranking for now.

26. Luke McNamara - Center - Saginaw Spirit
McNamara didn't have the kind of season he was probably capable of, but few on Saginaw did last year. I think he needs to be listed due to his offensive potential and combination of size and skill. The tools are all there. Adding strength and increasing his physical intensity level are musts.

27. Owen Outwater - Wing - North Bay Battalion
Similar to McNamara. Outwater is very intriguing because of his combination of size and speed. But he got lost in the shuffle on a fairly deep North Bay team and he struggled with consistency due to a lack of strength. What's the offensive ceiling? If he takes a step forward as a skilled player this year, he'll move up rankings quickly.
 
28. Ethan Hay - Center - Flint Firebirds
A standout on the penalty kill for the Firebirds last year, Hay is one of the most intriguing 2005 centers heading into this year IMO. He did a lot with a limited role last year. Showed flashes of speed, skill, a big shot, and physicality. I'm just not sure how it all comes together and what the upside is. But he could move quickly if he shows well early. There's a lot to like.

29. Michael Podolioukh - Center - North Bay Battalion
Maybe an inclusion on this list that might catch some off guard because the late born 2004 didn't put up great numbers last year. However, I thought he was great in a bottom six role for the Battalion and I think he showed a lot of potential as a two-way, power center. Maybe the offensive upside is limited. It's possible. However, he showed flashes of being a skilled attacker last year and I could see him being the next in line of bigger North Bay forwards who develop slowly...but well. 

30. Konnor Smith - Defense - Peterborough Petes
Another late born 2004, Smith proved himself to be one of the OHL's most feared body checkers last year. Yeah, he needs to be more disciplined, but his physicality and size (6'5, 205lbs) will be intriguing to scouts. I thought he also showed some intriguing puck skill and flashed the ability to carry too. Improving his mobility further will be the focus, but I like the size and tools.
 
Honorable Mentions
 
Matthew Jovanovic - Defense - Saginaw Spirit
People have forgotten about Jovanovic, once considered to be one of the best 2004 born defenders in Ontario. He was a high profile signing by Saginaw, but has yet to play due to injuries. The late born defender is first year eligible in 2023 and can hopefully hit the ice at some point this year. He is currently listed as still injured on the Spirit training camp roster.

Jackson Parsons - Goaltender - Kitchener Rangers
Smaller, but athletic netminder who has a chance to be the starter in Kitchener this year. Another late born 2004.

Matthew Mayich - Defense - Ottawa 67's
Another late born 2004. Mayich is a physical, stay at home defender. Not the biggest, but he competes. How his offensive game develops this year will be key to his draft odds.

Joseph Costanzo - Goaltender - Niagara IceDogs
Probably the best 2005 goaltender in the OHL. Looked really good at times for a bad Niagara team last season. Curious to see how he looks this year. Another goalie on the smaller side, so will need to be fantastic to be on the draft radar.

Valentin Zhugin - Wing - Guelph Storm
Late born 2004 winger from Russia shows dynamic offensive ability at times. Consistency was a major issue as a rookie. If he irons that out, he could move quickly.

Sebastien Gervais - Wing - Saginaw Spirit
Winger was a surprise to make the Spirit last year after being a 12th round selection. But he was excellent. Shows great offensive awareness. Has potential to develop a competitive two-way game. He was honestly close to making my Top 30 (last player I cut from the list).

PJ Forgione - Defense - Saginaw Spirit
Big, physical, two-way defender shows a lot of promise at both ends. Curious to see how his game improves this year. 

Justin Cloutier - Wing - Soo Greyhounds
Undersized winger who competes hard and skates well. Offensive upside is significant. However, strength deficits really limited his impact as a rookie. At 5'7 (although hopefully he's hit a bit of a growth spurt), he's going to need to produce significantly to be on the draft radar.

Cal Uens - Defense - Owen Sound Attack
Entered the league as a hybrid forward/defender, but has settled in on the blueline. Not a big kid, but he's an intelligent puck mover with good offensive upside. He's also going to have to put up points to be on the draft radar.

Calem Mangone - Wing - Saginaw Spirit
I really like Mangone. He always caught my eye when I saw Saginaw. Oozes skill. Really fun player to watch. A late born 2004 who is also undersized, I want to see how he performs this year before ranking him in the Top 30.

Chris Barlas - Center - Ottawa 67's
The former #12 pick didn't really have a great rookie year. He competes hard. But I'm not sure the offensive upside is significant. We'll see how he plays this year.

Bronson Ride - Defense - Windsor Spitfires
Massive defender didn't play a ton as a rookie on a strong Windsor team, but definitely has pro potential. Very intriguing athletic skill set. Adjusting to the pace and gaining confidence with the puck are still focal points.

Appearing Soon

Hunter Brzustewicz - Defense - Kitchener Rangers
Kimo Gruber - Center - Oshawa Generals
Joseph Willis - Center - Saginaw Spirit